Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Sunday - January 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (1/4/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/3/6)-(1/4/3/6/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/4/3/6)-(1/4/3/6/2)-(1/4/3/6/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/4/3/6)-(5/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/4/3/6)-(5/1/2)-(5/1/6/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-2   WIN (5/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/2)-(5/1/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/1/2)-(5/1/2/6)-(5/1/2/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/1/2)-(5/1/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/1/2)-(5/1/6/2)-(3/5/4/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-3   WIN (5/1/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/6/2)-(1/5/6/2/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/1/6/2)-(1/5/6/2/3)-(1/5/6/2/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/1/6/2)-(3/5/4/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/1/6/2)-(3/5/4/7)-(6/7/4/2) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
AQU-4   WIN (3/5/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/4/7)-(3/5/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/4/7)-(3/5/4/7)-(3/5/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/5/4/7)-(6/7/4/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/5/4/7)-(6/7/4/2)-(5/1/3/7) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
AQU-5   WIN (6/7/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/4/2)-(6/7/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/4/2)-(6/7/4/2)-(6/7/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/7/4/2)-(5/1/3/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/7/4/2)-(5/1/3/7)-(2/7/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-6   WIN (5/1/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/3/7)-(5/1/3/7/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/1/3/7)-(5/1/3/7/2)-(5/1/3/7/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/1/3/7)-(2/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/1/3/7)-(2/7/4)-(6/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
AQU-7   WIN (2/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/4)-(2/7/4/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/4)-(2/7/4/3/5)-(2/7/4/3/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/7/4)-(6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/7/4)-(6/7)-(1/3/7) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
AQU-8   WIN (6/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/7)-(6/7/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/7)-(6/7/1/5)-(6/7/1/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (6/7)-(1/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
AQU-9   WIN (1/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/7)-(1/3/7/5/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/7)-(1/3/7/5/10)-(1/3/7/5/10) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   01/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT-12:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INDIAN BELLA Oct11 Aug05 Jun25 May21 Apr29 (kantarmaci me)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.60 49% 1.00    
2  ALICIA'S WAY Dec30 Dec18 Nov21 Oct26 Oct18 (englehar)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 4.00 ★    
3  VIRADIA Jan05 Dec03 Nov05 Sep29 Aug21 (englehart jeffr)DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.50 11% 8.50    
4  TRIPLE P Dec15 Dec01 Nov08 Sep12 Aug29 (rice linda)OLVER MADISON 110 3.50 11% 8.20    
SCR  WAIT A MINUTE Apr29 Apr15 Jan27 Jan13   (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 6.00    
6  SHE'S GOT GAME Dec30 Dec10 Nov07 Oct14 Aug26 (davis edmund )FUENTES ERICK 110 20.00 7% 12.60    
 
AQU-2   01/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22K) 4UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TEXAS TOWER Nov07 Oct19 Sep19 Sep05 Aug23 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 4.00 24% 3.20    
2  UMBRIA Dec29 Dec04 Oct27 Oct13 Sep17 (de h)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 3.00 13% 6.90    
3  EYE OF GUNFIGHTER Dec21 Nov25 Nov13 Nov05 Oct30 (smith lawrence)ADORNO ABNER 120 20.00    
4  JUMPSTER Dec06 Nov15 Oct25 Oct10 Sep26 (sells rachel)HARKIE K 123 8.00    
5  CRYPTO CASH Oct21 Aug24 Jun30 Jun03 May07 (falcon)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 1.80 27% 2.70    
6  SUPPLY CHAIN Jan07 Dec04 Nov18 Oct31 Aug21 (chichakly amira)DAVIS KATIE 123 5.00 ★    
SCR  SOUTH AFRICA Dec29 Dec04 Nov15 Oct24 Aug17 (hue)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 6.00 9% 10.30    
 
