Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Tampa Bay Downs
Friday - December 30, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
TAM-1   12/30/2022 5400ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:30
See original race card.
:243 :484 1:124 1:374   1:401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  EXCHEQUER 4 1 32 31½ 3½ 2nk 12¼ (rigattieri jo)MORALES PABLO 121 1.40 35% 1.80 0.80 W
1  PRIVATE LAKE 1 4 11 1nk 1nk 1nk 22¼ (davis richard )GREEN AUBRIE 121 3.00 24% 3.10 4.80 P
5  ESPECIALLEA 5 2 21 2nk 2nk 3½ 33½ (gatis chri)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 121 6.00 ★ 9.40 S
3  SEVENTY SEVENTYCAT 3 5 65 65¼ 65 43½ 43¾ (drake robe)MITCHELL RICHARD 121 8.00 8% 10.90 7.90  
2  IT'S FATE 2 3 53½ 52¾ 42½ 63¾ 55½ (werneth robe)ARROYO S 121 3.50 ★ 3.60  
6  ENGLISH LAUGHTER 6 6 42 41¾ 53 53¾ 66 (ferraro )GALLARDO A 121 10.00 10.90  
 
TAM-2   12/30/2022 5400ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($27K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:254 :50 1:13 1:373   1:401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  HARPOON HARRY 3 4 31 2½ 1nk 1½ 12¼ (bennett s)FERRER C 123 3.00 19% 4.30 3.30 W
4  BIG GEORGES KINGDM 4 1 11 1½ 2nk 2½ 22¼ (ferraro anth)COA J 121 12.00 ★ 14.00 P
1  IRISH VALOR 1 5 53 53 54¾ 33½ 34½ (arnett g)MORALES PABLO 121 4.00 ★ 3.10 S
2  MY MAN VITO 2 3 41½ 32½ 42¼ 44 47 (rigattieri john)CENTENO E 118 5.00 ★ 3.30  
6  OMATI 5 2 21 42½ 32 54½ 58 (arriagada ju)BATISTA A 121 2.00 1.20  
SCR  DAVIDIC LINE               (arriagada juan)CAMACHO SAMY 121 4.00 51% 0.90    
 
TAM-3   12/30/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15K) 2 F PT- 1:35
See original race card.
:224 :48 1:134 1:40   1:463   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  X Y LADY 3 3 43½ 43½ 41¼ 2nk 12 (lopez bernardo)CAMACHO SAMY 119 3.00 ★ 2.60  
7  CASTAWAY CAY 7 2 21½ 32½ 31 1nk 22 (wasiluk )GALLARDO A 119 15.00 19.10  
4  REBATE 4 7 65 55 52¼ 32 35 (richards ren)BATISTA A 119 3.50 ★ 3.00 S
6  DUDEFOOLINGDARLING 6 8 810½ 810½ 87¼ 53½ 47½ (deaton william)BRACHO A 119 15.00 23% 3.40 15.60  
5  KHARKIV 5 6 54½ 67 76¼ 84 58½ (sweezey kent)SUAREZ ANGEL 119 6.00 ★ 7.10  
1  LADY KITTY 1 4 75½ 77½ 65¼ 73¾ 614¾ (machado anto)ARROYO S 119 12.00 9.10  
2  MY BATON ROUGE 2 1 32 21½ 1nk 42½ 717½ (ramos o)CASTANON L 119 2.50 49% 1.00 3.20  
8  RED DELICIOUS 8 5 11½ 11½ 2nk 63¾ 821 (cascallares)CASIQUE URBARDO 119 6.00 7.70  
 
TAM-4   12/30/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:03
See original race card.
:232 :462 1:12     1:184   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  LOFTYSHIPSLOWSAILS 3 7 51¾ 42½   31½ 11 (arnett g)MORALES PABLO 122 4.50 3.10  
5  THATS ALL SHEWROTE 5 2 3½ 1nk   1½ 21 (bennett gerald)MARIN SAMUEL 124 4.50 14% 6.00 2.60 P
2  HOLIDAY PRINCESS 2 4 2½ 31½   41½ 32¾ (bates la)GALLARDO A 122 2.50 ★ 3.10 S
1  FLAT OUT COOL 1 3 1½ 2nk   2½ 43½ (lorito mario)JIMENEZ MANNY 124 12.00 7% 13.30 11.00  
8  FEEL LIKE GUESSING 7 1 4¾ 53½   67½ 511½ (davis richard )GREEN AUBRIE 124 3.00 37% 1.70 2.90  
7  PATH TO VICTORY 6 5 72 76   78 611½ (gonzalez javi)FLORES ADRIAN 122 10.00 14.90  
4  LOOKIN AT KISSES 4 6 61¾ 64   55½ 712½ (ubide max)ALONSO LUIS 122 15.00 11% 7.90 19.70  
SCR  FREEDOM EXPRESS               (hunt donald)QUINONEZ ALONSO 122 10.00    
 
