Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Mahoning Valley
Tuesday - February 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MVR-4   WIN (1/6/3/2/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00  2 $19.80 $9.80 98%
    EXA (1/6/3/2/7)-(1/6/3/2/7) 20 $2.00 $40.00  2-7 $137.40 $97.40 244%
    DD (3/1/4)-(1/6/3/2/7) 15 $2.00 $30.00  3-2 $43.20 $13.20 44%
    PK3 (5/1/2)-(3/1/4)-(1/6/3/2/7) 45 $0.50 $22.50  5-3-2 $53.90 $31.40 140%
MVR-8   WIN (12/5/1/9/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00  12 $11.40 $1.40 14%
    EXA (12/5/1/9/8)-(12/5/1/9/8) 20 $2.00 $40.00  12-1 $43.00 $3.00 8%
    TRI (12/5/1/9/8)-(12/5/1/9/8)-(12/5/1/9/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00  12-1-5 $40.70 $10.70 36%
MVR-9   WIN (2/3/9/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00  5 $11.80 $3.80 48%
    EXA (2/3/9/5)-(2/9/5/3/7) 16 $2.00 $32.00  5-3 $100.20 $68.20 213%
    DD (12/5/1/9/8)-(2/3/9/5) 20 $2.00 $40.00  12-5 $80.80 $40.80 102%
    PK3 (5/6/2)-(12/5/1/9/8)-(2/3/9/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00  5-12-5 $38.15 $8.15 27%

Simulator Race results

 
MVR-1   02/14/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:35
See original race card.
:232 :481       1:083   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARIMBA 1 2 1nk 1½   1 1 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 126 2.50 16% 5.20 1.30 W
IRON BERTIE 4 4 42 32   2 2 (fiesman r)CORREA L 126 2.00 19% 4.30 2.10 P
STRAIGHT TO GO 2 5 6 5   46 37 (fletcher jeff)DIAZ R 126 4.00 18% 4.60 7.60 S
ADRIANA ES BONITA 3 1 2nk 2½   3 410 (cordero)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 3.00 14% 6.10 3.30  
PRINCESS TONI 5 3 3½ 43   59 514¼ (hernandez jav)CEDILLO MAURO 113 8.00 8.90  
PACKIN 6 6 55 69   621 629¾ (norris steph)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 15.00 13% 6.80 26.10  
 
MVR-2   02/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
See original race card.
:26 :501 1:163 1:303   1:452   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ORBITING THE SKY 5 4 53 5 4 3 1hd (sullivan ellio)GONZALEZ A 124 2.50 43% 1.30 1.70 W
GALILEO'S AFFAIR 6 6 66 68 67 5 2hd (calderon ivan)AVILES YAN 119 4.00 3.70 P
SUPER DONNA G 4 3 2½ 1½ 13 1 3¼ (logston chri)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 8.00 12.40  
NO SNIVELING 1 5 32 3 23 2 4 (londono j)VIGIL NOEL 124 3.00 13% 6.80 3.90  
PRANCIPANTS 3 2 43 4 3 4 5 (sanchez oscar)CEDILLO MAURO 119 5.00 5.70  
FLECK 7 7 79 712 710 7 6 (spiess)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 10.00 7.40  
KEYPIT 2 1 1½ 2½ 5 6 711½ (pappada)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 124 6.00 10% 8.60 8.80  
 
MVR-3   02/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3 ALL PT- 1:35
See original race card.
:243 :481 1:004     1:142   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ABKER 2 4 1nk 1   1 17 (wong jonathan)GONZALEZ ALEX 122 2.50 37% 1.70 1.50 W
  (by OUTWORK out of SHEZGOODASITGETS by WIMBLEDON)
HITSVILLE 3 8 2nk 2   2 27 (waltz brian)HOUGHTON D 122 2.00 29% 2.40 1.50  
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of IHAVETOGO by SHOWING UP)
WARHORSE WEST 5 1 5 4   3 3 (rone penny)AVILES YAN 117 15.00 20.90 S
  (by WEST COAST out of HIDDEN MYSTERY by HIDDEN CAPITAL)
DON'T CROSS JACK 1 5 4 5   6 410 (tooley jenni)AYALA J 122 8.00 12.40  
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of AQUITANIA by SLEW THE KNIGHT)
SCREAMING JEREMY 4 6 3.2 32   5 514 (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 122 10.00 10% 9.30 18.30  
  (by NIAGARA CAUSEWAY out of SURELY SENSIBLE by STREET SENSE)
1A  MOTOWN COLLECTION 6 2 6 6   712¾ 614¼ (rone penny)RIVERA R 122 2.00 1.50  
  (by COLLECTED out of DREAM OF BERTIE by READY'S IMAGE)
VOORHEES 7 7 8 7   48 716¼ (hamm timothy)PEREZ E 122 6.00 22.70  
  (by MASTERY out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
ELIZA'S HONOR 8 3 7 8   815¾ 820¼ (cowans willia)BRACHO A 122 3.00 3.50  
  (by STREET BOSS out of QUASANTE by HARD SPUN)
 
