The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Mahoning Valley Race Course
Wednesday - February 01, 2023

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MVR-1   02/01/2023 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($24.3K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
:24 :471 1:114 1:25   1:382   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLOCKED 4 2 45 42 42 1½ 1(cowans d)GONZALEZ A 126 2.00 13% 6.70 0.90 W
BON DEUX 5 3 12 1 11 2½ 2(rivera n)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 10.00 28.90 P
GREEN MILLENNIUM 1 6 5 6 55 56 3(ward wesle)RODRIGUEZ A 113 1.60 56% 0.80 1.70 S
WAITES KINGDOM 2 5 22 2 21 34(romero a)CEDILLO MAURO 121 12.00 15.10  
ALFIO 3 4 35 32 32 42 5(thornbury jeff)GONZALEZ ALEX 126 3.00 4.40  
INSACIABLE PRINCE 6 1 6 5 66 611 613¼ (rome)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 8.00 14.40  
 
MVR-2   02/01/2023 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:13
:23 :461 :584     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHAT'S SO FUNNY 3 7 5 4   31(gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 124 8.00 8.00  
HERO'S DAUGHTER 6 2 21 2nk   2nk 2(morales saul )SEVERINO VICTOR 124 3.50 2.50 P
1A  DAYS REMEMBERED 8 1 11 1nk   1nk 3(clouston edward)PEREZ E 124 6.00 16% 5.40 3.50 S
SWEET VALERIA 1 6 6 6   54(clouston edward)RIVERA R 126 6.00 3.50  
GREGS POSSE 2 4 4 31   45(poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 12.00 30.60  
PRINCESS SOLITAIRE 7 5 31 5   6611¼ (buttigie)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 2.50 2.10  
GRAND VENUS 5 3 7 7   710½ 714 (gotera ca)TAPARA BRANDON 124 10.00 22.30  
CAPTIVATING ART 4 8 8 8   811 815½ (robillard julie)CEDILLO MAURO 119 2.00 58% 0.70 3.50  
 
MVR-3   02/01/2023 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:41
:224 :452 :573     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOO LEGIT 5 1 1nk 1nk   12 1(robillar)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.00 2.80  
ARTIE MY BOY 6 2 2nk 2nk   22 2(robillard julie)CEDILLO MAURO 119 6.00 6.50  
AUGER 2 5 4 31   33(vickers r)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 2.00 25% 3.00 2.20 S
ARAZI LIKE MOVE 1 6 6 68   46 45 (langley joshua)YARANGA Y 124 12.00 6% 15.90 9.40  
SILVER G T O 4 3 31 42   65(faulkner rodney )HOUGHTON D 124 2.50 46% 1.20 3.50  
THE FILTER 3 4 5 5   56(spiess m)DIAZ I 124 8.00 3.80  
SCR  YO BERBS               (brown t)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 15.00    
 
MVR-4   02/01/2023 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:09
:223 :454 :59     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CALL PAPA 2 10 1014¾ 108   611 (cline c)TAPARA BRANDON 126 10.00 8.10  
TURN THE SWITCH 7 9 8 6   421 (wolochuk david)BRACHO A 124 3.00 17% 4.80 6.80 P
REINSURE 10 2 9 9   83 3(zielinski ric)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 10.00 19.70  
GATTO MARRONE 4 8 32 33   21 44 (spiess m)DIAZ I 124 20.00 43.40  
1A  UHAVETOBEKITTENME 6 4 42 4   31 5(casa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 8.00 5% 19.00 9.70  
IWILLPERSEVERE 8 3 5 7   96(sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 124 1.60 26% 2.80 0.80  
EXONERATED PREZ 5 5 7 5   77(tumblin andrew)AVILES YAN 119 4.00 22% 3.50 7.00  
HEY SACH 1 7 1½ 13   11 8(casali)SALAZAR VICTOR 124 8.00 9.70  
JULIE'S FERRARI 3 6 2½ 23   59(welsh r)PAUCAR E 124 10.00 9% 10.40 5.40  
2B  BEYOND MY DREAMS 9 1 6 8   10108 (robillard)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 1.60 0.80  
 
