Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Tampa Bay Downs
Wednesday - December 21, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
TAM-1   12/21/2022 5400ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT-12:30
See original race card.
:241 :482 1:141 1:394   1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DANCIN DEE 2 2 4 31 11 15 114½ (delgad)ROJAS EDUARDO 120 1.20 0.40  
A RING THING 1 3 1nk 1nk 21 25 214½ (delgado h)FERRER C 121 1.80 46% 1.20 4.10 P
MISS CALIFORNIA 3 6 6 5 4 37 316¾ (guciardo k)ROWLAND MADELINE 113 4.00 4.40 S
BELLSWILLBERINGING 5 5 31 4 5 48 417¾ (lopez r)SOSA LAUREANO 114 10.00 16.90  
TIZ LOTTIE 6 4 5 6 6 610½ 522 (bowersock maria)SPIETH S 121 12.00 32.50  
KISSING FROGS 4 1 2nk 2nk 31 58 622½ (cascallares )SUAREZ ANTHONY 121 15.00 23% 3.30 27.20  
 
TAM-2   12/21/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:59
See original race card.
:224 :46 1:11     1:24   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IMTAKINITTOTHEBANK 4 2 1 13   12 12 (torres pablo )ALICEA JEREMY 115 10.00 9.60  
SIR AGGRAVATOR 6 1 2 23   22 22 (orseno joseph)JIMENEZ MANNY 120 1.60 8% 12.10 0.90 P
IT'S FATE 2 4 5 5   34 3 (werneth robe)ARROYO S 120 6.00 4.10 S
LAUDERDALE 1 6 67 69   55 4 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 120 10.00 28.60  
PRIVATE LAKE 5 5 44 35   44 5 (arnett g)MORALES PABLO 120 2.50 18% 4.70 2.10  
ROCKYSBUCKAROO 3 3 33 4   613 637¼ (wasiluk jr)FERRER C 120 20.00 23.30  
SCR  ARCADIA CALLS               (delgado jo)ROWLAND MADELINE 115 4.00 50% 1.00    
 
TAM-3   12/21/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:29
See original race card.
:242 :483 1:134 1:401   1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHINA BEACH 2 4 5 4 11 13 1 (brown dona)ALONSO LUIS 121 8.00 9.90  
THE SKIPSTER 1 1 31 3 3 23 2 (posadas pedro)GREEN AUBRIE 121 3.00 14% 6.10 2.30 P
MAGICAL ADVENTURE 4 6 6 7 8 47 3 (manning j)BRACHO A 121 6.00 3.80  
10  TAPINTOYOURBEER 7 7 7 8 6 5 4 (ubide max)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 15.00 16.40  
JUST PRAISE 6 3 21 2½ 21 33 59 (guciardo kathy)CENTENO E 118 6.00 6.70  
13  RUNAWAY TOM 8 5 8 64 4 6 615 (philipp kary)MENESES MARCOS 118 30.00 3.10  
SHIMMERING LEROID 3 2 4 53 7 7 715½ (mccarthy b)ROWLAND MADELINE 113 6.00 9.00  
GUNMAN 5 8 11 1½ 5 815¼ 834 (manchan be)MITCHELL RICHARD 121 12.00 10.80  
SCR  ANGEL'S MAGIC               (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 4.00    
SCR  BACKCHAT               (sweezey kent)SUAREZ ANGEL 121 3.00 46% 1.20    
SCR  BOURBON BROWN               (ferraro a)SPANABEL SKYLER 121 8.00    
SCR  CANYOUHEARMENOW               (duffy sean)ARROYO S 121 20.00    
SCR  LIVEFORTHESONG               (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 118 8.00 14% 6.30    
SCR  PIVOTAL RUN               (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 121 6.00    
 
TAM-4   12/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($32K) 2 ALL PT- 1:59
See original race card.
:23 :462 :582     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HANDSOME PLAYBOY 5 1 31 3½   1nk 1 (bennett geral)MORALES PABLO 118 1.20 44% 1.30 1.00 W
CALL ME ICE MAN 3 2 2½ 1½   2nk 2 (campbell micha)CASTANON L 118 12.00 5.40 P
MIKEY BANANAS 4 4 42 4   3 3 (hamm timothy)BATISTA A 118 15.00 16.50  
BRIGHT FORECAST 2 5 52 5   5 4 (rigattieri john)CENTENO E 118 2.00 20% 4.00 1.70  
MAJESTIC PHAROAH 1 3 1½ 2½   4 5 (sweezey kent)SUAREZ ANGEL 118 8.00 15.70  
SENTIR ZULIANO 6 6 6 6   6 613¼ (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 118 4.00 12% 7.20 11.50  
 
TAM-5   12/21/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($17.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:25
See original race card.
:251 :50 1:142 1:394   1:421   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIERCE WARRIOR 4 1 21 21 2½ 11 1 (nunn douglas)ARROYO S 118 8.00 2.80  
PAPA JIMMY 2 2 11 11 1½ 21 2 (bray michael)FERRER C 121 10.00 4.40  
VINTNER 1 3 53 53 4 4 3 (yanez r)ALLEN D 121 6.00 4.90 S
BARAHIN 3 5 32 32 32 3 4 (escobar alis)SUAREZ ANTHONY 121 15.00 4.30  
12  MIDNIGHT TEQUILA 7 7 7 7 7 5 5 (munoz carlos)VILLA-GOMEZ H 121 12.00 10.50  
11  HADDASSAH'S DEVIL 6 6 42 42 5 66 6 (davis richard)HERNANDEZ K 118 10.00 3.50  
10  DIVINE CONTROL 5 4 6 6 6 77 712¼ (werneth robe)MENESES MARCOS 121 20.00 8.90  
SCR  JUST DEAL WITH IT               (escobar alison)CASTANON L 121 10.00    
SCR  SKIPPERINI               (wasiluk )GALLARDO A 118 8.00    
SCR  SUMMER PALACE               (cheeks katy)MORALES PABLO 121 4.00 26% 2.90    
SCR  TAP EM               (nunn d)ROJAS EDUARDO 118 6.00    
SCR  VETERANS BEACH               (dini mike)CENTENO E 121 2.50 49% 1.00    
 
