Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Charles Town
Saturday - December 03, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
CT-1   12/03/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
See original race card.
:24 :48 1:143     1:213   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DON'T TELL GRANDMA 4 1 1½ 11   1nk 1¾ (runco c)LEWIS M 111 3.00 27% 2.70 3.40 W
MISS COREY 1 2 3 21   2nk 2¾ (badillo jonathan)CRUZ ANGEL 122 1.80 1.70 P
HEIDI T 2 3 5 3   315 317¾ (joy kevin)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 2.50 30% 2.40 1.30 S
WATERLOO ROSE 6 6 620½ 620½   625½ 420 (tobin l)LARROSA G 122 15.00 26.30  
LOOKIN BACK 3 4 4 5   519½ 527½ (butts e)RODRIGUEZ V 122 20.00 6% 16.20 51.30  
SELENA SING 5 5 2½ 4   419 630 (hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 3.00 6.20  
 
CT-2   12/03/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($9.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
See original race card.
:243 :50 1:154     1:293   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THUNDERTURTLE 3 4 21 2½   1 15 (capuano dale)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 0.60 33% 2.00 0.20 W
CHIT CHAT GIRL 4 3 32 42   35 25 (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 122 4.50 11% 7.80 2.90 P
MOONLIGHT MISS 6 6 5 3   2 3 (shanley timothy)BAEZ M 115 12.00 5% 19.00 21.20 S
RHYTHM TREE 2 1 11 1½   48 413¼ (cornwell jame)RIVERA JAVIER 122 20.00 59.00  
UPSY DAISY DO 1 2 6 64   510½ 515½ (aylor william)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 10.00 12.60  
QUINCYS WAY 5 5 4 5   611 621¾ (barber donal)LEWIS M 115 20.00 41.60  
SCR  LIMONATA               (boyer jr)RIOS-CONDE A 122 4.00 28% 2.50    
 
CT-3   12/03/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:02
See original race card.
:252 :493 1:16     1:224   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS LAUREN 2 3 5 42   31 1¼ (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 3.00 0.80  
HERETODAYGONMANANA 7 6 7 5   4 2¼ (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 122 5.00 17% 4.90 4.50 P
WEST VIRGINIA PAM 4 2 4 2½   2½ 3 (lucas anthony)SIMPSON JASON 122 6.00 11.80  
TINA'S SONG 6 4 1½ 1½   1½ 4 (aylor william)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 15.00 46.10  
HOW IS SHE 3 8 8 8   66 56 (johnson de)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 4.00 19% 4.10 4.70  
CARNIVAL LUCKY 1 1 6 7   56 6 (walters dav)RAMGEET R 120 3.50 14% 6.40 7.30  
DIXIE SUNRISE 8 7 3½ 31   8 711¼ (lewis willi)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 20.00 76.80  
ULTRA DIVA 5 5 2½ 6   7 811½ (baird mic)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 4.50 23% 3.40 9.50  
 
CT-4   12/03/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($21.2K) 2 F PT- 8:32
See original race card.
:234 :481 1:161     1:233   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GATITA SUAVE 3 3 1nk 11   11 1¼ (sanchez-salo)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 4.50 4.70  
SWEET FACTOR 6 6 4 32   31 2¼ (mancilla carlos )CRUZ ANGEL 122 6.00 8.90  
COWGIRL SHINE 8 8 3½ 21   21 3 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 1.20 69% 0.50 0.80 S
CONCERT HALL (IRE) 1 2 7 6   46 4 (davis samuel )TOLEDO JEVIAN 120 8.00 9.00  
GOLDEN SALLY 7 7 5 56   5 5 (mckee d)HO WESLEY 118 10.00 10.80  
BEETHOVEN FRIEZE 4 5 810¾ 89   611 610 (contre)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 4.00 7% 12.40 5.50  
BEAUTIFUL MICHELLE 5 4 6 77   711½ 718¼ (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 118 30.00 39.70  
BLUE AGAVE 2 1 2nk 42   812½ 830½ (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 20.00 31.90  
 
