Handicappers' Racing Form

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Aqueduct
Friday - December 30, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
AQU-1   12/30/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 F PT-12:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NORTHERN BALLET         (davis edmu)DAVIS A 119 20.00    
K D KAKES Nov19         (falcone n)DAVIS DYLAN 119 8.00 12% 7.60    
VAX Nov27 Nov04 Oct01     (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 119 2.00 23% 3.30    
CAIRO SUGAR Nov29 Nov08 Oct14     (bedard alan)WOLFSONT ANDREW 119 6.00    
I'MHAVINGAMOMENT         (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119 3.50 25% 2.90    
GRACEFUL ROSE Nov19 Oct21 Sep16 Aug26   (gorham michael )FRANCO MANUEL 119 12.00 15% 5.60    
HYPNOCURRENCY Dec11 Oct23 Sep17     (begg jam)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 12.00    
MARLEY'S GHOST Nov27         (trombetta michael)CANCEL ERIC 119 4.50 5% 19.00    
ULTIMATE EDITION         (davis e)HERNANDEZ OMAR 112 15.00    
 
AQU-2   12/30/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STEAL MY HEART Dec15 Nov06 Oct03 May11 Apr23 (clarke dylan)ALPANDER B 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
TOUGH STREET Nov11 Oct13 Sep04 Jul23   (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 1.60 44% 1.30    
GRINGOTTS Dec04 Nov04 Oct09 Sep15 Aug17 (klesaris rober)HARKIE K 123 12.00    
DUCKPHAT Nov26 May12 Apr23 Feb11   (henry neville)SAMUEL L 123 8.00    
SHADOLAMO Dec15 Dec04 Nov20 Nov05 Oct14 (jones )HUAYAS (JASON) 116 6.00    
MIA BEA STAR Dec17 Dec04 Nov11 Nov04 Oct27 (persaud ra)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 4.50 14% 6.00    
JULIANA'S ROSE Dec04 Oct22 Sep05 Feb11 Jan02 (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 121 3.00 14% 6.10    
FOCUS Nov04 Oct14 Sep18 Aug13   (martin f)CANCEL ERIC 120 15.00    
 
AQU-3   12/30/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($43K) 2 ALL PT- 1:46
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
P MONEY         (klesaris r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 15.00 11% 8.40    
FAST STUDY Oct22 Sep22       (schett)HUAYAS (JASON) 112 12.00    
PROVISION Nov11 Oct27 Sep16 Aug19 Aug04 (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 119 6.00 12% 7.50    
OCTOBER BLISS Nov26 Nov13       (ryerson t)CANCEL ERIC 119 5.00    
EMPIRE RIDE Nov11         (morley thomas)DAVIS DYLAN 119 8.00    
WEST STAR Nov17 Sep29       (kantarmaci mer)HARKIE K 119 10.00    
WHO ME Nov27 Oct22 Sep23 Aug04 Jul08 (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 119 2.00    
SOUNDS SPOOKY Nov27 Oct16 Sep05     (pletcher a)LEZCANO JOSE 119 2.50 52% 0.90    
 
AQU-4   12/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:14
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PIRATE RICK Dec14 Nov28 Nov12 Nov06 Feb10 (cash norma)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 12.00    
MORE GRAYTFUL Apr28 Feb20 Jan01     (giangiulio mic)HARKIE K 120 20.00 11% 8.50    
ALOGON Nov20 Oct22 Feb20 Jan02   (allard t)ADORNO ABNER 120 15.00    
IN DREAMS Nov25 Feb05       (de horacio)DAVIS DYLAN 118 6.00 12% 7.00    
WAR STOPPER Nov06 Oct02 Sep05 Jul17 Apr15 (jacobs)HUAYAS (JASON) 115 8.00    
CHATEAU Jun17 May14 Mar05     (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.50    
SHERIFF BIANCO Dec17 Nov17 Oct01 Sep04 Jul17 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 1.80 28% 2.50    
OUTLAW KID Nov25 Oct23 Sep17 Aug28 Jan28 (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.00 20% 4.10    
 
AQU-5   12/30/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($95K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:42
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BABY MAN Nov12 Sep22 Aug12 Jul10 Jun10 (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 20.00 5% 19.00    
MISSY GREER Dec01 Oct02 Aug25 Jul30 May20 (gargan danny)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.00    
FROST POINT May20 Apr10 Feb18 Jan27   (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 121 2.50 27% 2.70    
ICE PRINCESS Oct30 Sep30 Aug26 Jul31 Apr10 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 121 3.00    
TIC TIC TIC BOOM Nov25 Oct20 Oct03 Sep10 Aug29 (bedard alan)WOLFSONT ANDREW 123 12.00    
ITS COLD IN DEHERE Dec11 Oct27 Mar26 Feb24 Jan23 (rodriguez gustavo)CANCEL ERIC 121 30.00 23% 3.40    
SPOOKY ROAD Dec11 Nov25 Nov17 Nov11 Sep22 (rice linda)DAVIS A 120 8.00    
TIMELESS JOURNEY Nov27 Oct29 Apr09     (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 123 5.00 24% 3.10    
TONED UP Dec01 Oct28 Sep05 Aug06 Jun24 (hills )HUAYAS (JASON) 114 10.00    
 
