The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Aqueduct
Sunday - January 15, 2023

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AQU-1   01/15/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT-12:20
:25 :501 1:163     1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VIRADIA 3 5 42 42 1nk 12 1(englehart s)DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.50 11% 8.50 1.85 W
INDIAN BELLA 1 1 3½ 31 32 22 2(kantarmaci mertkan)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.60 49% 1.00 1.20 P
TRIPLE P 4 2 1nk 11 2nk 33(rice linda)OLVER MADISON 110 3.50 11% 8.20 2.75 S
ALICIA'S WAY 2 3 5 5 45 4411¾ (englehart chris)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 4.00 8.80  
SHE'S GOT GAME 5 4 2nk 21 5 512 514¾ (davis d)FUENTES ERICK 110 20.00 7% 12.60 39.00  
SCR  WAIT A MINUTE               (englehart s)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 6.00    
 
AQU-2   01/15/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22K) 4UP ALL PT-12:50
:25 :50 1:163     1:434   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UMBRIA 2 4 2nk 1nk 1 13 1(de horacio)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 3.00 13% 6.90 1.90 W
CRYPTO CASH 5 3 4 31 2 23 2(falcone n)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 1.80 27% 2.70 1.20 P
JUMPSTER 4 1 31 6 5 47 3(sells rachel)HARKIE K 123 8.00 15.40  
SUPPLY CHAIN 6 2 5 4 3 34(chichakly amira)DAVIS KATIE 123 5.00 5.40  
EYE OF GUNFIGHTER 3 5 6 5 65 69 510¾ (smith m)ADORNO ABNER 120 20.00 45.50  
TEXAS TOWER 1 6 1nk 2nk 44 5610¾ (englehart c)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 4.00 24% 3.20 4.90  
SCR  SOUTH AFRICA               (huertas nirka)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 6.00 9% 10.30    
 
AQU-3   01/15/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($50K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:18
:244 :494 1:163     1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KEEN DANCER 3 3 6 7 3 1½ 1(persaud randi)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 10.00 10.70  
VEGAS WEEKEND 1 4 2nk 1nk 1½ 2½ 2(kantarmaci mertkan)DAVIS DYLAN 120 1.60 22% 3.60 1.80  
ALWAYS A QUEEN 2 6 7 67 5 34 3(lake a)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00 10% 9.10 21.10 S
TRADE SECRET 5 1 31 3 44 44(rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 2.00 24% 3.10 1.90  
SHE'S A BLACK BELT 7 2 1nk 2nk 2½ 5513¼ (rodriguez r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 8.00 22% 3.60 6.30  
CHOOSE HAPPINESS 4 5 4 42 67 6616¾ (rodriguez r)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00 3.30  
1A  CHAYSENBRYN 6 7 5 5 713½ 723½ 763 (kantarmaci mertkan)VARGAS A 120 1.60 1.80  
 
AQU-4   01/15/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:47
:232 :481 1:003     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REIGNING CHICK 4 6 5 34   31½ (reynolds j)DAVIS DYLAN 123 2.50 26% 2.90 1.65 W
BEAUTIFUL KAREN 2 2 2nk 1   11 2½ (rodriguez r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 4.50 29% 2.50 2.15 P
BANKERS DAUGHTER 3 4 32 2   21 3(d'alessandro ralph)LEZCANO JOSE 123 8.00 13% 7.00 5.70 S
HIGH SCHOOL CRUSH 6 1 44 56   49 415¼ (barker r)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00 11% 8.50 3.20  
EASY PLAY 1 3 1nk 4   5515½ (noda orlando)CANCEL ERIC 120 12.00 9.60  
MY GLORY 5 5 6 612   614½ 618¼ (davis d)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 15.00 50.00  
SCR  FANTAIL (GB)               (wong jonathan)ADORNO ABNER 123 1.40    
 
AQU-5   01/15/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($80K) 3 F PT- 2:17
:24 :484 1:134     1:264   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZIAERATI 3 1 1nk 1½   15 1(falcone n)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00 9% 10.40 3.80 W
PROMISEHER AMERICA 4 2 3 3   36 2(handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 120 12.00 27.50  
AVANT 1 4 5 63   47 3(pletcher a)CANCEL ERIC 120 10.00 5% 19.00 8.00 S
MY BETSY 5 5 2nk 2½   25 4(mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 120 1.60 47% 1.10 1.00  
SHIRL'S DELIGHT 2 6 6 5   510 521¼ (martin f)VARGAS A 120 6.00 13.30  
LA GROTTE 6 3 4 4   613½ 625 (morley thomas)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.50 14% 5.90 2.70  
SCR  BALPOOL               (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50    
 
