The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Tampa Bay Downs
Saturday - December 31, 2022

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TAM-1   12/31/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT-12:32
:224 :454 :582     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COMPASS CAY 5 3 5 4   41nk (delgado jorge)ROJAS EDUARDO 120 2.00 5.60  
CONFIDENT N ELITE 4 5 2nk 1nk   1nk 2nk (robillard julie)ROWLAND MADELINE 113 4.00 36% 1.80 1.40 P
BAKER BLOCK 7 4 31 31   31 3(mcgoey monica)CAMACHO JR 120 3.50 14% 6.00 5.00 S
AIDINGANDABETTING 1 2 1nk 2nk   2nk 42 (arriagada juan)CAMACHO SAMY 120 4.00 20% 4.00 7.70  
AWKWARD PAUSE 2 7 7 52   55(mcgoey monica)FUENTES MARIO 118 8.00 6% 15.70 7.30  
EL ROMANTICO 6 1 4 6   66(lanum crystal)SOSA LAUREANO 113 20.00 43.80  
DUN RIGHT 3 6 6 7   7713¼ (wismer s)GALLARDO A 120 6.00 3.60  
 
TAM-2   12/31/2022 5400ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:02
:251 :494 1:14 1:392   1:413   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SNEAKY CHEEKY 4 2 21 21 1½ 11 1(arriagada juan)CAMACHO JR 118 12.00 10.00  
TIZ HERSELF 2 3 42 32 3 32(rigattieri john)MORALES PABLO 120 1.40 0.70 P
EXPECT TO BE READY 5 1 11 11 2½ 21 35 (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 120 6.00 8.20 S
MAGICGIRL 1 5 32 42 55 44(posadas pedro)ROWLAND MADELINE 115 15.00 24.70  
ANTIGONE 3 4 5 6 6 5511¾ (davis scooter)CAMACHO SAMY 120 2.50 54% 0.80 2.00  
WHISKARITA 6 6 65 54 45 6614¼ (smith robert)VILLA-GOMEZ H 120 8.00 13.70  
SCR  PEACELOVENKARMA               (sacco d)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 15.00    
SCR  PRETTY RACHEL               (davis scooter)FERRER C 120 8.00 18% 4.50    
 
TAM-3   12/31/2022 5610ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:33
:252 :50 1:143 1:403   1:464   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALYANAABI 3 2 11 1½ 1½ 1nk 1(feliciano r)FELICIANO R 120 3.50 27% 2.70 1.10 W
SIMMS 4 4 21 2½ 3½ 3.2 2(lopez roberto)CASTANON L 118 4.50 15% 5.50 4.80 P
TAPINTOYOURBEER 2 1 31 41 2½ 2nk 3(ubide max)CAMACHO SAMY 118 8.00 5.70  
10  BOCA GUY 5 5 5 53 42 447 (alvarado diane)BATISTA A 121 20.00 2.00  
SHIPWRECK 1 3 42 31 54 5537¼ (knoll d)FERRER C 121 8.00 10.70  
SCR  ANGEL'S MAGIC               (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 4.50 24% 3.20    
SCR  BOURBON BROWN               (ferraro anthony)ROWLAND MADELINE 116 10.00    
SCR  CANYOUHEARMENOW               (duffy sean)ALENCAR WALBER 121 20.00    
SCR  HAD RIGHT               (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 118 10.00    
SCR  PIVOTAL RUN               (o'connell kathleen)DIAZ RAFAEL 121 4.00 8% 12.10    
 