MVR-4   02/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:03
See original race card.
:233 :472 1:01     1:154   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHE MAKES ME TIZZY 1 1 23 2   2½ 1½ (bernardini ja)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 8.00 8% 11.40 8.90 W
SABELLE 6 2 13 1   1½ 2½ (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 12.00 5% 17.70 7.70 P
TARA DAWN 4 3 3 4   34 3¾ (spiess m)DIAZ I 124 15.00 9.20  
GRAN MAMIBELLA 2 5 58 6   55 4¾ (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 124 6.00 15% 5.80 4.00  
ANDIAMA 3 6 68 3   45 5 (huffman candac)GONZALEZ A 124 5.00 3.30  
WILLYMAR 5 4 4 5   610 611½ (rangel arnul)CALLEJA ANDRES 119 1.60 16% 5.30 1.00  
SCR  RAP STAR               (wineba)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 2.00 28% 2.60    
 
MVR-5   02/14/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:31
See original race card.
:224 :473       1:081   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOREST SELECTION 7 1 2nk 2nk   1nk 1nk (robillard jul)CEDILLO MAURO 121 8.00 5.90  
10  EL ROSILLO 9 4 4¼ 3.2   2nk 2nk (elliott m)BERMUDEZ E 126 3.50 15% 5.70 1.70 P
VAMONOS 2 6 6 5   4 3 (brafford michell)AVILES YAN 113 5.00 3.90 S
CHIEF MYSTIQUE 6 9 7 6   86 4 (hernan)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 12.00 10.40  
BUILT LIKE TARZAN 1 7 89 8   7 5 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 20.00 43.10  
PERFECT SPLIT 5 3 1nk 1nk   3½ 6 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 126 20.00 63.50  
ROGERS GINGER 8 2 3.2 4   5 78 (huffman candac)GONZALEZ A 126 6.00 44% 1.30 5.50  
COPPER HARBOR 4 8 99 98   98 8 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 126 4.50 8.40  
HEARNS 3 5 5 7   6 99 (bernardini ja)GONZALEZ ALEX 126 4.00 14% 5.90 7.30  
SCR  PAPER FLOWERS               (trevino ste)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 10.00    
 
MVR-6   02/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:01
See original race card.
:242 :483 1:013     1:16   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DONTLOSETHATNUMBER 9 2 11 1   12 11 (erwin andrew)AVILES YAN 124 3.50 6.60  
HALOFIED 3 4 31 3   22 21 (gonzalez )CORREA L 124 10.00 17.40  
TEAM GOLD DIGGER 4 7 7 65   46 3 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 126 8.00 4.80 S
HEIDI T 2 10 10 1010¾   78 46 (cloust)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 6.00 26% 2.80 3.70  
10  KNOT WILD 10 1 21 2   3 5 (sandy stephen )HOUGHTON D 124 4.00 7.60  
FREE TO RUN 5 8 53 4   56 6 (van den)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 5.00 8.90  
1A  FIVE ROSES LUNA 8 3 6 54   6 7 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 15.00 5% 19.00 15.40  
BEING CREATIVE 6 6 9 79   812 8 (sanchez oscar)CEDILLO MAURO 119 20.00 42.90  
WHAT'S SO FUNNY 7 9 8 8   912¼ 911 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 126 4.50 46% 1.20 1.80  
RUN AWAY FEVER 1 5 4 9   1012¾ 1014¼ (spiess m)DIAZ I 124 15.00 15.40  
SCR  DREAM TO WIN               (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 20.00    
 
