Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Tampa Bay Downs
Friday - December 23, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
TAM-1   12/23/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT-12:25
See original race card.
:242 :49 1:14 1:393   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  WANDERING WEST 2 3 33½ 42½ 2½ 2nk 1hd (barboza vict)BATISTA A 121 3.50 18% 4.60 2.30 W
6  KOBLA MAS 6 4 56 56½ 53 1nk 2hd (gatis chris)MENESES MARCOS 121 2.50 22% 3.50 1.90 P
3  INDIAN BUZZ 3 1 21½ 21½ 3½ 3.2 34 (nobles reynal)SOSA LAUREANO 114 2.00 22% 3.50 3.40 S
5  SEVENTY SEVENTYCAT 5 5 610 611½ 69 64¾ 49¾ (drake robe)MITCHELL RICHARD 121 10.00 ★ 23.90  
4  BANDITOFTHEPRAIRIE 4 6 44½ 32 41 53¾ 511¼ (machado anto)ARROYO S 118 6.00 12.20  
1  SHOO SHINE 1 2 11½ 11½ 1½ 4¾ 611¾ (dini mike)FERRER C 121 5.00 ★ 3.30  
 
TAM-2   12/23/2022 5400ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT-12:55
See original race card.
:253 :511 1:162 1:423   1:444   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  MONTANA JOYCE 4 4 21 21½ 2nk 2½ 1¼ (mcgoey)ROJAS EDUARDO 118 4.50 1.10  
1  YEGUITA QUEEN 1 1 11 11½ 1nk 1½ 2¼ (barboza vict)BATISTA A 121 4.00 ★ 0.70 P
4  MAY BEAU 3 3 31 31½ 32½ 34½ 311 (wasiluk pet)SPANABEL SKYLER 121 15.00 5% 19.00 11.90 S
3  R D BLESSING 2 2 42½ 44½ 44½ 46½ 414½ (drake robe)MITCHELL RICHARD 121 20.00 8.70  
SCR  DIA DE SOL               (d'angelo jose )CAMACHO SAMY 118 1.60 49% 1.00    
SCR  HOLLYWOOD HONEY               (barboza victo)IORIO MELISSA 108 6.00 ★    
SCR  WHAT A KNOCKOUT               (puckett )GALLARDO A 123 3.50 18% 4.40    
 
TAM-3   12/23/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15K) 2 ALL PT- 1:25
See original race card.
:231 :481 1:142     1:271   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  COX CANYON 1 6 67 55¼   1½ 17½ (harty eoin)SOSA LAUREANO 112 2.50 28% 2.60 3.00 W
3  CONRADO 2 5 33 31   2½ 27½ (delgad)ROJAS EDUARDO 119 1.60 ★ 2.50 P
7  MIND FLAYER 6 1 22 21   41 37½ (machado anto)ARROYO S 119 15.00 8% 10.90 2.70 S
4  DISCREET MAGIC 3 3 12 11   3½ 411 (dini mike)ROWLAND MADELINE 114 8.00 12% 7.50 3.90  
5  UNXPECTED TIGER 4 2 44 45   56 516½ (ochoa gerard)HERNANDEZ K 119 3.50 27% 2.70 5.20  
6  WHISKEY RICARDO 5 4 56 612¼   613 628 (lopez r)IORIO MELISSA 109 12.00 21.90  
SCR  EXPANSIVE               (machado an)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 119 10.00    
 
