Handicappers' Racing Form
"A Premier Resource for Free horse Racing Picks, Strong Longshots and Vulnerable Favorites."
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
Visit us at tbrsimulator.com.
Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Follow us on X@tbrsimulator.
 
The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Wednesday - January 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (1/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/3)-(1/6/3/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/3)-(1/6/3/4/5)-(1/6/3/4/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (1/6/3)-(4/5/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/6/3)-(4/5/3/2)-(4/2/8/6/9) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-2   WIN (4/5/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/3/2)-(4/5/3/2/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/5/3/2)-(4/5/3/2/6)-(4/5/3/2/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/5/3/2)-(4/2/8/6/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/5/3/2)-(4/2/8/6/9)-(5/7/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-3   WIN (4/2/8/6/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/2/8/6/9)-(4/2/8/6/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/2/8/6/9)-(4/2/8/6/9)-(4/2/8/6/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/2/8/6/9)-(5/7/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (4/2/8/6/9)-(5/7/3)-(3/5/4/7/1) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
TAM-4   WIN (5/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/3)-(5/7/3/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/3)-(5/7/3/6/1)-(5/7/3/6/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (5/7/3)-(3/5/4/7/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/7/3)-(3/5/4/7/1)-(1/8/2/9/7) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
TAM-5   WIN (3/5/4/7/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/5/4/7/1)-(3/5/4/7/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/5/4/7/1)-(3/5/4/7/1)-(3/5/4/7/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/5/4/7/1)-(1/8/2/9/7) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (3/5/4/7/1)-(1/8/2/9/7)-(4/3) 50 $1.00 $50.00 
TAM-6   WIN (1/8/2/9/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/8/2/9/7)-(1/8/2/9/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/8/2/9/7)-(1/8/2/9/7)-(1/8/2/9/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/8/2/9/7)-(4/3) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (1/8/2/9/7)-(4/3)-(9/5/8) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
TAM-7   WIN (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/3)-(4/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/3)-(9/5/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/3)-(9/5/8)-(2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TAM-8   WIN (9/5/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/5/8)-(9/5/8/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/5/8)-(9/5/8/2/7)-(9/5/8/2/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (9/5/8)-(2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
TAM-9   WIN (2/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/7)-(2/7/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/7)-(2/7/6)-(2/7/6) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   01/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 4UP M/F PT-12:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PURE ELEGANCE Dec16 Dec02 Oct24 Oct03 Aug30 (sacco gregor)ARROYO S 121 4.00 40% 1.50    
2  ISLA BONITA Dec24 Dec09 Nov11 Oct28 Aug01 (cordero-lopez)LOZADA CARLOS 121 12.00    
3  WESTLODGE INTRIGUE Dec13 Dec05 Nov08 Nov02 Oct10 (robillard jul)HERNANDEZ K 121 8.00 13% 6.60    
4  VOODAYO Dec24 Nov26 Oct22 Sep09 Aug21 (arnett g)MORALES PABLO 121 3.50 ★    
5  MAMBO DANCER (CHI) Dec28 Sep19 Aug30 Aug16 Jul18 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 123 2.00 ★    
6  KENYA SUN Dec23 Dec10 Nov23 Oct15 Sep17 (barboza victor)CAMACHO SAMY 123 2.50 22% 3.50    
 
TAM-2   01/11/2023 5400ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($17K) 3 F PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRITTY Oct01 Sep11       (cascallares n)CARDOSO DAVID 120 20.00    
2  MIGHTY MADI Dec03 Oct23 Aug17     (rarick lynn)DELGADO DAVID 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  LA TACHE Dec10 Nov18 Oct21 Sep25 Aug30 (sillaman richar)CENTENO E 120 8.00 7% 12.50    
4  FREE SHOT Dec28 Dec03 Nov25 Oct12 Sep19 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 120 1.20 38% 1.60    
5  CALISUE Dec22 Dec03 Oct22 Sep11   (sacco gregory )SUAREZ ANGEL 120 1.50 30% 2.30    
6  SAWEETIE GIRL Dec03 Oct28       (garcia rodolf)MARTIN MATTIE 113 6.00 ★    
 
TAM-3   01/11/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($32K) Purse ($18.5K) 3 ALL PT- 1:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JAY BIRD Dec22 Dec03       (harty eoin)CASTANON L 120 15.00    
2  BALLINDINE Dec22 Dec03 Oct07     (dini mike)MORALES PABLO 120 4.50 19% 4.40    
3  PRINCE GHOST Nov30         (o'connell k)SPANABEL SKYLER 120 10.00    
4  COPAZO Dec03 Aug01       (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 120 3.00 32% 2.10    
5  BROOKLYN GUY Dec02 Nov05 Oct08     (alvarado dia)BATISTA A 120 6.00    
6  SLICK EVANS Dec03 Oct17       (motion graha)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 3.50 8% 12.10    
7  RED OCTOBER Dec22 Dec07       (escobar alison)MARIN SAMUEL 120 12.00    
8  CORE FACTOR         (rodrigue)GALLARDO A 120 6.00 15% 5.60    
9  TUMIGA Dec21 Dec03 Oct22 Oct02 Sep17 (laurin rog)ROWLAND MADELINE 115 10.00 5% 18.80    
 
