Handicappers' Race Results

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Mahoning Valley Race Course
Thursday - January 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

MVR-1   Win (3/7/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 0 $4.80  
MVR-2   Win (4/3/7/6/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 4 1 1 $5.20 $5.20  
MVR-3   Win (9/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 0 $5.40  
MVR-4   Win (4/2/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $3.00 $3.00  
MVR-5   Win (1/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 1 $7.20 $7.20 3.20
MVR-6   Win (8/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 0 $20.40  
MVR-7   Win (3/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 0 $20.40  
MVR-8   Win (8/9/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $11.40  

Simulator Race results

 
MVR-1   01/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
See original race card.
:221 :462       1:064   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIRST KITTEN 1 2 1 1   11 1½ (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 124 2.00 1.40  
WILLYMAR 5 4 44 3   21 2½ (rangel a)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 6.00 4.50 P
GRAN MAMIBELLA 3 6 55 6   35 35 (szczepanski emi)TOLEDO S 126 4.00 29% 2.40 12.60 S
TARA DAWN 6 5 7 7   4 46 (spiess m)DIAZ I 124 20.00 20.10  
TOY TIGER 7 1 33 4   5 5 (calderon ivan)AVILES YAN 119 2.50 27% 2.60 2.20  
PRINCESS CONSUELA 8 7 65 56   7 67 (sanchez oscar)CEDILLO MAURO 119 20.00 47.70  
SHE MAKES ME TIZZY 2 8 89 8   6 710¼ (bernardini jay )GONZALEZ ALEX 124 8.00 5% 17.30 8.10  
SABELLE 4 3 2 2   811¼ 822¼ (cast)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 10.00 7% 12.50 14.40  
 
MVR-2   01/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3 ALL PT- 1:13
See original race card.
:223 :472 1:013     1:154   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWING STATE 4 5 48 35   14 1 (gorham robe)CORREA L 122 2.50 41% 1.40 1.60 W
HARSH TRUTH 8 3 723½ 719½   610 2 (skerrett jeffrey)PEREZ E 122 20.00 46.20  
LOTSA MATCHA 7 6 619½ 615½   59 3 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 122 5.00 10% 8.90 3.20 S
CONSTITUTION COAL 1 7 37 24   24 411¾ (faulkner rodney)TOLEDO S 122 20.00 59.40  
RAY'S EMPIRE 3 8 513½ 5   49 516 (bernardi)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 3.50 13% 6.60 3.90  
BAD BOY BOOGIE 2 4 15 14   36 625 (huffman candace )GONZALEZ A 122 10.00 8% 12.30 8.80  
COUNCIL OF FOUR 5 2 25 45   714 733¾ (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 122 6.00 17.70  
TIER ONE 6 1 8100 8100   8100 8100 (fletcher jeff)CCAMAQUE M 122 3.00 8% 11.80 3.80  
 
MVR-3   01/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:41
See original race card.
:231 :464 :594     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOVELY LISA 4 2 1½ 1   1 15 (hernande)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 5.00 1.70  
FRACING NASTY 6 4 2½ 2   2 25 (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 2.50 2.90 P
LOVE'S TAVITO 7 1 74 7   6 3 (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 119 20.00 52.50  
ALSANAH 3 9 9 86   56 4 (rone penny)AVILES YAN 119 10.00 4.20  
WILDCAT DREAM 8 7 8 5   46 5 (salcedo ramon)BRACHO A 124 10.00 20.40  
MY DANCING QUEEN 2 5 3 4   34 611¼ (urieta johanna)BARBARAN ERIK 124 6.00 10.70  
SCARRAZANO 1 8 6 6   8 712½ (castillo jabdiel)REYES FRANK 124 10.00 13.00  
AYY LADIES 9 6 43 33   7 814 (west aaro)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 116 3.00 46% 1.20 7.60  
LELAWALA 5 3 53 9   911¼ 917¼ (buttigieg kevin)GONZALEZ A 124 8.00 21% 3.70 13.10  
 
MVR-4   01/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($36.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:09
See original race card.
:232 :47 :593     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOMUCHSUGAR 2 4 2½ 2nk   2nk 1¼ (rone penny)GONZALEZ A 126 1.00 32% 2.10 0.50 W
THE DEVIL'S DREAM 4 1 1½ 1nk   1nk 2¼ (radosevich jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 124 1.60 33% 2.00 1.50 P
CAUSE OF LOVE 3 3 3 31   3 310 (haehn r)HOUGHTON D 124 20.00 5% 19.00 33.00 S
NICEASAKITTENSEYES 1 5 4 4   4 412½ (atal)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 8.00 20.30  
I GOT HOPE 5 2 54 56   510½ 515¾ (romero a)DIAZ I 124 15.00 7.00  
SCR  OUT MY DEAR               (radosevich just)BRACHO A 124 6.00 9% 10.00    
 
