Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Friday - December 23, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   12/23/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHOO SHINE Dec07 Oct20 Jul22     (dini mike)FERRER C 121 5.00 ★    
2  WANDERING WEST Dec02 Oct30 Sep30 Sep23 Sep04 (barboza vict)BATISTA A 121 3.50 18% 4.60    
3  INDIAN BUZZ Nov26 Sep24 Aug19 Jul29 Jun10 (nobles reynal)SOSA LAUREANO 114 2.00 22% 3.50    
4  BANDITOFTHEPRAIRIE Dec07 Oct13 Aug24 Aug03 Jul20 (machado anto)ARROYO S 118 6.00    
5  SEVENTY SEVENTYCAT Dec14 Nov26 Mar30 Mar09 Feb13 (drake robe)MITCHELL RICHARD 121 10.00 ★    
6  KOBLA MAS Nov26 Sep10 Jul30 Jul09 Jun18 (gatis chris)MENESES MARCOS 121 2.50 22% 3.50    
 
TAM-2   12/23/2022 5400ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT-12:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YEGUITA QUEEN Nov25 Oct21 Oct08 Aug28 Aug06 (barboza vict)BATISTA A 121 4.00 ★    
SCR  DIA DE SOL Dec04 Oct28 Sep28 Aug07 Jul23 (d'angelo jose )CAMACHO SAMY 118 1.60 49% 1.00    
3  R D BLESSING Dec14         (drake robe)MITCHELL RICHARD 121 20.00    
4  MAY BEAU Dec09 Oct27 Oct19 Sep28 Sep09 (wasiluk pet)SPANABEL SKYLER 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  WHAT A KNOCKOUT Dec02 Oct28 Sep23 Aug21 Jul24 (puckett )GALLARDO A 123 3.50 18% 4.40    
6  MONTANA JOYCE Dec09 Nov12 Oct21 Oct01 Sep18 (mcgoey)ROJAS EDUARDO 118 4.50    
SCR  HOLLYWOOD HONEY Dec16 Nov04 Sep23 Sep05 Aug24 (barboza victo)IORIO MELISSA 108 6.00 ★    
 
TAM-3   12/23/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15K) 2 ALL PT- 1:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  EXPANSIVE Oct07         (machado an)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 119 10.00    
2  COX CANYON Nov30         (harty eoin)SOSA LAUREANO 112 2.50 28% 2.60    
3  CONRADO Nov25 Oct23 Sep04 Jul23 Jun25 (delgad)ROJAS EDUARDO 119 1.60 ★    
4  DISCREET MAGIC         (dini mike)ROWLAND MADELINE 114 8.00 12% 7.50    
5  UNXPECTED TIGER Dec04 Oct27 Oct07     (ochoa gerard)HERNANDEZ K 119 3.50 27% 2.70    
6  WHISKEY RICARDO Dec07 Jul27       (lopez r)IORIO MELISSA 109 12.00    
7  MIND FLAYER         (machado anto)ARROYO S 119 15.00 8% 10.90    
 
TAM-4   12/23/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPEIGHTFUL SIS Nov19 Oct08 Aug14 May14   (alvara)ROJAS EDUARDO 122 2.00 26% 2.80    
2  PARISIAN VIBE Mar18         (sacco d)FERRER C 122 1.40 51% 1.00    
3  OPEN SKY Jun30 Apr22       (bordis robert)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 10.00 ★    
4  LUNA AMARILLA Nov26 May04 Apr22 Apr02   (marrero nest)SUAREZ ANTHONY 124 20.00 ★    
5  DRILLS ECHO May07 Jan08       (chain pearl)FUENTES MARIO 122 30.00    
6  JOYOUS FAIRY TALE May04 Apr01 Mar13 Jan26   (scocca lin)ROWLAND MADELINE 117 20.00    
7  LEGEND'S SONG Nov30 Oct15 Sep03 Aug13 Jul24 (wilson tony)JIMENEZ MANNY 122 2.50 ★    
 
TAM-5   12/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SASSY LIKE JULIA Dec10 Nov23 Oct23 Jul10 Jul02 (mcgoey)ROJAS EDUARDO 118 4.50 5% 19.00    
2  LADY WOOD Jul16 Jun17 May25 May07 Apr13 (hardesty lesl)DELGADO DAVID 118 10.00    
3  THUNDER BUGGY Apr29 Apr03 Mar23 Feb19   (machado anto)ARROYO S 120 4.00 17% 4.80    
4  KENYA SUN Dec10 Nov23 Oct15 Sep17 Aug27 (barboza victor)CAMACHO SAMY 120 2.50 ★    
SCR  MAKIN IT LOOK EASY Nov27 Aug07 Jul16 Jul02 Jun11 (sweezey kent)SUAREZ ANGEL 118 8.00    
6  JITTERS Nov23 Oct30 Oct16 Sep26 Aug29 (arnett g)MENESES MARCOS 120 10.00    
7  GARBO SPEAKS Nov23 Oct30 Sep30 Sep11 Sep02 (arnet)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 4.50 41% 1.40    
8  LUSCIOUS Nov23 Aug29 Jul23 Jul04 Jun18 (bennett geral)JIMENEZ MANNY 120 8.00 ★    
 