TAM-4   01/11/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GREENPOINT Dec28 Dec02 Oct15 Sep25   (hunt donald)ALICEA JEREMY 115 8.00 ★    
2  GOT EM THINKING Dec28         (ward dennis)SPANABEL SKYLER 122 10.00    
3  MAGNA RULER Dec23 Dec08 Oct05 Sep06 Aug16 (ramos o)CASTANON L 122 12.00 7% 14.00    
4  J J'S JUSTICE Dec28 Dec02 Sep18     (mazza w)CAMACHO SAMY 122 2.50    
5  TUNA N STAMPS Nov30 Nov18 Jul16 Jun18   (alvarado dia)BATISTA A 122 1.80 59% 0.70    
6  TIMMINS Dec16 Oct10 Sep13 Aug19 Aug05 (davis richard)HERNANDEZ K 120 3.50 ★    
7  HEREBY Dec11 Dec03 Jul14 May15 Apr08 (rodriguez dari)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 8.00 10% 8.70    
 
TAM-5   01/11/2023 3300ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($150K) Purse ($27.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ITSAKEYPER Nov10 Sep18 Aug18 Jul22 May27 (albertrani th)SOSA LAUREANO 112 6.00 7% 13.80    
2  LITTLE RED BUTTON Dec02 Oct08 Sep17 Aug20 Jul29 (king clare)MITCHELL RICHARD 119 20.00    
3  POSEIDON'S PASSION Dec24 Oct15 Sep11 Aug05 Jul17 (gulick j)GALLARDO A 119 1.80 21% 3.70    
4  MISS MIKAELA Dec17 Oct26 Oct10 Sep29 Sep06 (guciardo kat)ALENCAR WALBER 119 6.00 15% 5.60    
5  SHE'S PEACHY KEEN Dec22 Oct12 Sep19 Aug29 Aug08 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 123 2.50 19% 4.30    
6  APRIL MIST Nov07 Oct20 Sep16 Jul01   (stewart j)FERRER C 119 5.00    
7  TALKIN TIPSY Dec17 Nov25 Oct22 Aug28 Jul31 (gulick james )MORALES PABLO 119 8.00 11% 8.20    
 
TAM-6   01/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THATS ALL SHEWROTE Dec30 Dec09 Aug13 Jun25 Apr16 (bennett gerald)MARIN SAMUEL 122 2.00 31% 2.30    
2  TROUBLE IN RED Dec09 Nov26 Oct21 Sep26 Sep16 (arnet)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 6.00 11% 7.90    
3  SONG OF THE HEART Dec21 Dec09 Nov26 Oct28 Sep30 (cascallare)ALONSO LUIS 120 15.00    
4  SENA THE DUCHESS Dec31 Dec16 Nov30 Nov05 Apr23 (santillana fra)MENDEZ KEVIN 122 20.00    
5  MISS INEZ Apr09 Mar20 Feb12     (cascallares n)CARDOSO DAVID 120 5.00    
SCR  METAXA GRANDE May20 Mar06       (manning j)BRACHO A 122 20.00    
7  RAIN OF BLESSING Dec23 Nov19 Sep16 Aug28 Aug14 (negrete javi)ARROYO S 122 12.00 6% 16.60    
8  FLAT OUT COOL Dec30 Dec23 Dec02 Nov12 Oct29 (lorito mario)JIMENEZ MANNY 122 6.00 15% 5.60    
9  MY GIRL MELLY Dec16 Nov26 Oct19 Oct04 Sep14 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 120 4.50 11% 8.30    
10  ADRIANA ES BONITA Oct11 Sep15 Sep01 Jul14 Jun24 (cordero-lopez)FLORES ADRIAN 120 10.00    
 
