Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Tampa Bay Downs
Wednesday - January 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TAM-6   WIN (1/8/2/9/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00  8 $12.20 $2.20 22%
TAM-7   DD (1/8/2/9/7)-(4/3/14) 15 $1.00 $15.00  8-3 $16.90 $1.90 13%
TAM-9   WIN (2/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00  7 $36.40 $32.40 810%

Simulator Race results

 
TAM-1   01/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 4UP M/F PT-12:31
See original race card.
:231 :464 :59     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAMBO DANCER (CHI) 5 1 11 1½   1nk 1¼ (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 123 2.00 2.30  
KENYA SUN 6 2 31 2½   2nk 2¼ (barboza victor)CAMACHO SAMY 123 2.50 22% 3.50 1.30 P
VOODAYO 4 4 4 4   3 3 (arnett g)MORALES PABLO 121 3.50 2.70 S
PURE ELEGANCE 1 6 6 5   4 4 (sacco gregor)ARROYO S 121 4.00 40% 1.50 6.70  
ISLA BONITA 2 5 5 6   5 510 (cordero-lopez)LOZADA CARLOS 121 12.00 30.70  
WESTLODGE INTRIGUE 3 3 21 31   6 615½ (robillard jul)HERNANDEZ K 121 8.00 13% 6.60 19.30  
 
TAM-2   01/11/2023 5400ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($17K) 3 F PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:24 :483 1:14 1:403   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAWEETIE GIRL 6 1 1 1nk 1nk 11 1 (garcia rodolf)MARTIN MATTIE 113 6.00 4.80  
LA TACHE 3 4 2 2nk 2nk 21 2 (sillaman richar)CENTENO E 120 8.00 7% 12.50 6.10 P
CALISUE 5 2 4 3½ 3 32 3 (sacco gregory )SUAREZ ANGEL 120 1.50 30% 2.30 3.00 S
FREE SHOT 4 3 5 4¾ 4 4 4 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 120 1.20 38% 1.60 0.60  
MIGHTY MADI 2 6 3 5 5 510½ 527¾ (rarick lynn)DELGADO DAVID 120 15.00 5% 19.00 33.40  
BRITTY 1 5 6 613¼ 624½ 625½ 655 (cascallares n)CARDOSO DAVID 120 20.00 51.80  
 
TAM-3   01/11/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($32K) Purse ($18.5K) 3 ALL PT- 1:29
See original race card.
:221 :471 1:12 1:371   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BROOKLYN GUY 5 9 9 9 8 3 1¾ (alvarado dia)BATISTA A 120 6.00 10.00  
JAY BIRD 1 2 2½ 2½ 1nk 13 2¾ (harty eoin)FERRER C 120 15.00 9.30  
RED OCTOBER 7 4 4 43 5 4 3 (escobar alison)MARIN SAMUEL 120 12.00 36.80  
BALLINDINE 2 3 3 3 31 23 44 (dini mike)MORALES PABLO 120 4.50 19% 4.40 6.20  
COPAZO 4 8 7 8 6 5 5 (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 120 3.00 32% 2.10 2.70  
TUMIGA 9 7 6 7 7 6 6 (laurin rog)ROWLAND MADELINE 115 10.00 5% 18.80 5.60  
CORE FACTOR 8 6 5 53 4 7 7 (rodrigue)GALLARDO A 120 6.00 15% 5.60 7.40  
SLICK EVANS 6 1 1½ 1½ 2nk 8 817 (motion graha)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 3.50 8% 12.10 3.80  
PRINCE GHOST 3 5 8 6 9100 9100 9100 (o'connell k)SPANABEL SKYLER 120 10.00 7.90  
 
