Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Charles Town
Wednesday - November 16, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
CT-1   11/16/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
See original race card.
:243 :491 1:152 1:441   1:513   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  SHANGHAI CANDY 4 7 711¾ 712 65 41¾ 1hd (jones michael )MONTANO JOSE 122 2.00 43% 1.30 2.70 W
5  SOUTHSIDE WARRIOR 5 4 46 47 43½ 51¾ 2hd (hurley ja)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 2.50 ★ 3.20 P
3  LOST IN MANHATTAN 3 3 32 33 2½ 1nk 3¾ (pennella rhea)ADAMS L 115 3.00 11% 7.80 2.60 S
2  THE IRON BANK 2 1 67¾ 59 76½ 75 43¼ (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 120 20.00 20.20  
6  MINECRAFTER 6 5 57½ 610 54½ 31½ 53¾ (nazario ped)MCKENZIE CONNIE 113 10.00 6% 15.20 11.80  
7  SURE WOULD FOREST 7 6 2nk 1nk 1½ 2nk 64½ (brown kelton)LEWIS M 110 5.00 9.40  
1  FRANKEE MERCH 1 2 1nk 2nk 33½ 62 77 (hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 10.00 5% 19.00 3.70  
 
CT-2   11/16/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
See original race card.
:221 :461       :524   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  WARRIOR'S ESTATE 4 2 2nk     12 12 (atkins mi)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 2.50 1.80  
1  DOC ELM 1 5 1nk     22 22 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 2.00 36% 1.80 1.60 P
5  SO COURAGEOUS 5 1 3½     33½ 34 (figgins olli)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 4.00 17% 5.00 5.90 S
2  LEG UP 2 6 46½     45 44 (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 120 3.00 ★ 2.80  
6  TYRY TYRANNOSAURUS 6 3 59½     511 511¼ (pennella rhea)ADAMS L 115 8.00 8% 11.10 27.40  
3  FIGAROS FORTUNE 3 4 69¾     613 615¾ (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 120 12.00 ★ 28.20  
 
CT-3   11/16/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($20.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:24 :482 1:144     1:293   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  SKIP THE BULL 6 1 11 16   16 1¾ (sanche)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 8.00 2.80  
8  CRYPTIC CODE 8 7 813½ 715½   48 2¾ (shanley mark)BOCACHICA O 120 3.00 11% 8.10 2.40 P
1  NTH POWER 1 4 47 49   26 31¼ (mcgill sylves)LOPEZ ANTONIO 124 10.00 ★ 12.90 S
4  DIAMANTE DE ORO 4 8 611 614   511 412 (ovando me)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 1.20 36% 1.80 1.50  
2  SUN OF SILVER 2 3 31½ 26   36 513¼ (yovanovich d)MARRERO CARLOS 124 20.00 5% 19.00 41.10  
3  GOLDEN METTLE 3 5 58 511   613 618¾ (hamlin kathleen)LIMA FELINO 117 3.50 27% 2.70 6.70  
5  ROCKET BALLAD 5 6 712½ 818½   718½ 723¾ (myers larry)CECIL Y 124 20.00 58.70  
7  LUXURY BOY 7 2 21 36   820 839¾ (reardon c)CALDERON JORGE 122 20.00 53.70  
 
CT-4   11/16/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:25
See original race card.
:223 :463       :531   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  SHENANDOAH CAT 6 1 1½     15½ 15¾ (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 118 3.00 30% 2.40 1.20 W
7  DIVA ROSE 7 2 2½     25½ 25¾ (craig e)PELTROCHE F 122 5.00 6.00  
4  REAL APPEAL (GER) 4 4 51¾     47 37½ (joy j)THORPE DARIUS 122 4.00 11% 8.30 3.40 S
2  POWER SONDE 2 5 31½     36 49½ (bourne lori)RAMGEET R 120 5.00 7% 13.70 12.90  
3  PETTYFORURTHOUGHTS 3 3 41½     57½ 59¾ (meehan)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 3.50 29% 2.50 6.50  
1  WAGER WORTHY 1 6 62¼     68½ 613 (carlisle john)RIVERA JAVIER 118 5.00 ★ 4.60  
5  CEDAR RUN'S FIRE 5 7 78¼     712 715½ (shanley mark)BOCACHICA O 120 12.00 57.90  
 