TAM-6   12/21/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:55
See original race card.
:224 :46 1:112     1:181   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRACTICALITY 6 2 2½ 2nk   14 1 (arriagada juan)CASTANON L 122 1.20 65% 0.50 0.40 W
ALEXA'S DREAM 2 6 42 3   34 2 (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 122 2.50 3.00 P
PLANE JANE 4 1 1½ 1nk   24 3 (bennett s)FERRER C 122 3.50 9% 10.00 9.20 S
IRISH KITTEN 5 3 52 5   4 410½ (mcgoey monica)FUENTES MARIO 122 12.00 20.00  
GINGER SPARKLE 3 5 63 6   58 510½ (harris nancy)ALLEN D 122 6.00 18.60  
PRINCESS LAKME 1 4 31 4   610 619½ (posadas pedr)ARROYO S 122 15.00 11.60  
 
TAM-7   12/21/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Optional Claiming ($32K) Purse ($28K) 2 ALL PT- 3:25
See original race card.
:241 :491 1:141 1:393   1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRAND PICK 3 3 33 21 3½ 11 1¼ (barboza vict)MENESES MARCOS 118 4.00 3.70  
POSSIBLEMENTE 8 2 4 4 2½ 31 2¼ (rodriguez dari)SUAREZ ANGEL 118 3.00 18% 4.50 4.70 P
FLAWLESS CAT 5 4 12 11 1½ 21 34 (dini mike)ROWLAND MADELINE 113 4.50 5% 18.50 2.50 S
CESAR 2 5 54 5 53 5 412¼ (lopez ro)EVANS CECILY 118 10.00 16.50  
SUMMER ALL YEAR 6 1 22 31 4 46 515 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 15.00 5% 19.00 13.40  
OKLETSGO 7 6 7 7 65 6 619¼ (sacco gregory)MORALES PABLO 118 4.00 4.90  
ASPLUNDER 1 7 8 6 7 710¾ 724½ (cheeks katy)SPIETH S 118 8.00 12.40  
ADIOS BUCCANEER 4 8 65 8 8 814¾ 828½ (o'connell k)SPANABEL SKYLER 122 2.50 50% 1.00 4.90  
SCR  IMAGOODFELLA               (sacco gregor)ARROYO S 118 10.00    
 
TAM-8   12/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($17.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:55
See original race card.
:222 :452 :573     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LORD BERRIER 5 3 3 32   33 1nk (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 3.50 11% 8.10 1.80 W
BODE BY YOU 6 4 2½ 2nk   1nk 2nk (potts ro)GALLARDO A 115 10.00 7.40 P
ISLE OF SKYE 3 2 1½ 1nk   2nk 32 (bennett s)FERRER C 118 2.50 19% 4.30 2.30 S
CHROMED IMPULSE 7 1 4 44   44 4 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 118 4.00 34% 1.90 4.00  
CLASSIC BET 1 8 88 810   57 5 (arnett g)MENESES MARCOS 118 6.00 9% 9.70 11.00  
COCO BRAVADO 2 6 6 6   7 6 (arnett g)BATISTA A 120 4.50 10.50  
CROWLEY'S WAR 4 7 75 7   8 710¾ (wismer glenn )WALKER M 120 10.00 29.00  
THOUSAND LOVES 8 5 5 55   6 814 (cascallare)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 120 20.00 37.70  
 
TAM-9   12/21/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:25
See original race card.
:242 :492 1:144 1:411   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DYNA'S HONOR 5 3 32 2½ 1nk 13 1 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 121 4.00 36% 1.80 3.00 W
LIBERTALIA 3 4 43 3 3.2 23 2 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 121 8.00 5% 19.00 7.50 P
SUWANNEE CHICK 7 10 10 1010 8 45 35 (parra)DIAZ RAFAEL 121 10.00 7% 14.30 4.30 S
SYLLABUS 1 5 7 63 4 35 46 (dominguez lu)ALENCAR WALBER 124 8.00 22% 3.60 5.70  
RIPLEY EFFECT 4 7 5 5 5 58 511¾ (o'connel)GALLARDO A 121 15.00 11.20  
12  ANIMATED MISS 10 8 9 9 9 6 612½ (paramo martin)FUENTES MARIO 121 30.00 83.70  
10  BLUE KENTUCKY GIRL 8 2 12 1½ 2nk 7 713¼ (cordero-lopez al)FERRER C 124 4.50 7% 12.90 7.10  
SHES SKY HIGH 2 9 8 8 6 8 813½ (puckett d)CAMACHO JR 124 10.00 4.90  
TEA'S DREAM 6 6 6 7 10 1019¾ 931¾ (wasiluk pet)SPANABEL SKYLER 121 15.00 19.20  
11  SONG OF THE HEART 9 1 22 4 7 919¼ 1033¾ (cascallares n)ALICEA JEREMY 114 20.00 12.40  
SCR  KAZACHAN               (carrascojr v)ARROYO S 121 3.00    
SCR  METAXA GRANDE               (manning j)BRACHO A 121 30.00    
SCR  MORENA DANCER               (marre)DOMINGUEZ G 124 15.00    
SCR  NURSE JUDY WHITNEY               (hunt donald)ARROYO S 121 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.