AQU-6   01/15/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($80K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:47
:233 :473 1:132     1:273   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRANNYS CONNECTION 3 3 1 1   18 1(morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 122 5.00 11% 7.70 4.40 W
CHARGING LADY 7 2 612 616   313½ 2(pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 122 8.00 5% 17.20 10.50 P
WINGS LIKE EAGLES 1 7 3 2   28 3(mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 122 2.00 27% 2.80 4.30 S
GEOMETRIQUE 6 5 713½ 720½   718½ 413¼ (ribaudo j)SAMUEL L 122 15.00 46.00  
DOLCE SERA 4 6 5 511½   517½ 517½ (delauro j)HUAYAS (JASON) 115 30.00 72.50  
SOURCING NETWORK 5 1 4 411   618½ 619 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 1.00 36% 1.80 0.45  
CARATS AND CAKE 2 4 2 36   416½ 722 (rodriguez r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 12.00 33.75  
 
AQU-7   01/15/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($60K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:18
:243 :492 1:152     1:413   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAMISHED 4 7 52 3 1½ 115 (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.50 13% 6.70 2.65 W
LASTCHANCEATGLORY 2 3 4 21 2½ 225 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 1.20 30% 2.40 1.85 P
IT'S MANDATORY 1 2 63 7 4 336 (jones e)HERNANDEZ OMAR 116 20.00 23.40  
AMERICAN RULE 3 6 7 5 55 4413½ (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00 10.80  
MONEY MIKE 5 1 1½ 11 3 5521 (camejo m)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.50 3.60  
STYNER 7 5 31 6 711 615½ 632¾ (englehart s)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 6.00 24% 3.20 5.80  
BLAKE B. 6 4 2½ 4 611 717½ 757½ (romero jesus)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 12.00 11.70  
 
AQU-8   01/15/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($72K) 3 ALL PT- 3:47
:232 :483 1:013     1:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
D'ONT LOSE CRUZ 4 4 31 4   1½ 1(duggan p)CARMOUCHE K 122 1.60 41% 1.50 1.35 W
STARQUIST 1 6 7 74   32(kimmel c)CANCEL ERIC 122 2.00 1.95 P
WHAT'S UP BRO 5 2 1nk 1½   2½ 3(klesaris p)LEZCANO JOSE 122 4.00 26% 2.80 2.25 S
GOLD IN THEM HILLS 6 5 2nk 2½   44(d'alessandro ralph)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 20.00 44.00  
MACDONOUGH 2 3 6 6   63 511¾ (sells rachel)DAVIS KATIE 122 20.00 70.25  
SARATOGA BANKER 7 1 4 3   5612 (summers chad)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 15.00 33.50  
BELT PARKWAY 3 7 5 5   74 716¼ (st uriah)ADORNO ABNER 122 12.00 14.10  
SCR  KAZ PALACE               (synnefias dimitrios)PANAIJO JORGE 122 15.00 8% 12.20    
SCR  MSHINDI               (lynch natalia)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 15.00    
 
AQU-9   01/15/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:16
:231 :474 1:002     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOKEMEISTER 3 4 1 11   1½ 1hd (catalano l)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.00 4.70  
THE COBBLER 1 7 42 3   2½ 2hd (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.00 37% 1.70 3.35 P
10  MATTY'S MARAUDER 9 8 9 88   73(donk david)VARGAS A 120 6.00 5.50 S
GINNSU WARRIOR 4 9 7 66   54(noda orlando)CANCEL ERIC 120 6.00 9.60  
JOHN'S PROTEGE 2 3 2 21   356 (miceli michael)FRANCO MANUEL 123 4.00 34% 1.90 3.10  
TACO BEAN 5 5 53 44   46(romero jesus)OLVER MADISON 110 12.00 4.10  
HE'SGOTTASHORTFUSE 7 6 6 77   65 712¼ (ryerson t)HUAYAS (JASON) 116 8.00 13.20  
HUDSON OVERPASS 6 1 3 5   8822 (grossman r)HERNANDEZ OMAR 113 15.00 5% 19.00 49.75  
CENTAVO 8 2 8 913½   911 924 (chatterpaul naipaul)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 20.00 65.50  
SCR  RAW COURAGE               (toscano t)FUENTES ERICK 110 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.