Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Mahoning Valley
Thursday - January 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-5   WIN (1/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00  1 $7.20 $3.20 80%
Simulator Race results
 
MVR-1   01/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
See original race card.
:221 :462       1:064   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIRST KITTEN 1 2 11½ 13½   11 1½ (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 124 2.00 1.40  
5  WILLYMAR 5 4 44 34½   21 2½ (rangel)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 6.00 ★ 4.50 P
3  GRAN MAMIBELLA 3 6 55 66¼   35 35 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 126 4.00 29% 2.40 12.60 S
6  TARA DAWN 6 5 77½ 79¼   46½ 46 (spiess m)DIAZ I 124 20.00 20.10  
7  TOY TIGER 7 1 33 44½   56½ 56¼ (calderon ivan)AVILES YAN 119 2.50 27% 2.60 2.20  
8  PRINCESS CONSUELA 8 7 65 56   77¼ 67 (sanchez oscar)CEDILLO MAURO 119 20.00 47.70  
2  SHE MAKES ME TIZZY 2 8 89 89¾   66¾ 710¼ (bernardini ja)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 8.00 5% 17.30 8.10  
4  SABELLE 4 3 21½ 23½   811¼ 822¼ (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 10.00 7% 12.50 14.40  
 
MVR-2   01/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3 ALL PT- 1:13
See original race card.
:223 :472 1:013     1:154   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  SWING STATE 4 5 48 35   14 17½ (gorham ro)CORREA L 122 2.50 41% 1.40 1.60 W
  (by SUPER SAVER out of SOUTH BAY COVE by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
8  HARSH TRUTH 8 3 723½ 719½   610 27½ (skerrett jeffrey)PEREZ E 122 20.00 46.20  
  (by ALTERNATION out of LACEY'S RACEY by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
7  LOTSA MATCHA 7 6 619½ 615½   59 37¾ (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 122 5.00 10% 8.90 3.20 S
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of DORIS' DIAMOND by MONARCHOS)
1  CONSTITUTION COAL 1 7 37 24   24 411¾ (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 122 20.00 59.40  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of CANARYINACOALMINE by BIRDSTONE)
3  RAY'S EMPIRE 3 8 513½ 59½   49 516 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 3.50 13% 6.60 3.90  
  (by BODEMEISTER out of CARGO JET by DISCREET CAT)
2  BAD BOY BOOGIE 2 4 15 14   36 625 (huffman candac)GONZALEZ A 122 10.00 8% 12.30 8.80  
  (by GET STORMY out of CAROLYN M. by GRAND REWARD)
5  COUNCIL OF FOUR 5 2 25 45   714 733¾ (radosevich je)BRACHO A 122 6.00 17.70  
  (by MASTERY out of ENTERPRISING LADY by FIRST DUDE)
6  TIER ONE 6 1 8100 8100   8100 8100 (fletcher jeff)CCAMAQUE M 122 3.00 8% 11.80 3.80  
  (by SKY KINGDOM out of MILITARY MAMA by INCLUDE)
 
MVR-3   01/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:41
See original race card.
:231 :464 :594     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  LOVELY LISA 4 2 1½ 11½   13½ 15 (hernan)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 5.00 ★ 1.70  
6  FRACING NASTY 6 4 2½ 21½   23½ 25 (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 2.50 ★ 2.90 P
7  LOVE'S TAVITO 7 1 74 75½   66¼ 35½ (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 119 20.00 52.50  
3  ALSANAH 3 9 98¼ 86   56 45¾ (rone penny)AVILES YAN 119 10.00 4.20  
8  WILDCAT DREAM 8 7 84¼ 54½   46 58½ (salcedo ramon)BRACHO A 124 10.00 20.40  
2  MY DANCING QUEEN 2 5 31½ 43½   34 611¼ (urieta johann)BARBARAN ERIK 124 6.00 10.70  
1  SCARRAZANO 1 8 63½ 64½   86¾ 712½ (castillo jabdie)REYES FRANK 124 10.00 ★ 13.00  
9  AYY LADIES 9 6 43 33   76¾ 814 (west aa)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 116 3.00 46% 1.20 7.60  
5  LELAWALA 5 3 53 97½   911¼ 917¼ (buttigieg kevi)GONZALEZ A 124 8.00 21% 3.70 13.10  
 
MVR-4   01/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($36.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:09
See original race card.
:232 :47 :593     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SOMUCHSUGAR 2 4 2½ 2nk   2nk 1¼ (rone penny)GONZALEZ A 126 1.00 32% 2.10 0.50 W
4  THE DEVIL'S DREAM 4 1 1½ 1nk   1nk 2¼ (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 124 1.60 33% 2.00 1.50 P
3  CAUSE OF LOVE 3 3 31½ 31   34½ 310 (haehn r)HOUGHTON D 124 20.00 5% 19.00 33.00 S
1  NICEASAKITTENSEYES 1 5 42½ 44½   48½ 412½ (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 8.00 20.30  
6  I GOT HOPE 5 2 54 56   510½ 515¾ (romero a)DIAZ I 124 15.00 ★ 7.00  
SCR  OUT MY DEAR               (radosevich ju)BRACHO A 124 6.00 9% 10.00    
 
