Handicappers' Race Results

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Tampa Bay Downs
Wednesday - January 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TAM-1   Win (1/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $6.60  
TAM-2   Win (4/5/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 0 $11.60  
TAM-3   Win (4/2/8/6/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 0 $22.00  
TAM-4   Win (5/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $16.80  
TAM-5   Win (3/5/4/7/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 3 1 1 $3.40 $3.40  
TAM-6   Win (1/8/2/9/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 8 1 1 $12.20 $12.20 2.20
TAM-7   Win (4/3/14) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $4.60 $4.60  
TAM-8   Win (9/5/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $17.80  
TAM-9   Win (2/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 7 1 1 $36.40 $36.40 32.40

Simulator Race results

 
TAM-1   01/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 4UP M/F PT-12:31
See original race card.
:231 :464 :59     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAMBO DANCER (CHI) 5 1 11 1½   1nk 1¼ (bowersock maria)ALLEN D 123 2.00 2.30  
KENYA SUN 6 2 31 2½   2nk 2¼ (barboza j)CAMACHO SAMY 123 2.50 22% 3.50 1.30 P
VOODAYO 4 4 4 4   3 3 (arnett g)MORALES PABLO 121 3.50 2.70 S
PURE ELEGANCE 1 6 6 5   4 4 (sacco gregory )ARROYO S 121 4.00 40% 1.50 6.70  
ISLA BONITA 2 5 5 6   5 510 (cordero-lopez a)LOZADA CARLOS 121 12.00 30.70  
WESTLODGE INTRIGUE 3 3 21 31   6 615½ (robillard julie)HERNANDEZ K 121 8.00 13% 6.60 19.30  
 
TAM-2   01/11/2023 5400ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($17K) 3 F PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:24 :483 1:14 1:403   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAWEETIE GIRL 6 1 1 1nk 1nk 11 1 (garcia rodolfo)MARTIN MATTIE 113 6.00 4.80  
LA TACHE 3 4 2 2nk 2nk 21 2 (sillaman richard )CENTENO E 120 8.00 7% 12.50 6.10 P
CALISUE 5 2 4 3½ 3 32 3 (sacco d)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 1.50 30% 2.30 3.00 S
FREE SHOT 4 3 5 4¾ 4 4 4 (bennett s)CAMACHO SAMY 120 1.20 38% 1.60 0.60  
MIGHTY MADI 2 6 3 5 5 510½ 527¾ (rarick lynn)DELGADO DAVID 120 15.00 5% 19.00 33.40  
BRITTY 1 5 6 613¼ 624½ 625½ 655 (cascallares nes)CARDOSO DAVID 120 20.00 51.80  
 
TAM-3   01/11/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($32K) Purse ($18.5K) 3 ALL PT- 1:29
See original race card.
:221 :471 1:12 1:371   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BROOKLYN GUY 5 9 9 9 8 3 1¾ (alvarado diane)BATISTA A 120 6.00 10.00  
JAY BIRD 1 2 2½ 2½ 1nk 13 2¾ (harty eoin)FERRER C 120 15.00 9.30  
RED OCTOBER 7 4 4 43 5 4 3 (escobar alison)MARIN SAMUEL 120 12.00 36.80  
BALLINDINE 2 3 3 3 31 23 44 (dini mike)MORALES PABLO 120 4.50 19% 4.40 6.20  
COPAZO 4 8 7 8 6 5 5 (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 120 3.00 32% 2.10 2.70  
TUMIGA 9 7 6 7 7 6 6 (laurin roger)ROWLAND MADELINE 115 10.00 5% 18.80 5.60  
CORE FACTOR 8 6 5 53 4 7 7 (rodriguez )GALLARDO A 120 6.00 15% 5.60 7.40  
SLICK EVANS 6 1 1½ 1½ 2nk 8 817 (motion graham)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 3.50 8% 12.10 3.80  
PRINCE GHOST 3 5 8 6 9100 9100 9100 (o'connell kat)SPANABEL SKYLER 120 10.00 7.90  
 