TAM-4   01/11/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:58
See original race card.
:224 :454 1:112     1:243   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOT EM THINKING 2 7 7 5   4 1¾ (ward dennis)FERRER C 122 10.00 7.40  
TUNA N STAMPS 5 1 1nk 1nk   11 2¾ (alvarado dia)BATISTA A 122 1.80 59% 0.70 1.40 P
HEREBY 7 5 3½ 3   3 3 (rodriguez dari)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 8.00 10% 8.70 2.90 S
GREENPOINT 1 4 2nk 2nk   21 4 (hunt donald)ALICEA JEREMY 115 8.00 13.20  
J J'S JUSTICE 4 6 5 6   5 5 (mazza w)CAMACHO SAMY 122 2.50 6.40  
TIMMINS 6 3 41 4   6 611 (davis richard)HERNANDEZ K 120 3.50 4.20  
MAGNA RULER 3 2 6 7   7 716¾ (ramos o)ARROYO S 122 12.00 7% 14.00 27.70  
 
TAM-5   01/11/2023 3300ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($150K) Purse ($27.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:28
See original race card.
:214 :45       :562   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POSEIDON'S PASSION 3 3 3.2 3½   1½ 1 (gulick j)GALLARDO A 119 1.80 21% 3.70 0.70 W
APRIL MIST 6 5 4 41   41 2 (stewart j)FERRER C 119 5.00 4.20  
SHE'S PEACHY KEEN 5 4 5 5   5 32 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 123 2.50 19% 4.30 6.20 S
TALKIN TIPSY 7 1 2nk 2nk   2½ 4 (gulick james )MORALES PABLO 119 8.00 11% 8.20 7.00  
MISS MIKAELA 4 2 1nk 1nk   31 5 (guciardo kat)ALENCAR WALBER 119 6.00 15% 5.60 12.30  
ITSAKEYPER 1 7 7 6   6 6 (albertrani th)SOSA LAUREANO 112 6.00 7% 13.80 10.10  
LITTLE RED BUTTON 2 6 6 75   7 7 (king clare)MITCHELL RICHARD 119 20.00 51.70  
 
TAM-6   01/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:56
See original race card.
:224 :47 :593     1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLAT OUT COOL 7 1 4¾ 2nk   12 1 (lorito mario)JIMENEZ MANNY 122 6.00 15% 5.60 5.10 W
MISS INEZ 5 9 98 94   7 2 (cascallares n)CARDOSO DAVID 120 5.00 4.70  
RAIN OF BLESSING 6 6 72 7   45 3 (negrete javi)ARROYO S 122 12.00 6% 16.60 19.50 S
THATS ALL SHEWROTE 1 5 3½ 3.2   22 4 (bennett gerald)MARIN SAMUEL 122 2.00 31% 2.30 1.80  
SONG OF THE HEART 3 2 1½ 1nk   32 5 (cascallare)ALONSO LUIS 120 15.00 14.70  
SENA THE DUCHESS 4 8 83 83   6 68 (santillana fra)MENDEZ KEVIN 122 20.00 41.00  
TROUBLE IN RED 2 3 2½ 4   5 710¾ (arnet)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 6.00 11% 7.90 7.80  
MY GIRL MELLY 8 7 5 5   8 813 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 120 4.50 11% 8.30 3.40  
10  ADRIANA ES BONITA 9 4 6 6   9 918¼ (cordero-lopez)FLORES ADRIAN 120 10.00 22.80  
SCR  METAXA GRANDE               (manning j)BRACHO A 122 20.00    
 