TAM-4   12/31/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:03
:221 :454 1:113     1:252   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EDMUND FITZGERALD 9 1 11 12   15 1(hayford jennifer)FERRER C 122 8.00 15% 5.80 5.00 W
MY BIG DRAMA 2 4 32 22   35 2(dobber w)MENESES MARCOS 122 5.00 5.00  
EL MIC TIESUN 3 8 8 8   58 3(mcgoey monica)SOSA LAUREANO 117 6.00 21% 3.70 12.40 S
MISTER FERNANDO 5 6 54 43   4410 (nunn douglas)QUINONEZ ALONSO 124 15.00 7% 13.50 7.20  
BRAVE HILARIO 1 7 21 32   25 511¼ (escobar alison)SUAREZ JESUS 122 20.00 45.20  
SENA THE DUCHESS 7 5 7 7   6612¾ (santillana frank)MENDEZ KEVIN 121 20.00 68.50  
IT'S ME AGAIN 4 2 44 54   7716½ (machado antonio)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 124 8.00 13.30  
MY BROTHER MIKE 8 3 6 65   810¾ 823½ (orseno f)MARIN SAMUEL 122 1.00 23% 3.40 1.00  
TORTOLA CAT 6 9 916½ 919½   920¾ 949¾ (williams e)ARROYO S 122 12.00 8% 12.00 12.00  
 
TAM-5   12/31/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($19.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:33
:241 :481 1:13 1:391   1:414   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
H C HOLIDAY 4 1 3 3 31 11 1(wright w)HERNANDEZ K 121 3.50 15% 5.70 3.80 W
BARAHIN 3 3 1nk 11 1½ 21 2(escobar alison)FERRER C 121 15.00 7.60  
SILENT SONATA 1 6 64 6 52 43(granitz j)CAMACHO SAMY 121 4.50 1.80 S
BEACH HOLIDAY 6 2 53 4 2½ 31 4(cheeks katy)ALLEN D 118 8.00 6.50  
SOCIALLONGDISTANCE 7 4 2nk 21 4 55(lusk r)ALONSO LUIS 118 12.00 3.90  
WAR CROSS 2 5 4 5 62 66(bray michael)BUSH V 121 6.00 22% 3.50 6.00  
JUST DEAL WITH IT 5 7 7 7 79 713¾ 727¾ (escobar alison)CASTANON L 121 8.00 15.40  
SCR  ANVIL               (parra hernan)ARROYO S 118 15.00    
SCR  BIG RED ROCKS               (wilson tony)CENTENO E 121 3.50 29% 2.40    
SCR  MIDNIGHT TEQUILA               (munoz carlos)ARROYO S 121 12.00    
SCR  RISK VS REWARD               (arriagada juan)CAMACHO SAMY 118 4.00    
SCR  SKIPPERINI               (wasiluk jr)GALLARDO A 118 10.00    
SCR  SUMMER PALACE               (cheeks katy)MORALES PABLO 121 5.00 11% 7.90    
SCR  TAP EM               (nunn douglas)ROJAS EDUARDO 118 8.00    
 
TAM-6   12/31/2022 3960ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:03
:23 :46 :58     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAZOO 6 1 2nk 1nk   1nk 1(rodriguez darien)GALLARDO A 122 3.00 17% 4.80 0.80 W
ROOKIE SALSA 4 3 1nk 2nk   2nk 2(potts g)JIMENEZ MANNY 122 4.00 9% 10.00 3.60 P
HOT AND HEAVY 3 4 4 3   31 3(wilson tony)ROJAS EDUARDO 122 10.00 9% 10.80 12.20 S
BLACK V. K. 2 5 31 4   44(pimental i)MARIN SAMUEL 122 20.00 64.90  
STAY HOME 1 6 6 65   659 (delgado h)LOZADA CARLOS 122 2.50 30% 2.30 4.60  
NO COMMISSION 5 8 73 54   55 611 (tsirigotis jr)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 15.00 26.70  
PREFERRED OUTCOME 8 2 84 86   8712¼ (ferraro anthony)CASTANON L 122 8.00 10.40  
KEVIN WITTE 7 7 5 7   7812¼ (posadas pedro)FERRER C 122 12.00 15.20  
SCR  PALADIO               (mcgoey monica)DIAZ RAFAEL 122 6.00 6% 14.80    
 
