Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Wednesday - November 16, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   11/16/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FRANKEE MERCH Oct26 Sep07 Aug27 Aug18 Jul29 (hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  THE IRON BANK Oct26 Sep30 Sep15 Aug18 Jul29 (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 120 20.00    
3  LOST IN MANHATTAN Oct27 Oct06 Sep15 Aug25 Jul29 (pennella rhea)ADAMS L 115 3.00 11% 7.80    
4  SHANGHAI CANDY Oct29 Oct12 Sep05 Aug23 Aug03 (jones michael )MONTANO JOSE 122 2.00 43% 1.30    
5  SOUTHSIDE WARRIOR Sep29 Sep07 Aug18 Jul29 Jul09 (hurley jack)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 2.50 ★    
6  MINECRAFTER Oct20 Sep23 Aug20 Jul06 May28 (nazario ped)MCKENZIE CONNIE 113 10.00 6% 15.20    
7  SURE WOULD FOREST Nov10 Oct20 Sep29 Sep08 Aug18 (brown kelton)LEWIS M 110 5.00    
 
CT-2   11/16/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOC ELM Oct20 Oct05 Sep08 Jun18 May18 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 2.00 36% 1.80    
2  LEG UP Oct14 Sep22 Sep07 Jul30 Jul22 (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 120 3.00 ★    
3  FIGAROS FORTUNE Oct05 Sep07 Aug19 Jul30 Jul09 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 120 12.00 ★    
4  WARRIOR'S ESTATE Oct29 Oct01 Sep07 Aug11 Jul14 (atkins mi)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 2.50    
5  SO COURAGEOUS Oct01 Sep12 Aug23 Jul14 May13 (figgins olli)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 4.00 17% 5.00    
6  TYRY TYRANNOSAURUS Oct27 Oct14 Oct05 Sep07 Jul30 (pennella rhea)ADAMS L 115 8.00 8% 11.10    
 
CT-3   11/16/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($20.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NTH POWER Oct26 Sep24       (mcgill sylves)LOPEZ ANTONIO 124 10.00 ★    
2  SUN OF SILVER Sep29 Aug20 Jul30     (yovanovich d)MARRERO CARLOS 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  GOLDEN METTLE Jul21 Jun04 May12 Apr14 Feb25 (hamlin kathleen)LIMA FELINO 117 3.50 27% 2.70    
4  DIAMANTE DE ORO Oct26 Oct13 Oct05 Sep07 Aug30 (ovando me)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 1.20 36% 1.80    
5  ROCKET BALLAD Nov05 Oct19 Sep08 Aug19 Jun17 (myers larry)CECIL Y 124 20.00    
6  SKIP THE BULL Oct26 Oct01 Sep23 Sep05 Jul29 (sanche)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 8.00    
7  LUXURY BOY Nov03 Oct22 Oct08 Sep30 Aug23 (reardon c)CALDERON JORGE 122 20.00    
8  CRYPTIC CODE Oct15 Aug17 Jul23 May03 Mar23 (shanley mark)BOCACHICA O 120 3.00 11% 8.10    
 
CT-4   11/16/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WAGER WORTHY Sep22 Sep02 Aug12 Jul28 Jul07 (carlisle john)RIVERA JAVIER 118 5.00 ★    
2  POWER SONDE Sep22 Aug25 Jul21 Jul02 May25 (bourne lori)RAMGEET R 120 5.00 7% 13.70    
3  PETTYFORURTHOUGHTS Oct27 Oct18 Sep15 Aug25 Aug05 (meehan)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 3.50 29% 2.50    
4  REAL APPEAL (GER) Sep22 Sep15 Sep02 Aug06 Jul23 (joy j)THORPE DARIUS 122 4.00 11% 8.30    
5  CEDAR RUN'S FIRE Oct06 Sep22 Sep02 Aug18 Jul22 (shanley mark)BOCACHICA O 120 12.00    
6  SHENANDOAH CAT Oct26 Jul23 Jun30 May27 May12 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 118 3.00 30% 2.40    
7  DIVA ROSE Sep28 Aug25 Aug11     (craig e)PELTROCHE F 122 5.00    
 
