Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Aqueduct
Thursday - December 15, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
AQU-1   12/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($38K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IN TRAFFIC   (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 1.20 59% 0.70 2.00 W
RICELLE   (legall r)DAVIS A 124 20.00 37.00 P
ALWAJD   (farro patricia)CANCEL ERIC 121 4.00 5.30 S
TEKILA   (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 124 2.50 2.40  
LORDHEARMYPRAYER   (barrera oscar)OLVER MADISON 111 12.00 12.60  
ABSTRACT MOMENT   (nevin michell)FRANCO MANUEL 121 4.00 14% 6.30 2.20  
 
AQU-2   12/15/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:18
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KEEN DANCER   (per)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 6.00 11.20  
HIGH SCHOOL CRUSH   (barker edward)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.00 14% 6.10 4.80 P
KNOT ANYMORE   (falcone rober)OLVER MADISON 110 2.50 31% 2.20 4.70 S
BANKERS DAUGHTER   (d'al)HUAYAS (JASON) 115 5.00 22% 3.60 9.40  
TRIPLE P   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.00 1.15  
PREPAREFORTAKEOFF   (maldonado)VARGAS A 120 6.00 3.65  
 
AQU-3   12/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:46
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BREADMAN   (persaud rand)CASTELLANO J 121 3.50 9% 10.60 2.80 W
MIDNIGHT WORKER   (chic)HUAYAS (JASON) 111 5.00 20% 4.10 8.10 P
STRONG LIGHT   (barrera oscar)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00 4.40 S
GHOSTLYPRINCE   (tessore )GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 10.00 19.90  
GIMMEBACKMYBULLETS   (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.50 41% 1.50 2.15  
SIR JOHN   (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.00 4.00  
KONG LOVES A FIGHT   (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00 12.20  
 
AQU-4   12/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 2 F PT- 2:14
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROYAL POPPY   (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 119 4.00 33% 2.00 2.10 W
LIAM'S CHAMP   (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.50 36% 1.80 3.75 P
RISK FREE   (dela)HUAYAS (JASON) 112 8.00 7% 12.50 18.60 S
BALPOOL   (atras rob)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 10.00 17.80  
LIGHTBULB MOMENT   (clement christo)CANCEL ERIC 119 8.00 10.90  
SHIRL'S DELIGHT   (martin ca)VARGAS A 119 6.00 9.70  
SEAWITCH   (albertrani thom)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00 3.25  
PROMISEHER AMERICA   (handal raymo)CASTELLANO J 119 6.00 11.70  
PARDON MOI   (asmussen steve)LEZCANO JOSE 119 6.00 13.50  
 
AQU-5   12/15/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:42
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AWESOME NATIVE   (abreu r)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.50 2.15  
FORTUNE'S NEPHEW   (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 122 1.40 51% 0.90 0.95 P
DREAMPOINT   (sci)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 8.00 13% 6.50 16.60 S
CALLALOO   (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 4.00 14% 6.20 8.20  
RIPE FOR MISCHIEF   (bond harold )HARKIE K 122 12.00 14.20  
TREVOR BARDETTE   (donk davi)VARGAS A 122 8.00 24.50  
CICCIOBELLO   (ryan s)CARMOUCHE K 122 6.00 11.60  
STONECOLDWARRIOR   (forde jason)OLVER MADISON 124 30.00 46.25  
 
AQU-6   12/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:12
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LASTCHANCEATGLORY   (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 121 2.50 21% 3.80 2.60 W
FAMISHED   (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 123 3.00 18% 4.50 4.40 P
TWO THIRTY FIVE   (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 123 1.60 15% 5.50 0.90 S
GENTLEMAN JOE   (englehart je)CASTELLANO J 123 4.50 23% 3.30 4.50  
DATESFREEDOM   (delau)HERNANDEZ OMAR 113 30.00 30.00  
SCR  CARIBBEAN (AUS)   (barrera oscar)OLVER MADISON 113 20.00    
SCR  KENNY HAD A NOTION   (jones mic)VARGAS A 121 10.00    
 
AQU-7   12/15/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:40
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CARAMOCHA   (friedman mitche)DAVIS DYLAN 122 8.00 9.90  
CARBON   (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.00 39% 1.60 1.75 P
SHADOLAMO   (jones eduardo)OLVER MADISON 112 12.00 9.00  
11  LIBERTY FLAME   (quick)HERNANDEZ OMAR 113 10.00 3.05  
CINDERELLA'S CAUSE   (englehart chri)LEZCANO JOSE 122 6.00 2.80  
10  NEW YORK BANKER   (noda)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 8.00 11.00  
STEAL MY HEART   (clarke dylan)ALPANDER B 122 30.00 51.25  
SALSA A PARTE   (handal ra)VARGAS A 120 15.00 32.25  
SCR  FOCUS   (martin f)CANCEL ERIC 120 15.00    
SCR  JACKSON AVENUE   (breed ronal)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  KANT HURRY LOVE   (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00 28% 2.60    
SCR  MIA BEA STAR   (persaud rand)CASTELLANO J 120 4.50 9% 9.90    
 
AQU-8   12/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:08
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CELESTIAL MOON   (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 15.00 29% 2.40 12.20 W
MISTICAL CURLIN   (rodr)HUAYAS (JASON) 114 30.00 49.75  
SYSTEMIC CHANGE   (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 121 2.00 43% 1.30 1.30  
10  VODKA MARDINI   (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 121 3.50 6.20  
MAGICAL WAYS   (mott w)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 12.00 10.30  
SMOKE AND HEAT   (falcone r)VARGAS A 121 8.00 23.70  
1A  OPPORTUNITY SET   (brown c)CASTELLANO J 121 2.00 1.30  
MATT DOYLE   (rodriguez rudy )DAVIS DYLAN 121 8.00 8.40  
HAPPY BOB   (schettino domi)LEZCANO JOSE 121 5.00 4.30  
FAZARO   (williams)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 20.00 37.00  
PREDICTED   (dutrow anthony )CANCEL ERIC 121 8.00 11.60  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.