Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Thursday - January 26, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/3)-(5/2/3/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/3)-(5/2/3/4/1)-(5/2/3/4/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (5/2/3)-(8/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/2/3)-(8/5/4)-(4/2/6/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-2   WIN (8/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/5/4)-(8/5/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/5/4)-(8/5/4/3)-(8/5/4/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (8/5/4)-(4/2/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/5/4)-(4/2/6/5)-(5/1/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-3   WIN (4/2/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/6/5)-(4/2/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/6/5)-(4/2/6/5)-(4/2/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/2/6/5)-(5/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/2/6/5)-(5/1/7)-(4/2/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-4   WIN (5/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/7)-(5/1/3/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/7)-(5/1/3/7/6)-(5/1/3/7/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (5/1/7)-(4/2/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/1/7)-(4/2/7)-(3/7/5/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-5   WIN (4/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/7)-(4/2/7/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/2/7)-(4/2/7/3)-(4/2/7/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/2/7)-(3/7/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/2/7)-(3/7/5/1)-(4/1/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-6   WIN (3/7/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/5/1)-(3/7/5/1/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/7/5/1)-(3/7/5/1/2)-(3/7/5/1/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/7/5/1)-(4/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/7/5/1)-(4/1/8)-(6/3/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-7   WIN (4/1/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/8)-(4/1/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/8)-(4/1/8)-(4/1/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/8)-(6/3/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
MVR-8   WIN (6/3/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/8)-(6/3/7/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/3/8)-(6/3/7/8)-(6/3/7/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   01/26/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WICKED REESE Jan16         (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 5.00 ★    
2  TITEBLUEJEANS Jan04 Dec06 Nov07 Oct25 Oct03 (rone penny)AVILES YAN 121 2.50 33% 2.00    
3  HONEYBEE STINGS         (bird danny)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 8.00 6% 15.10    
4  SHANGHAI ROYALTY Jan04 Dec21 Dec06 Nov07 Oct03 (pappada)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 126 3.50 ★    
5  MUSIC CITY DANCER Jan04 Nov23 Nov08     (fadlovich mega)DIAZ I 126 2.00 35% 1.90    
6  DOZZA Dec29         (bernardini p)VIGIL NOEL 126 6.00    
 
MVR-2   01/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SHOW SLIDING HOME Jan10 Dec03 Oct29 Oct04 Sep19 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 6.00 11% 7.80    
2  PAT'S KARMA Jan10 Dec03 Nov12 Sep22 Aug17 (rivera)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 12.00    
3  STONE COLD CAT Jan11 Dec21 Dec06 Nov10 Nov03 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 15.00 ★    
4  ROSCO P. COLTRANE Dec12 Nov19 Oct29 Oct11 Sep19 (romero a)HOUGHTON D 124 10.00 6% 16.90    
5  OL' L B Jan09 Dec08 Nov21 Nov09 Sep29 (rivera )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 4.50 10% 8.70    
6  SHANGHAI PRINCE Dec27 Dec03 Oct31 Sep27 Sep06 (cline robert)ROSARIO L 126 3.50    
7  DR. ZARNETT Dec21 Dec12 Nov28 Nov07 Oct10 (meyers shane)PEREZ E 124 8.00    
8  PLAY BALL Dec12 Dec01 Nov09 Oct22 Oct10 (murillo rodrig)DIAZ I 124 1.60 52% 0.90    
 
MVR-3   01/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUNCHATTHELIZARD Sep06 Aug03       (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 10.00    
  (by PALACE out of COQUINA DAY by THUNDER GULCH)
2  EL CONDOR CAZA Dec12 Nov10 Oct06 Sep20 Sep05 (langley)PILARES P 126 3.50 13% 6.40    
  (by FRIESAN FIRE out of UNBRIDLED ELLA by PLEASANT TAP)
SCR  LEWIS AND CLARK Aug21 Aug01       (casa)SALAZAR VICTOR 126 4.00 19% 4.30    
  (by SHAKIN IT UP out of ESPIRITU CHIJULLA by MALIBU MOON)
4  TIER ONE Jan19 Jan04 Dec19     (fletcher jeff)CEDILLO MAURO 113 2.50 23% 3.40    
  (by SKY KINGDOM out of MILITARY MAMA by INCLUDE)
5  RUNAWAY RUSSELL Jan09 Dec07 Nov09 Oct26 Aug13 (maddox racha)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 10.00 10% 9.10    
  (by MUCH THE BEST out of RUN DON'T HIDE by RUN AWAY AND HIDE)
6  MAN'S CHOICE Dec24         (zielinski richard)PEREZ E 118 3.00 11% 8.20    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of ROLLIN LIKE SHOBIZ by NOBIZ LIKE SHOBIZ)
7  BUCKEYE RED Jan18 Dec12 Nov10 Aug01   (maddox rachael)PAUCAR E 126 8.00    
  (by TEXAS RED out of ABYSS by OCEAN CREST)
 
MVR-4   01/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GALACTIC Dec08 Nov28 Jul18 Jun30 Jun16 (ibarra)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.00 27% 2.70    
SCR  BEAT THE DEALER Dec20 Dec06 Nov15 Oct31 Sep29 (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 8.00    
3  OAKEN Dec27 Nov09 Oct29 Aug13 Jul12 (urieta johann)BRACHO A 124 4.50 ★    
4  EL MARRO Jan10 Dec01 Nov07 Jun01 May18 (sc)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 4.00    
5  CLASSIC MO Jan10 Dec03 Oct04 Sep01 Aug18 (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 119 5.00 37% 1.70    
6  KID RUSSELL Dec29 Dec12 Nov28 Jun27 May30 (juarez lorenz)CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00 ★    
7  CHARLEE'S MAGIC Jan10 Dec01 Nov12 Oct29 Oct11 (trevino stephen)REYES FRANK 124 8.00 7% 13.60    
8  MURRY SPUR Dec03 Oct04 Sep20 Sep02 Aug16 (smith lar)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 6.00    
 