TAM-7   01/11/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY BIG DRAMA Dec31 Dec10 Nov23 Oct23 Sep25 (dobber arnou)MENESES MARCOS 122 20.00    
2  URBAN BEACH Dec16 Nov26 Sep10 Aug14 Jul17 (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 122 12.00    
3  BUSTIN UP Dec30 Dec14 Oct18 Sep27 Jul09 (delgado h)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 3.00 34% 1.90    
4  DIAL HIM UP Dec30 Dec14 Nov26 Oct29 Oct08 (posadas pedro)CASTANON L 122 5.00 35% 1.90    
5  GHOST OF KHOZAN Sep28 Sep10 Aug18 Jul30 Jul13 (hayford jenni)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 4.00    
6  NOT A DANCE Dec24 Dec02 Oct30 Oct07 Jun30 (smith rob)CAMACHO JR 122 15.00    
7  CAJUN CRACKER Dec16 Dec02 Oct01 Aug20   (king b)BUSH V 122 30.00    
8  STREET GLIDE Dec14 Nov30 May14 Apr24   (manning j)BRACHO A 122 5.00    
9  WICKED MOMENT Nov30 May06 Apr01 Feb27 Feb06 (o'connell k)SPANABEL SKYLER 122 6.00    
10  SOUTHERN CIVILITY Nov30 Oct08 Sep15 Aug31 Jul22 (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 122 6.00    
SCR  SKY TRAVELER Dec23         (lusk r)ARROYO S 122 12.00 ★    
SCR  MAGIC WIZARD Dec23 Oct19 Oct06 Sep27 Sep14 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 12.00 ★    
SCR  KALINBA Dec30 Dec16 Nov30 Oct28 Oct16 (cascallare)ALONSO LUIS 122 30.00    
SCR  STARSHIP MOZART Nov21 Nov09       (ferraro a)SPANABEL SKYLER 122 20.00 6% 15.40    
 
TAM-8   01/11/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($22.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIRST RULE Nov18 Sep16 Jul10 May07 Apr08 (alvarado dia)BATISTA A 121 6.00    
2  LORD BERRIER Dec21 Nov23 Sep18 Mar09 Jan21 (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 121 6.00 ★    
3  WHISTLEWHILEYOUMOW Dec17 Oct30 Sep18 Jul24   (arnett g)FERRER C 121 8.00    
4  MY MAN VITO Dec30 Dec10 Nov02 Oct19 Sep22 (rigattieri jo)MORALES PABLO 121 8.00    
5  CONFESSOR Dec10 Sep03 Aug15 Jul29 May28 (poole jeffrey )MARIN SAMUEL 121 4.50 20% 4.00    
6  KING OF HOLLYWOOD Dec17 Oct08 Sep24 Jul23 Jun18 (sacco gregory )CAMACHO SAMY 121 8.00    
7  HIDE THE DEMON Dec16 Nov26 Nov06 Oct08 Aug08 (campbell)GALLARDO A 121 3.50 ★    
8  A COTSWOLD VILLAGE Dec09 Oct25 Oct04 Sep05 Aug15 (machado anto)ARROYO S 121 15.00 15% 5.60    
9  DAVIDIC LINE Dec16 Oct22 Sep08 Aug25 Jul13 (arriagada jua)SANTOS ADEMAR 121 4.50 40% 1.50    
 
TAM-9   01/11/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($17.1K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUST DEAL WITH IT Dec31 Nov14 Oct21 Sep11 Aug23 (escobar alison)CASTANON L 121 8.00    
2  VETERANS BEACH Nov30 Oct22 Oct13 Aug18 Jul17 (dini mike)CENTENO E 121 2.50 72% 0.40    
3  THORN Nov30 Nov04 Oct07 Aug28   (orseno jo)CAMACHO JR 121 5.00    
4  SKIPPERINI Dec09 Aug07 Jul09 Jun02 Mar27 (wasiluk )GALLARDO A 121 8.00    
5  PAPA JIMMY Dec21 Dec09 Nov30 Sep14 Sep02 (bray michael)FERRER C 121 10.00    
6  BARAHIN Dec31 Dec21 Nov30 Sep11 Aug30 (escobar alison)MARIN SAMUEL 121 12.00 ★    
7  VINTNER Dec21 Nov30 Nov05 Aug30 Aug09 (yanez r)ALLEN D 121 6.00 6% 17.10    
8  CLASSIC BET Dec21 Nov23 Oct23 Sep23 Sep12 (arnet)DIAZ RAFAEL 121 20.00    
9  MAJOR FRONTIER Dec02 Nov06 Sep04 Aug20 Mar04 (barbazoniii l)MORALES PABLO 121 8.00    
10  TAP EM Nov30 Oct21 Oct08 Sep22 Sep18 (nunn d)ROJAS EDUARDO 121 6.00    
SCR  RISK VS REWARD Dec23 Dec07 Oct30 Sep25 Sep03 (arriagada juan)CAMACHO SAMY 121 5.00 ★    
SCR  DOUBLE DAVID Dec14 Nov30 Oct21 Sep17 Sep02 (nunn douglas)MARIN SAMUEL 121 15.00    
SCR  IN HONOR OF ARTIE Dec09 Sep30 Aug28 Aug05 Jul08 (dominguez lui)ALICEA JEREMY 114 30.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.