Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Tampa Bay Downs
Wednesday - December 14, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
TAM-1   12/14/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT-12:30
See original race card.
:23 :46 :581     1:043   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JACK LUVS NOVA 3 2 4 3   2nk 1 (poole jeffrey)JIMENEZ MANNY 120 6.00 3.30  
ROAD BIBLE 5 1 11 1   1nk 2 (arnett g)LOZADA CARLOS 120 3.50 0.90 P
MR LIGHTNING BOY 1 4 21 2   31 3 (felician)GALLARDO A 120 2.00 10% 9.20 1.60 S
NO COMMISSION 2 5 5 5   44 4 (tsirigotis j)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 15.00 19.60  
AS DE ORO COCO 4 3 33 4   57 513 (morales guill)ALICEA JEREMY 111 20.00 22.40  
SCR  ZAMFIR               (richards renal)CAMACHO SAMY 120 1.40 68% 0.50    
 
TAM-2   12/14/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:59
See original race card.
:231 :461 1:11     1:24   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHUCKY 5 1 1nk 11   1nk 1hd (rondon-mora carl)BRACHO A 122 4.00 10% 9.00 3.10 W
LITIGANT 6 7 7 63   2nk 2hd (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 122 10.00    
UNCLE ANDREW 3 4 4 3   31 32 (potts g)WALKER M 122 6.00 5.90  
ROOKIE SALSA 2 6 5 5   4 45 (wilson tony)JIMENEZ MANNY 122 2.50 16% 5.40 1.20  
SEVENTY SEVENTYCAT 4 5 6 74   65 5 (drake robe)MITCHELL RICHARD 122 3.00 15% 5.70 5.10  
CALL BROS 1 2 2nk 21   5 610½ (carvajal luis)DELGADO DAVID 122 4.50 36% 1.80 4.90  
DOUBLE DAVID 7 3 31 4   7 711½ (nunn douglas)MARIN SAMUEL 122 10.00 16.70  
 
TAM-3   12/14/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:29
See original race card.
:251 :492 1:134 1:39   1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WINTER'S GHOST 6 3 21 1nk 1½ 1 1 (granitz anthony )FERRER C 118 3.50 24% 3.20 1.90 W
SMARTHUMOR 2 1 4 5 41 2 2 (machad)ROJAS EDUARDO 118 2.50 6.10  
BOCA GUY 7 6 5 4 31 3 310½ (alvarado d)ROWLAND MADELINE 116 6.00 3.10 S
ARIES REIGNS 3 2 11 2nk 2½ 4 415 (rarick lynn)SPIETH S 118 12.00 10% 9.40 11.90  
EL POLICIA 4 4 31 31 5 5 516½ (sacco gregory )CAMACHO SAMY 118 2.00 3.40  
GRAND SIR 5 7 6 6 6 6 616½ (barboza vict)BATISTA A 118 6.00 15% 5.80 6.50  
BAM BAM WARRIOR 1 5 7 7 7 7 722½ (torres r)SUAREZ JESUS 118 30.00 5% 18.60 21.60  
 
TAM-4   12/14/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15K) 2 F PT- 1:59
See original race card.
:222 :454 :584     1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PEEP'S DAY 9 1 21 21   1nk 1nk (carrascojr vict)CENTENO E 119 3.00 1.90  
CHILD PROOF 3 6 32 31   2nk 2nk (kintz matt)BURGOS ALBERTO 119 15.00 7% 13.60 10.10 P
O ANNIE 2 8 65 5   4¼ 3 (lopez mario)SPANABEL SKYLER 119 6.00 13% 6.80 10.90 S
WICKLOW GAL 7 2 55 6   5 44 (miller rory )BATISTA A 119 8.00 15.80  
ELARY 1 3 11 11   3.2 5 (delgad)ROJAS EDUARDO 119 3.50 22% 3.60 2.60  
THE MONEY MACHINE 8 7 7 7   6 6 (hunt donald)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 8.00 15% 5.90 8.10  
10  HAPPY UNION 10 4 8 8   7 7 (machado antoni)MARIN SAMUEL 119 15.00 7% 13.60 16.90  
COLLECTIVE GOLD 4 5 43 4   8 812½ (sacco gregor)ARROYO S 119 4.50 6.40  
AFTER NOON KISSES 5 10 9 1010½   916¼ 925 (romero rafael)SANTOS ADEMAR 119 10.00 46.70  
MILK MONEY 6 9 10 910¼   1020¼ 1047 (spanabel r)SPIETH S 119 20.00 24.20  
 
