Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Tuesday - February 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (4/2/1/3/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/2/1/3/6)-(4/2/1/3/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/2/1/3/6)-(4/2/1/3/6)-(4/2/1/3/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/2/1/3/6)-(5/1/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (4/2/1/3/6)-(5/1/2)-(3/1/4) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
MVR-2   WIN (5/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/2)-(5/1/2/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/2)-(5/1/2/6/3)-(5/1/2/6/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (5/1/2)-(3/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/1/2)-(3/1/4)-(6/3/2/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-3   WIN (3/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/4)-(1/3/4/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/4)-(1/3/4/7/5)-(1/3/4/7/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/1/4)-(6/3/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/1/4)-(6/3/2/7)-(9/10/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-4   WIN (6/3/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/2/7)-(6/3/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/2/7)-(6/3/2/7)-(6/3/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3/2/7)-(9/10/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/3/2/7)-(9/10/3)-(8/2/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-5   WIN (9/10/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/10/3)-(9/10/3/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/10/3)-(9/10/3/4/2)-(9/10/3/4/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (9/10/3)-(8/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (9/10/3)-(8/2/1)-(5) 9 $0.50 $4.50 
MVR-6   WIN (8/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/2/1)-(8/2/5/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/1)-(8/2/5/1/6)-(8/2/5/1/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (8/2/1)-(5) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (8/2/1)-(5)-(12/5/1/9) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
MVR-7   WIN (5) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (5)-(5/1/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI (5)-(5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 2 $0.50 $1.00 
    DD (5)-(12/5/1/9) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (5)-(12/5/1/9)-(2/3/5/9) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
MVR-8   WIN (12/5/1/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (12/5/1/9)-(12/5/1/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (12/5/1/9)-(12/5/1/9)-(12/5/1/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (12/5/1/9)-(2/3/5/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
MVR-9   WIN (2/3/5/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/5/9)-(2/3/5/9/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/3/5/9)-(2/3/5/9/7)-(2/3/5/9/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   02/14/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARIMBA Jan30 Jan12 Dec28 Nov16 Nov04 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 126 2.50 16% 5.20    
2  STRAIGHT TO GO Jan30 Nov09 Oct10 Sep19 Sep07 (fletcher jeff)DIAZ R 126 4.00 18% 4.60    
3  ADRIANA ES BONITA Jan11 Oct11 Sep15 Sep01 Jul14 (cordero)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 3.00 14% 6.10    
4  IRON BERTIE Jan30 Jan12 Dec11 Nov25 Oct29 (fiesman r)CORREA L 126 2.00 19% 4.30    
5  PRINCESS TONI Jan11 Dec11 Dec02 Nov12 Nov02 (hernandez jav)CEDILLO MAURO 113 8.00    
6  PACKIN Jan12 Dec28 Nov16 Nov01 Oct11 (norris steph)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 15.00 13% 6.80    
 
MVR-2   02/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NO SNIVELING Jan30 Jan04 Oct11 Sep16 Sep01 (londono j)VIGIL NOEL 124 3.00 13% 6.80    
2  KEYPIT Jan30 Dec29 Dec07 Oct24 Oct06 (pappada)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 124 6.00 10% 8.60    
3  PRANCIPANTS Jan30 Jan10 Dec31 Dec18 Dec03 (sanchez oscar)CEDILLO MAURO 119 5.00 ★    
4  SUPER DONNA G Dec11 Dec05 Nov14 Oct31 Oct10 (logston chri)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 8.00    
5  ORBITING THE SKY Feb07 Jan03 Nov14 Oct31 Jul21 (sullivan elliot)REYES FRANK 124 2.50 43% 1.30    
6  GALILEO'S AFFAIR Jan30 Jan10 Dec22 Dec05 Nov22 (calderon ivan)AVILES YAN 119 4.00 ★    
7  FLECK Jan30 Jan10 Dec22 Dec05 Oct17 (spiess)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 10.00    
 
