Handicappers' Race Results

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Aqueduct
Friday - December 30, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
AQU-1   12/30/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 F PT-12:50
See original race card.
:232 :473 1:131     1:262   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I'MHAVINGAMOMENT 5 3 21 2½   1 13 (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119 3.50 25% 2.90 1.15 W
CAIRO SUGAR 4 4 32 32   2 23 (bedard alan)WOLFSONT ANDREW 119 6.00 16.10  
VAX 3 5 11 1½   3 35 (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 119 2.00 23% 3.30 1.95 S
GRACEFUL ROSE 6 2 53 4   4 411½ (gorham michael )FRANCO MANUEL 119 12.00 15% 5.60 16.20  
HYPNOCURRENCY 7 1 6 53   5 511½ (begg jam)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 12.00 21.00  
K D KAKES 2 9 87 8   611¼ 615½ (falcone n)DAVIS DYLAN 119 8.00 12% 7.60 9.80  
MARLEY'S GHOST 8 6 74 63   715¼ 728¾ (trombetta michael)CANCEL ERIC 119 4.50 5% 19.00 7.80  
NORTHERN BALLET 1 7 43 76   821¾ 841¾ (davis edmu)DAVIS A 119 20.00 55.25  
ULTIMATE EDITION 9 8 915 923½   945¾ 964¼ (davis e)HERNANDEZ OMAR 112 15.00 83.25  
 
AQU-2   12/30/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:18
See original race card.
:233 :471 1:123     1:392   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIA BEA STAR 6 3 7 7 4 31 1 (persaud ra)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 4.50 14% 6.00 4.00 W
SHADOLAMO 5 2 3½ 2nk 2nk 1nk 2 (jones )HUAYAS (JASON) 116 6.00 14.70  
TOUGH STREET 2 7 1nk 1nk 1nk 2nk 3 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 1.60 44% 1.30 0.90 S
JULIANA'S ROSE 7 1 41 3 3 4 4 (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 121 3.00 14% 6.10 2.45  
DUCKPHAT 4 8 811¾ 813¾ 511 5 59 (henry neville)SAMUEL L 123 8.00 20.80  
GRINGOTTS 3 4 6 6 711¾ 612 617¼ (klesaris rober)HARKIE K 123 12.00 57.75  
STEAL MY HEART 1 5 2nk 4 812¼ 715 726½ (clarke dylan)ALPANDER B 121 20.00 5% 19.00 93.50  
FOCUS 8 6 5 5 611½ 819 833¾ (martin f)CANCEL ERIC 120 15.00 20.50  
 
AQU-3   12/30/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($43K) 2 ALL PT- 1:46
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:133     1:413   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PROVISION 3 7 4 4 1½ 1½ 1½ (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 119 6.00 12% 7.50 2.55 W
WHO ME 7 2 2nk 2½ 2½ 2½ 2½ (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 119 2.00 3.15 P
OCTOBER BLISS 4 3 5 5 3½ 3½ 3 (ryerson t)CANCEL ERIC 119 5.00 3.30 S
EMPIRE RIDE 5 5 67 67 64 5 4 (morley thomas)DAVIS DYLAN 119 8.00 4.70  
SOUNDS SPOOKY 8 1 3½ 3 5 43 54 (pletcher a)LEZCANO JOSE 119 2.50 52% 0.90 5.20  
WEST STAR 6 4 811 813¼ 8 8 6 (kantarmaci mer)HARKIE K 119 10.00 18.30  
FAST STUDY 2 6 1nk 1½ 43 6 711 (schett)HUAYAS (JASON) 112 12.00 37.50  
P MONEY 1 8 710½ 7 75 7 812¼ (klesaris r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 15.00 11% 8.40 31.00  
 
AQU-4   12/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:14
See original race card.
:22 :45 :571     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PIRATE RICK 1 4 1½ 1nk   1½ 11 (cash norma)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 12.00 15.90  
SHERIFF BIANCO 7 3 65 3   3 21 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 1.80 28% 2.50 0.90 P
CHATEAU 6 1 2½ 2nk   2½ 3 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.50 5.50  
WAR STOPPER 5 8 811½ 810½   5 46 (jacobs)HUAYAS (JASON) 115 8.00 15.90  
IN DREAMS 4 7 4 44   4 5 (de horacio)DAVIS DYLAN 118 6.00 12% 7.00 8.80  
MORE GRAYTFUL 2 5 5 7   6 612½ (giangiulio mic)HARKIE K 120 20.00 11% 8.50 32.25  
OUTLAW KID 8 2 7 68   710½ 717¾ (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.00 20% 4.10 3.10  
ALOGON 3 6 3 57   811 818½ (allard t)ADORNO ABNER 120 15.00 34.00  
 
