The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Mahoning Valley Race Course
Tuesday - February 14, 2023

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MVR-1   02/14/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:35
:232 :481       1:083   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARIMBA 1 2 1nk 1½   11(bernardini jay )BARBARAN ERIK 126 2.50 16% 5.20 1.30 W
IRON BERTIE 4 4 42 32   22(fiesman rob)CORREA L 126 2.00 19% 4.30 2.10 P
STRAIGHT TO GO 2 5 6 5   46 37 (fletcher jeff)DIAZ R 126 4.00 18% 4.60 7.60 S
ADRIANA ES BONITA 3 1 2nk 2½   3410 (cordero-l)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 3.00 14% 6.10 3.30  
PRINCESS TONI 5 3 3½ 43   59 514¼ (hernandez javie)CEDILLO MAURO 113 8.00 8.90  
PACKIN 6 6 55 69   621 629¾ (norris stephan)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 15.00 13% 6.80 26.10  
 
MVR-2   02/14/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
:26 :501 1:163 1:303   1:452   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ORBITING THE SKY 5 4 53 5 4 31hd (sullivan elliott)GONZALEZ A 124 2.50 43% 1.30 1.70 W
GALILEO'S AFFAIR 6 6 66 68 67 52hd (calderon ivan)AVILES YAN 119 4.00 3.70 P
SUPER DONNA G 4 3 2½ 1½ 13 13¼ (logston christ)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 8.00 12.40  
NO SNIVELING 1 5 32 3 23 24(londono j)VIGIL NOEL 124 3.00 13% 6.80 3.90  
PRANCIPANTS 3 2 43 4 3 45(sanchez oscar)CEDILLO MAURO 119 5.00 5.70  
FLECK 7 7 79 712 710 76(spiess s)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 10.00 7.40  
KEYPIT 2 1 1½ 2½ 5 6711½ (pappada j)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 124 6.00 10% 8.60 8.80  
 
MVR-3   02/14/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($24.3K) 3 ALL PT- 1:35
:243 :481 1:004     1:142   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ABKER 2 4 1nk 1   117 (wong jonathan)GONZALEZ ALEX 122 2.50 37% 1.70 1.50 W
HITSVILLE 3 8 2nk 2   227 (waltz brian)HOUGHTON D 122 2.00 29% 2.40 1.50  
WARHORSE WEST 5 1 5 4   33(rone penny)AVILES YAN 117 15.00 20.90 S
DON'T CROSS JACK 1 5 4 5   6410 (tooley jennife)AYALA J 122 8.00 12.40  
SCREAMING JEREMY 4 6 3.2 32   5514 (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 122 10.00 10% 9.30 18.30  
1A  MOTOWN COLLECTION 6 2 6 6   712¾ 614¼ (rone penny)RIVERA R 122 2.00 1.50  
VOORHEES 7 7 8 7   48 716¼ (hamm timothy)PEREZ E 122 6.00 22.70  
ELIZA'S HONOR 8 3 7 8   815¾ 820¼ (cowans william )BRACHO A 122 3.00 3.50  
 
MVR-4   02/14/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:03
:233 :472 1:01     1:154   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHE MAKES ME TIZZY 1 1 23 2   2½ 1½ (bernardini jay )GONZALEZ ALEX 124 8.00 8% 11.40 8.90 W
SABELLE 6 2 13 1   1½ 2½ (cast)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 12.00 5% 17.70 7.70 P
TARA DAWN 4 3 3 4   34 3¾ (spiess m)DIAZ I 124 15.00 9.20  
GRAN MAMIBELLA 2 5 58 6   55 4¾ (szczepanski emi)TOLEDO S 124 6.00 15% 5.80 4.00  
ANDIAMA 3 6 68 3   45 5(huffman candace )GONZALEZ A 124 5.00 3.30  
WILLYMAR 5 4 4 5   610 611½ (rangel arnulfo)CALLEJA ANDRES 119 1.60 16% 5.30 1.00  
SCR  RAP STAR               (winebaug)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 2.00 28% 2.60    
 
MVR-5   02/14/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:31
:224 :473       1:081   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOREST SELECTION 7 1 2nk 2nk   1nk 1nk (robillard julie)CEDILLO MAURO 121 8.00 5.90  
10  EL ROSILLO 9 4 4¼ 3.2   2nk 2nk (elliott mic)BERMUDEZ E 126 3.50 15% 5.70 1.70 P
VAMONOS 2 6 6 5   43(brafford michelle )AVILES YAN 113 5.00 3.90 S
CHIEF MYSTIQUE 6 9 7 6   86 4(hernande)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 12.00 10.40  
BUILT LIKE TARZAN 1 7 89 8   75(casa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 20.00 43.10  
PERFECT SPLIT 5 3 1nk 1nk   3½ 6(spiess m)YARANGA Y 126 20.00 63.50  
ROGERS GINGER 8 2 3.2 4   578 (huffman candace )GONZALEZ A 126 6.00 44% 1.30 5.50  
COPPER HARBOR 4 8 99 98   98 8(gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 126 4.50 8.40  
HEARNS 3 5 5 7   699 (bernardini jay )GONZALEZ ALEX 126 4.00 14% 5.90 7.30  
SCR  PAPER FLOWERS               (trevino steph)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 10.00    
 
