Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Thursday - January 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (3/7/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/4/2)-(3/7/5/4/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/7/4/2)-(3/7/5/4/2)-(3/7/5/4/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/7/4/2)-(4/3/7/6/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/7/4/2)-(4/3/7/6/2)-(9/5) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
MVR-2   WIN (4/3/7/6/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/3/7/6/2)-(4/3/7/6/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/3/7/6/2)-(4/3/7/6/2)-(4/3/7/6/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/3/7/6/2)-(9/5) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (4/3/7/6/2)-(9/5)-(4/2/3) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
MVR-3   WIN (9/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (9/5)-(9/5/6/4/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (9/5)-(9/5/6/4/1)-(9/5/6/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/5)-(4/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (9/5)-(4/2/3)-(1/8) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
MVR-4   WIN (4/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/3)-(4/2/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/2/3)-(4/2/3/6)-(4/2/3/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/2/3)-(1/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/2/3)-(1/8)-(8/3/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MVR-5   WIN (1/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/8)-(8/6/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/8)-(8/6/3/5)-(8/6/3/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (1/8)-(8/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/8)-(8/3/2)-(3/6) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
MVR-6   WIN (8/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/3/2)-(8/3/2/7/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/3/2)-(8/3/2/7/9)-(8/3/2/7/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (8/3/2)-(3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (8/3/2)-(3/6)-(8/9/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MVR-7   WIN (3/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/6)-(3/6/8/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6)-(3/6/8/7)-(3/6/8/7) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (3/6)-(8/9/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
MVR-8   WIN (8/9/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/9/5)-(8/9/5/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/9/5)-(8/9/5/6/7)-(8/9/5/6/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   01/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIRST KITTEN Jan10 Dec09 Nov27 Nov11 Oct16 (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 124 2.00    
2  SHE MAKES ME TIZZY Dec22 Dec05 Nov22 Nov07 Oct03 (bernardini ja)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 8.00 5% 17.30    
3  GRAN MAMIBELLA Jan05 Dec05 Nov22 Nov08 Oct22 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 126 4.00 29% 2.40    
4  SABELLE Dec22 Dec07 Nov22 Nov08 Oct26 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 10.00 7% 12.50    
5  WILLYMAR Jan11 Dec22 Dec14 Nov28 Nov15 (rangel)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 6.00 ★    
6  TARA DAWN Dec22 Nov28 Nov06 Mar31 Mar14 (spiess m)DIAZ I 124 20.00    
7  TOY TIGER Dec22 Dec07 Nov17 Oct26 Oct13 (calderon ivan)AVILES YAN 119 2.50 27% 2.60    
8  PRINCESS CONSUELA Jan11 Dec17 Dec03 Nov26 Nov11 (sanchez oscar)CEDILLO MAURO 119 20.00    
 
MVR-2   01/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3 ALL PT- 1:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CONSTITUTION COAL Jan04 Dec19 Nov01 Oct12   (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 122 20.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of CANARYINACOALMINE by BIRDSTONE)
2  BAD BOY BOOGIE Dec19 Dec03 Nov16 Nov01 Oct12 (huffman candac)GONZALEZ A 122 10.00 8% 12.30    
  (by GET STORMY out of CAROLYN M. by GRAND REWARD)
3  RAY'S EMPIRE Jan04         (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 3.50 13% 6.60    
  (by BODEMEISTER out of CARGO JET by DISCREET CAT)
4  SWING STATE Dec19 Nov16 Nov01 Sep26 Sep06 (gorham ro)CORREA L 122 2.50 41% 1.40    
  (by SUPER SAVER out of SOUTH BAY COVE by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
5  COUNCIL OF FOUR Jan04         (radosevich je)BRACHO A 122 6.00    
  (by MASTERY out of ENTERPRISING LADY by FIRST DUDE)
6  TIER ONE Jan04 Dec19       (fletcher )HOLLINGSWORTH L 122 3.00 8% 11.80    
  (by SKY KINGDOM out of MILITARY MAMA by INCLUDE)
7  LOTSA MATCHA         (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 122 5.00 10% 8.90    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of DORIS' DIAMOND by MONARCHOS)
8  HARSH TRUTH Jan04 Dec19 Dec03 Nov16 Nov01 (skerrett jeffrey)PEREZ E 122 20.00    
  (by ALTERNATION out of LACEY'S RACEY by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
 
MVR-3   01/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SCARRAZANO Dec29 Dec08 Nov21 Nov02 Oct10 (castillo jabdie)REYES FRANK 124 10.00 ★    
2  MY DANCING QUEEN Dec29 Nov23 Nov09 Oct10 Sep26 (urieta johann)BARBARAN ERIK 124 6.00    
3  ALSANAH Dec29 Dec08 Nov23 Nov11 Oct29 (rone penny)AVILES YAN 119 10.00    
4  LOVELY LISA Dec12 Nov10 Oct19 Sep19 Aug18 (hernan)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 5.00 ★    
5  LELAWALA Jan22 Jan01       (buttigieg kevi)GONZALEZ A 124 8.00 21% 3.70    
6  FRACING NASTY Jun02 May21 Apr02 Feb18   (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 2.50 ★    
7  LOVE'S TAVITO Jan05 Dec28 Dec11 Nov28 Nov22 (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 119 20.00    
8  WILDCAT DREAM Nov16 Nov07 Oct24 Sep30 Sep21 (salcedo ramon)BRACHO A 124 10.00    
9  AYY LADIES Aug24 Jun23       (west aa)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 116 3.00 46% 1.20    
 
