Handicappers' Racing Form

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Charles Town
Saturday - December 03, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
CT-1   12/03/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS COREY Nov23 Nov09 Oct29 Oct19 Sep22 (badillo jonathanie)CRUZ ANGEL 122 1.80    
HEIDI T Nov12 Oct22 Oct01 Sep15 Aug19 (joy j)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 2.50 30% 2.40    
LOOKIN BACK Oct20 Sep28 Sep10 Aug12 Jul22 (butts e)RODRIGUEZ V 122 20.00 6% 16.20    
DON'T TELL GRANDMA Nov12 Oct22 Sep28 Sep15 Aug13 (runco c)LEWIS M 111 3.00 27% 2.70    
SELENA SING Nov23 Nov01 Oct10 Sep29 Sep15 (hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 3.00    
WATERLOO ROSE Nov19 Nov12 Oct22 Oct06 Sep21 (tobin l)LARROSA G 122 15.00    
 
CT-2   12/03/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($9.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UPSY DAISY DO Nov18 Nov12 Oct22 Oct01 Sep10 (aylor l)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 10.00    
RHYTHM TREE Oct29 Oct22 Sep10 Aug20 Jul30 (cornwell james )RIVERA JAVIER 122 20.00    
THUNDERTURTLE Nov24 Nov10       (capuano dale)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 0.60 33% 2.00    
CHIT CHAT GIRL Nov25 Nov12 Oct15 Oct07 Oct01 (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 122 4.50 11% 7.80    
QUINCYS WAY Sep10 Mar16 Feb12 Jan13   (barber donald )LEWIS M 115 20.00    
MOONLIGHT MISS Nov09 Oct19 Oct01 Sep10 Aug12 (shanley timothy)BAEZ M 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LIMONATA Nov18 Nov01 Oct17 Sep29 Sep22 (boyer jr)RIOS-CONDE A 122 4.00 28% 2.50    
 
CT-3   12/03/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:02
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CARNIVAL LUCKY Oct22 Oct01 Sep08 Aug06 Jun02 (walters david)RAMGEET R 120 3.50 14% 6.40    
MISS LAUREN Nov02 Oct06 Sep15 May25 May13 (grams timot)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 3.00    
HOW IS SHE Nov10 Oct01 Sep08 Jul15 Jun16 (johnson dewa)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 4.00 19% 4.10    
WEST VIRGINIA PAM Nov10 Sep15 Aug25 Aug06 Jul22 (lucas anthony)SIMPSON JASON 122 6.00    
ULTRA DIVA Nov15 Oct18 Sep12 Jul20 Jun28 (baird micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 4.50 23% 3.40    
TINA'S SONG Oct19 Sep28 Jul22 Jul01 Jun23 (aylor l)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 15.00    
HERETODAYGONMANANA Nov03 Sep30 Aug20 Jul21 May28 (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 122 5.00 17% 4.90    
DIXIE SUNRISE Oct22 Sep28 Sep08 Aug05 Jul01 (lewis william)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 20.00    
 
CT-4   12/03/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($21.2K) 2 F PT- 8:32
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CONCERT HALL (IRE) Nov16 Oct27 Oct12 Sep11 Jul09 (davis g)TOLEDO JEVIAN 120 8.00    
BLUE AGAVE Nov16 Oct06 Sep16     (adorno l)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 20.00    
GATITA SUAVE Nov12         (sanchez-salomo)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 4.50    
BEETHOVEN FRIEZE Oct26         (contrera)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 4.00 7% 12.40    
BEAUTIFUL MICHELLE Nov16 Oct26 Oct06     (pickett g)BOCACHICA O 118 30.00    
SWEET FACTOR Nov12 Sep01 Aug12     (mancilla a)CRUZ ANGEL 122 6.00    
GOLDEN SALLY Nov16 Oct21 Sep15 Sep02   (mckee d)HO WESLEY 118 10.00    
COWGIRL SHINE Nov16 Oct26 Oct05 Sep15 Aug27 (farrior anth)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 1.20 69% 0.50    
 
