Handicappers' Racing Form
"A Premier Resource for Free horse Racing Picks, Strong Longshots and Vulnerable Favorites."
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
Visit us at tbrsimulator.com.
Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Follow us on X@tbrsimulator.
 
The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Wednesday - January 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/5)-(2/1/5/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/5)-(2/1/5/4/6)-(2/1/5/4/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/1/5)-(2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/1/5)-(2/4)-(5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TAM-2   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/4)-(2/4/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4)-(2/4/3/1)-(2/4/3/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (2/4)-(5/7) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (2/4)-(5/7)-(4/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TAM-3   WIN (5/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/7)-(5/7/4/6/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (5/7)-(5/7/4/6/3)-(5/7/4/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7)-(4/7/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/7)-(4/7/8)-(3/5/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TAM-4   WIN (4/7/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/8)-(4/7/8/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/8)-(4/7/8/3/6)-(4/7/8/3/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (4/7/8)-(3/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/7/8)-(3/5/6)-(7/2/5/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-5   WIN (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/6)-(3/5/6/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/6)-(3/5/6/8/4)-(3/5/6/8/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/5/6)-(7/2/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/5/6)-(7/2/5/1)-(2/10/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-6   WIN (7/2/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/5/1)-(7/2/5/1/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/2/5/1)-(7/2/5/1/4)-(7/2/5/1/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/2/5/1)-(2/10/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/2/5/1)-(2/10/1)-(4/2/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-7   WIN (2/10/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/10/1)-(2/10/1/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/10/1)-(2/10/1/7/8)-(2/10/1/7/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/10/1)-(4/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/10/1)-(4/2/6)-(2/10/3/5/9) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
TAM-8   WIN (4/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/6)-(4/2/6/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/6)-(4/2/6/7/3)-(4/2/6/7/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (4/2/6)-(2/10/3/5/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
TAM-9   WIN (2/10/3/5/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/10/3/5/9)-(2/10/3/5/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/10/3/5/9)-(2/10/3/5/9)-(2/10/3/5/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   01/04/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 4UP ALL PT-12:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR LIGHTNING BOY Dec14 Nov17 Nov02 Oct06 Sep06 (felician)GALLARDO A 121 4.00 25% 3.00    
2  ASK FOR BODE Dec07 Oct28 Oct01 Aug13 Jul10 (arnet)DIAZ RAFAEL 121 5.00 32% 2.10    
3  PALADIO Dec07 Nov23 Oct29 Oct08 Sep03 (mcgoey monica)CAMACHO SAMY 121 6.00    
4  ROCKYSBUCKAROO Dec21 Nov23 Oct08 Aug26 Aug01 (wasiluk peter)VILLA-GOMEZ H 121 20.00 ★    
5  ARCADIA CALLS Aug26 Aug15 Aug01 Jun26 Jun04 (delgado jo)ROWLAND MADELINE 116 2.50 21% 3.70    
6  SIR AGGRAVATOR Dec21 Nov20 Sep24 Aug19 May29 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 121 1.60 ★    
 
TAM-2   01/04/2023 4620ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($23.5K) 3 F PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BINOCHE Dec28 Nov25 Sep02     (delgado jorge)MARIN SAMUEL 118 8.00 ★    
2  ASTONISHING ANABEL Dec17 Dec03 Oct16 Oct07 Sep09 (delgado jorg)ARROYO S 122 2.00 39% 1.60    
3  GIRL AFRAID Dec17 Nov19 Nov02 Oct24 Oct05 (kintz matth)MORALES PABLO 120 6.00 ★    
4  FLAG WOMAN Dec17 Nov25 Jun24     (fisher david)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 1.60 23% 3.30    
5  ELSA'S ROCKET Dec17 Oct03 Sep20 Sep12 Aug31 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 118 8.00    
SCR  GLASS STAR Dec10 Nov11 Oct21     (garcia rodolfo)CAMACHO SAMY 118 6.00 16% 5.30    
 
