Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Wednesday - December 14, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   12/14/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT-12:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR LIGHTNING BOY Nov17 Nov02 Oct06 Sep06 Aug18 (felician)GALLARDO A 120 2.00 10% 9.20    
2  NO COMMISSION Nov23 Aug06 Apr17 Mar26 Mar13 (tsirigotis j)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 15.00 ★    
3  JACK LUVS NOVA Oct13 Sep19 Aug02     (poole jeffrey)JIMENEZ MANNY 120 6.00 ★    
SCR  ZAMFIR Oct28 Oct01 Aug13 Jul16 Jun25 (richards renal)CAMACHO SAMY 120 1.40 68% 0.50    
5  AS DE ORO COCO Nov21 Nov07 Oct26 Oct12 Sep09 (morales guill)ALICEA JEREMY 111 20.00    
6  ROAD BIBLE Nov23 Nov06 Oct02 Sep18 Aug13 (arnett g)LOZADA CARLOS 120 3.50 ★    
 
TAM-2   12/14/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CALL BROS Sep30 Aug13 Jul23 Jul10 Jun05 (carvajal luis)DELGADO DAVID 122 4.50 36% 1.80    
2  ROOKIE SALSA Nov23 Oct14 Sep05 Aug06 Jun04 (wilson tony)JIMENEZ MANNY 122 2.50 16% 5.40    
3  UNCLE ANDREW Nov25 Oct25 Oct13 Sep30 Aug25 (potts g)WALKER M 122 6.00    
4  SEVENTY SEVENTYCAT Nov26 Mar30 Mar09 Feb13 Jan09 (drake robe)MITCHELL RICHARD 122 3.00 15% 5.70    
5  CHUCKY Sep30 Aug27 Aug14 Jul29 Jun26 (rondon-mora carl)BRACHO A 122 4.00 10% 9.00    
6  LITIGANT Jan21 Jan02       (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 122 10.00    
7  DOUBLE DAVID Nov30 Oct21 Sep17 Sep02 Aug22 (nunn douglas)MARIN SAMUEL 122 10.00 ★    
 
TAM-3   12/14/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BAM BAM WARRIOR Sep28 Aug30 Aug09 Jul19 May26 (torres r)SUAREZ JESUS 118 30.00 5% 18.60    
2  SMARTHUMOR Nov30 Oct12 Sep23 Aug31 Jul31 (machad)ROJAS EDUARDO 118 2.50    
3  ARIES REIGNS Nov25 Nov06 Sep15 Sep04 Aug13 (rarick lynn)SPIETH S 118 12.00 10% 9.40    
4  EL POLICIA Nov30 Oct05 Sep21 Sep05 Aug16 (sacco gregory )CAMACHO SAMY 118 2.00    
5  GRAND SIR Nov26 Sep23 Aug06 Jun26 May26 (barboza vict)BATISTA A 118 6.00 15% 5.80    
6  WINTER'S GHOST Oct14 Sep18 Jun24 Jun05 May15 (granitz anthony )FERRER C 118 3.50 24% 3.20    
7  BOCA GUY Nov04 Sep24 Sep04 Aug07 Jul23 (alvarado d)ROWLAND MADELINE 116 6.00 ★    
 
TAM-4   12/14/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15K) 2 F PT- 1:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ELARY Nov04 Aug07       (delgad)ROJAS EDUARDO 119 3.50 22% 3.60    
2  O ANNIE Dec03 Oct23       (lopez mario)SPANABEL SKYLER 119 6.00 13% 6.80    
3  CHILD PROOF         (kintz matt)BURGOS ALBERTO 119 15.00 7% 13.60    
4  COLLECTIVE GOLD Nov25 Oct21       (sacco gregor)ARROYO S 119 4.50    
5  AFTER NOON KISSES         (romero rafael)SANTOS ADEMAR 119 10.00    
6  MILK MONEY Nov11 Oct21 Sep24 Sep03 Aug07 (spanabel r)SPIETH S 119 20.00    
7  WICKLOW GAL Dec03 Nov11 Oct09 Oct01 Sep02 (miller rory )BATISTA A 119 8.00    
8  THE MONEY MACHINE Oct14 Sep23       (hunt donald)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 8.00 15% 5.90    
9  PEEP'S DAY Nov25 Oct26 Sep07     (carrascojr vict)CENTENO E 119 3.00    
10  HAPPY UNION         (machado antoni)MARIN SAMUEL 119 15.00 7% 13.60    
 