TAM-7   01/11/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:23
See original race card.
:224 :47 1:121 1:243   1:353   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUSTIN UP 3 1 21 2 1nk 13 1 (delgado h)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 3.00 34% 1.90 1.30 W
DIAL HIM UP 4 10 10 10 9 7 2 (posadas pedr)ARROYO S 122 5.00 35% 1.90 4.70 P
STREET GLIDE 8 9 7 56 42 3 3 (manning j)BRACHO A 122 5.00 4.40  
MY BIG DRAMA 1 3 4 45 5 4 49 (dobber arnou)MENESES MARCOS 122 20.00 14.80  
GHOST OF KHOZAN 5 8 8 8 7 8 5 (hayford jenni)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 4.00 7.10  
CAJUN CRACKER 7 2 11 1 2nk 23 611 (king b)BUSH V 122 30.00 66.70  
URBAN BEACH 2 5 5 7 6 5 711 (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 122 12.00 37.80  
10  SOUTHERN CIVILITY 10 6 3 3 31 6 811½ (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 122 6.00 14.60  
NOT A DANCE 6 4 6 66 8 9 916¾ (smith rob)CAMACHO JR 122 15.00 27.60  
WICKED MOMENT 9 7 9 9 10 1011¼ 1018½ (o'connell kath)CAMACHO SAMY 122 6.00 9.70  
SCR  KALINBA               (cascallare)ALONSO LUIS 122 30.00    
SCR  MAGIC WIZARD               (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 12.00    
SCR  SKY TRAVELER               (lusk r)ARROYO S 122 12.00    
SCR  STARSHIP MOZART               (ferraro a)SPANABEL SKYLER 122 20.00 6% 15.40    
 
TAM-8   01/11/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($22.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:55
See original race card.
:23 :454 1:102     1:232   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHISTLEWHILEYOUMOW 3 5 11 11   1nk 1nk (arnett g)FERRER C 121 8.00 7.90  
MY MAN VITO 4 4 21 21   2nk 2nk (rigattieri jo)MORALES PABLO 121 8.00 5.10  
DAVIDIC LINE 9 3 42 32   31 3 (arriagada jua)SANTOS ADEMAR 121 4.50 40% 1.50 3.40 S
CONFESSOR 5 8 8 74   6 4 (poole jeffrey )MARIN SAMUEL 121 4.50 20% 4.00 6.70  
KING OF HOLLYWOOD 6 1 5 5   4 54 (sacco gregory )CAMACHO SAMY 121 8.00 7.10  
LORD BERRIER 2 6 31 42   5 6 (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 121 6.00 5.60  
HIDE THE DEMON 7 7 6 8   7 77 (campbell)GALLARDO A 121 3.50 3.80  
A COTSWOLD VILLAGE 8 2 7 6   84 8 (machado anto)ARROYO S 121 15.00 15% 5.60 42.00  
FIRST RULE 1 9 9 9   9 912 (alvarado dia)BATISTA A 121 6.00 11.60  
 
TAM-9   01/11/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($17.1K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:35
See original race card.
:232 :474 1:113 1:361   1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VINTNER 7 1 6 53 43 6 1nk (yanez r)ALLEN D 121 6.00 6% 17.10 17.20 W
MAJOR FRONTIER 9 7 2½ 11 11 2nk 2nk (barbazoniii l)MORALES PABLO 121 8.00 7.90  
VETERANS BEACH 2 2 31 42 21 1nk 3½ (dini mike)CENTENO E 121 2.50 72% 0.40 1.30 S
10  TAP EM 10 8 41 32 3 31 4¾ (nunn d)ROJAS EDUARDO 121 6.00 4.90  
SKIPPERINI 4 5 8 8 6 4 52 (wasiluk )GALLARDO A 121 8.00 9.00  
CLASSIC BET 8 4 1½ 21 5 5 6 (arnet)DIAZ RAFAEL 121 20.00 33.00  
PAPA JIMMY 5 3 53 6 9 7 74 (bray michael)FERRER C 121 10.00 15.30  
THORN 3 10 10 10 8 8 8 (orseno jo)CAMACHO JR 121 5.00 6.80  
BARAHIN 6 9 9 74 7 9 9 (escobar alison)MARIN SAMUEL 121 12.00 14.30  
JUST DEAL WITH IT 1 6 7 9 10 10 1019¼ (escobar alis)ARROYO S 121 8.00 17.20  
SCR  DOUBLE DAVID               (nunn douglas)MARIN SAMUEL 121 15.00    
SCR  IN HONOR OF ARTIE               (dominguez lui)ALICEA JEREMY 114 30.00    
SCR  RISK VS REWARD               (arriagada juan)CAMACHO SAMY 121 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.