TAM-3   01/04/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($17K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REDZILLA Dec22 Dec10 Apr06 Mar05 Feb23 (paragallo jenn)MARIN SAMUEL 122 20.00    
2  MORENA DANCER Dec07 Aug30 Aug09 Jul19 Jul02 (marre)DOMINGUEZ G 122 15.00    
3  THE SWEATY FOX Dec28 Dec10 Nov05 Oct16 Sep10 (stoddard britt)CASTANON L 122 3.00 ★    
4  IRISH KITTEN Dec21 Dec09 Nov23 Oct25 Oct10 (mcgoey monica)GREEN AUBRIE 122 6.00 ★    
5  EAU CLAIRE Dec10 Oct22 Aug31 Jul31 Jun04 (delacour arnaud)CENTENO E 122 1.50 63% 0.60    
6  I'LL GO ALL IN Dec10 Sep28 Jul17 Jun26 Jun04 (romero raf)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 122 12.00 ★    
7  SILVER SPRINTER Dec10 Nov25 Oct22 Sep17 Aug15 (mazza w)CAMACHO SAMY 122 4.50 7% 13.10    
8  SYLLABUS Dec21 Dec07 Oct23 Oct02 Sep03 (dominguez lu)ALENCAR WALBER 120 10.00    
 
TAM-4   01/04/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($17K) 3 ALL PT- 1:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROCKY CHITU         (cascallares n)FLORES ADRIAN 120 10.00    
2  DISCREET DEVIL Aug29 Aug08       (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 120 6.00    
3  MUSIC GEM         (tsirigotis ja)ALICEA JEREMY 113 12.00 ★    
4  AZTEC LEGEND Oct17 Sep28       (hamm timothy)MARIN SAMUEL 120 2.50 47% 1.10    
5  EXQUISITO COCO Dec24 Oct16 Aug25 Apr07   (morales guille)MENDEZ KEVIN 120 5.00    
6  BAD WATER         (smith robert)MENESES MARCOS 120 8.00 ★    
7  DISCREET MAGIC Dec23         (dini mike)ROWLAND MADELINE 115 4.00 25% 3.00    
8  RAINBOW'S PRIDE         (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 120 4.50 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-5   01/04/2023 5610ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($25K) Purse ($18.6K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BAZZARINA Dec24 Dec10 Nov26 Aug29 Aug12 (mazza joseph )JIMENEZ MANNY 119 20.00    
2  I'M NERVOUS NOW Nov27 Nov17 Oct27 Oct06 Aug31 (dini mik)GALLARDO A 119 6.00    
3  INVESTMENT INCOME Dec10 Nov08 Oct11 Sep03 Jul28 (kintz matthe)CAMACHO SAMY 119 1.60 61% 0.60    
4  ROUNDABOUT Dec07 Sep17 Jul28 Jun30 May15 (terranova p)FERRER C 123 8.00 ★    
5  DRY HUMOR Oct08 Sep17 Jun18 May20   (alvarado diane)SUAREZ ANGEL 119 3.50 8% 11.00    
6  DYNA'S HONOR Dec21 Oct06       (arnett g)MORALES PABLO 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  ALL BIZZ Nov22 Nov01 Oct10 Sep21 Aug24 (dixon k)COA J 121 30.00    
8  ANY PORT Dec10 Nov04 Sep24 Aug12 Jul28 (lerma)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 4.00 ★    
 
TAM-6   01/04/2023 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHIMMERING LIGHT Dec09 Oct19 Sep17 Aug19 Jul29 (rodriguez dari)SUAREZ ANGEL 121 4.50 7% 12.80    
2  WATCH FOR THE LUTE Dec17 Nov30 Nov04 Oct28 Sep25 (orseno joseph )CAMACHO SAMY 121 3.50 17% 5.00    
SCR  TITHED Dec22 Sep12 Aug22 Aug15 Jul28 (spanabel ke)SPANABEL SKYLER 121 20.00    
4  MISTA DONZELLA Dec09 Apr30 Apr16 Mar19 Feb25 (wasiluk peter )ALLEN D 121 8.00 ★    
5  I AM THAT I AM Dec17 Nov02 Oct19 Sep14 Jul19 (williams a)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 121 2.50 13% 6.90    
6  NIP OF BOURBON Oct18 Oct04 Sep21 Aug24 Aug09 (gonzalez alda)WALKER M 121 10.00    
7  MAPACHE G Dec17 Nov30 Oct19 Sep30 Sep08 (arnet)DIAZ RAFAEL 121 3.50 40% 1.50    
8  NOICATTARO Dec17 Nov16 Nov05 Oct22 Oct01 (cordero anton)FLORES ADRIAN 121 8.00    
 