TAM-5   12/14/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LANCELOT LYNK Nov26 Oct30 Sep18     (sims n)REEVES F 121 30.00    
2  LORD OF THE NILE Nov26 Jun25 May04 Mar25 Mar02 (dobber w)WALES GARY 124 8.00    
3  STREET GLIDE Nov30 May14 Apr24     (manning j)BRACHO A 121 6.00    
4  DIAL HIM UP Nov26 Oct29 Oct08 Sep17 Jul28 (posadas pedro)CASTANON L 121 6.00 21% 3.80    
5  RAGING WHIRLWIND Nov26 Jul23 Jun30 May06 Apr01 (chain pearl)FUENTES MARIO 124 20.00    
6  CALZONE Nov26 Oct22 Sep15 Aug13 Jul31 (rarick lynn)FERRER C 121 12.00 ★    
7  OZAH         (harris nan)ALONSO LUIS 121 20.00 ★    
8  BUSTIN UP Oct18 Sep27 Jul09 Jun10 Jan01 (delgado jose)ARROYO S 121 3.00 ★    
9  STEALTH MISSION Sep30 Sep05 Aug11 Jan21   (zwiesler tom)CENTENO E 121 12.00    
10  ALYANAABI Nov26 Oct05 Sep10 Aug28 Jul23 (orseno jo)CAMACHO JR 121 1.80 56% 0.80    
SCR  KALINBA Nov30 Oct28 Oct16 Sep25 Sep04 (cascallares nest)FERRER C 121 20.00    
SCR  CAJUN CRACKER Dec02 Oct01 Aug20     (king b)BUSH V 121 30.00    
SCR  BEN RUMSON Oct29 Oct16 Jul15 Jun10   (collins john)CAMACHO SAMY 121 30.00    
SCR  BOSSHOG THEM DUKES Dec03 Nov05 Oct22     (crooks je)SCAMPTON BRITTANY 121 20.00    
 
TAM-6   12/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHICKS DIG SCARS Nov06 Oct15 Sep26 Sep09 Aug07 (arnett g)LOZADA CARLOS 122 3.50 16% 5.30    
2  REAL TALK Nov12 Oct02 Aug13 Jul24 Jun09 (orseno jo)CAMACHO JR 122 10.00    
3  DOCTOR OSCAR Oct29 Oct08 Sep10 Aug13 Jul16 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 1.80 47% 1.10    
SCR  PRENDIMI Oct22 Aug28 Jul19 Jun12   (carvajal l)MITCHELL RICHARD 122 10.00    
5  TOPPER T Sep29 Sep05 Jun25 Jun06 May15 (arnett g)MENESES MARCOS 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  ABOUT TODAY (ARG) Oct20 Sep29 Sep02 Aug10 Jan09 (carrascojr vi)MORALES PABLO 122 2.50 10% 8.90    
7  WHERE PARADISE LAY Oct27 Sep29 Aug24 Jul21 Jun16 (downing willia)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 8.00 ★    
 
TAM-7   12/14/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Starter Allowance ($25K) Purse ($24.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HARROW Oct04 Sep07 Jun30 Jun07 May24 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 121 6.00 8% 11.70    
2  TREASURE RUN Nov25 Nov05 Aug31 Aug20 Jul09 (rarick lynn)MARIN SAMUEL 121 30.00    
3  ITS A WRAP Oct28 Sep19 Aug07 Jul17 Jul02 (arnett g)LOZADA CARLOS 121 10.00    
4  OHANA EMPIRE Oct21 Aug28 Jul24 Jul10 Jun18 (pimenta)GONZALEZ LUIS 121 20.00    
5  DREAM LINER (BRZ) Sep04 Aug07 Jul10 Jun12 Apr23 (wilson tony)CENTENO E 121 4.50 16% 5.40    
6  SMITHWICK'S SPICE Oct27 Oct09 Sep18 Aug26 Aug07 (nunn dou)GALLARDO A 121 6.00 ★    
7  TAPSASIONAL Jul01 Jun11 May08 Apr20 Mar27 (o'connell kath)CASTANON L 121 12.00    
8  PRAIRIE Nov05 Oct13 Sep16 Aug29 Jul31 (sillaman richa)CAMACHO SAMY 121 3.00    
9  J BERESFORD TIPTON Oct23 Sep01 Jul21 Feb26   (delacour arnau)SUAREZ ANGEL 121 6.00 15% 5.50    
10  SANDY LANE KITTEN Nov25 Sep16 Jul13 Jun18 May25 (cruz jesus)QUINONEZ ALONSO 121 5.00 34% 1.90    
 