MVR-5   01/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:37
See original race card.
:222 :464       1:064   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  GOTTAGETITBACK 7 5 1½ 11   1½ 1¼ (clouston)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 3.50 69% 0.40 2.60 W
EXONERATED PREZ 1 4 2½ 31   2½ 2¼ (tumblin andrew)AVILES YAN 119 15.00 11.60  
JULIE'S FERRARI 4 6 31 21   33 32 (welsh r)PAUCAR E 124 10.00 9.50 S
HEY SACH 3 9 6 4   4 4 (casa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 12.00 50.50  
TURN THE SWITCH 6 10 8 7   5 5 (wolochuk david)BRACHO A 124 4.00 4.10  
REINSURE 9 1 7 8   8 6 (zielinski ric)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 6.00 16.90  
AIRWAR 2 7 9 9   6 7 (urieta jo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 15.00 47.60  
QIAN B C 5 8 106 10   78 810¼ (robillard julie)CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00 18.60  
JOCULARITY 8 3 52 5   9 917¼ (buttigieg kevi)KEISER CHELSEY 124 4.50 5% 19.00 6.50  
10  RAKU FIRING 10 2 42 6   1012¼ 1018¼ (fiesman rob)CORREA L 124 5.00 2.30  
SCR  SHIELD OF FAITH               (clouston edwar)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 3.50    
 
MVR-6   01/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
See original race card.
:24 :471 1:134 1:273   1:421   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEYOND MY DREAMS 6 1 6 6 2nk 1 12 (robillard)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 15.00 9.20  
MY BROTHER CAM 8 2 11 1 1nk 2 22 (sanchez oscar)CEDILLO MAURO 119 3.00 1.40 DQ↓3
NATES HEARTTHROB 2 8 712½ 711 5 4 32 (sweeting)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 4.50 8% 11.10 4.10 P
BIG FRANK 3 4 5 48 31 3 4 (pappada j)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 124 3.50 26% 2.90 3.20  
STRIKE A BEAT 7 5 48 5 4 5 515¾ (radosevich jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.00 40% 1.50 5.60  
BOURBON DELIGHT 4 6 21 2 6 611½ 618 (castro isidro)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 20.00 20.90  
THEDUKE OF HAZZARD 1 7 824½ 825 819¾ 816¾ 719 (schu)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 20.00 16.90  
CRY MACHO 5 3 33 3 7 716½ 835¾ (londono j)TAPARA BRANDON 124 6.00 28.90  
SCR  JUST CHITU               (wilson jr)AVILES YAN 119 8.00    
 
MVR-7   01/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
See original race card.
:223 :463 1:001     1:142   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ACT LIKE A LADY 6 1 5 22   21 1 (cline c)TAPARA BRANDON 124 6.00 9.20  
FANCY EMPRESS 1 7 710¼ 6   68 2 (campbell joel)BRACHO A 126 2.50 2.20  
LA MUNECA 4 2 14 12   11 3 (zielinski ric)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 126 3.50 4.20  
FLOWZANO 5 6 6 54   47 49 (romero jose)CORREA L 124 20.00 5% 19.00 3.10  
COOL IRIS 3 3 45 33   33 5 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 3.00 67% 0.50 2.40  
READY TO PLAY 7 4 24 43   5 615¾ (rivera ne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 20.00 55.40  
UNTAPPED ENERGY 2 5 34 7100   7100 7100 (bernardini jay )GONZALEZ ALEX 126 5.00 11.70  
SCR  SWEET BELEN               (murillo rodriguez )AVILES YAN 124 10.00 6% 15.00    
 
MVR-8   01/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:01
See original race card.
:223 :472       1:073   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUT ATTHE SPEEDWAY 4 6 7 6   3½ 1½ (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 10.00 4.70  
FLYING BUSINESS 1 8 4 4   2½ 2½ (candelas blanca)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 4.50 5.10  
CHARGAREE 9 4 6 5   5 3 (sweeting)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.00 21% 3.80 3.30 S
ROSE RING 5 7 8 7   6 4 (rivera nestor)AVILES YAN 119 6.00 10% 9.20 8.10  
PAO DE QUEIJO 8 5 3 3.2   1½ 5 (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 124 3.50 43% 1.30 2.00  
LEADING INDICATOR 6 9 9 9   7 65 (welsh gary )CORREA L 124 15.00 34.00  
ROMANTIC JEWEL 2 3 2nk 2nk   4¾ 7 (bird danny)HOUGHTON D 124 5.00 6.70  
CATLIKE 3 2 5 8   96 811½ (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 20.00 59.80  
LIL' SISTER LOU 7 1 1nk 1nk   8 915 (bernardini jay )CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00 21.30  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.