TAM-4   01/11/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:58
See original race card.
:224 :454 1:112     1:243   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOT EM THINKING 2 7 7 5   4 1¾ (ward dennis)FERRER C 122 10.00 7.40  
TUNA N STAMPS 5 1 1nk 1nk   11 2¾ (alvarado diane)BATISTA A 122 1.80 59% 0.70 1.40 P
HEREBY 7 5 3½ 3   3 3 (rodriguez darien)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 8.00 10% 8.70 2.90 S
GREENPOINT 1 4 2nk 2nk   21 4 (hunt donald)ALICEA JEREMY 115 8.00 13.20  
J J'S JUSTICE 4 6 5 6   5 5 (mazza w)CAMACHO SAMY 122 2.50 6.40  
TIMMINS 6 3 41 4   6 611 (davis m)HERNANDEZ K 120 3.50 4.20  
MAGNA RULER 3 2 6 7   7 716¾ (ramos o)ARROYO S 122 12.00 7% 14.00 27.70  
 
TAM-5   01/11/2023 3300ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($150K) Purse ($27.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:28
See original race card.
:214 :45       :562   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POSEIDON'S PASSION 3 3 3.2 3½   1½ 1 (gulick jam)GALLARDO A 119 1.80 21% 3.70 0.70 W
APRIL MIST 6 5 4 41   41 2 (stewart j)FERRER C 119 5.00 4.20  
SHE'S PEACHY KEEN 5 4 5 5   5 32 (bennett s)CAMACHO SAMY 123 2.50 19% 4.30 6.20 S
TALKIN TIPSY 7 1 2nk 2nk   2½ 4 (gulick m)MORALES PABLO 119 8.00 11% 8.20 7.00  
MISS MIKAELA 4 2 1nk 1nk   31 5 (guciardo kathy)ALENCAR WALBER 119 6.00 15% 5.60 12.30  
ITSAKEYPER 1 7 7 6   6 6 (albertrani thom)SOSA LAUREANO 112 6.00 7% 13.80 10.10  
LITTLE RED BUTTON 2 6 6 75   7 7 (king clarenc)MITCHELL RICHARD 119 20.00 51.70  
 
TAM-6   01/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:56
See original race card.
:224 :47 :593     1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLAT OUT COOL 7 1 4¾ 2nk   12 1 (lorito mario)JIMENEZ MANNY 122 6.00 15% 5.60 5.10 W
MISS INEZ 5 9 98 94   7 2 (cascallares nes)CARDOSO DAVID 120 5.00 4.70  
RAIN OF BLESSING 6 6 72 7   45 3 (negrete javier)ARROYO S 122 12.00 6% 16.60 19.50 S
THATS ALL SHEWROTE 1 5 3½ 3.2   22 4 (bennett s)MARIN SAMUEL 122 2.00 31% 2.30 1.80  
SONG OF THE HEART 3 2 1½ 1nk   32 5 (cascallares )ALONSO LUIS 120 15.00 14.70  
SENA THE DUCHESS 4 8 83 83   6 68 (santillana frank)MENDEZ KEVIN 122 20.00 41.00  
TROUBLE IN RED 2 3 2½ 4   5 710¾ (arnett )DIAZ RAFAEL 120 6.00 11% 7.90 7.80  
MY GIRL MELLY 8 7 5 5   8 813 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 120 4.50 11% 8.30 3.40  
10  ADRIANA ES BONITA 9 4 6 6   9 918¼ (cordero-lopez a)FLORES ADRIAN 120 10.00 22.80  
SCR  METAXA GRANDE               (manning j)BRACHO A 122 20.00    
 
