Handicappers' Race Results

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Mahoning Valley Race Course
Thursday - January 26, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

MVR-1   Win (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $5.40 $5.40  
MVR-2   Win (8/1/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 0 $7.40  
MVR-3   Win (4/3/2/6/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 7 1 0 $9.20  
MVR-4   Win (5/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $3.20 $3.20  
MVR-5   Win (4/2/7/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 0 $19.00  
MVR-6   Win (3/7/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 0 $13.40  
MVR-7   Win (4/1/8/2/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 4 1 1 $3.80 $3.80  
MVR-8   Win (1/6/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $2.80 $2.80  

Simulator Race results

 
MVR-1   01/26/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
See original race card.
:23 :48       1:08   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MUSIC CITY DANCER 5 1 2½ 1   14 112¾ (fadlovich megan)DIAZ I 126 2.00 35% 1.90 1.70 W
TITEBLUEJEANS 2 3 3 4   24 212¾ (rone penny)AVILES YAN 121 2.50 33% 2.00 2.20 P
SHANGHAI ROYALTY 4 6 5 5   46 314¼ (pappada j)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 126 3.50 7.50 S
WICKED REESE 1 4 1½ 2   34 416¼ (bernardi)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 5.00 3.40  
DOZZA 6 2 64 610½   611½ 522½ (bernardini p)VIGIL NOEL 126 6.00 10.20  
HONEYBEE STINGS 3 5 42 3   5 628 (bird danny)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 8.00 6% 15.10 7.20  
 
MVR-2   01/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:13
See original race card.
:224 :461 :59     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHANGHAI PRINCE 5 3 11 1½   1 1 (cline c)ROSARIO L 126 3.50 2.70  
PLAY BALL 7 1 21 2½   2 2 (murillo rodrigue)DIAZ I 124 1.60 52% 0.90 0.80 P
PAT'S KARMA 1 5 32 4   45 38 (rivera n)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 12.00 7.20  
OL' L B 4 4 42 3   35 410¼ (rivera ne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 4.50 10% 8.70 6.10  
DR. ZARNETT 6 2 65 5   5 510½ (meyers shane)PEREZ E 124 8.00 17.60  
STONE COLD CAT 2 6 7 7   713¼ 611½ (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 15.00 23.60  
ROSCO P. COLTRANE 3 7 5 65   6 713½ (romero a)HOUGHTON D 124 10.00 6% 16.90 15.60  
SCR  SHOW SLIDING HOME               (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 119 6.00 11% 7.80    
 
MVR-3   01/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:41
See original race card.
:231 :473 1:01     1:152   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUCKEYE RED 6 2 2nk 11   1 1 (maddox rachael)PAUCAR E 126 8.00 3.60  
EL CONDOR CAZA 2 5 6 4   44 2 (langley j)PILARES P 126 3.50 13% 6.40 2.90 P
RUNAWAY RUSSELL 4 1 32 32   2 3 (maddox rachael)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 10.00 10% 9.10 16.60 S
TIER ONE 3 3 5 6   57 4 (fletcher jeff)CEDILLO MAURO 113 2.50 23% 3.40 2.60  
LUNCHATTHELIZARD 1 6 1nk 21   3 5 (bernardi)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 10.00 5.80  
MAN'S CHOICE 5 4 4 5   68 616½ (zielinski richard)PEREZ E 118 3.00 11% 8.20 2.60  
SCR  LEWIS AND CLARK               (casali)SALAZAR VICTOR 126 4.00 19% 4.30    
 
MVR-4   01/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:09
See original race card.
:223 :461 :592     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GALACTIC 1 2 1 1   1 12 (ibarra m)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.00 27% 2.70 0.60 W
MURRY SPUR 7 7 6 64   6 22 (smith larry)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 6.00 5.60  
KID RUSSELL 5 4 5 5   5 3 (juarez lorenzo)CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00 12.20 S
EL MARRO 3 5 43 42   3 4 (schu)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 4.00 14.50  
OAKEN 2 3 2 3   2 5 (urieta johanna)BRACHO A 124 4.50 5.40  
CLASSIC MO 4 6 3 2   4 6 (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 119 5.00 37% 1.70 6.30  
CHARLEE'S MAGIC 6 1 7 77   7 712½ (trevino steph)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 8.00 7% 13.60 28.70  
SCR  BEAT THE DEALER               (zielinski ric)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 8.00    
 