MVR-4   01/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($36.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NICEASAKITTENSEYES Dec30 Sep07 Aug24 Aug09 Mar07 (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 8.00    
2  SOMUCHSUGAR Jan03 Dec03 Apr12 Mar26 Mar10 (rone penny)GONZALEZ A 126 1.00 32% 2.10    
3  CAUSE OF LOVE Dec30 Dec07 Nov22 Jun30 Jun13 (haehn r)HOUGHTON D 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  THE DEVIL'S DREAM Dec01 Nov21 Oct26 Oct12 Sep27 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 124 1.60 33% 2.00    
SCR  OUT MY DEAR Dec30 Dec13 Nov19 Oct25 Sep28 (radosevich ju)BRACHO A 124 6.00 9% 10.00    
6  I GOT HOPE Dec06 Nov09 Oct25 Oct13 Sep27 (romero a)DIAZ I 124 15.00 ★    
 
MVR-5   01/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  GOTTAGETITBACK Dec28 Dec07 Nov21 Oct24 Sep09 (cloust)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 3.50 69% 0.40    
SCR  SHIELD OF FAITH Dec12 Nov27 Nov14 Oct29 Oct06 (clouston edw)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 3.50 ★    
2  EXONERATED PREZ Jan02 Dec01 Nov14 Oct27 Sep28 (tumblin andrew)AVILES YAN 119 15.00    
3  AIRWAR Jan05 Nov30 Oct21 Sep14 Aug11 (urieta )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 15.00 ★    
4  HEY SACH Dec01 Nov21 Nov10 Oct26 Oct11 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 12.00    
5  JULIE'S FERRARI Jan02 Dec11 Nov27 Nov14 Oct24 (welsh r)PAUCAR E 124 10.00 ★    
6  QIAN B C Jan02 Nov26 Nov10 Jun17 May14 (robillard jul)CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00 ★    
7  TURN THE SWITCH Jan02 Nov13 Oct30 Oct02 Sep15 (wolochuk davi)BRACHO A 124 4.00    
8  JOCULARITY Jan02 Dec01 Nov10 Oct03 Sep20 (buttigieg ke)KEISER CHELSEY 124 4.50 5% 19.00    
9  REINSURE Jan02 Dec01 Oct27 Sep28 Aug18 (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 6.00    
10  RAKU FIRING Dec05 Nov21 Nov07 Oct31 Sep22 (fiesman r)CORREA L 124 5.00    
 
MVR-6   01/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THEDUKE OF HAZZARD Jan12 Dec28 Dec13 Nov21 Jun30 (sc)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 20.00    
2  NATES HEARTTHROB Jan02 Dec20 Nov11 Oct20 Sep08 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 4.50 8% 11.10    
3  BIG FRANK Jan02 Dec03 Nov19 Oct19 Aug09 (pappada)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 124 3.50 26% 2.90    
4  BOURBON DELIGHT Dec18 Dec10 Nov26 Nov12 Oct16 (castro isidro)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 20.00    
SCR  JUST CHITU Jan02 Nov19 Nov03 Oct24 Oct10 (wilson jr)AVILES YAN 119 8.00    
6  CRY MACHO Dec22 Dec01 Nov21 Nov10 Sep21 (londono odin)TAPARA BRANDON 124 6.00    
7  BEYOND MY DREAMS Jan12 Dec09 Oct27 Oct09 Aug26 (robilla)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 15.00 ★    
8  STRIKE A BEAT Jan02 Dec07 Nov19 Nov03 Oct27 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.00 40% 1.50    
9  MY BROTHER CAM Dec31 Dec10 Nov26 Oct29 Oct14 (sanchez oscar)CEDILLO MAURO 119 3.00 ★    
 
MVR-7   01/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FANCY EMPRESS Dec28 Dec16 Nov25 Sep23 Aug20 (campbell joel)BRACHO A 126 2.50    
2  UNTAPPED ENERGY Jan03 Dec22 Dec05 Oct30 Oct02 (bernardini ja)GONZALEZ ALEX 126 5.00    
3  COOL IRIS Dec20 Oct04 Sep07 Aug24 Aug09 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 3.00 67% 0.50    
SCR  SWEET BELEN Jan02 Nov30 Oct25 Oct10 Sep26 (murillo rodrigue)AVILES YAN 124 10.00 6% 15.00    
5  LA MUNECA Dec20 Dec08 Nov02 Sep27 May17 (zielinski r)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 126 3.50    
6  FLOWZANO Nov30 Nov19 Oct25 Oct10 Sep13 (romero jo)CORREA L 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  ACT LIKE A LADY Dec05 Aug24 Aug04 Jun21 Mar28 (cline robert)TAPARA BRANDON 124 6.00 ★    
8  READY TO PLAY Jan11 Oct23 Oct12 Sep20 Aug28 (rivera )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 20.00 ★    
 
MVR-8   01/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLYING BUSINESS Dec31 Dec16 Dec03 Nov20 Nov12 (candelas blan)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 4.50    
2  ROMANTIC JEWEL Jan11         (bird danny)HOUGHTON D 124 5.00    
3  CATLIKE Jan03 Dec20 Dec05 Oct23 Oct12 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 20.00    
4  OUT ATTHE SPEEDWAY Sep23 Sep09 Aug19 Aug03 Jul21 (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 10.00    
5  ROSE RING Jan03 Dec08 Nov24 Nov03 Oct20 (rivera nestor)AVILES YAN 119 6.00 10% 9.20    
6  LEADING INDICATOR Jan03 Dec13 Nov30 Nov08 Oct18 (welsh gar)CORREA L 124 15.00 ★    
7  LIL' SISTER LOU Dec13 Jul06 May31 May13 Apr15 (bernardini ja)CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00 ★    
8  PAO DE QUEIJO Jan10 Dec22 Nov30 Oct30 Sep13 (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 124 3.50 43% 1.30    
9  CHARGAREE Dec28 Dec08 Oct10 Sep19 Aug15 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.00 21% 3.80    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.