CT-5   12/03/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
See original race card.
:234 :48 1:141     1:284   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOT FLOFFY 6 5 1½ 11   1 13 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 8.00 6% 15.40 16.20 W
PLAYBOY ROY 2 1 6 6   4 23 (reynolds joan)THORPE DARIUS 120 4.50 29% 2.50 7.40 P
MAKE THE WAY CLEAR 7 6 3 3   2 3 (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 120 5.00 17% 4.90 9.30 S
PROUD UNION 1 2 4 43   3 4 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 122 4.00 3.50  
BET ON BITZ 9 9 7 76   6 5 (pickett crys)LEWIS M 111 6.00 10% 8.60 5.80  
RICKYS REVENGE 3 3 9 915   912¾ 69 (hillegass )LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 20.00 38.00  
THE MAN TO SEE 8 8 2½ 21   5 710¾ (gaudet lacey)TOLEDO JEVIAN 120 3.50 2.10  
DIVINING DANCER 4 4 8 811   810¾ 811½ (covello and)RAMGEET R 120 8.00 6.60  
VALIANT GABE 5 7 5 5   710¾ 919½ (nazario pe)MENDOZA JHONATAN 118 12.00 9% 9.70 9.60  
 
CT-6   12/03/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($34.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:32
See original race card.
:241 :481 1:14 1:411   1:481   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DRY WELL 2 2 7 65 4¼ 1 110¼ (walters henry)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 4.00 1.30  
SOMEDAY IS TODAY 7 7 31 43 1nk 2 210¼ (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 2.00 39% 1.60 2.40 P
TIZBIT 4 6 86 811½ 7 512½ 318½ (gillespie ry)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 15.00 48.10 S
DETERMINED CHARM 3 5 5 32 3.2 411 419 (schoenthal p)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 2.50 2.30  
CRUZ IN THE CASTLE 6 4 1½ 1½ 2nk 310 521 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 5.00 12.90  
SOCIAL EXCLUSION 1 1 41 54 6 616 628½ (hillegass )LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 20.00 38% 1.70 47.00  
BELLAMY'SPARTYGIRL 8 8 63 710½ 819¼ 823 731¼ (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 20.00 42.80  
EVANGELINE ALLONS 5 3 2½ 2½ 5 717½ 831¾ (dove j)LEWIS M 111 10.00 19.80  
SCR  DECISIVE CAUSE               (shanley mark)BAEZ M 111 20.00    
 
CT-7   12/03/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 2 ALL PT-10:02
See original race card.
:232 :47 1:124     1:194   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HONEYQUIST 4 1 11 11   12 1 (farrior antho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 0.60 57% 0.70 0.30 W
JUBA'S NOTION 3 2 3 21   22 2 (casey a)LARROSA G 122 6.00 11% 8.00 10.30 P
NO LOVE FOR JUBA 1 4 76 7   46 3 (casey w)BOCACHICA O 122 4.50 6% 16.30 5.90 S
LORD OF CORK 7 7 42 44   36 48 (casey w)THORPE DARIUS 118 20.00 22.20  
NEVERPOPTHECORK 2 5 86 5   6 512½ (casey john )MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 10.00 27.90  
BELLA MELA 5 3 21 34   59 615½ (contrer)NUNEZ ANAHI 115 30.00 56.00  
AREYOUGONNAKISSME 6 6 53 86   710 718 (mckee john)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 20.00 56.30  
PINNACLE REEF 8 8 6 6   812 820¼ (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 12.00 18.30  
STRONG WILLED 9 9 97 917   920 924¼ (farrior anth)BARBOSA JEIRON 110 15.00 5% 19.00 15.90  
 
CT-8   12/03/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
See original race card.
:223 :472       :54   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  RED PRIESTESS 9 2 1½     1 13 (bailes rober)ARAUJO DENIS 124 3.00 17% 4.80 0.50 W
TREAT ME SPECIAL 7 3 64     2 23 (allard)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 4.50 19% 4.30 8.00 P
GREAT DEVOTION 1 7 3     3 3 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 124 3.50 35% 1.80 3.80 S
NOBLE PRESENT 5 4 43     5 4 (rodriguez angel )BAEZ M 114 10.00 37.90  
NORMALIZEDDEVIANCE 2 6 77     6 5 (luqueno giovann)BOCACHICA O 124 8.00 26.70  
MIDNIGHT PASS 4 5 2½     4 610½ (tsiamis w)CECIL Y 121 12.00 6% 16.80 8.10  
FESSIN UP 8 9 8     810¼ 711¼ (stahlin john)LARROSA G 121 6.00 14.50  
BUFFUM'S BEAUTY 6 1 54     7 811½ (mohan david )LEWIS M 116 12.00 62.80  
NANNY'S MISSION 3 8 910¼     912¾ 916¼ (pennella m)RODRIGUEZ V 123 30.00 82.20  
SCR  BLUE BONNIE               (schottroffe e)THORPE DARIUS 123 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.