MVR-5   01/26/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:37
See original race card.
:222 :473       1:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHISKEY HELPS 2 5 611 512½   25 111¼ (salcedo ramon)BRACHO A 126 3.50 8.50  
FAST AS FAST CAN B 1 2 15 17   15 211¼ (guidry terranc)TAPARA BRANDON 126 1.80 7% 12.90 3.30 P
ROUGE TU RICHES 6 1 36 37   48 313¼ (faulkner rodney)TOLEDO S 118 20.00 5% 19.00 1.00 S
TRANSPIRED 4 3 25 27   38 413¼ (gorostie)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 10.00 15.30  
NEW YORK MIRACLE 5 7 712 713¾   6 513½ (zielinski ric)SEVERINO VICTOR 118 20.00 33.30  
MARK'S BUDDY JACIN 7 4 4 4   59 614¼ (schuster robin)AVILES YAN 118 20.00 34.30  
MISSED THE CALL 3 6 510½ 613½   712¾ 726¾ (spiess m)YARANGA Y 126 2.50 66% 0.50 2.60  
SCR  A K A FIBBER MCGEE               (rone penny)AVILES YAN 121 6.00    
SCR  WHY KENNY WHY               (crumley jevon)HOUGHTON D 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-6   01/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
See original race card.
:223 :461 :592     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAGICAL EXPRESS 4 4 4 5   5 1 (skerrett jeffrey)GONZALEZ A 124 8.00 5.70  
UNCLE KEVIN 8 2 5 4   2 2 (reust megan)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 15.00 19.40  
PAT DADDY 7 1 33 1nk   1 3 (rivera ne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.00 26% 2.90 5.00 S
LAUTREC 2 8 810¾ 8   7 4 (urieta johanna)AYALA J 124 6.00 12.00  
JACK'S ADVANTAGE 5 6 6 6   6 5 (candelas blanca)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 4.00 16% 5.40 4.10  
LAUDA SPEED 3 3 2½ 2nk   3 6 (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 124 2.50 30% 2.40 1.50  
ASTRO JAK 1 5 1½ 3.2   4 711¼ (vickers richard )HOUGHTON D 124 8.00 5% 19.00 6.80  
SAVAGE NATION 6 7 7 7   8 814¾ (pizzurro jo)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 12.00 13.40  
 
MVR-7   01/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
See original race card.
:232 :473 1:004     1:141   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAT'S RHYTHM 3 4 5 5   2nk 1 (bird danny)HOUGHTON D 126 2.00 24% 3.10 0.90 W
CUT RATES 5 3 4 3½   1nk 2 (trev)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 8.00 20% 4.10 5.60 P
CHECK OUT LINE 6 1 34 4¾   3.2 3 (cline c)PEREZ E 126 12.00 11.60  
SWEET EMPIRE 1 5 24 2½   4¼ 48 (rone penny)AVILES YAN 121 4.50 20% 4.00 2.00  
PISTOL PACKIN BOS 2 2 14 1½   5½ 512½ (hurley l)TAPARA BRANDON 126 10.00 14.20  
PAYTON PRETTY 4 6 6100 6100   6100 6100 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 121 3.00 10.70  
SCR  CLIFTONS BALLERINA               (crumley jevon)DIAZ I 126 6.00    
SCR  DYNA'S HOLIDAY               (pappada )BATISTA ALBERTO 126 15.00 7% 13.30    
SCR  K FOR KATHY               (spiess m)YARANGA Y 126 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-8   01/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:01
See original race card.
:23 :47 1:001     1:141   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNEEDTOCOMEHOME 1 5 43 21   2 1 (rone penny)AVILES YAN 113 2.50 15% 5.70 0.40 W
MIXTER JENSEN 3 6 11 11   1 2 (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 20.00 18.20  
TWINSPIREDJOEY 5 2 32 4   33 3 (urieta johanna)DIAZ I 124 8.00 6.60 S
RED HEAD KID 4 3 21 31   43 4 (zielinski richard)PEREZ E 124 3.50 30% 2.30 3.80  
HAPPY TAKEOVER 7 1 88 5   57 5 (campbell antho)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 10.00 18.70  
ORLEANS STORM 2 8 7 7   610 615 (lopez jacinto)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 10.00 19.40  
MUCH TIMES TWO 6 4 55 6   712 715¾ (bernardini jay )GONZALEZ ALEX 124 15.00 5% 19.00 30.50  
2B  SWEET JILL'S JACK 8 7 6 8   814½ 818¼ (campbell l)DIAZ R 124 10.00 18.70  
SCR  AINT NO BANDLEADER               (estvanko )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 116 4.50    
SCR  JUST INSPIRED               (doering mark)CEDILLO MAURO 119 20.00    
SCR  LIL RICKYS JEWEL               (cline c)HOUGHTON D 124 6.00    
SCR  LITTLE RONS ROCKET               (radosevich jake)BRACHO A 116 4.50 34% 2.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.