MVR-5   01/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:37
See original race card.
:222 :464       1:064   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  GOTTAGETITBACK 7 5 1½ 11   1½ 1¼ (cloust)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 3.50 69% 0.40 2.60 W
2  EXONERATED PREZ 1 4 2½ 31   2½ 2¼ (tumblin andrew)AVILES YAN 119 15.00 11.60  
5  JULIE'S FERRARI 4 6 31 21   33 32 (welsh r)PAUCAR E 124 10.00 ★ 9.50 S
4  HEY SACH 3 9 62¼ 42½   45½ 44½ (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 12.00 50.50  
7  TURN THE SWITCH 6 10 84¼ 74¾   55½ 55¾ (wolochuk davi)BRACHO A 124 4.00 4.10  
9  REINSURE 9 1 74¼ 84¾   88¼ 66½ (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 6.00 16.90  
3  AIRWAR 2 7 94½ 96¼   66½ 79½ (urieta )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 15.00 ★ 47.60  
6  QIAN B C 5 8 106 106½   78 810¼ (robillard jul)CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00 ★ 18.60  
8  JOCULARITY 8 3 52 52¾   99¼ 917¼ (buttigieg ke)KEISER CHELSEY 124 4.50 5% 19.00 6.50  
10  RAKU FIRING 10 2 42 63¾   1012¼ 1018¼ (fiesman r)CORREA L 124 5.00 2.30  
SCR  SHIELD OF FAITH               (clouston edw)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 3.50 ★    
 
MVR-6   01/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
See original race card.
:24 :471 1:134 1:273   1:421   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  BEYOND MY DREAMS 6 1 69½ 69½ 2nk 11½ 12 (robilla)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 15.00 ★ 9.20  
9  MY BROTHER CAM 8 2 11 12½ 1nk 21½ 22 (sanchez oscar)CEDILLO MAURO 119 3.00 ★ 1.40 DQ↓3
2  NATES HEARTTHROB 2 8 712½ 711 51¾ 42½ 32 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 4.50 8% 11.10 4.10 P
3  BIG FRANK 3 4 58½ 48 31 32½ 43½ (pappada)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 124 3.50 26% 2.90 3.20  
8  STRIKE A BEAT 7 5 48 58½ 41¼ 56½ 515¾ (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.00 40% 1.50 5.60  
4  BOURBON DELIGHT 4 6 21 22½ 64¾ 611½ 618 (castro isidro)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 20.00 20.90  
1  THEDUKE OF HAZZARD 1 7 824½ 825 819¾ 816¾ 719 (sc)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 20.00 16.90  
6  CRY MACHO 5 3 33 36½ 77¾ 716½ 835¾ (londono odin)TAPARA BRANDON 124 6.00 28.90  
SCR  JUST CHITU               (wilson jr)AVILES YAN 119 8.00    
 
MVR-7   01/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
See original race card.
:223 :463 1:001     1:142   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  ACT LIKE A LADY 6 1 55¼ 22   21 14½ (cline robert)TAPARA BRANDON 124 6.00 ★ 9.20  
1  FANCY EMPRESS 1 7 710¼ 68½   68 24½ (campbell joel)BRACHO A 126 2.50 2.20  
5  LA MUNECA 4 2 14 12   11 35¾ (zielinski r)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 126 3.50 4.20  
6  FLOWZANO 5 6 65¼ 54   47 49 (romero jo)CORREA L 124 20.00 5% 19.00 3.10  
3  COOL IRIS 3 3 45 33   33 59½ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 3.00 67% 0.50 2.40  
8  READY TO PLAY 7 4 24 43   57½ 615¾ (rivera )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 20.00 ★ 55.40  
2  UNTAPPED ENERGY 2 5 34 7100   7100 7100 (bernardini ja)GONZALEZ ALEX 126 5.00 11.70  
SCR  SWEET BELEN               (murillo rodrigue)AVILES YAN 124 10.00 6% 15.00    
 
MVR-8   01/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:01
See original race card.
:223 :472       1:073   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  OUT ATTHE SPEEDWAY 4 6 74¼ 62¼   3½ 1½ (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 10.00 4.70  
1  FLYING BUSINESS 1 8 41¾ 41¼   2½ 2½ (candelas blan)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 4.50 5.10  
9  CHARGAREE 9 4 63¼ 51¼   52¼ 31½ (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.00 21% 3.80 3.30 S
5  ROSE RING 5 7 85¼ 72½   63¾ 41¾ (rivera nestor)AVILES YAN 119 6.00 10% 9.20 8.10  
8  PAO DE QUEIJO 8 5 31½ 3.2   1½ 51¾ (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 124 3.50 43% 1.30 2.00  
6  LEADING INDICATOR 6 9 96¼ 97½   73¾ 65 (welsh gar)CORREA L 124 15.00 ★ 34.00  
2  ROMANTIC JEWEL 2 3 2nk 2nk   4¾ 75¾ (bird danny)HOUGHTON D 124 5.00 6.70  
3  CATLIKE 3 2 52¾ 83½   96 811½ (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 20.00 59.80  
7  LIL' SISTER LOU 7 1 1nk 1nk   85¾ 915 (bernardini ja)CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00 ★ 21.30  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.