AQU-3   01/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($50K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VEGAS WEEKEND Jan05 Nov10 Oct28 Oct01 Feb18 (kantarmaci mert)DAVIS DYLAN 120 1.60 22% 3.60    
1A  CHAYSENBRYN Dec16 Nov11 Oct27 Aug24 Jun02 (kantarmac)VARGAS A 120 1.60 ★    
2  ALWAYS A QUEEN Dec07 Nov15       (lake a)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00 10% 9.10    
3  KEEN DANCER Jan06 Dec15 Dec02 Nov10 Oct28 (per)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 10.00 ★    
4  CHOOSE HAPPINESS Dec16 Sep25 Aug14 Jul01 Apr23 (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00    
5  TRADE SECRET Dec10 Nov13 Oct20 Sep10 Jul31 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 2.00 24% 3.10    
6  SHE'S A BLACK BELT Dec08 Nov26 Nov10 Oct14 Sep29 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 8.00 22% 3.60    
 
AQU-4   01/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FANTAIL (GB) Nov18 Oct27 Sep29 Sep13 Aug14 (wong jonathan)ADORNO ABNER 123 1.40 ★    
2  EASY PLAY Jun20 Jun06 May23 May09 Apr24 (noda orlando)CANCEL ERIC 120 12.00    
3  BEAUTIFUL KAREN Dec03 Oct23 Sep23 Aug06 Mar25 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 4.50 29% 2.50    
4  BANKERS DAUGHTER Dec15 Nov16 Sep05 Aug09 Jun25 (d'alessandro r)LEZCANO JOSE 123 8.00 13% 7.00    
5  REIGNING CHICK Dec10 Nov27 Oct25 Sep22 Jul21 (reynolds patric)DAVIS DYLAN 123 2.50 26% 2.90    
6  MY GLORY Jan07 Jul11 Jun08 Jan21   (davis )MARAGH RAMSAY 120 15.00    
7  HIGH SCHOOL CRUSH Dec15 Dec01 Oct23 Aug28 Jun26 (barker edward)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00 11% 8.50    
 
AQU-5   01/15/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3 F PT- 2:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BALPOOL Dec15         (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50 ★    
  (by UNCAPTURED out of REMINGTON ROSE by TAKE CHARGE INDY)
2  AVANT Nov04 Sep04       (pletcher a)CANCEL ERIC 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of ENTH by SEEKING THE GOLD)
3  SHIRL'S DELIGHT Dec15         (martin ca)VARGAS A 120 6.00    
  (by TONALIST out of DECRYPT by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
4  ZIAERATI         (falcone robert )DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00 9% 10.40    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of ZIA by MUNNINGS)
5  PROMISEHER AMERICA Dec15         (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 120 12.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of PROMISEDYOUHEAVEN by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
6  MY BETSY Dec18 Sep04 Jul31     (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 120 1.60 47% 1.10    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of NATIVE AMERICAN by SIOUX NATION)
7  LA GROTTE Dec04 Oct23 Aug07     (morley thomas)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.50 14% 5.90    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of QUALKRIS by MALIBU MOON)
 
AQU-6   01/15/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WINGS LIKE EAGLES Dec18 Nov17 Sep10 Jul23 Jun24 (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 122 2.00 27% 2.80    
  (by GET STORMY out of MY DARLING DEBBIE by DEBONAIR ROGER)
2  CARATS AND CAKE Dec20 Oct21       (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 12.00 ★    
  (by BERNARDINI out of WILD SUMMER by WILD AGAIN)
3  GRANNYS CONNECTION Dec16         (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 122 5.00 11% 7.70    
  (by CONNECT out of GRANNY'S DRINK by OLD FASHIONED)
4  DOLCE SERA Dec18 Dec11 Sep23 Aug12 Jul04 (dela)HUAYAS (JASON) 115 30.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of PROMPTER by INTO MISCHIEF)
5  SOURCING NETWORK Dec18         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 1.00 36% 1.80    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of CONQUEST SERENADE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
6  GEOMETRIQUE Dec11 Oct14 Aug21 Jun30 Jun10 (ribaudo robe)SAMUEL L 122 15.00    
  (by SUPER SAVER out of EQUILATERAL by ARCH)
7  CHARGING LADY Dec11 Nov17 Oct07 Aug19 Jul02 (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 122 8.00 5% 17.20    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of I'LL TAKE CHARGE by INDIAN CHARLIE)
 