TAM-7   01/04/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  D'CRAZINESS Oct17 Sep29 Sep13 Aug23 Aug02 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  BIRD'S EYE VIEW Dec10 Sep30 Sep18 Aug20 Jul23 (dini mike)MORALES PABLO 123 2.00 68% 0.50    
3  ALBIE Jun02 Mar30 Mar04 Feb13 Jan13 (ferraro anth)COA J 121 10.00    
4  SAVAGE (BRZ) Dec10 Nov26 Oct05 Sep26 Aug31 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 121 12.00    
5  CHIMNEY ROCK Nov23 Sep20 Jul20 Jun02 May11 (laurato mi)ROWLAND MADELINE 116 12.00    
6  BORGOBYTHESEA Dec10 Nov25 Oct08 Sep01 Aug06 (carrascojr )QUINONEZ ALONSO 121 10.00    
7  JOE PHILLIPS Dec28 Nov30 Oct21 Oct05 Aug31 (raven kerri)CASTANON L 121 5.00 ★    
8  LORD BARNA Aug23 Jul25 Jun27 Jun08 May18 (o'connel)GALLARDO A 121 12.00 ★    
SCR  BIG RED ROCKS Dec10 Oct21 Sep17 Sep02 Jul30 (wilson tony)CENTENO E 121 8.00    
10  CENTERFOLDPROSPECT Dec10 Nov26 Oct21 Sep05 Jul09 (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 121 8.00 6% 15.90    
 
TAM-8   01/04/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BANDITOFTHEPRAIRIE Dec23 Dec07 Oct13 Aug24 Aug03 (machado anto)ARROYO S 121 8.00    
2  OCEAN RIDE Dec17 Nov23 Oct21 Sep30 Jul16 (mcgoey mo)CAMACHO JR 121 3.00 21% 3.70    
3  FLIPPING FISH Dec09 Oct22 Sep23 Sep05 Aug15 (rodriguez dari)SUAREZ ANGEL 121 6.00 ★    
4  NATIVE HAWK Nov23 Aug13 Jul02 Jun04 May04 (arriagada juan)CAMACHO SAMY 121 2.50 45% 1.20    
5  AUBURN Dec02 Aug15 May06 Apr24 Apr16 (lusk brian)MITCHELL RICHARD 116 20.00    
6  CAMPTOWN RACES Dec17 Dec09 Nov23 Nov12 Oct22 (torres r)FERRER C 123 3.50 8% 11.50    
7  CHUCKY Dec14 Sep30 Aug27 Aug14 Jul29 (rondon-mora carl)BRACHO A 121 4.50 ★    
 
TAM-9   01/04/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27K) 3 F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VOLATILITY Nov19         (terranova joh)MORALES PABLO 120 4.50    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of TAPITAL GAINS by TAPIT)
2  BEAT THE ESTIMATES Sep05         (brown)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 3.50 27% 2.70    
  (by THE FACTOR out of MIRACLE MOMENT by CHESTER HOUSE)
3  SWEET TRACK Oct21         (delacour arnaud)CENTENO E 120 5.00 14% 6.40    
  (by UNCLE MO out of SMILING CAUSEWAY by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
4  LIGHTRESS         (clement christ)CAMACHO SAMY 120 6.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of CANNY by BIG BROWN)
5  ELLA FRANCES Nov26 Oct12 Sep24     (clement )GALLARDO A 120 12.00 13% 6.70    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of STOP THE WEDDING by CONGRATS)
6  FANCY DRESS         (harty eoin)CASTANON L 120 15.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of PIN UP by TAPIT)
SCR  APPALACHIAN TRAIL Nov04         (paragallo jen)JIMENEZ MANNY 120 30.00    
  (by ACCELERATE out of BURREN TRAIL (IRE) by SHAMARDAL)
8  SKYVIEW DRIVE Sep24         (brown chad )QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 8.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of LA CLOCHE by GHOSTZAPPER)
9  HUMOR SENSE Dec03 Oct22 Oct12 Sep06 Aug10 (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of CHARADE by COMIC STRIP)
10  THEGIRLFROMIRELAND Nov19 Oct22       (motion graha)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 3.00 22% 3.50    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of TATTOOED GIRL by MORE THAN READY)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.