Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Saturday - December 31, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   12/31/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT-12:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AIDINGANDABETTING Dec10 Nov23       (arriagada juan)CAMACHO SAMY 120 4.00 20% 4.00    
2  AWKWARD PAUSE Jul30 Jul09 Jun19 May21 Apr15 (mcgoey monica)FUENTES MARIO 118 8.00 6% 15.70    
3  DUN RIGHT Oct17 Sep08 Aug09 Jul26 Jul12 (wismer g)GALLARDO A 120 6.00 ★    
4  CONFIDENT N ELITE Nov26 Nov11 Oct21 Oct08 Sep10 (robillard )ROWLAND MADELINE 113 4.00 36% 1.80    
5  COMPASS CAY Dec07 Nov23 Oct05 Sep24 Sep12 (delgad)ROJAS EDUARDO 120 2.00    
6  EL ROMANTICO Dec15 Oct01 Sep23 Aug06 Jul19 (lanum crystal)SOSA LAUREANO 113 20.00    
7  BAKER BLOCK Dec24 Dec10 Nov20 Oct29 Oct16 (mcgoey mo)CAMACHO JR 120 3.50 14% 6.00    
 
TAM-2   12/31/2022 5400ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PRETTY RACHEL Dec23 Nov25 Nov01 Oct06 Sep14 (davis scooter)FERRER C 120 8.00 18% 4.50    
2  MAGICGIRL Dec02 Nov26 Oct27 Oct12 Sep22 (posadas pe)ROWLAND MADELINE 115 15.00    
3  TIZ HERSELF Dec07 Oct26 Oct01 Sep14 Aug26 (rigattieri jo)MORALES PABLO 120 1.40 ★    
4  ANTIGONE Dec07 Oct20 Sep26 Sep01 Aug05 (davis scooter)CAMACHO SAMY 120 2.50 54% 0.80    
5  SNEAKY CHEEKY Dec02 Sep28 Aug18 Jun04 Apr08 (arriagada)CAMACHO JR 118 12.00    
6  EXPECT TO BE READY Dec07 Oct14 Sep22 Sep02 Aug13 (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 120 6.00 ★    
7  WHISKARITA Nov05 Oct29 Oct08 Sep18 Aug12 (smith r)VILLA-GOMEZ H 120 8.00 ★    
SCR  PEACELOVENKARMA Nov25 Oct04 Aug02 Jul20 Jun23 (sacco)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 15.00    
 
TAM-3   12/31/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PIVOTAL RUN Nov05 Oct08 Sep10 Aug11 Jun19 (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 121 4.00 8% 12.10    
2  SHIPWRECK Dec02 Oct02 Sep10 Aug13 Jul01 (knoll d)FERRER C 121 8.00    
3  TAPINTOYOURBEER Dec21 Dec02 May06 Apr23 Apr03 (ubide max)CAMACHO SAMY 118 8.00    
SCR  ANGEL'S MAGIC Dec02 Oct14 Sep10 Aug25 Aug03 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 4.50 24% 3.20    
SCR  HAD RIGHT Dec02 Sep23 Aug23 Aug10 Jul13 (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 118 10.00    
SCR  BOURBON BROWN Nov30 Aug16 Jul11 Jun22 May06 (ferraro m )ROWLAND MADELINE 116 10.00 ★    
7  ALYANAABI Dec14 Nov26 Oct05 Sep10 Aug28 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 120 3.50 27% 2.70    
8  SIMMS Dec09 Dec02 Oct12 Sep23 Sep07 (lopez ro)CASTANON L 118 4.50 15% 5.50    
SCR  CANYOUHEARMENOW Dec09 Dec02 Nov04 Oct21 Aug24 (duffy sean)ALENCAR WALBER 121 20.00    
10  BOCA GUY Dec14 Nov04 Sep24 Sep04 Aug07 (alvarado dia)BATISTA A 121 20.00    
 
TAM-4   12/31/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRAVE HILARIO Dec23 Nov29 Oct31 Oct19 Sep27 (escobar alison)SUAREZ JESUS 122 20.00    
2  MY BIG DRAMA Dec10 Nov23 Oct23 Sep25 Aug19 (dobber arnou)MENESES MARCOS 122 5.00    
3  EL MIC TIESUN Dec23 Nov23 Sep29 Sep22 Sep09 (mcgoey monica)SOSA LAUREANO 117 6.00 21% 3.70    
4  IT'S ME AGAIN         (machado an)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 124 8.00    
5  MISTER FERNANDO Dec23 Nov23 Sep30 Jul17 Jun25 (nunn dougla)QUINONEZ ALONSO 124 15.00 7% 13.50    
6  TORTOLA CAT         (williams der)ARROYO S 122 12.00 8% 12.00    
7  SENA THE DUCHESS Dec16 Nov30 Nov05 Apr23 Apr02 (santillana fra)MENDEZ KEVIN 121 20.00    
8  MY BROTHER MIKE Dec10 Nov23 Nov05 Oct14 Aug20 (orseno joseph )MARIN SAMUEL 122 1.00 23% 3.40    
9  EDMUND FITZGERALD Dec24 Sep30 Sep07 Aug20 Aug03 (hayford jennifer)DIAZ S 122 8.00 15% 5.80    
 