CT-5   11/16/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($21.2K) 2 F PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLUE AGAVE Oct06 Sep16       (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 10.00 ★    
2  GOLDEN SALLY Oct21 Sep15 Sep02     (mckee d)ROCHA WLADIMIR 122 6.00 ★    
3  SUPER WICKED Oct28 Oct06 Sep16 Aug27 Aug05 (carson laura)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 4.00 ★    
4  BEAUTIFUL MICHELLE Oct26 Oct06       (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 122 20.00    
5  CONCERT HALL (IRE) Oct27 Oct12 Sep11 Jul09   (davis samuel)BATISTA A 120 20.00    
6  HOVEL Oct26 Oct06 Sep15 Aug27   (davis rus)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 3.00 13% 7.00    
7  TOUGH GAME Nov04 Oct06 Sep07 Aug27 Aug10 (ovando melvin)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 15.00    
8  COWGIRL SHINE Oct26 Oct05 Sep15 Aug27 Aug05 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 1.60 65% 0.50    
9  EMPTY ENVELOPE Oct23 Oct05 Sep16     (jones michael)SIMPSON JASON 122 15.00    
 
CT-6   11/16/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHANGE THE WORLD Oct08 Sep10 Aug18 Jul14 Jul02 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.80 38% 1.60    
SCR  CUMULONIMBUS Oct14 Aug21 Jul31 May15 Apr24 (runco jeff )MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 20.00 ★    
3  QUEEN CADENCE Oct26 Mar18 Feb24 Feb03 Jan14 (gonzalez claudio)ACOSTA D 118 8.00 ★    
4  BOUNDTOBEOK Oct08 Aug25 Aug04 Jul16 Jun10 (casey w)LARROSA G 124 6.00    
5  LADY CINCO DE MAYO Oct01 Sep09 Aug26 Aug05 May13 (johnson de)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 12.00    
SCR  DETERMINED HOPE Oct17 Oct03 Sep18 Jul31 Jul09 (schoenthal phi)ARAUJO DENIS 120 4.00 ★    
7  GOODNESS GRACIOUS Oct13 Sep16 Aug26 Aug12 Mar17 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 122 2.00 39% 1.50    
 
CT-7   11/16/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONE NIGHT MIKE Oct08 Sep23 Sep08 Aug19 Jul29 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 120 3.00 40% 1.50    
2  JAXJAXXORJACKS Nov05 Oct26 Oct05 Sep22 Sep07 (caison jo)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 12.00    
SCR  BUDDY BUDDY Oct27 Oct14 Sep24 Aug31 Aug17 (collins tim)MONTANO JOSE 122 3.50 24% 3.10    
SCR  HOPPING HENRY Oct29 Oct01 Sep07 Aug23 Jul23 (sterling michae)PELTROCHE F 120 6.00 ★    
5  WELL EQUIPPED Nov05 Oct26 Oct08 Sep10 Aug27 (pickett g)CULLUM W 118 8.00 ★    
6  BRIGHT DAWN Oct05 May05 Apr20 Mar24 Feb26 (allen fe)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 115 10.00 7% 13.50    
7  TIMMY Oct19 Sep09 Aug13 Jul08 Jun17 (gazzier kri)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 10.00    
8  PERSONABLE Oct26 Oct06 Sep16 Jul29   (contre)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 4.00    
9  CHANGE YOUR LUCK Oct05 Sep10 Aug27 Aug11 Jul21 (pickett cryst)THORPE DARIUS 118 12.00    
 
CT-8   11/16/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.8K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROCKET J. Sep07 Aug05 Jul21 May11 Apr20 (kopecki e)LIMA FELINO 113 30.00    
2  HILLBILLY ROCK Jul16 Jul02 Jun18     (atkins michae)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 6.00 ★    
3  ROCKING TO HOME Oct21 Sep09 Aug27 Jul30 Jul09 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 118 20.00    
4  SUGAR LIPS Oct22 Sep21 Aug27 Aug05 Jul16 (casey a)BOCACHICA O 120 5.00    
5  THUNDERINREADYRICK Oct21 Sep30 Aug11 Jul30 Jun18 (bass curt)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 4.00 8% 11.30    
6  FOOL FOR THE CITY Oct05 Sep20 Aug21 Jul31 Jul03 (baird mi)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 3.00 15% 5.60    
SCR  MACHEN'S RIDGE Oct05 Sep19 Aug28 Aug09 Jul31 (cuttino mari)MARRERO CARLOS 120 3.50 56% 0.80    
8  SIENTE EL AMOR Oct19 Sep24 Jun17 Jun02 May25 (stehr josep)RAMGEET R 122 10.00    
9  ORANGEBURG Oct29 Oct15 Sep29 Sep08 Aug19 (meehan eliz)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 10.00 ★    
SCR  DUKE OF CORK Nov10 Oct22 Oct06 Sep22 Sep07 (shanle)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.