TAM-5   12/14/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:25
See original race card.
:233 :473 1:114 1:242   1:363   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  ALYANAABI 10 4 11 11 11 1½ 1 (orseno jo)CAMACHO JR 121 1.80 56% 0.80 0.80 W
STREET GLIDE 3 3 42 42 4 31 2 (manning j)BRACHO A 121 6.00 7.10  
DIAL HIM UP 4 9 9 10 7 6 3 (posadas pedro)CASTANON L 121 6.00 21% 3.80 11.10 S
BUSTIN UP 8 2 21 31 21 41 4 (delgado jose)ARROYO S 121 3.00 4.20  
LORD OF THE NILE 2 1 31 21 31 2½ 5 (dobber w)WALES GARY 124 8.00 16.30  
STEALTH MISSION 9 6 7 7 5 5 6 (zwiesler tom)CENTENO E 121 12.00 9.10  
RAGING WHIRLWIND 5 5 6 5 6 7 710¼ (chain pearl)FUENTES MARIO 124 20.00 64.50  
CALZONE 6 8 53 6 8 8 812 (rarick lynn)FERRER C 121 12.00 21.50  
LANCELOT LYNK 1 7 8 8 10 9 915 (sims n)REEVES F 121 30.00 67.10  
OZAH 7 10 10 9 9 1011¼ 1022¾ (harris nan)ALONSO LUIS 121 20.00 40.50  
SCR  BEN RUMSON               (collins john)CAMACHO SAMY 121 30.00    
SCR  BOSSHOG THEM DUKES               (crooks je)SCAMPTON BRITTANY 121 20.00    
SCR  CAJUN CRACKER               (king b)BUSH V 121 30.00    
SCR  KALINBA               (cascallares nest)FERRER C 121 20.00    
 
TAM-6   12/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:55
See original race card.
:22 :443 :57     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ABOUT TODAY (ARG) 5 3 4 31   3½ 11 (carrascojr vi)MORALES PABLO 122 2.50 10% 8.90 3.50 W
WHERE PARADISE LAY 6 1 66 6   53 21 (downing willia)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 8.00 17.20 P
CHICKS DIG SCARS 1 6 3 4   4 3 (arnett g)LOZADA CARLOS 122 3.50 16% 5.30 2.30 S
TOPPER T 4 4 2½ 1nk   2½ 4 (arnett g)MENESES MARCOS 122 12.00 5% 19.00 10.30  
DOCTOR OSCAR 3 5 1½ 2nk   1½ 5 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 1.80 47% 1.10 1.40  
REAL TALK 2 2 5 5   6 612 (orseno jo)CAMACHO JR 122 10.00 6.50  
SCR  PRENDIMI               (carvajal l)MITCHELL RICHARD 122 10.00    
 
TAM-7   12/14/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Starter Allowance ($25K) Purse ($24.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
See original race card.
:231 :462 1:093 1:214   1:342   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HARROW 1 7 8 7 8 5 1½ (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 121 6.00 8% 11.70 4.30 W
SMITHWICK'S SPICE 6 3 1nk 1nk 1nk 11 2½ (nunn dou)GALLARDO A 121 6.00 3.70 P
J BERESFORD TIPTON 9 10 10 10 10 10 32 (delacour arnau)SUAREZ ANGEL 121 6.00 15% 5.50 5.40 S
10  SANDY LANE KITTEN 10 4 4 2nk 2nk 21 4 (cruz jesus)QUINONEZ ALONSO 121 5.00 34% 1.90 6.20  
ITS A WRAP 3 1 2nk 4 5 42 5 (arnett g)LOZADA CARLOS 121 10.00 9.00  
DREAM LINER (BRZ) 5 8 9 9 9 7 6 (wilson tony)CENTENO E 121 4.50 16% 5.40 3.90  
TAPSASIONAL 7 9 7 8 63 6 7 (o'connell kath)CASTANON L 121 12.00 20.90  
PRAIRIE 8 5 31 31 31 32 84 (sillaman richa)CAMACHO SAMY 121 3.00 6.60  
OHANA EMPIRE 4 6 6 6 7 8 9 (pimenta)GONZALEZ LUIS 121 20.00 43.90  
TREASURE RUN 2 2 5 5 42 94 106 (rarick lynn)MARIN SAMUEL 121 30.00 68.80  
 
