Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Friday - December 30, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   12/30/2022 5400ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRIVATE LAKE Dec21 Dec02 Oct22 Sep30 Aug01 (davis richard )GREEN AUBRIE 121 3.00 24% 3.10    
2  IT'S FATE Dec21 Dec02 Oct28 Oct20 Sep29 (werneth robe)ARROYO S 121 3.50 ★    
3  SEVENTY SEVENTYCAT Dec23 Dec14 Nov26 Mar30 Mar09 (drake robe)MITCHELL RICHARD 121 8.00 8% 10.90    
4  EXCHEQUER Nov26 Nov18 Oct12 Aug22 Jul29 (rigattieri jo)MORALES PABLO 121 1.40 35% 1.80    
5  ESPECIALLEA Dec16 Dec09 Nov25 Nov12 Oct15 (gatis chri)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 121 6.00 ★    
6  ENGLISH LAUGHTER Oct26 Sep27 Aug29 Aug10 Jul19 (ferraro )GALLARDO A 121 10.00    
 
TAM-2   12/30/2022 5400ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($27K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IRISH VALOR Dec22 Dec10 Oct28 Oct08 Oct02 (arnett g)MORALES PABLO 121 4.00 ★    
2  MY MAN VITO Dec10 Nov02 Oct19 Sep22 Jun17 (rigattieri john)CENTENO E 118 5.00 ★    
3  HARPOON HARRY Dec09 Oct12 Jul01 Jun10 Apr13 (bennett s)FERRER C 123 3.00 19% 4.30    
4  BIG GEORGES KINGDM Nov14 Oct18 Aug09 Jul13 Jun22 (ferraro anth)COA J 121 12.00 ★    
SCR  DAVIDIC LINE Dec16 Oct22 Sep08 Aug25 Jul13 (arriagada juan)CAMACHO SAMY 121 4.00 51% 0.90    
6  OMATI Nov05 Sep15       (arriagada ju)BATISTA A 121 2.00    
 
TAM-3   12/30/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15K) 2 F PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY KITTY Dec16 Nov25 Oct09 Aug30   (machado anto)ARROYO S 119 12.00    
2  MY BATON ROUGE Dec17 Dec07 Aug30 Aug16 Jul19 (ramos o)CASTANON L 119 2.50 49% 1.00    
3  X Y LADY Oct06 Sep05 Aug16 Jun22   (lopez bernardo)CAMACHO SAMY 119 3.00 ★    
4  REBATE Nov25 Oct30 Oct16 Oct01 Sep02 (richards ren)BATISTA A 119 3.50 ★    
5  KHARKIV Nov25         (sweezey kent)SUAREZ ANGEL 119 6.00 ★    
6  DUDEFOOLINGDARLING         (deaton william)BRACHO A 119 15.00 23% 3.40    
7  CASTAWAY CAY Dec17         (wasiluk pet)SPANABEL SKYLER 119 15.00    
8  RED DELICIOUS Dec17 Jul15 May26 May05   (cascallares)CASIQUE URBARDO 119 6.00    
 
TAM-4   12/30/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLAT OUT COOL Dec23 Dec02 Nov12 Oct29 Oct15 (lorito mario)JIMENEZ MANNY 124 12.00 7% 13.30    
2  HOLIDAY PRINCESS Dec02 Oct28 Sep23 Sep02 Aug21 (bates la)GALLARDO A 122 2.50 ★    
3  LOFTYSHIPSLOWSAILS Dec16 Nov25 Oct09 Sep30 Aug07 (arnett g)MORALES PABLO 122 4.50    
4  LOOKIN AT KISSES         (ubide max)ALONSO LUIS 122 15.00 11% 7.90    
5  THATS ALL SHEWROTE Dec09 Aug13 Jun25 Apr16 Apr02 (bennett gerald)MARIN SAMUEL 124 4.50 14% 6.00    
SCR  FREEDOM EXPRESS Dec09         (hunt donald)QUINONEZ ALONSO 122 10.00    
7  PATH TO VICTORY Dec16 Dec02 Aug21 Jul24 Jul02 (gonzalez javi)FLORES ADRIAN 122 10.00    
8  FEEL LIKE GUESSING Dec09 Nov26 Nov19 Oct23 Sep23 (davis richard )GREEN AUBRIE 124 3.00 37% 1.70    
 