TAM-5   12/30/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:33
See original race card.
:232 :48 1:122 1:372   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  KING OF CHAOS 9 4 43 31 1½ 12 13¾ (carrascojr v)BATISTA A 121 1.60 ★ 2.40  
1  BUSTIN UP 1 1 11 11 2½ 22 23¾ (delgado h)SUAREZ ANGEL 121 3.00 2.30  
8  DIAL HIM UP 7 9 97¾ 84½ 52½ 34½ 34¼ (posadas pedro)CASTANON L 121 6.00 51% 0.90 4.00 S
6  LORD OF THE NILE 6 7 54 41½ 31½ 44½ 48 (dobber w)WALES GARY 124 10.00 7.40  
2  POSEIDONS MYTH 2 5 64½ 73½ 75¼ 77¾ 511¼ (ubide max)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 10.00 13% 6.80 10.70  
3  ANDY WALKS WITH ME 3 2 21 21 41½ 55½ 611¾ (vinson j)GALLARDO A 121 6.00 5.60  
9  BEN RUMSON 8 3 33 52 62¾ 67½ 715 (collins john)CAMACHO SAMY 121 20.00 20.60  
5  KALINBA 5 8 87¾ 97½ 86¾ 89¾ 815½ (cascallares)CASIQUE URBARDO 121 20.00 76.90  
4  LANCELOT LYNK 4 6 74¾ 63 96¾ 914¾ 927¼ (sims n)REEVES F 121 30.00 93.10  
SCR  COLORS               (lusk r)ARROYO S 121 20.00    
SCR  MAGIC WIZARD               (fennessy john)ALLEN M 124 12.00 6% 14.80    
SCR  STARSHIP MOZART               (ferraro a)SPANABEL SKYLER 124 20.00 7% 13.40    
SCR  SUNSPOT               (deaton willi)MENESES MARCOS 121 12.00    
 
TAM-6   12/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($19.5K) 2 ALL PT- 3:05
See original race card.
:221 :452 :573     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  DROPKICK MURPHY 4 1 1½ 12½   13 14 (vinson g)MORALES PABLO 119 4.00 12% 7.40 3.70 W
9  TOXIC GRAY 9 3 41 33   23 24 (cascallares)CASIQUE URBARDO 119 20.00 43.40  
8  LOOKIN' SUPER 8 4 31 22½   34 36¾ (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 119 4.00 34% 1.90 1.80 S
5  GRATIA PRINCE 5 6 63¾ 65½   46 47¾ (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 3.50 20% 3.90 7.20  
3  CRUISING DEREK 3 8 75¾ 77½   68 58 (mazza w)SUAREZ ANGEL 119 12.00 51.70  
6  FATIH 6 9 97¼ 88   78¼ 68½ (nunez mauricio)BRACHO A 119 30.00 26.60  
7  ALTAIR 7 5 53½ 55½   56 79¼ (hamm timothy)BURGOS ALBERTO 119 15.00 41.50  
2  DEPOLI 2 10 107¼ 108¼   810¼ 812¼ (harty eoin)CASTANON L 119 3.00 12% 7.30 1.90  
1  TOES N THE SAND 1 7 86¼ 98¼   912¼ 921¼ (stewart chad)BATISTA A 119 5.00 ★ 13.50  
10  RUSTY PISTOL 10 2 2½ 43½   1013¼ 1024¼ (jones douglas)ALLEN D 119 30.00 56.70  
 