AQU-5   12/30/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($95K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:42
See original race card.
:232 :47 1:12     1:38   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FROST POINT 3 8 7 42 42 2nk 1 (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 121 2.50 27% 2.70 2.35 W
TIMELESS JOURNEY 8 5 42 32 31 1nk 2 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 123 5.00 24% 3.10 6.50 P
ICE PRINCESS 4 6 8 8 64 5 34 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 121 3.00 3.45 S
SPOOKY ROAD 7 3 6 7 74 64 49 (rice linda)DAVIS A 120 8.00 11.80  
BABY MAN 1 4 2nk 1½ 1½ 31 5 (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 20.00 5% 19.00 11.30  
MISSY GREER 2 1 1nk 2½ 2½ 42 610 (gargan danny)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.00 3.65  
TONED UP 9 7 53 6 5 7 710½ (hills )HUAYAS (JASON) 114 10.00 15.70  
TIC TIC TIC BOOM 5 9 9 9 8 8 812½ (bedard alan)WOLFSONT ANDREW 123 12.00 11.20  
ITS COLD IN DEHERE 6 2 3 5 99 910¾ 927½ (rodriguez gustavo)CANCEL ERIC 121 30.00 23% 3.40 40.00  
 
AQU-6   12/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:12
See original race card.
:221 :444 :571     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MERAAS (GB) 7 2 1½ 1   1 1 (summers chad)ADORNO ABNER 120 4.50 38% 1.60 4.40 W
NOVA RAGS 8 3 4 47   2 2 (mott i)CANCEL ERIC 120 2.50 13% 6.70 0.75 P
HAPPY FARM 6 6 55 5   3 33 (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 122 3.00 18% 4.70 5.10 S
BIG ENGINE 5 9 911 814   610¾ 4 (rodriguez rudy )FRANCO MANUEL 122 8.00 20.10  
FINAL SHOT 2 1 33 3   4 5 (preciado g)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 120 20.00 88.75  
GOING TO THE LEAD 9 7 6 711   711¼ 610 (cash l)CARMOUCHE K 120 10.00 15.80  
SCILLY CAY 4 5 7 610½   510½ 710¾ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 5.00 11.30  
HERO TIGER 3 8 8 915   913¼ 812¾ (kirby t)LAPRIDA JEREMY 122 12.00 19.40  
COPPOLA 1 4 2½ 2   812¼ 917 (martin c)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 15.00 34.00  
 
AQU-7   12/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($135K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:223 :452 :573     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DRAFTED 3 3 56 5   4 1hd (dugga)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 126 6.00 6.00  
11  LITTLE VIC 5 1 2 3   3.2 2hd (avila carlos)OLIVERO A 122 10.00 2.30  
MORELLO (NZ) 4 5 32 2   2nk 31 (asmussen steven )LEZCANO JOSE 124 6.00 34% 2.00 2.30 S
BEZOS 2 2 1 1   1nk 43 (goberdh)HERNANDEZ OMAR 120 30.00 19.70  
THREE TWO ZONE 1 4 4 4   5 5 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.50 1.50  
SCR  SYNTHESIS               (jacob)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 12.00    
SCR  SMOOTH B               (reid e)ADORNO ABNER 124 20.00    
SCR  REPO ROCKS               (ness jamie)WOLFSONT ANDREW 124 15.00    
SCR  GREELEY AND BEN               (englehart jeffr)FRANCO MANUEL 126 3.50 35% 1.90    
SCR  BEREN               (reid e)PENNINGTON F 124 8.00 9% 10.50    
SCR  TWISTED RIDE               (moore mich)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 20.00    
SCR  AMUNDSON               (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00    
 
AQU-8   12/30/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($14K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:08
See original race card.
:233 :472 1:131     1:40   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  JERUSALEMA (IRE) 9 5 6 21 1½ 13 1 (breen kell)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 20.00 10% 9.50 4.00 W
1A  RAFFINITY 10 1 11 11 2½ 23 2 (rodriguez r)CARMOUCHE K 121 4.50 13% 6.60 1.60 P
INFRINGEMENT 8 3 5 4 3 37 3 (persaud)HERNANDEZ OMAR 116 10.00 11.70  
AMITY ISLAND 6 7 710½ 8 7 511½ 412 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 121 3.00 13% 6.60 6.30  
MASABEEH 7 8 21 3 45 4 512 (de horacio)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.50 34% 1.90 4.90  
ALICIA'S WAY 4 9 811½ 78 8 612 613½ (engle)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 12.00 10.60  
SHE'S GOT GAME 2 4 32 53 57 712 716½ (davis d)OLVER MADISON 110 20.00 37.00  
BELLS ON HER TOES 1 2 4 65 69 813½ 818¾ (metivier richar)PANAIJO JORGE 118 30.00 68.25  
SEALITHIC 3 10 1016 916½ 1016½ 1018 922½ (englehart )DAVIS A 120 6.00 8.80  
STORMI CAT LADY 5 6 914½ 1017 915½ 917½ 1023¼ (rodrigue)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 4.50 1.60  
SCR  CARLY HUSTLE               (toscano t)DAVIS KATIE 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PONCHO SONG               (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 121 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.