TAM-5   12/30/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BUSTIN UP Dec14 Oct18 Sep27 Jul09 Jun10 (delgado h)SUAREZ ANGEL 121 3.00    
2  POSEIDONS MYTH Dec02 Apr27 Apr15 Mar30 Mar11 (ubide max)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 10.00 13% 6.80    
3  ANDY WALKS WITH ME Nov30 Oct22       (vinson j)GALLARDO A 121 6.00    
4  LANCELOT LYNK Dec14 Nov26 Oct30 Sep18   (sims n)REEVES F 121 30.00    
5  KALINBA Dec16 Nov30 Oct28 Oct16 Sep25 (cascallares)CASIQUE URBARDO 121 20.00    
6  LORD OF THE NILE Dec14 Nov26 Jun25 May04 Mar25 (dobber w)WALES GARY 124 10.00    
SCR  STARSHIP MOZART Nov21 Nov09       (ferraro a)SPANABEL SKYLER 124 20.00 7% 13.40    
8  DIAL HIM UP Dec14 Nov26 Oct29 Oct08 Sep17 (posadas pedro)CASTANON L 121 6.00 51% 0.90    
9  BEN RUMSON Oct29 Oct16 Jul15 Jun10   (collins john)CAMACHO SAMY 121 20.00    
10  KING OF CHAOS Dec02 Jun24 Apr29 Mar12   (carrascojr v)BATISTA A 121 1.60 ★    
SCR  MAGIC WIZARD Dec23 Oct19 Oct06 Sep27 Sep14 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 124 12.00 6% 14.80    
SCR  SUNSPOT Oct22 Sep18 Jun30 May14 Apr30 (deaton willi)MENESES MARCOS 121 12.00    
SCR  COLORS Jul10 Jun11 May08 Apr09 Mar26 (lusk r)ARROYO S 121 20.00    
 
TAM-6   12/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($19.5K) 2 ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOES N THE SAND Nov25         (stewart chad)BATISTA A 119 5.00 ★    
2  DEPOLI Nov30 Oct15 Aug27     (harty eoin)CASTANON L 119 3.00 12% 7.30    
3  CRUISING DEREK Nov25 Sep18 Sep10 Aug27 Aug12 (mazza w)SUAREZ ANGEL 119 12.00    
4  DROPKICK MURPHY Dec03 Oct23       (vinson g)MORALES PABLO 119 4.00 12% 7.40    
5  GRATIA PRINCE Nov30 Sep18       (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 3.50 20% 3.90    
6  FATIH         (nunez mauricio)BRACHO A 119 30.00    
7  ALTAIR         (hamm timothy)BURGOS ALBERTO 119 15.00    
8  LOOKIN' SUPER Nov27         (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 119 4.00 34% 1.90    
9  TOXIC GRAY         (cascallares)CASIQUE URBARDO 119 20.00    
10  RUSTY PISTOL Sep23         (jones douglas)ALLEN D 119 30.00    
 