TAM-7   01/11/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:23
See original race card.
:224 :47 1:121 1:243   1:353   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUSTIN UP 3 1 21 2 1nk 13 1 (delgado h)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 3.00 34% 1.90 1.30 W
DIAL HIM UP 4 10 10 10 9 7 2 (posadas pedro)ARROYO S 122 5.00 35% 1.90 4.70 P
STREET GLIDE 8 9 7 56 42 3 3 (manning j)BRACHO A 122 5.00 4.40  
MY BIG DRAMA 1 3 4 45 5 4 49 (dobber arnoud )MENESES MARCOS 122 20.00 14.80  
GHOST OF KHOZAN 5 8 8 8 7 8 5 (hayford jennife)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 4.00 7.10  
CAJUN CRACKER 7 2 11 1 2nk 23 611 (king b)BUSH V 122 30.00 66.70  
URBAN BEACH 2 5 5 7 6 5 711 (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 122 12.00 37.80  
10  SOUTHERN CIVILITY 10 6 3 3 31 6 811½ (o'conne)DIAZ RAFAEL 122 6.00 14.60  
NOT A DANCE 6 4 6 66 8 9 916¾ (smith rober)CAMACHO JR 122 15.00 27.60  
WICKED MOMENT 9 7 9 9 10 1011¼ 1018½ (o'connell kathle)CAMACHO SAMY 122 6.00 9.70  
SCR  KALINBA               (cascallares )ALONSO LUIS 122 30.00    
SCR  MAGIC WIZARD               (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 12.00    
SCR  SKY TRAVELER               (lusk r)ARROYO S 122 12.00    
SCR  STARSHIP MOZART               (ferraro ant)SPANABEL SKYLER 122 20.00 6% 15.40    
 
TAM-8   01/11/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($22.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:55
See original race card.
:23 :454 1:102     1:232   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHISTLEWHILEYOUMOW 3 5 11 11   1nk 1nk (arnett g)FERRER C 121 8.00 7.90  
MY MAN VITO 4 4 21 21   2nk 2nk (rigattieri john)MORALES PABLO 121 8.00 5.10  
DAVIDIC LINE 9 3 42 32   31 3 (arriagada juan)SANTOS ADEMAR 121 4.50 40% 1.50 3.40 S
CONFESSOR 5 8 8 74   6 4 (poole a)MARIN SAMUEL 121 4.50 20% 4.00 6.70  
KING OF HOLLYWOOD 6 1 5 5   4 54 (sacco d)CAMACHO SAMY 121 8.00 7.10  
LORD BERRIER 2 6 31 42   5 6 (o'conne)DIAZ RAFAEL 121 6.00 5.60  
HIDE THE DEMON 7 7 6 8   7 77 (campbell m)GALLARDO A 121 3.50 3.80  
A COTSWOLD VILLAGE 8 2 7 6   84 8 (machado antoni)ARROYO S 121 15.00 15% 5.60 42.00  
FIRST RULE 1 9 9 9   9 912 (alvarado diane)BATISTA A 121 6.00 11.60  
 
TAM-9   01/11/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($17.1K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:35
See original race card.
:232 :474 1:113 1:361   1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VINTNER 7 1 6 53 43 6 1nk (yanez r)ALLEN D 121 6.00 6% 17.10 17.20 W
MAJOR FRONTIER 9 7 2½ 11 11 2nk 2nk (barbazoniii les)MORALES PABLO 121 8.00 7.90  
VETERANS BEACH 2 2 31 42 21 1nk 3½ (dini mike)CENTENO E 121 2.50 72% 0.40 1.30 S
10  TAP EM 10 8 41 32 3 31 4¾ (nunn dou)ROJAS EDUARDO 121 6.00 4.90  
SKIPPERINI 4 5 8 8 6 4 52 (wasiluk pe)GALLARDO A 121 8.00 9.00  
CLASSIC BET 8 4 1½ 21 5 5 6 (arnett )DIAZ RAFAEL 121 20.00 33.00  
PAPA JIMMY 5 3 53 6 9 7 74 (bray michael)FERRER C 121 10.00 15.30  
THORN 3 10 10 10 8 8 8 (orseno jose)CAMACHO JR 121 5.00 6.80  
BARAHIN 6 9 9 74 7 9 9 (escobar alison)MARIN SAMUEL 121 12.00 14.30  
JUST DEAL WITH IT 1 6 7 9 10 10 1019¼ (escobar alison)ARROYO S 121 8.00 17.20  
SCR  DOUBLE DAVID               (nunn douglas)MARIN SAMUEL 121 15.00    
SCR  IN HONOR OF ARTIE               (dominguez luis )ALICEA JEREMY 114 30.00    
SCR  RISK VS REWARD               (arriagada juan)CAMACHO SAMY 121 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.