TAM-4   12/23/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:55
See original race card.
:221 :463 :592     1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  PARISIAN VIBE 2 4 2nk 1nk   1nk 13¼ (sacco d)FERRER C 122 1.40 51% 1.00 1.10 W
1  SPEIGHTFUL SIS 1 3 1nk 2nk   2nk 23¼ (alvara)ROJAS EDUARDO 122 2.00 26% 2.80 2.10 P
3  OPEN SKY 3 5 33 34   34 36¼ (bordis robert)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 10.00 ★ 6.90 S
7  LEGEND'S SONG 7 1 44 44½   44½ 46½ (wilson tony)JIMENEZ MANNY 122 2.50 ★ 4.10  
4  LUNA AMARILLA 4 2 55 57½   56½ 513½ (marrero nest)BURGOS ALBERTO 124 20.00 ★ 30.90  
6  JOYOUS FAIRY TALE 6 6 67 67¾   66¾ 613¾ (scocca lin)ROWLAND MADELINE 117 20.00 21.90  
5  DRILLS ECHO 5 7 78 710¼   711¾ 728¼ (chain pearl)FUENTES MARIO 122 30.00 63.80  
 
TAM-5   12/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:25
See original race card.
:223 :47 1:00     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  KENYA SUN 4 3 31 3½   2nk 11¾ (barboza victor)CAMACHO SAMY 120 2.50 ★ 1.70  
7  GARBO SPEAKS 6 2 41¼ 2½   1nk 21¾ (arnet)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 4.50 41% 1.40 9.30 P
6  JITTERS 5 5 52¼ 52   41¼ 34 (arnett g)MENESES MARCOS 120 10.00 23.80  
1  SASSY LIKE JULIA 1 7 73¾ 62½   52¼ 45¼ (mcgoey)ROJAS EDUARDO 118 4.50 5% 19.00 1.60  
3  THUNDER BUGGY 3 4 1nk 1½   3.2 59¾ (machado anto)ARROYO S 120 4.00 17% 4.80 4.90  
2  LADY WOOD 2 6 63¾ 76½   78¼ 616¾ (hardesty lesl)DELGADO DAVID 118 10.00 26.60  
8  LUSCIOUS 7 1 2nk 41   66¼ 722 (bennett geral)JIMENEZ MANNY 120 8.00 ★ 7.20  
SCR  MAKIN IT LOOK EASY               (sweezey kent)SUAREZ ANGEL 118 8.00    
 
TAM-6   12/23/2022 5400ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32K) 2 F PT- 2:55
See original race card.
:24 :474 1:141 1:413   1:434   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  GUNS N' GRACES 2 2 22½ 23½ 21 1½ 13½ (brown)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 0.80 55% 0.80 1.90 W
4  WITS AND WAGERS 4 6 54½ 34½ 31½ 2½ 23½ (oliver victoria)CENTENO E 119 2.50 ★ 1.00 P
6  SWEET DESANTIS 6 7 33½ 55 44 34½ 311 (ferraro anth)COA J 119 20.00 5% 19.00 26.50 S
7  MOON CAVE 7 4 75¾ 76½ 64¼ 44½ 413¼ (charlton r)ROWLAND MADELINE 114 20.00 37.30  
3  COFFEE HOUSE 3 3 64¾ 44½ 54 65¾ 514½ (harty eoin)CASTANON L 119 6.00 18% 4.60 6.00  
1  IN THE KNOW 1 5 43½ 65½ 78¼ 79¾ 616 (delacour arnau)SUAREZ ANGEL 119 8.00 ★ 11.70  
5  SONG OF AMERICA 5 1 12½ 13½ 11 54¾ 718¾ (campbell)GALLARDO A 119 15.00 10.40  
 