AQU-7   01/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($60K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IT'S MANDATORY Jan07 Dec18 Nov12 Oct24 Sep18 (jones)HERNANDEZ OMAR 116 20.00    
2  LASTCHANCEATGLORY Dec15 Oct21 Sep25 Aug24 Jul22 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 1.20 30% 2.40    
3  AMERICAN RULE Jul22 Jun16 May15 Apr21 Apr09 (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00 ★    
4  FAMISHED Dec15 Nov04 Oct01 Aug06 Jun25 (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.50 13% 6.70    
5  MONEY MIKE Dec01 Nov24 Nov17 Nov03 Oct15 (camejo m)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.50 ★    
6  BLAKE B. Dec18 Nov19 Oct22 Jul21 Jun04 (rom)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 12.00    
7  STYNER Dec08 Oct24 Sep27 Sep20 Aug15 (englehar)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 6.00 24% 3.20    
 
AQU-8   01/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($72K) 3 ALL PT- 3:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STARQUIST Nov25 Oct30 Oct09     (kimmel c)CANCEL ERIC 122 2.00 ★    
SCR  MSHINDI Nov25 Oct17 Oct04     (lynch na)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 15.00    
SCR  KAZ PALACE Dec16 Dec02       (synnefias dim)PANAIJO JORGE 122 15.00 8% 12.20    
4  MACDONOUGH Oct25 Sep21 Sep05     (sells rachel)DAVIS KATIE 122 20.00    
5  BELT PARKWAY Dec05 Oct31 Sep27 Aug26 Aug03 (st uriah)ADORNO ABNER 122 12.00 ★    
6  D'ONT LOSE CRUZ Nov25 Oct27 Sep29     (duggan p)CARMOUCHE K 122 1.60 41% 1.50    
7  WHAT'S UP BRO Dec10 Nov12       (klesaris rober)LEZCANO JOSE 122 4.00 26% 2.80    
8  GOLD IN THEM HILLS Nov02 Oct17 Sep26 Aug23   (d'a)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 20.00    
9  SARATOGA BANKER Dec17 Nov17 Oct22 Sep22   (summer)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 15.00    
 
AQU-9   01/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE COBBLER Feb26 Jan14       (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.00 37% 1.70    
SCR  RAW COURAGE Dec31 Nov11 Oct15 Sep16 Aug03 (toscano john )FUENTES ERICK 110 20.00    
3  JOHN'S PROTEGE Dec29 Dec09 Apr24 Mar12   (miceli michae)FRANCO MANUEL 123 4.00 34% 1.90    
4  JOKEMEISTER Dec19 Nov30 Nov07 Apr10 Feb23 (catalano l)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.00    
5  GINNSU WARRIOR Dec31 Dec04 Nov05 Oct07 Sep02 (noda orlando)CANCEL ERIC 120 6.00 ★    
6  TACO BEAN Dec29 Dec11 Nov13 Oct16 Sep18 (romero jesus)OLVER MADISON 110 12.00    
7  HUDSON OVERPASS Dec31 Oct30 Oct20 Sep04 Jul09 (gross)HERNANDEZ OMAR 113 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  HE'SGOTTASHORTFUSE Dec31 Dec04 Nov10 Oct07 Sep17 (ryer)HUAYAS (JASON) 116 8.00    
9  CENTAVO Dec29 Dec09 Nov11 Jul08 Jun30 (chatte)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 20.00    
10  MATTY'S MARAUDER Dec31 Sep16 Aug21 Apr28 Apr01 (donk davi)VARGAS A 120 6.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.