MVR-7   02/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($40.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:34
See original race card.
:24 :473 1:002     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
R THREE ANGELS 4 1 11 1   1 1 (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 124 1.40 52% 0.90 0.40 W
ROLLIN ALL THE WAY 3 2 3 2   2 2 (urieta johan)AYALA J 124 6.00 8.50  
BOX STEP 2 4 43 4   39 313½ (yoder d)RIVERA R 124 8.00 10.20 S
POWER BANKER 1 3 21 3   410½ 416 (cline robert)ROSARIO L 126 3.50 2.10  
SCR  AUNT BEE               (cash l)AVILES YAN 119 5.00 14% 6.10    
SCR  NANCY'S LESLIE               (cowans william)GONZALEZ A 124 4.50 9% 9.70    
 
MVR-8   02/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:04
See original race card.
:234 :473 1:003     1:144   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  AWESOMELY SHY 11 1 3½ 1nk   11 1 (west aaro)BERMUDEZ E 124 4.00 18% 4.60 4.70 W
YEARS AGO 1 6 1nk 2nk   21 2 (rone penny)AVILES YAN 119 3.00 11% 8.10 3.00 P
LOVELY LISA 5 5 2nk 3.2   34 3 (hernan)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 5.00 16% 5.20 2.90 S
RACEDAY ATTIRE 4 8 53 5   46 4 (sanchez oscar)CEDILLO MAURO 119 10.00 10.50  
BOURBONWITHGINGER 8 2 4 4   57 5 (tooley jenni)AYALA J 124 6.00 10% 9.10 6.40  
10  GRAY ROYALITY 9 3 6 7   710½ 69 (st david)HOUGHTON D 124 15.00 34.00  
11  PURDY PUMKIN 10 4 10 8   811 710 (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 124 12.00 6.30  
BLANQUITA NIEVE 3 10 7 6   610½ 810½ (torres )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 15.00 41.90  
CALTHA 7 7 8 9   911½ 911½ (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 8.00 9.30  
SKY 6 9 9 1010   1013½ 1012¼ (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 20.00 44.10  
MY GLORY 2 11 11 1112   1123½ 1139¾ (murillo rodri)BRACHO A 124 20.00 62.20  
SCR  ROSE KNOWS               (skerrett jeffrey)PEREZ E 124 12.00 8% 11.20    
 
MVR-9   02/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3 ALL PT- 4:32
See original race card.
:231 :474 1:014     1:161   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRONZE KETTLE 5 7 611 5   35 1½ (pappada)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 8.00 15% 5.70 4.90 W
  (by KETTLE CORN out of PRINCESS CLAIRE by FREE THINKING)
PROSECUTOR 3 3 2nk 11   1 2½ (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 122 10.00 15% 5.70 9.70 P
  (by CORFU out of LITTLEMISS ALLISON by JUMP START)
INDY CARR 6 8 813½ 612½   57 3 (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 117 6.00 7.10  
  (by INDY WIND out of MISS CARRERA by MEMO (CHI))
FLAG RAISER 8 5 4 4   2 4 (gorham ro)CORREA L 122 5.00 12.90  
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of PRINCESS ADELYN by TALE OF THE CAT)
PEDAL TO DA KETTLE 4 9 915½ 817½   611 5 (schuste)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 4.00 10.60  
  (by KETTLE CORN out of HERONETTA by MARCHFIELD)
IPPOLITO'S WONDER 7 1 3 34   46 6 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 4.50 2.30  
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of WHY WONDER by STEVIE WONDERBOY)
GHOSTLY REVIVAL 9 2 5 714½   720 737 (romero)BATISTA ALBERTO 117 15.00 15% 5.70 4.10  
  (by KISS THE GHOST out of HOT TUB HOLIDAY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
WHY KENNY WHY 1 6 711½ 921   832 844¼ (crumley jevon)HOUGHTON D 122 10.00 31.00  
  (by GLOBAL POWER out of WHY US by WHYWHYWHY)
OHIO RIVER 2 4 1nk 21   9100 9100 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 122 3.50 31% 2.30 5.50  
  (by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of DOLL DREAMS by HENNY HUGHES)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.