MVR-5   02/01/2023 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:37
:242 :471 1:124 1:264   1:403   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROSAS WAY 5 5 43 4 3 2nk 12 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 126 8.00 9% 10.00 4.40 W
GEH SCHNELL 3 7 6 6 5 4¼ 22 (manning c)RIVERA R 126 15.00 14.90  
KING OF THE RING 6 8 5 54 6 53(pappada j)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 126 3.50 5.20 S
AZTEC EMPIRE 8 4 2nk 2½ 1nk 1nk 4(cline c)YARANGA Y 126 15.00 20.60  
NOBLE BEHAVIOR 1 1 1nk 1½ 2nk 3.2 5(londono j)BARBARAN ERIK 126 5.00 5.10  
ADANO 4 6 3 3 4 62 6(faulkner rodney )HOUGHTON D 126 2.50 46% 1.20 2.60  
SAY HEY KID 2 2 8 89 8 86 711¼ (vazquez ivan)CEDILLO MAURO 121 4.00 21% 3.80 4.10  
JUSTENUFFTUFF 7 3 7 7 7 76 811¾ (poole m)AVILES YAN 121 8.00 6.30  
SCR  BALTIC FLEET               (gomez aleja)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 126 15.00    
 
MVR-6   02/01/2023 3630ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:05
:221 :46       1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEND THE KNEE 3 2 1 12   12 1(fadl)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 10.00 4.10  
ROSE RING 1 8 45 3   22 2(rivera nestor)DIAZ I 126 3.00 41% 1.40 3.00 P
MIA PROMESSA 5 3 7 59   43(bird danny)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 8.00 68.90  
SPEAK LIGHTLY 8 5 910¾ 811¾   6410¼ (ruberto v)DIAZ R 126 2.50 17% 4.80 3.80  
ROMANTIC JEWEL 6 4 2 22   36 512½ (bird danny)HOUGHTON D 126 3.50 2.20  
FIVE ROSES LUNA 2 9 810½ 912   59 612¾ (jones s)BARBARAN ERIK 126 6.00 6.80  
LUCKY ROAD 9 1 3 4   7718 (faulkner c)VELEZ J 126 15.00 87.00  
RED LINGERIE 7 7 57 7   913 823 (meeks karl)PAUCAR E 126 15.00 29.80  
1A  HOPPESTRY 10 6 67 6   812½ 923 (jones s)BRACHO A 126 6.00 6.80  
K FOR KATHY 4 10 1012¼ 1016   1016 1029¾ (spiess m)YARANGA Y 126 15.00 14% 5.90 12.60  
 
MVR-7   02/01/2023 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Allowance   Purse ($35.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
:224 :454 :584     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CRYPTO COPY 1 6 6 45   2½ 1¾ (gorham m)DIAZ I 124 3.00 11% 8.50 3.60 W
JEBIP 4 7 7 6   52¾ (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 124 5.00 22% 3.50 3.10 P
OHIO STRONG 7 1 1 12   1½ 3(ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.50 2.00 S
RUMBLE STRIP RON 3 2 2 22   33 46 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 2.50 42% 1.40 4.80  
CONDEMNATION 2 5 33 3   45 5(hamm timothy)REYES FRANK 124 6.00 4.80  
ACCURATE 6 4 5 55   669 (yoder su)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00 13.10  
LONE BOY 5 3 4 713½   712 716½ (haehn r)HOUGHTON D 124 20.00 42.70  
SCR  COUNTRY RUCKUS               (maddox rachael)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 20.00    
 
MVR-8   02/01/2023 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Allowance   Purse ($33.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:01
:242 :474 1:133 1:28   1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FACTISIMFLASHY 8 1 1 1 12 11½ (poole m)CORREA L 116 2.50 27% 2.70 1.40 W
WILLIAMSBEACHBABE 7 3 59 5 4 22½ (sweeting)BATISTA ALBERTO 116 3.00 17% 4.90 3.10 P
SEEKING THE MONEY 1 6 2 2 22 33(faulkner c)AVILES YAN 119 6.00 16% 5.40 8.60 S
ANIMO STAR 5 7 712½ 715 712½ 68 410 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 12.00 19.00  
FAITHFUL SOLUTION 3 5 4 48 610½ 710 511½ (skerrett jeffre)BARBARAN ERIK 124 10.00 11.50  
BEAUTIFUL LASS 4 10 913½ 611 5 4613¾ (mora)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 4.50 5.40  
10  LATE DATE 10 9 1018½ 1021 816½ 812½ 716 (lopez a)TAPARA BRANDON 124 10.00 47.70  
KERRI'S MIRACLE 6 4 3 36 3 58 816¼ (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 126 12.00 15% 5.50 6.70  
SWEETER THAN HONEY 2 8 611½ 816½ 1019¾ 917½ 924½ (lopez carlos )SEVERINO VICTOR 124 20.00 53.00  
GIMME CLEARANCE 9 2 813½ 917½ 919½ 1018½ 1025 (silva fernando)GONZALEZ A 124 20.00 ######  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.