TAM-7   12/30/2022 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($17.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WINNING AT EASE Dec02 Oct23 Aug20 Jul23 Jul08 (banks chris)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 4.00 38% 1.60    
2  COOL FRONT Dec22 Dec02 Sep04 Aug06 Jul15 (dini mike)MORALES PABLO 121 4.50 11% 7.90    
3  JEFF'S ANGEL Oct23 Jun30 Jun17 May04 Apr08 (exposito j)LOPEZ E 118 12.00    
4  UP HER SLEEVE Dec02 Oct22 Sep04 Aug06 Jun25 (delgado jose )JIMENEZ MANNY 118 8.00    
5  OIL ON CANVAS Nov06 Aug22 Aug14 Jul19 Jul08 (carrascojr v)MENESES MARCOS 121 6.00    
6  IRAZU Dec02 Sep24 Sep10 Sep02 Aug04 (cascallares ne)CASTANON L 121 6.00 11% 7.70    
7  LOVE'S MISERY Nov23 Sep17 Sep03 Aug05 Jul02 (delgado jose)ALENCAR WALBER 121 10.00    
8  BEAUTY GENIUS Aug07 Jul15 Jul01 May26 May06 (smith rober)SPANABEL SKYLER 121 15.00    
9  PLATINUMCENTS Dec10 Nov23 Jul01 May06 Apr24 (wasiluk peter )ALLEN D 121 30.00    
10  NOVELERA Dec02 Oct22 Oct01 Aug06 Jul23 (garcia rodolfo)CAMACHO SAMY 118 3.50 5% 17.90    
SCR  HELEONORTIZ Dec16 Dec09 Nov23 Oct06 Aug27 (machado anto)ARROYO S 120 3.00 12% 7.20    
 
TAM-8   12/30/2022 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($27K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOW DRAW Nov25 Sep29 Sep13 Aug26 Aug09 (mcgoey monica)GREEN AUBRIE 120 10.00    
2  ACACIAHELPME Aug14 May30 Apr15 Mar23 Mar02 (o'connor rober)SUAREZ ANGEL 118 10.00    
3  DAILY BRIEFING Nov05 Sep29 Sep05 Jul27 May06 (terranova joh)MORALES PABLO 120 5.00 ★    
4  LADY FRIJOLES May06         (cintron juan )FLORES ADRIAN 120 3.00 46% 1.20    
5  BEAUTY QUIST Nov25 Oct29 Oct07     (sacco gregor)ARROYO S 118 4.50 12% 7.40    
6  STYLE Dec07 Oct26 Oct06 Sep02 Jul01 (arriagada jua)SANTOS ADEMAR 120 8.00 ★    
7  CLAY'S MOON STONE Sep29 Sep18 Aug06 Jun10 Feb23 (arnet)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 1.80 17% 5.00    
 
TAM-9   12/30/2022 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CREED Oct21 Sep05 Aug20 Jul23   (mcgaughey cla)MORALES PABLO 121 3.50    
2  ORIGINAL Oct27         (terranova john)CAMACHO SAMY 121 4.50 ★    
SCR  PERFECT SPEIGHTY Oct23 Sep13 Jun25 May21 May07 (wright michael)SUAREZ ANGEL 121 5.00    
4  ASHAAB Dec06 Nov18 Oct24 Sep03 Aug16 (escobar alison)FERRER C 121 30.00    
5  TAPSASIONAL Dec14 Jul01 Jun11 May08 Apr20 (o'connell kath)CASTANON L 121 8.00 ★    
6  AZURE SKY Dec02 Oct20 Sep22 Sep07 Aug08 (posadas ped)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 20.00    
7  INDIAN FEVER Sep07 Aug23 Jul18 Jun03 May23 (hamm tim)GALLARDO A 121 15.00 ★    
8  BULLET FORCE (IRE) Dec07 Nov05       (delgado jorg)BATISTA A 118 4.50 39% 1.50    
SCR  LAND MARK DEAL Nov26 Oct15 Sep25 Sep06 Jul18 (gulick james)ARROYO S 121 12.00    
10  MONTAUK SUMMER Dec07 Sep18 Sep03 Aug20 Jul23 (dini mike)CENTENO E 121 4.00 38% 1.60    
SCR  KING OF HOLLYWOOD Dec17 Oct08 Sep24 Jul23 Jun18 (sacco gregor)ARROYO S 118 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.