CT-5   12/03/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PROUD UNION Nov18 Oct28 Oct07 Aug20 Jul30 (viands stacey )MARRERO CARLOS 122 4.00    
PLAYBOY ROY Sep30 Sep09 Aug24 Aug06 May26 (reynolds a)THORPE DARIUS 120 4.50 29% 2.50    
RICKYS REVENGE Nov14 Oct13 Sep18 Aug26 Aug08 (hillegass al)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 20.00    
DIVINING DANCER Nov24 Sep30 Sep09 Aug25 Jul29 (covello andre)RAMGEET R 120 8.00    
VALIANT GABE Nov14 Oct05 Sep03 Aug03   (nazario pedr)MENDOZA JHONATAN 118 12.00 9% 9.70    
GOT FLOFFY Nov11 Oct21 Oct07 Sep30 Sep07 (adorno l)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 8.00 6% 15.40    
MAKE THE WAY CLEAR Nov11 Oct26 Oct08 Sep17 Sep02 (pickett g)BOCACHICA O 120 5.00 17% 4.90    
THE MAN TO SEE Oct23 Oct15 Jul15 Jun04   (gaudet lacey)TOLEDO JEVIAN 120 3.50    
BET ON BITZ Nov19 Oct27 Oct06 Sep17 Aug28 (pickett crysta)LEWIS M 111 6.00 10% 8.60    
 
CT-6   12/03/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($34.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:32
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOCIAL EXCLUSION Nov15 Oct26 Sep28 Sep15 Aug31 (hillegass al)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 20.00 38% 1.70    
DRY WELL Nov19 Oct22 Sep30 Aug14 Jul30 (walters henry)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 4.00    
DETERMINED CHARM Nov18 Oct20 Sep18 Aug24   (schoenthal phi)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 2.50    
TIZBIT Nov25 Nov05 Oct08 Sep10 Aug27 (gillespie ryan)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 15.00    
EVANGELINE ALLONS Nov06 Oct22 Oct06 Sep16 Aug13 (dove jr)LEWIS M 111 10.00    
CRUZ IN THE CASTLE Nov10 Oct20 Sep17 Jul15 Jun24 (brown ro)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 5.00    
SOMEDAY IS TODAY Nov05 Oct22 Oct07 Aug25 Apr22 (farrior ant)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 2.00 39% 1.60    
BELLAMY'SPARTYGIRL Nov12 Jul18 Jun28 May31 May16 (jones michael)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 20.00    
SCR  DECISIVE CAUSE Nov25 Nov04 Oct01 Sep21 Aug31 (shanley mark)BAEZ M 111 20.00    
 
CT-7   12/03/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 2 ALL PT-10:02
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NO LOVE FOR JUBA Nov19 Nov02 Sep14 Sep03 Aug13 (casey w)BOCACHICA O 122 4.50 6% 16.30    
NEVERPOPTHECORK Nov23 Nov02 Oct08 Sep14 Sep03 (casey a)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 10.00    
JUBA'S NOTION Nov19 Oct08 Sep17 Sep03 Aug13 (casey a)LARROSA G 122 6.00 11% 8.00    
HONEYQUIST Nov12 Oct08 Sep24     (farrior anthony)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 0.60 57% 0.70    
BELLA MELA Oct08 Sep23       (contreras)NUNEZ ANAHI 115 30.00    
AREYOUGONNAKISSME Nov19 Oct15 Oct08 Sep17 Sep03 (mckee d)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 20.00    
LORD OF CORK Nov19 Oct08 Sep17 Sep03 Aug13 (casey w)THORPE DARIUS 118 20.00    
PINNACLE REEF Oct08 Sep14 Sep03 Aug13   (runco jeff )BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 12.00    
STRONG WILLED Oct29 Oct08 Sep17 Sep02   (farrior anthon)BARBOSA JEIRON 110 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-8   12/03/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GREAT DEVOTION Oct21 Sep30 Sep14 Aug18 Jul16 (viands stacey )MARRERO CARLOS 124 3.50 35% 1.80    
NORMALIZEDDEVIANCE Nov11 Nov05 Oct21 Oct15 Oct01 (luqueno giovanni)BOCACHICA O 124 8.00    
NANNY'S MISSION Oct21 Mar30       (pennella m)RODRIGUEZ V 123 30.00    
MIDNIGHT PASS Aug30 Aug01 Jul14 Jun18 Jun02 (tsiamis w)CECIL Y 121 12.00 6% 16.80    
NOBLE PRESENT Nov17 Oct21 Oct13 Sep17 Aug24 (rodriguez m)BAEZ M 114 10.00    
BUFFUM'S BEAUTY Nov25 Nov17 Oct29 Oct21 Oct07 (mohan r)ADAMS L 116 12.00    
SCR  BLUE BONNIE Nov11 Oct21 Oct05 Sep05 Aug22 (schottroffe edw)THORPE DARIUS 123 8.00    
TREAT ME SPECIAL Nov11 Nov04       (allard e)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 4.50 19% 4.30    
FESSIN UP Nov11 Oct21 Oct13 Sep30 Sep14 (stahlin john)LARROSA G 121 6.00    
10  RED PRIESTESS Oct23 Oct02 Sep10 Feb26 Feb16 (bailes robert)ARAUJO DENIS 124 3.00 17% 4.80    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.