TAM-5   12/31/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($19.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SILENT SONATA Dec09 Nov16 Nov08 Oct20 Oct04 (granitz anthon)CAMACHO SAMY 121 4.50 ★    
2  WAR CROSS Dec09 Nov30 Nov02 Aug06 Jul06 (bray michael)BUSH V 121 6.00 22% 3.50    
3  BARAHIN Dec21 Nov30 Sep11 Aug30 Aug10 (escobar alison)FERRER C 121 15.00    
SCR  TAP EM Nov30 Oct21 Oct08 Sep22 Sep18 (nunn d)ROJAS EDUARDO 118 8.00    
SCR  SUMMER PALACE Nov30 Oct19 Oct03 Sep15 Aug30 (cheeks katy)MORALES PABLO 121 5.00 11% 7.90    
6  H C HOLIDAY Nov04 Oct15 Sep25 Aug20 Jul01 (wright michae)HERNANDEZ K 121 3.50 15% 5.70    
7  JUST DEAL WITH IT Nov14 Oct21 Sep11 Aug23 Aug11 (escobar alison)CASTANON L 121 8.00    
8  BEACH HOLIDAY Dec09 Oct20 Oct12 Oct04 Sep19 (cheeks katy)ALLEN D 118 8.00    
9  SOCIALLONGDISTANCE Dec09 Nov25 Oct01 Sep07 Aug15 (lusk brian)ALONSO LUIS 118 12.00    
SCR  SKIPPERINI Dec09 Aug07 Jul09 Jun02 Mar27 (wasiluk )GALLARDO A 118 10.00    
SCR  RISK VS REWARD Dec23 Dec07 Oct30 Sep25 Sep03 (arriagada juan)CAMACHO SAMY 118 4.00    
SCR  ANVIL Nov26 Oct14 Oct08 Sep06 Aug09 (parra hernan)ARROYO S 118 15.00    
SCR  BIG RED ROCKS Dec10 Oct21 Sep17 Sep02 Jul30 (wilson tony)CENTENO E 121 3.50 29% 2.40    
SCR  MIDNIGHT TEQUILA Dec21 Nov21 Nov07 Oct15 Sep30 (munoz carlos)ARROYO S 121 12.00    
 
TAM-6   12/31/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STAY HOME May14 Apr15 Mar20 Mar03   (delgado jose )LOZADA CARLOS 122 2.50 30% 2.30    
SCR  PALADIO Dec07 Nov23 Oct29 Oct08 Sep03 (mcgoe)DIAZ RAFAEL 122 6.00 6% 14.80    
3  BLACK V. K. Dec07 Sep24 Aug20 Jul31 Jul02 (pimental john )MARIN SAMUEL 122 20.00    
4  HOT AND HEAVY Dec07 Nov23 Oct22 Aug07 Jul17 (wilson)ROJAS EDUARDO 122 10.00 9% 10.80    
5  ROOKIE SALSA Dec14 Nov23 Oct14 Sep05 Aug06 (potts g)JIMENEZ MANNY 122 4.00 9% 10.00    
6  NO COMMISSION Dec14 Nov23 Aug06 Apr17 Mar26 (tsirigotis j)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 15.00    
7  BAZOO Dec16 Nov23 Oct15 Sep21 Aug20 (rodrigue)GALLARDO A 122 3.00 17% 4.80    
8  KEVIN WITTE Dec07 Nov23 Oct15 Oct01 Sep16 (posadas pedro)FERRER C 122 12.00    
9  PREFERRED OUTCOME Dec07 Nov23 Oct19 Oct03 Aug31 (ferraro anth)CASTANON L 122 8.00    
 