TAM-7   12/31/2022 5280ft DIRT GOOD Starter Handicap ($16K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
:243 :481 1:12 1:373   1:401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRAIRIE 4 2 3 3½ 2nk 112 (sillaman p)CENTENO E 117 8.00 1.90  
SMITHWICK'S SPICE 2 3 11 1½ 1nk 222 (nunn douglas)GALLARDO A 120 2.00 28% 2.60 1.30 P
HARD ATTACK 1 6 5 4 4 43(arnett g)MORALES PABLO 119 4.00 26% 2.80 4.60 S
ON THE COUCH 5 5 6 6 6 34(sacco d)CAMACHO SAMY 117 10.00 9.20  
FIERCE WARRIOR 6 1 4 5 32 54 5(nunn douglas)ARROYO S 113 20.00 16.00  
WHISKEY PLANK 3 4 21 2½ 5 67 614 (cruz jesus)CASTANON L 116 8.00 5% 19.00 9.30  
SCR  BLACK SEAL               (dobber w)SOSA LAUREANO 110 30.00    
SCR  DREAM LINER (BRZ)               (wilson tony)ROJAS EDUARDO 118 10.00 19% 4.10    
SCR  FATIMA'S BLESSING               (dini mike)SUAREZ ANGEL 118 5.00    
SCR  MAJOR SPARKS               (granitz j)FERRER C 118 12.00    
SCR  MR MATUSCHEK               (alvarado diane)BATISTA A 116 20.00    
SCR  OHANA EMPIRE               (pimental i)GONZALEZ LUIS 117 15.00    
 
TAM-8   12/31/2022 3300ft DIRT GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($27K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:03
:22 :452       :58   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LI'L MISS CAMILLE 8 1 3 32   22 13 (bennett s)CAMACHO SAMY 118 3.00 42% 1.40 2.10 W
MOANAS POWER 3 3 1½ 1nk   12 23 (munoz carlos)ARROYO S 120 5.00 9.40 P
BAND SWEETHEART 4 7 7 64   636 (pimental i)VILLA-GOMEZ H 120 3.50 8% 11.60 3.60 S
10  DANNYHILL 9 9 9 9   74(munoz carlos)MENESES MARCOS 120 8.00 5.50 DH
BID ONCE 2 8 8 7   45 4(wright w)HERNANDEZ K 118 15.00 10.70 DH
BUNTY WINDERMERE 5 2 2½ 2nk   36(ryan s)ROWLAND MADELINE 113 10.00 7.70  
LADY IN HEELS 1 6 4 4   55 712 (bowersock maria)ALLEN D 118 15.00 5% 19.00 8.90  
SUMMER OF MISCHIEF 6 5 64 8   8812½ (o'connor r)CENTENO E 118 6.00 7.70  
DAHGO 7 4 53 5   9915 (pimental i)MARIN SAMUEL 118 30.00 87.40  
SCR  RASMALAI               (cintron jr)FLORES ADRIAN 120 6.00 22% 3.50    
 
TAM-9   12/31/2022 5280ft DIRT SLOPPY Starter Handicap ($16K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:33
:241 :474 1:131 1:41   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHICK'S SHADOW 3 5 43 43 3 21½ (rodriguez m)ALONSO LUIS 118 10.00 1.40  
ASTERS D'ORO 5 1 32 21 1½ 12½ (smith g)SPANABEL SKYLER 117 15.00 3.60  
DAKOTA DANCER 1 3 1½ 11 2½ 33(rice kevin)ALLEN D 117 6.00 3.40 S
KATIES A LADY 2 2 2½ 3 4 46 413 (o'connell kathleen)BATISTA A 115 5.00 4.70  
LENTEN ROSE 4 4 53 54 5 512 531¼ (potts g)FERRER C 117 15.00 11% 7.80 4.60  
SCR  PUGILIST               (cruz jesus)GALLARDO A 117 3.00 49% 1.10    
SCR  RED WIND               (mcgoey monica)DIAZ RAFAEL 115 15.00    
SCR  MEMPHIS SHOWBOAT               (downing william)CASTANON L 116 12.00    
SCR  MAKE NO MISTAKE               (davis scooter)CAMACHO SAMY 116 15.00    
SCR  INANNA'S QUEST               (sillaman p)CENTENO E 117 8.00    
SCR  SLIME QUEEN               (arnett g)MORALES PABLO 118 3.50 12% 7.10    
SCR  FALL MOON               (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 8.00    
SCR  FEETS OF FEATHER               (o'connell kathleen)MORENO ANGEL 116 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.