TAM-8   12/14/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MA COCO Nov25 Oct21 Sep18 Jul31 Jul01 (dominguez lu)ALENCAR WALBER 120 15.00    
2  BUNKER BUNNY Sep24 Sep10 Aug20 Jul01 Jun07 (dominguez lui)CARDOSO DAVID 120 30.00    
3  DATTTSAFANCYFOX Nov25 Oct21 Sep24 Aug28 May28 (rondon-mora carl)BRACHO A 118 3.50 13% 6.90    
4  DOLCISIMA Jun12 May19 Apr30 Apr09 Mar09 (amado enri)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 118 15.00    
5  RAHTID Oct08 Sep23 Sep02 Aug06 Jul24 (richards ren)BATISTA A 120 15.00    
6  TRULY A DREAM Nov25 Sep16 Aug24 Aug03 Jul26 (posadas ped)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 8.00    
7  R D BLESSING         (drake robe)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 10.00 9% 10.20    
8  LUNA'S TREASURE Oct07 Sep23 Aug30 Jul23 Jul01 (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 4.50 13% 6.50    
9  BELLA ROMANCE Nov23 Sep11 Jul31 Jun30 May28 (bordis rob)ROWLAND MADELINE 113 10.00 ★    
10  COUNTLESS DREAMS Nov18 Sep17 Aug05 Jul22 Jun09 (o'connell k)SPANABEL SKYLER 118 4.50    
11  RAW HONEY Nov25 Nov13 Oct10 Sep22 Sep08 (brownlee dav)MENESES MARCOS 118 12.00    
12  DOROTHY'S THE BOSS Nov23 Oct29 Oct15 Sep23 Sep04 (werneth robert)GREEN AUBRIE 120 8.00 34% 1.90    
 
TAM-9   12/14/2022 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INANNA'S QUEST Nov25 Oct01 Sep10 Jul15 Jul08 (sillaman richar)CENTENO E 121 6.00    
SCR  DONYA'S MAGIC Nov25 Oct21 Sep23 Aug27 Aug06 (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 121 5.00    
3  RED WIND Nov25 Sep24 Aug24 Aug15 Aug02 (mcgoey monica)CASTANON L 121 15.00    
4  KITTEN WITH A WHIP Nov25 Oct30 Sep30 Sep10 Aug21 (nunn dougla)QUINONEZ ALONSO 121 5.00    
5  LULLABY LAND Nov26 Oct21 Sep23 Sep04 Jul16 (wilson)ROJAS EDUARDO 121 6.00 42% 1.40    
6  LEA RO Nov25 Oct14 Sep22 Jul23 Jul05 (kintz s )GALLARDO A 121 4.00 11% 8.10    
7  NEVISIAN SPIRIT Nov25 Oct12 Sep22 Sep13 Aug29 (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 121 30.00    
8  MIDNIGHT PIRATE Nov26 Oct18 Oct04 Sep13 Aug29 (hayford jenni)WALKER M 121 12.00 5% 17.70    
SCR  PEACELOVENKARMA Nov25 Oct04 Aug02 Jul20 Jun23 (sacco gregory)MORALES PABLO 121 15.00    
10  PANOTTI Nov25 Oct21 Sep16 Aug21 Jul23 (o'connell kath)CAMACHO SAMY 123 3.50    
11  LIZZ A BEE Oct23 Oct08 Sep07 Aug28 Aug03 (arnett g)MORALES PABLO 121 8.00    
12  ANTALYA Nov26 Oct10 Sep22 Aug24 Jun23 (granitz anthon)CASTANON L 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  JEFF'S ANGEL Oct23 Jun30 Jun17 May04 Apr08 (exposito a)ROWLAND MADELINE 113 15.00    
SCR  SPLICER Nov25 Oct23 Aug05 Jul08 Jun11 (barboza vict)BATISTA A 118 15.00 8% 11.60    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.