AQU-6   12/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:12
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COPPOLA Nov09 Oct14 Aug22 Jul13   (martin c)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 15.00    
FINAL SHOT Dec13 Nov08 Oct18 Sep18 Aug22 (preciado g)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 120 20.00    
HERO TIGER Dec03 Nov12 Oct17 Oct05 Sep04 (kirby t)LAPRIDA JEREMY 122 12.00    
SCILLY CAY Dec17 Nov10 Oct27 Sep16 Aug06 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 5.00    
BIG ENGINE Nov25 Oct30 Sep23 Sep04 Jul30 (rodriguez rudy )FRANCO MANUEL 122 8.00    
HAPPY FARM Nov26 Sep30 Sep04 Jul20 Jun17 (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 122 3.00 18% 4.70    
MERAAS (GB) Oct29 Sep03       (summers chad)ADORNO ABNER 120 4.50 38% 1.60    
NOVA RAGS Nov12 Jul16 Jun19     (mott i)CANCEL ERIC 120 2.50 13% 6.70    
GOING TO THE LEAD Dec18 Dec10 Nov25 Nov21 Nov07 (cash l)CARMOUCHE K 120 10.00    
 
AQU-7   12/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($135K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THREE TWO ZONE Aug27 Jul17 Jun17 May21 Apr20 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.50    
BEZOS Dec17 Nov26 Oct22 Sep16 Jun18 (goberdh)HERNANDEZ OMAR 120 30.00    
DRAFTED Oct29 Oct08 Aug27 Jul02 Jun04 (dugga)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 126 6.00    
SCR  SYNTHESIS Dec09 Nov26 Sep30 Sep14 Jun26 (jacob)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 12.00    
SCR  SMOOTH B Nov08 Oct18 Sep24 Aug22 Jul21 (reid e)ADORNO ABNER 124 20.00    
SCR  AMUNDSON Dec09 Nov12 Oct21 Sep03 Jul30 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00    
MORELLO (NZ) Oct29 Oct08 Jun11 Apr09 Mar05 (asmussen steven )LEZCANO JOSE 124 6.00 34% 2.00    
SCR  REPO ROCKS Nov23 Oct29 Oct03 Aug10 Jul02 (ness jamie)WOLFSONT ANDREW 124 15.00    
SCR  BEREN Nov23 Oct18 Oct03 Aug22 Jul16 (reid e)PENNINGTON F 124 8.00 9% 10.50    
SCR  GREELEY AND BEN Nov26 Nov10 Oct29 Oct08 Sep04 (englehart jeffr)FRANCO MANUEL 126 3.50 35% 1.90    
11  LITTLE VIC Nov26 Oct20 Sep24 Aug23 May21 (avila carlos)OLIVERO A 122 10.00    
SCR  TWISTED RIDE Nov23 Nov08 Oct12 Aug22 Jun27 (moore mich)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 20.00    
 
AQU-8   12/30/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($14K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:08
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STORMI CAT LADY Dec18 Nov13 Oct13 Aug04 Jun17 (rodrigue)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 4.50    
1A  RAFFINITY Dec02 Oct27 Sep22 Aug04 Jun24 (rodriguez r)CARMOUCHE K 121 4.50 13% 6.60    
BELLS ON HER TOES Dec18 Sep23 Aug17 Jul27 Jun12 (metivier richar)PANAIJO JORGE 118 30.00    
SHE'S GOT GAME Dec10 Nov07 Oct14 Aug26 Aug03 (davis d)OLVER MADISON 110 20.00    
SEALITHIC Nov07 Oct13 Sep07 Aug15 Jan20 (englehart )DAVIS A 120 6.00    
ALICIA'S WAY Dec18 Nov21 Oct26 Oct18 Sep26 (engle)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 12.00    
AMITY ISLAND May01 Mar18 Feb18     (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 121 3.00 13% 6.60    
MASABEEH Dec10 Nov17 Oct06 Sep01 Aug05 (de horacio)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.50 34% 1.90    
INFRINGEMENT Dec18 Dec08 Nov17 Nov04 Oct06 (persaud)HERNANDEZ OMAR 116 10.00    
SCR  PONCHO SONG Dec18 Sep15 Aug11 Jun25 Jun03 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 121 8.00    
SCR  CARLY HUSTLE Dec01 Aug29 Jul19 Jul06 Jun14 (toscano t)DAVIS KATIE 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
11  JERUSALEMA (IRE) Nov25 Nov06 Oct28 Oct03 Aug07 (breen kell)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 20.00 10% 9.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.