TAM-6   12/23/2022 5400ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32K) 2 F PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IN THE KNOW         (delacour arnau)SUAREZ ANGEL 119 8.00 ★    
2  GUNS N' GRACES Nov04         (brown)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 0.80 55% 0.80    
3  COFFEE HOUSE Oct28 Sep23       (harty eoin)CASTANON L 119 6.00 18% 4.60    
4  WITS AND WAGERS Nov26 Oct20 Sep18 Aug07   (oliver victoria)CENTENO E 119 2.50 ★    
5  SONG OF AMERICA Dec03 Oct14 Sep06 Jul13   (campbell)GALLARDO A 119 15.00    
6  SWEET DESANTIS Nov08         (ferraro anth)COA J 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  MOON CAVE         (charlton r)ROWLAND MADELINE 114 20.00    
 
TAM-7   12/23/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAGNA RULER Dec08 Oct05 Sep06 Aug16 Jul27 (ramos o)CASTANON L 124 10.00 ★    
2  MISTER FERNANDO Nov23 Sep30 Jul17 Jun25 Jun11 (nunn douglas)MARIN SAMUEL 124 3.50 13% 6.60    
3  MAGIC WIZARD Oct19 Oct06 Sep27 Sep14 Aug31 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 124 4.50 58% 0.70    
4  EL MIC TIESUN Nov23 Sep29 Sep22 Sep09 Aug12 (mcgoey monica)SOSA LAUREANO 117 4.50 5% 19.00    
5  HEAVY WEIGHT May06 Apr03 Mar26 Mar18 Feb23 (negrete ja)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 121 8.00    
6  SKY TRAVELER         (lusk r)BURGOS ALBERTO 124 20.00    
7  BRAVE HILARIO Nov29 Oct31 Oct19 Sep27 Sep14 (escobar alison)SUAREZ JESUS 121 5.00    
8  BOSSHOG THEM DUKES Dec16 Dec03 Nov05 Oct22   (crooks jeffrey)MBATHA LUCKY 109 4.50    
9  DEFEND YOURSELF         (machado anto)ARROYO S 121 10.00 ★    
 
TAM-8   12/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DR. ANN Oct09 Aug08 Jul13 Jun10 Apr20 (campbell micha)CAMACHO SAMY 120 5.00 ★    
2  PRETTY RACHEL Nov25 Nov01 Oct06 Sep14 Aug29 (davis scooter)FERRER C 122 4.00 33% 2.00    
3  IDEAL BREEZE Dec10 Nov01 Oct05 Jul14 Jun27 (guciardo k)ROWLAND MADELINE 115 5.00 6% 15.10    
4  HUSH Y'ALL Nov25 Nov04 Oct26 Oct14 Sep09 (pimental jo)MARIN A 120 30.00    
5  TRUE ATKA Sep22 Sep05 Aug29 Aug08 Aug02 (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 120 8.00    
6  ALIZEE Dec07 Nov26 Aug19 Jul17 Jun26 (arnet)DIAZ RAFAEL 122 1.80 36% 1.80    
SCR  REAL DOOZIE Dec09 Nov27 Oct28 Sep30 Jul09 (arriagada ju)BATISTA A 120 12.00    
8  SHE DAZZLE Dec07 Oct17 Aug27 Jul15 Jun12 (o'connor rober)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 6.00 ★    
 
TAM-9   12/23/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MONEY SONG Oct08 Aug29 Aug22 Jul11 May06 (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 120 5.00 7% 14.20    
2  RISK VS REWARD Dec07 Oct30 Sep25 Sep03 Aug21 (arriagada juan)CAMACHO SAMY 118 3.00 15% 5.80    
3  WILD ENOUGH Aug24 Aug02 Jul19 Jun07 May23 (dominguez lui)VILLA-GOMEZ H 120 30.00    
4  PRETTY DUDE Dec02 May06 Mar26     (wasiluk peter )ALLEN D 118 30.00    
5  EXCELLENT MARK Dec07 Aug29 May06 Mar12 Feb13 (yanez moise)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 20.00    
6  IMPERIAL BIRD Dec07 Apr06 Mar13 Feb27   (wilson tony)GREEN AUBRIE 118 4.00 5% 19.00    
7  ROWDY JESS Sep23 Sep10 Aug01 Jun12 May19 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 118 30.00    
8  TRUSTED ADVISOR Aug09 Feb06       (hamm timothy)BURGOS ALBERTO 118 15.00    
9  GRUNDER'S CALL Dec07 Oct12 Sep09 Aug14 Jul22 (cibelli )GALLARDO A 118 4.50 ★    
10  LIL BULL Nov23 Nov04 Oct14 Jul30 Jul01 (wirth kenn)ROWLAND MADELINE 115 15.00    
11  GRAND PLAYER Oct13 Sep03 Jun30 Apr09   (barboza vict)MENESES MARCOS 118 5.00 51% 1.00    
12  NEGLIGENCE Nov12 Oct22 Sep16 Aug13 Jul10 (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.