CT-5   11/16/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($21.2K) 2 F PT- 8:53
See original race card.
:24 :483 1:16     1:233   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  HOVEL 6 5 57 51½   2nk 1¼ (davis rus)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 3.00 13% 7.00 2.90 W
8  COWGIRL SHINE 8 6 3½ 1nk   1nk 2¼ (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 1.60 65% 0.50 0.70 P
5  CONCERT HALL (IRE) 5 3 78½ 66½   46¾ 34¼ (davis samuel)BATISTA A 120 20.00 45.10  
2  GOLDEN SALLY 2 1 41½ 41   36½ 47¾ (mckee d)HO WESLEY 122 6.00 ★ 5.20  
7  TOUGH GAME 7 8 99¼ 711½   511¾ 510¼ (ovando melvin)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 15.00 70.20  
3  SUPER WICKED 3 4 2½ 3½   612¼ 620¾ (carson laura)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 4.00 ★ 9.00  
4  BEAUTIFUL MICHELLE 4 7 89 812   817¼ 725¼ (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 122 20.00 37.60  
9  EMPTY ENVELOPE 9 9 68 914   918¼ 826½ (jones michael)SIMPSON JASON 122 15.00 73.90  
1  BLUE AGAVE 1 2 1½ 2nk   712¼ 933¼ (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 10.00 ★ 17.40  
 
CT-6   11/16/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:21
See original race card.
:233 :464 1:121     1:19   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  GOODNESS GRACIOUS 5 3 11½ 11   16½ 110 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 122 2.00 39% 1.50 0.90 W
1  CHANGE THE WORLD 1 2 21½ 21   26½ 210 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.80 38% 1.60 0.80 P
4  BOUNDTOBEOK 3 1 32½ 31½   38 312½ (casey w)LARROSA G 124 6.00 18.20  
5  LADY CINCO DE MAYO 4 5 55½ 56   412 422¼ (johnson de)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 12.00 38.70  
3  QUEEN CADENCE 2 4 43½ 45   512½ 523½ (gonzalez claudio)ACOSTA D 118 8.00 ★ 11.50  
SCR  CUMULONIMBUS               (runco jeff )MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 20.00 ★    
SCR  DETERMINED HOPE               (schoenthal phi)ARAUJO DENIS 120 4.00 ★    
 
CT-7   11/16/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
See original race card.
:233 :471 1:132     1:202   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONE NIGHT MIKE 1 2 21 2nk   1½ 11 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 120 3.00 40% 1.50 0.60 W
8  PERSONABLE 6 7 53 43¼   41½ 21 (contre)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 4.00 2.60  
5  WELL EQUIPPED 3 3 64½ 64¾   53 31¾ (pickett cryst)LOPEZ ANTONIO 118 8.00 ★ 6.40 S
2  JAXJAXXORJACKS 2 1 31½ 33   31½ 43 (caison jo)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 12.00 19.40  
7  TIMMY 5 4 42½ 54¼   63½ 54¼ (gazzier kri)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 10.00 28.30  
9  CHANGE YOUR LUCK 7 6 11 1nk   2½ 64¾ (pickett cryst)THORPE DARIUS 118 12.00 19.20  
6  BRIGHT DAWN 4 5 76 79¾   75½ 75¼ (allen fe)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 115 10.00 7% 13.50 14.20  
SCR  BUDDY BUDDY               (collins tim)MONTANO JOSE 122 3.50 24% 3.10    
SCR  HOPPING HENRY               (sterling michae)PELTROCHE F 120 6.00 ★    
 
CT-8   11/16/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.8K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
See original race card.
:232 :47 1:141     1:214   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  THUNDERINREADYRICK 5 6 1nk 13   14½ 11¼ (bass curt)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 4.00 8% 11.30 0.40 W
2  HILLBILLY ROCK 2 2 2nk 23   24½ 21¼ (atkins michae)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 6.00 ★ 5.90 P
4  SUGAR LIPS 4 4 76 57   56 31¾ (casey a)BOCACHICA O 120 5.00 11.80  
1  ROCKET J. 1 1 65 78   46 44¾ (kopecki e)LIMA FELINO 113 30.00 77.20  
8  SIENTE EL AMOR 7 5 43 67½   35½ 55 (stehr josep)RAMGEET R 122 10.00 25.00  
9  ORANGEBURG 8 8 54½ 36½   66¼ 68 (meehan eliz)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 10.00 ★ 12.70  
3  ROCKING TO HOME 3 3 31½ 47   79¼ 711½ (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 118 20.00 26.20  
6  FOOL FOR THE CITY 6 7 810 820   823¼ 835 (baird mi)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 3.00 15% 5.60 6.30  
SCR  DUKE OF CORK               (shanle)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 30.00    
SCR  MACHEN'S RIDGE               (cuttino mari)MARRERO CARLOS 120 3.50 56% 0.80    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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