TAM-7   12/31/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Starter Handicap ($16K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HARD ATTACK Dec07 Oct08 Sep07 Aug25 Aug10 (arnett g)MORALES PABLO 119 4.00 26% 2.80    
2  SMITHWICK'S SPICE Dec14 Oct27 Oct09 Sep18 Aug26 (nunn dou)GALLARDO A 120 2.00 28% 2.60    
SCR  FATIMA'S BLESSING Nov25 Oct29 Sep11 Aug21 Jul30 (dini mike)SUAREZ ANGEL 118 5.00    
SCR  OHANA EMPIRE Dec14 Oct21 Aug28 Jul24 Jul10 (pimenta)GONZALEZ LUIS 117 15.00    
SCR  MAJOR SPARKS Nov09 Oct24 Oct08 Sep29 Aug24 (granitz anthony )FERRER C 118 12.00    
6  WHISKEY PLANK Dec10 Nov04 Oct08 Sep08 Aug17 (cruz jesus)CASTANON L 116 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  PRAIRIE Dec14 Nov05 Oct13 Sep16 Aug29 (sillaman richar)CENTENO E 117 8.00    
8  ON THE COUCH Dec10 Sep30 Sep18 Aug20 Jul23 (sacco gregory )CAMACHO SAMY 117 10.00    
9  FIERCE WARRIOR Dec21 Dec09 Nov25 Oct26 Jul20 (nunn douglas)ARROYO S 113 20.00    
SCR  DREAM LINER (BRZ) Dec14 Sep04 Aug07 Jul10 Jun12 (wilson)ROJAS EDUARDO 118 10.00 19% 4.10    
SCR  MR MATUSCHEK Dec10 Nov18 Jul30 Jul03 May06 (alvarado dia)BATISTA A 116 20.00 ★    
SCR  BLACK SEAL Dec16 Nov12 Oct29 Sep25 Sep09 (dobber arnoud)SOSA LAUREANO 110 30.00    
 
TAM-8   12/31/2022 3300ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($27K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY IN HEELS Nov25 Oct06 Sep14 Aug22 Aug03 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  BID ONCE Nov11 Nov03 Oct09 Sep16 Jun16 (wright michae)HERNANDEZ K 118 15.00    
3  MOANAS POWER Feb25 Jan14       (munoz carlos)ARROYO S 120 5.00 ★    
4  BAND SWEETHEART Oct08 Sep17 Jul30 Jul03 Jun12 (pimental john)VILLA-GOMEZ H 120 3.50 8% 11.60    
5  BUNTY WINDERMERE Dec09 Nov18 Oct09 Sep03 Aug20 (ryan derek)ROWLAND MADELINE 113 10.00    
6  SUMMER OF MISCHIEF Nov25 Oct21 Sep17 Aug21 Jul09 (o'connor robert)CENTENO E 118 6.00    
7  DAHGO Dec07 Aug21 Jul24 Jun19 May28 (pimental john )MARIN SAMUEL 118 30.00    
8  LI'L MISS CAMILLE Aug19 Jul31 Jul09 Jun11 Mar23 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 118 3.00 42% 1.40    
SCR  RASMALAI Nov23 Jun30 May06     (cintron juan )FLORES ADRIAN 120 6.00 22% 3.50    
10  DANNYHILL Dec22 Oct29 Oct09 Sep05 Aug22 (munoz carlos)MENESES MARCOS 120 8.00    
 
TAM-9   12/31/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Starter Handicap ($16K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DAKOTA DANCER Dec14 Oct30 Oct17 Oct05 Sep19 (rice kevin)ALLEN D 117 6.00 ★    
2  KATIES A LADY Nov05 Sep24 May06 Apr27 Apr02 (o'connell ka)BATISTA A 115 5.00    
SCR  INANNA'S QUEST Dec14 Nov25 Oct01 Sep10 Jul15 (sillaman richar)CENTENO E 117 8.00    
4  CHICK'S SHADOW Oct26 Aug29 Aug02 Jul01 May21 (rodriguez )ALONSO LUIS 118 10.00    
SCR  SLIME QUEEN Nov26 Sep07 Jul10 Jun11 Mar06 (arnett g)MORALES PABLO 118 3.50 12% 7.10    
SCR  PUGILIST Nov26 Sep23 Aug21 Aug01 Jun24 (cruz jes)GALLARDO A 117 3.00 49% 1.10    
SCR  FEETS OF FEATHER Nov26 Oct21 Jul11 Jun16 May06 (o'connell kath)MORENO ANGEL 116 15.00    
8  LENTEN ROSE Dec02 Oct12 Sep05     (potts g)FERRER C 117 15.00 11% 7.80    
9  ASTERS D'ORO Dec14 Aug19 Jul15 Jun30 May13 (smith rober)SPANABEL SKYLER 117 15.00    
SCR  FALL MOON Nov26 Oct01 Sep07 Jul17 Jun26 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 8.00    
SCR  MEMPHIS SHOWBOAT Nov26 Sep16 Aug13 Jul16 Mar18 (downing willia)CASTANON L 116 12.00    
SCR  MAKE NO MISTAKE (IRE) Nov26 Sep13 Aug23 Aug16 Jul30 (davis scooter)CAMACHO SAMY 116 15.00 ★    
SCR  RED WIND Dec14 Nov25 Sep24 Aug24 Aug15 (mcgoe)DIAZ RAFAEL 115 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.