TAM-7   12/30/2022 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($17.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:35
See original race card.
:231 :47 1:113 1:371   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  IRAZU 6 8 85 84¾ 83¾ 3.2 11½ (cascallares ne)CASTANON L 121 6.00 11% 7.70 8.40 W
3  JEFF'S ANGEL 3 6 73½ 74½ 52¼ 4¾ 21½ (exposito j)LOPEZ E 118 12.00 15.50  
4  UP HER SLEEVE 4 3 41½ 32½ 31 2nk 32 (delgado jose )JIMENEZ MANNY 118 8.00 13.60  
2  COOL FRONT 2 10 108 108¾ 105¼ 51¼ 43 (dini mike)MORALES PABLO 121 4.50 11% 7.90 4.80  
7  LOVE'S MISERY 7 2 1½ 11½ 11 1nk 54 (delgado jose)ALENCAR WALBER 121 10.00 12.30  
10  NOVELERA 10 9 97 97¼ 94¼ 83¾ 64¾ (garcia rodolfo)CAMACHO SAMY 118 3.50 5% 17.90 3.00  
1  WINNING AT EASE 1 1 62½ 43 42 73¼ 75 (banks chris)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 4.00 38% 1.60 2.20  
9  PLATINUMCENTS 9 4 2½ 21½ 21 63¼ 86¾ (wasiluk peter )ALLEN D 121 30.00 57.60  
5  OIL ON CANVAS 5 5 52 63½ 63¼ 95¾ 98½ (carrascojr v)MENESES MARCOS 121 6.00 8.10  
8  BEAUTY GENIUS 8 7 31½ 53 73¾ 107¾ 1011½ (smith rober)SPANABEL SKYLER 121 15.00 20.50  
SCR  HELEONORTIZ               (machado anto)ARROYO S 120 3.00 12% 7.20    
 
TAM-8   12/30/2022 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($27K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:05
See original race card.
:23 :46 1:104     1:232   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  LADY FRIJOLES 4 1 1½ 2nk   1½ 12 (cintron juan )FLORES ADRIAN 120 3.00 46% 1.20 3.40 W
2  ACACIAHELPME 2 4 41½ 52   2½ 22 (o'connor rober)SUAREZ ANGEL 118 10.00 20.90  
5  BEAUTY QUIST 5 2 2½ 3½   52 32½ (sacco gregor)ARROYO S 118 4.50 12% 7.40 4.10 S
1  BOW DRAW 1 3 31 1nk   31 43¼ (mcgoey monica)GREEN AUBRIE 120 10.00 2.70  
7  CLAY'S MOON STONE 7 6 61¾ 62¼   62¼ 53½ (arnet)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 1.80 17% 5.00 2.60  
3  DAILY BRIEFING 3 5 51½ 41½   42 64 (terranova joh)MORALES PABLO 120 5.00 ★ 6.90  
6  STYLE 6 7 73¾ 73¼   74¼ 76¾ (arriagada jua)SANTOS ADEMAR 120 8.00 ★ 13.30  
 
TAM-9   12/30/2022 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:231 :471 1:114 1:24   1:354   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CREED 1 7 86¾ 85 73¼ 2½ 12½ (mcgaughey cla)MORALES PABLO 121 3.50 3.30  
10  MONTAUK SUMMER 8 4 32 31½ 3½ 1½ 22½ (dini mike)CENTENO E 121 4.00 38% 1.60 2.40 P
8  BULLET FORCE (IRE) 7 6 54 53 52 4¾ 33¾ (delgado jorg)BATISTA A 118 4.50 39% 1.50 5.60 S
5  TAPSASIONAL 4 1 2½ 21 2nk 3½ 45¼ (o'connell kath)CASTANON L 121 8.00 ★ 6.90  
2  ORIGINAL 2 2 42 42 41 51¾ 57¾ (terranova john)CAMACHO SAMY 121 4.50 ★ 2.40  
6  AZURE SKY 5 5 65 74 83¼ 63¾ 67¾ (posadas ped)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 20.00 23.30  
4  ASHAAB 3 8 75¼ 63 63 87¾ 716½ (escobar alison)FERRER C 121 30.00 32.10  
7  INDIAN FEVER 6 3 1½ 11 1nk 74¾ 817 (hamm tim)GALLARDO A 121 15.00 ★ 20.10  
SCR  KING OF HOLLYWOOD               (sacco gregor)ARROYO S 118 6.00    
SCR  LAND MARK DEAL               (gulick james)ARROYO S 121 12.00    
SCR  PERFECT SPEIGHTY               (wright michael)SUAREZ ANGEL 121 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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