MVR-6   02/14/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:01
:242 :483 1:013     1:16   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DONTLOSETHATNUMBER 9 2 11 1   12 11 (erwin andrew)AVILES YAN 124 3.50 6.60  
HALOFIED 3 4 31 3   22 21 (gonzalez do)CORREA L 124 10.00 17.40  
TEAM GOLD DIGGER 4 7 7 65   46 3(ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 126 8.00 4.80 S
HEIDI T 2 10 10 1010¾   78 46 (clouston)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 6.00 26% 2.80 3.70  
10  KNOT WILD 10 1 21 2   35(sandy s)HOUGHTON D 124 4.00 7.60  
FREE TO RUN 5 8 53 4   56 6(van denni)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 5.00 8.90  
1A  FIVE ROSES LUNA 8 3 6 54   67(spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 15.00 5% 19.00 15.40  
BEING CREATIVE 6 6 9 79   812 8(sanchez oscar)CEDILLO MAURO 119 20.00 42.90  
WHAT'S SO FUNNY 7 9 8 8   912¼ 911 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 126 4.50 46% 1.20 1.80  
RUN AWAY FEVER 1 5 4 9   1012¾ 1014¼ (spiess m)DIAZ I 124 15.00 15.40  
SCR  DREAM TO WIN               (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 20.00    
 
MVR-7   02/14/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($40.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:34
:24 :473 1:002     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
R THREE ANGELS 4 1 11 1   11(dacosta jason)DIAZ I 124 1.40 52% 0.90 0.40 W
ROLLIN ALL THE WAY 3 2 3 2   22(urieta johanna)AYALA J 124 6.00 8.50  
BOX STEP 2 4 43 4   39 313½ (yoder d)RIVERA R 124 8.00 10.20 S
POWER BANKER 1 3 21 3   410½ 416 (cline c)ROSARIO L 126 3.50 2.10  
SCR  AUNT BEE               (cash l)AVILES YAN 119 5.00 14% 6.10    
SCR  NANCY'S LESLIE               (cowans d)GONZALEZ A 124 4.50 9% 9.70    
 
MVR-8   02/14/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($26.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:04
:234 :473 1:003     1:144   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  AWESOMELY SHY 11 1 3½ 1nk   11 1(west aaron )BERMUDEZ E 124 4.00 18% 4.60 4.70 W
YEARS AGO 1 6 1nk 2nk   21 2(rone penny)AVILES YAN 119 3.00 11% 8.10 3.00 P
LOVELY LISA 5 5 2nk 3.2   34 3(hernande)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 5.00 16% 5.20 2.90 S
RACEDAY ATTIRE 4 8 53 5   46 4(sanchez oscar)CEDILLO MAURO 119 10.00 10.50  
BOURBONWITHGINGER 8 2 4 4   57 5(tooley jennife)AYALA J 124 6.00 10% 9.10 6.40  
10  GRAY ROYALITY 9 3 6 7   710½ 69 (st david)HOUGHTON D 124 15.00 34.00  
11  PURDY PUMKIN 10 4 10 8   811 710 (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 124 12.00 6.30  
BLANQUITA NIEVE 3 10 7 6   610½ 810½ (torres er)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 15.00 41.90  
CALTHA 7 7 8 9   911½ 911½ (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 124 8.00 9.30  
SKY 6 9 9 1010   1013½ 1012¼ (casa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 20.00 44.10  
MY GLORY 2 11 11 1112   1123½ 1139¾ (murillo rodrigu)BRACHO A 124 20.00 62.20  
SCR  ROSE KNOWS               (skerrett jeffrey)PEREZ E 124 12.00 8% 11.20    
 
MVR-9   02/14/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($31.8K) 3 ALL PT- 4:32
:231 :474 1:014     1:161   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRONZE KETTLE 5 7 611 5   35 1½ (pappada j)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 8.00 15% 5.70 4.90 W
PROSECUTOR 3 3 2nk 11   12½ (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 122 10.00 15% 5.70 9.70 P
INDY CARR 6 8 813½ 612½   57 3(tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 117 6.00 7.10  
FLAG RAISER 8 5 4 4   24(gorham robe)CORREA L 122 5.00 12.90  
PEDAL TO DA KETTLE 4 9 915½ 817½   611 5(schuster )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 4.00 10.60  
IPPOLITO'S WONDER 7 1 3 34   46 6(casa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 4.50 2.30  
GHOSTLY REVIVAL 9 2 5 714½   720 737 (romero j)BATISTA ALBERTO 117 15.00 15% 5.70 4.10  
WHY KENNY WHY 1 6 711½ 921   832 844¼ (crumley jevon)HOUGHTON D 122 10.00 31.00  
OHIO RIVER 2 4 1nk 21   9100 9100 (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 122 3.50 31% 2.30 5.50  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.