MVR-3   02/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3 ALL PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HITSVILLE Jan11 Sep21       (waltz brian)HOUGHTON D 122 2.00 29% 2.40    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of IHAVETOGO by SHOWING UP)
1A  MOTOWN COLLECTION Dec30 Dec07 Nov16 Aug23   (rone penny)RIVERA R 122 2.00 ★    
  (by COLLECTED out of DREAM OF BERTIE by READY'S IMAGE)
2  DON'T CROSS JACK Dec30 Dec09 Jun29     (tooley jenni)AYALA J 122 8.00    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of AQUITANIA by SLEW THE KNIGHT)
3  ABKER Jan11         (wong jonathan)GONZALEZ ALEX 122 2.50 37% 1.70    
  (by OUTWORK out of SHEZGOODASITGETS by WIMBLEDON)
4  SCREAMING JEREMY         (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 122 10.00 10% 9.30    
  (by NIAGARA CAUSEWAY out of SURELY SENSIBLE by STREET SENSE)
5  WARHORSE WEST Dec30 Dec07 Oct27 Oct14 Sep24 (rone penny)AVILES YAN 117 15.00 ★    
  (by WEST COAST out of HIDDEN MYSTERY by HIDDEN CAPITAL)
6  VOORHEES Oct11         (hamm timothy)PEREZ E 122 6.00    
  (by MASTERY out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
7  ELIZA'S HONOR Jan06         (cowans willia)BRACHO A 122 3.00 ★    
  (by STREET BOSS out of QUASANTE by HARD SPUN)
 
MVR-4   02/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  RAP STAR Dec17 Nov25 Oct30 Oct11 Sep20 (wineba)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 2.00 28% 2.60    
2  SHE MAKES ME TIZZY Jan19 Dec22 Dec05 Nov22 Nov07 (bernardini ja)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 8.00 8% 11.40    
3  GRAN MAMIBELLA Jan19 Jan05 Dec05 Nov22 Nov08 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 124 6.00 15% 5.80    
4  ANDIAMA Jan10 Dec07 Nov22 Nov01 Jun07 (huffman candac)GONZALEZ A 124 5.00    
5  TARA DAWN Jan19 Dec22 Nov28 Nov06 Mar31 (spiess m)DIAZ I 124 15.00    
6  WILLYMAR Jan19 Jan11 Dec22 Dec14 Nov28 (rangel arnul)CALLEJA ANDRES 119 1.60 16% 5.30    
7  SABELLE Jan19 Dec22 Dec07 Nov22 Nov08 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 12.00 5% 17.70    
 
MVR-5   02/14/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BUILT LIKE TARZAN Jan30 Jan12 Dec06 Nov23 Nov08 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 20.00    
2  VAMONOS Jan11 Dec22 Dec02 Sep26 Sep07 (brafford michell)AVILES YAN 113 5.00 ★    
3  HEARNS Jan27 Dec07 Nov25 Oct30 Oct16 (bernardini ja)GONZALEZ ALEX 126 4.00 14% 5.90    
4  COPPER HARBOR Jan30 Jan12 Nov23 Nov02 Oct13 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 126 4.50 ★    
5  PERFECT SPLIT Jan12 Jan02 Dec05 Nov09 Oct31 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 126 20.00    
6  CHIEF MYSTIQUE Jan20 Dec31 Dec11 Nov20 Aug11 (hernan)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 12.00    
SCR  PAPER FLOWERS Jan12 Dec14 Apr04 Mar09 Jan04 (trevino ste)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 10.00    
8  FOREST SELECTION Aug05 Jul08 Jun17 May20   (robillard jul)CEDILLO MAURO 121 8.00    
9  ROGERS GINGER Jan30 Jan02 Dec06 Nov17 Nov08 (huffman candac)GONZALEZ A 126 6.00 44% 1.30    
10  EL ROSILLO Aug06 Jul29 Jul10     (elliott m)BERMUDEZ E 126 3.50 15% 5.70    
 
MVR-6   02/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUN AWAY FEVER Jan31 Jan18 Dec12 Dec05 Nov08 (spiess m)DIAZ I 124 15.00    
1A  FIVE ROSES LUNA Feb01 Dec20 Dec10 Nov27 Nov08 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  HEIDI T Jan27 Dec03 Nov12 Oct22 Oct01 (cloust)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 6.00 26% 2.80    
3  HALOFIED Jan31 Jan03 Dec14 Nov22 Nov01 (gonzalez )CORREA L 124 10.00    
SCR  DREAM TO WIN Jan18 Jul12 Jun13 May26 Jan14 (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 20.00    
5  TEAM GOLD DIGGER Jan24 Dec12 Nov23 May03 Apr18 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 126 8.00 ★    
6  FREE TO RUN Jan31 Jan05 Dec12 Nov29 Nov23 (van d)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 5.00 ★    
7  BEING CREATIVE Jan30 Jan18 Dec31 Dec10 Nov20 (sanchez oscar)CEDILLO MAURO 119 20.00    
8  WHAT'S SO FUNNY Feb01 Dec14 Nov22 Oct06 Sep21 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 126 4.50 46% 1.20    
9  DONTLOSETHATNUMBER Dec12 Nov30 Nov22 Nov08 Sep27 (erwin andrew)AVILES YAN 124 3.50    
10  KNOT WILD Jan21 Jan07 Dec11 Nov22 Sep29 (sandy stephen )HOUGHTON D 124 4.00    
 