MVR-5   01/26/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  A K A FIBBER MCGEE Jan04 Sep21 Sep07     (rone penny)AVILES YAN 121 6.00    
2  FAST AS FAST CAN B Jan04 Dec12 Nov10 Oct06 Jun21 (guidry terra)TAPARA BRANDON 126 1.80 7% 12.90    
3  WHISKEY HELPS Jan04 Dec28 Nov10 Oct07 Aug19 (salcedo ramon)BRACHO A 126 3.50 ★    
4  MISSED THE CALL Jan19         (spiess m)YARANGA Y 126 2.50 66% 0.50    
5  TRANSPIRED Dec29 Dec14       (gorost)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 10.00    
6  NEW YORK MIRACLE Jan12 Dec29 Dec14 Nov30   (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 118 20.00    
7  ROUGE TU RICHES Dec19 Nov16 Nov01 Sep26 Sep06 (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  MARK'S BUDDY JACIN Jan04 Dec19 Dec03     (schuster robin)REYES FRANK 118 20.00    
SCR  WHY KENNY WHY Jan12         (crumley jevon)HOUGHTON D 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-6   01/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ASTRO JAK Jan02 Dec15 Dec05 Nov09 Oct22 (vickers richar)HOUGHTON D 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  LAUTREC Jan03 Dec05 Nov15 Oct27 Oct14 (urieta johan)AYALA J 124 6.00 ★    
3  LAUDA SPEED Jan10 Dec11 Nov18 Nov06 Oct15 (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 124 2.50 30% 2.40    
4  MAGICAL EXPRESS Dec28 Nov28 Nov09 Oct22 Sep29 (skerrett jeffr)GONZALEZ A 124 8.00    
5  JACK'S ADVANTAGE Dec31 Nov19 Nov04 Oct14 Sep23 (candelas blan)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 4.00 16% 5.40    
6  SAVAGE NATION Jan10 Dec07 Nov27 Oct26 Jul03 (pizzurro )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 12.00    
7  PAT DADDY Jan10 Jan02 Dec15 Nov28 Nov08 (rivera )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.00 26% 2.90    
8  UNCLE KEVIN Dec28 Dec12 Nov23 Nov09 Oct24 (reust megan)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 15.00    
 
MVR-7   01/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET EMPIRE Jan16 Dec30 Oct11 Sep26 Sep08 (rone penny)AVILES YAN 121 4.50 20% 4.00    
SCR  DYNA'S HOLIDAY Jan16 Apr05 Feb16 Jan24   (pappad)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 15.00 7% 13.30    
3  PISTOL PACKIN BOS Dec21 Nov29 Nov03 Sep21 Aug22 (hurley mary )TAPARA BRANDON 126 10.00    
4  CAT'S RHYTHM Jan16 Jan05 Dec21 Nov29 Aug29 (bird danny)HOUGHTON D 126 2.00 24% 3.10    
5  PAYTON PRETTY Jun21 May25 May10 Feb28 Jan31 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 121 3.00    
SCR  CLIFTONS BALLERINA Jan16 Jan05 Dec03 Nov19 Nov03 (crumley jevon)DIAZ I 126 6.00    
SCR  K FOR KATHY Dec11         (spiess m)YARANGA Y 126 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  CUT RATES Jan16 Apr28 Apr06 Mar05 Feb01 (tr)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 8.00 20% 4.10    
9  CHECK OUT LINE Jan16 Dec05 Jul15 Jun30 Jun11 (cline c)PEREZ E 126 12.00    
 
MVR-8   01/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  AINT NO BANDLEADER Dec30 Nov30 Sep23 Sep05 Aug25 (estvank)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 116 4.50    
SCR  LITTLE RONS ROCKET Jan12 Dec30 Nov14 Oct29 Oct11 (radosevich ja)BRACHO A 116 4.50 34% 2.00    
2  HAPPY TAKEOVER Jun14 May26 May11 Apr26   (campbell ant)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 10.00    
2B  SWEET JILL'S JACK Jan12 Dec14 Oct24 Sep29 Sep05 (campbell l)DIAZ R 124 10.00    
3  UNEEDTOCOMEHOME Dec29 Nov30 Nov14 Oct29 Oct11 (rone penny)AVILES YAN 113 2.50 15% 5.70    
4  ORLEANS STORM Jan09 Dec22 Dec07 Nov09 Oct26 (lopez jacin)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 10.00    
5  MIXTER JENSEN Dec19 Dec07 Nov09 Oct10   (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 20.00    
6  RED HEAD KID Jan12 Dec22 Dec07     (zielinski richard)PEREZ E 124 3.50 30% 2.30    
7  TWINSPIREDJOEY Jan12 Dec14 Nov30 Oct31 Oct05 (urieta johanna)DIAZ I 124 8.00 ★    
8  MUCH TIMES TWO Jan12 Dec14 Nov30 Sep12 Aug08 (bernardini ja)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  JUST INSPIRED Jan12 Dec14 Nov30 Nov09 Oct26 (doering mark)CEDILLO MAURO 119 20.00    
SCR  LIL RICKYS JEWEL Dec14 Nov15 Jun01 May21 Apr15 (cline c)HOUGHTON D 124 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.