TAM-7   12/23/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
See original race card.
:234 :473 1:14 1:423   1:492   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  BOSSHOG THEM DUKES 8 7 65 54½ 43 1½ 11¼ (crooks jeffrey)MBATHA LUCKY 109 4.50 3.60  
6  SKY TRAVELER 6 9 88½ 88 64¼ 5¾ 21¼ (lusk r)BURGOS ALBERTO 124 20.00 26.60  
1  MAGNA RULER 1 2 53 65 54 4¾ 32½ (ramos o)CASTANON L 124 10.00 ★ 4.90 S
4  EL MIC TIESUN 4 3 99½ 99½ 87¼ 61¼ 43 (mcgoey monica)SOSA LAUREANO 117 4.50 5% 19.00 16.70  
9  DEFEND YOURSELF 9 4 32 42½ 22 2½ 53½ (machado anto)ARROYO S 121 10.00 ★ 3.50  
2  MISTER FERNANDO 2 8 42 2½ 12 3½ 69¼ (nunn douglas)MARIN SAMUEL 124 3.50 13% 6.60 5.10  
3  MAGIC WIZARD 3 5 77 77 98¼ 87¼ 719¼ (fennessy john)ALLEN M 124 4.50 58% 0.70 5.40  
5  HEAVY WEIGHT 5 1 2½ 1½ 32 75¼ 827½ (negrete ja)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 121 8.00 7.30  
7  BRAVE HILARIO 7 6 1½ 3½ 77¼ 97¾ 929¼ (escobar alison)SUAREZ JESUS 121 5.00 12.50  
 
TAM-8   12/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:55
See original race card.
:231 :462 :584     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  ALIZEE 6 6 3½ 3.2   11 15¾ (arnet)DIAZ RAFAEL 122 1.80 36% 1.80 1.50 W
2  PRETTY RACHEL 2 3 1nk 1nk   21 25¾ (davis scooter)FERRER C 122 4.00 33% 2.00 1.90 P
3  IDEAL BREEZE 3 5 2nk 2nk   32 36 (guciardo k)ROWLAND MADELINE 115 5.00 6% 15.10 5.00 S
5  TRUE ATKA 5 2 52½ 55¼   57 410½ (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 120 8.00 15.70  
8  SHE DAZZLE 7 1 41 44¼   46 513½ (o'connor rober)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 6.00 ★ 6.70  
1  DR. ANN 1 4 62¾ 66¼   67 615 (campbell micha)CAMACHO SAMY 120 5.00 ★ 8.40  
4  HUSH Y'ALL 4 7 74¾ 76¾   710 717 (pimental jo)MARIN A 120 30.00 51.60  
SCR  REAL DOOZIE               (arriagada ju)BATISTA A 120 12.00    
 
TAM-9   12/23/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:25
See original race card.
:232 :471 1:121     1:252   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  RISK VS REWARD 2 6 21 21   12 14¾ (arriagada juan)CAMACHO SAMY 118 3.00 15% 5.80 2.00 W
1  MONEY SONG 1 10 11 11   22 24¾ (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 120 5.00 7% 14.20 2.60 P
9  GRUNDER'S CALL 9 5 31½ 32   35 311¾ (cibelli )GALLARDO A 118 4.50 ★ 5.40 S
11  GRAND PLAYER 11 3 63 53   46½ 412 (barboza vict)MENESES MARCOS 118 5.00 51% 1.00 5.50  
7  ROWDY JESS 7 8 105½ 96¾   88¼ 514 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 118 30.00 61.70  
10  LIL BULL 10 1 52 43   68 618 (wirth kenn)ROWLAND MADELINE 115 15.00 40.70  
5  EXCELLENT MARK 5 4 42 75¼   57½ 718¾ (yanez r)FERRER C 120 20.00 35.10  
8  TRUSTED ADVISOR 8 7 93½ 65   78 819¼ (hamm timothy)BURGOS ALBERTO 118 15.00 23.30  
3  WILD ENOUGH 3 12 128 129¾   913¼ 923¾ (dominguez lui)VILLA-GOMEZ H 120 30.00 ######  
12  NEGLIGENCE 12 2 73¼ 86¼   1014¾ 1026¾ (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 15.00 14.30  
4  PRETTY DUDE 4 9 83¼ 108¼   1118¾ 1136½ (wasiluk peter )ALLEN D 118 30.00 69.40  
6  IMPERIAL BIRD 6 11 117½ 119¾   1223¾ 1253½ (wilson tony)GREEN AUBRIE 118 4.00 5% 19.00 9.20  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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