MVR-7   02/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($40.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POWER BANKER Jan18 Dec30 Nov16 Nov03 Sep23 (cline robert )BRACHO A 126 3.50 ★    
SCR  NANCY'S LESLIE Dec06 Oct29 Oct05 Aug24 Jul19 (cowans william)GONZALEZ A 124 4.50 9% 9.70    
3  BOX STEP Jan28 Dec30 Dec20 Dec05 Nov22 (yoder d)RIVERA R 124 8.00 ★    
4  ROLLIN ALL THE WAY Jan28 Dec30 Dec20 Nov28 Nov10 (urieta johan)AYALA J 124 6.00    
5  R THREE ANGELS Jan18 Nov21 Oct29 Oct04 Aug26 (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 124 1.40 52% 0.90    
SCR  AUNT BEE Jan18 Dec30 Dec20 Nov28 Nov12 (cash l)AVILES YAN 119 5.00 14% 6.10    
 
MVR-8   02/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YEARS AGO Jan28 Dec29 Dec08 Nov21 Nov02 (rone penny)AVILES YAN 119 3.00 11% 8.10    
2  MY GLORY Jan15 Jan07 Jul11 Jun08 Jan21 (murillo rodrigu)REYES FRANK 124 20.00    
3  BLANQUITA NIEVE Dec13 Nov07 Oct16 Oct02 Sep18 (torres )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 15.00    
4  RACEDAY ATTIRE Dec18 Dec04 Nov01 Oct11 Sep20 (sanchez oscar)CEDILLO MAURO 119 10.00    
5  LOVELY LISA Jan19 Dec12 Nov10 Oct19 Sep19 (hernan)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 5.00 16% 5.20    
6  SKY Jan28 Jan09 Dec06 Nov14 Nov07 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 20.00    
7  CALTHA Jan28 Jan09 Sep15 Aug31 Jul11 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 8.00    
SCR  ROSE KNOWS Jan28 Jan09 Dec13 Nov14 Oct26 (skerrett jeffrey)PEREZ E 124 12.00 8% 11.20    
9  BOURBONWITHGINGER Jan09 Dec01 Nov09 Oct13 Sep15 (tooley jenni)AYALA J 124 6.00 10% 9.10    
10  GRAY ROYALITY Jan28 Dec13 Nov30 Nov14 Oct26 (st david)HOUGHTON D 124 15.00    
11  PURDY PUMKIN Jan28 Jan09 Dec15 Dec01 Nov14 (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 124 12.00    
12  AWESOMELY SHY Jan09 Dec08 Oct26 Sep15 Aug08 (west aaro)BERMUDEZ E 124 4.00 18% 4.60    
 
MVR-9   02/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3 ALL PT- 4:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHY KENNY WHY Jan12         (crumley jevon)HOUGHTON D 122 10.00    
  (by GLOBAL POWER out of WHY US by WHYWHYWHY)
2  OHIO RIVER Jan12 Dec29       (radosevich je)BRACHO A 122 3.50 31% 2.30    
  (by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of DOLL DREAMS by HENNY HUGHES)
3  PROSECUTOR         (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 122 10.00 15% 5.70    
  (by CORFU out of LITTLEMISS ALLISON by JUMP START)
4  PEDAL TO DA KETTLE Jan24 Jan12 Dec29 Dec14 Nov30 (schuste)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 4.00    
  (by KETTLE CORN out of HERONETTA by MARCHFIELD)
5  BRONZE KETTLE         (pappada)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 8.00 15% 5.70    
  (by KETTLE CORN out of PRINCESS CLAIRE by FREE THINKING)
6  INDY CARR Aug18 Jul11 Jun28     (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 117 6.00    
  (by INDY WIND out of MISS CARRERA by MEMO (CHI))
7  IPPOLITO'S WONDER Jan12 Dec30 Dec14 Aug02   (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 4.50 ★    
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of WHY WONDER by STEVIE WONDERBOY)
8  FLAG RAISER Nov14 Oct29 Oct11     (gorham ro)CORREA L 122 5.00    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of PRINCESS ADELYN by TALE OF THE CAT)
9  GHOSTLY REVIVAL         (romero)BATISTA ALBERTO 117 15.00 15% 5.70    
  (by KISS THE GHOST out of HOT TUB HOLIDAY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.