TAM-8   12/14/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:55
See original race card.
:222 :451 1:112     1:244   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRULY A DREAM 6 11 12 1111   3½ 1¼ (posadas ped)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 8.00 13.40  
DATTTSAFANCYFOX 3 7 6 6   6 2¼ (rondon-mora carl)BRACHO A 118 3.50 13% 6.90 4.60 P
11  RAW HONEY 11 1 1nk 14   1½ 3½ (brownlee dav)MENESES MARCOS 118 12.00 9.70  
12  DOROTHY'S THE BOSS 12 10 10 8   41 4 (werneth robert)GREEN AUBRIE 120 8.00 34% 1.90 4.50  
LUNA'S TREASURE 8 2 5¾ 4   2½ 5 (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 4.50 13% 6.50 4.00  
BELLA ROMANCE 9 3 4¾ 24   5 65 (bordis rob)ROWLAND MADELINE 113 10.00 12.80  
10  COUNTLESS DREAMS 10 5 7 77   7 76 (o'connell k)SPANABEL SKYLER 118 4.50 3.10  
MA COCO 1 12 11 1211¼   8 87 (dominguez lu)ALENCAR WALBER 120 15.00 46.60  
DOLCISIMA 4 9 8 9   9 912 (amado enri)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 118 15.00 31.50  
R D BLESSING 7 8 95 1010   12 1022¾ (drake robe)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 10.00 9% 10.20 21.20  
RAHTID 5 4 2nk 34   10 1123¾ (richards ren)BATISTA A 120 15.00 15.90  
BUNKER BUNNY 2 6 3.2 5   11 1231 (dominguez lui)CARDOSO DAVID 120 30.00 63.10  
 
TAM-9   12/14/2022 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:25
See original race card.
:25 :502 1:142 1:382   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INANNA'S QUEST 1 7 3½ 4 31 1nk 1 (sillaman richar)CENTENO E 121 6.00 3.20  
11  LIZZ A BEE 9 8 9 96 8 72 2 (arnett g)MORALES PABLO 121 8.00 18.00  
10  PANOTTI 8 6 52 6 6 5¾ 3 (o'connell kath)CAMACHO SAMY 123 3.50 3.90  
LULLABY LAND 4 5 6 5 5 61 4 (wilson)ROJAS EDUARDO 121 6.00 42% 1.40 7.30  
KITTEN WITH A WHIP 3 4 2½ 2nk 2nk 3.2 53 (nunn dougla)QUINONEZ ALONSO 121 5.00 4.30  
RED WIND 2 1 1½ 1nk 1nk 2nk 6 (mcgoey monic)BATISTA A 121 15.00 12.70  
LEA RO 5 3 41 3 4 4¾ 7 (kintz s )GALLARDO A 121 4.00 11% 8.10 3.90  
MIDNIGHT PIRATE 7 9 8 8 9 92 8 (hayford jenni)WALKER M 121 12.00 5% 17.70 13.80  
NEVISIAN SPIRIT 6 2 7 7 7 82 9 (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 121 30.00 55.60  
12  ANTALYA 10 10 10 10 10 105 10 (granitz anthon)CASTANON L 121 10.00 5% 19.00 18.90  
SCR  DONYA'S MAGIC               (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 121 5.00    
SCR  JEFF'S ANGEL               (exposito a)ROWLAND MADELINE 113 15.00    
SCR  PEACELOVENKARMA               (sacco gregory)MORALES PABLO 121 15.00    
SCR  SPLICER               (barboza vict)BATISTA A 118 15.00 8% 11.60    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.