Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Aqueduct
Thursday - December 15, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
AQU-1   12/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($38K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
See original race card.
:244 :493 1:154     1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IN TRAFFIC 5 1 1nk 11 11 11 11 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 1.20 59% 0.70 2.00 W
RICELLE 4 6 5 3 21 21 21 (legall r)DAVIS A 124 20.00 37.00 P
ALWAJD 6 2 6 6 5 511½ 313 (farro patricia)CANCEL ERIC 121 4.00 5.30 S
TEKILA 2 5 31 4 33 37 414½ (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 124 2.50 2.40  
LORDHEARMYPRAYER 3 3 4 52 47 410½ 516¾ (barrera oscar)OLVER MADISON 111 12.00 12.60  
ABSTRACT MOMENT 1 4 2nk 21 612 623½ 655½ (nevin michell)FRANCO MANUEL 121 4.00 14% 6.30 2.20  
 
AQU-2   12/15/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:18
See original race card.
:23 :471 1:142     1:21   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KEEN DANCER 1 6 6 610½   4 1 (per)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 6.00 11.20  
HIGH SCHOOL CRUSH 2 5 5 55   3 2 (barker edward)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.00 14% 6.10 4.80 P
KNOT ANYMORE 3 2 1½ 2½   1nk 3 (falcone rober)OLVER MADISON 110 2.50 31% 2.20 4.70 S
BANKERS DAUGHTER 5 4 2½ 1½   2nk 4 (d'al)HUAYAS (JASON) 115 5.00 22% 3.60 9.40  
TRIPLE P 6 3 3 3   5 511¼ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.00 1.15  
PREPAREFORTAKEOFF 4 1 43 44   6 612¾ (maldonado)VARGAS A 120 6.00 3.65  
 
AQU-3   12/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:46
See original race card.
:244 :491 1:144     1:402   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BREADMAN 5 5 63 5 11 11 13 (persaud rand)CASTELLANO J 121 3.50 9% 10.60 2.80 W
MIDNIGHT WORKER 1 2 21 41 42 21 23 (chic)HUAYAS (JASON) 111 5.00 20% 4.10 8.10 P
STRONG LIGHT 3 7 53 6 6 54 3 (barrera oscar)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00 4.40 S
GHOSTLYPRINCE 6 4 3 2½ 31 33 4 (tessore )GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 10.00 19.90  
GIMMEBACKMYBULLETS 7 1 11 1½ 21 44 510¾ (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.50 41% 1.50 2.15  
SIR JOHN 2 3 42 3½ 53 6 613¼ (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.00 4.00  
KONG LOVES A FIGHT 4 6 74 7 7 76 713½ (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00 12.20  
 
AQU-4   12/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 2 F PT- 2:14
See original race card.
:232 :474 1:00     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROYAL POPPY 6 4 11 11   14 16 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 119 4.00 33% 2.00 2.10 W
LIAM'S CHAMP 8 1 3 21   24 26 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.50 36% 1.80 3.75 P
RISK FREE 3 7 42 3   36 3 (dela)HUAYAS (JASON) 112 8.00 7% 12.50 18.60 S
BALPOOL 4 9 76 8   5 48 (atras rob)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 10.00 17.80  
LIGHTBULB MOMENT 2 8 98 98   610 59 (clement christo)CANCEL ERIC 119 8.00 10.90  
SHIRL'S DELIGHT 5 5 5 4   4 610½ (martin ca)VARGAS A 119 6.00 9.70  
SEAWITCH 1 6 87 76   713 715¾ (albertrani thom)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00 3.25  
PROMISEHER AMERICA 9 3 6 53   813½ 820½ (handal raymo)CASTELLANO J 119 6.00 11.70  
PARDON MOI 7 2 21 6   919 930½ (asmussen steve)LEZCANO JOSE 119 6.00 13.50  
 
AQU-5   12/15/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:42
See original race card.
:233 :473 1:12     1:183   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AWESOME NATIVE 8 4 42 2½   12 1 (abreu r)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.50 2.15  
FORTUNE'S NEPHEW 7 6 11 1½   22 2 (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 122 1.40 51% 0.90 0.95 P
DREAMPOINT 3 2 87 5   39 313¼ (sci)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 8.00 13% 6.50 16.60 S
CALLALOO 4 3 76 810   512 413½ (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 4.00 14% 6.20 8.20  
RIPE FOR MISCHIEF 5 7 21 3   410 515½ (bond harold )HARKIE K 122 12.00 14.20  
TREVOR BARDETTE 2 5 54 6   613½ 620¾ (donk davi)VARGAS A 122 8.00 24.50  
CICCIOBELLO 6 8 6 78   714 722¼ (ryan s)CARMOUCHE K 122 6.00 11.60  
STONECOLDWARRIOR 1 1 3 47   822 843¼ (forde jason)OLVER MADISON 124 30.00 46.25  
 
AQU-6   12/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:12
See original race card.
:232 :47 1:123     1:394   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LASTCHANCEATGLORY 4 1 1nk 11 1 13 1 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 121 2.50 21% 3.80 2.60 W
FAMISHED 1 4 2nk 3 2 23 2 (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 123 3.00 18% 4.50 4.40 P
TWO THIRTY FIVE 5 2 3 21 32 35 3 (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 123 1.60 15% 5.50 0.90 S
GENTLEMAN JOE 2 3 5 5 4 48 410¼ (englehart je)CASTELLANO J 123 4.50 23% 3.30 4.50  
DATESFREEDOM 3 5 44 4 512½ 516 527 (delau)HERNANDEZ OMAR 113 30.00 30.00  
SCR  CARIBBEAN (AUS)               (barrera oscar)OLVER MADISON 113 20.00    
SCR  KENNY HAD A NOTION               (jones mic)VARGAS A 121 10.00    
 
AQU-7   12/15/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:231 :471 1:134     1:272   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CARAMOCHA 5 8 6 54   1½ 1¼ (friedman mitche)DAVIS DYLAN 122 8.00 9.90  
CARBON 6 6 4 3   2½ 2¼ (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.00 39% 1.60 1.75 P
SHADOLAMO 3 5 7 76   32 3 (jones eduardo)OLVER MADISON 112 12.00 9.00  
11  LIBERTY FLAME 8 3 2nk 42   4 4 (quick)HERNANDEZ OMAR 113 10.00 3.05  
CINDERELLA'S CAUSE 4 2 3.2 2½   55 510½ (englehart chri)LEZCANO JOSE 122 6.00 2.80  
10  NEW YORK BANKER 7 4 1nk 1½   65 615 (noda)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 8.00 11.00  
STEAL MY HEART 1 1 5 6   78 717½ (clarke dylan)ALPANDER B 122 30.00 51.25  
SALSA A PARTE 2 7 810¾ 810   814 838½ (handal ra)VARGAS A 120 15.00 32.25  
SCR  FOCUS               (martin f)CANCEL ERIC 120 15.00    
SCR  JACKSON AVENUE               (breed ronal)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  KANT HURRY LOVE               (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00 28% 2.60    
SCR  MIA BEA STAR               (persaud rand)CASTELLANO J 120 4.50 9% 9.90    
 
AQU-8   12/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:08
See original race card.
:234 :472 1:124     1:393   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CELESTIAL MOON 9 2 41 4¾ 1 12 1 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 15.00 29% 2.40 12.20 W
MISTICAL CURLIN 5 4 1nk 2nk 2 22 2 (rodr)HUAYAS (JASON) 114 30.00 49.75  
SYSTEMIC CHANGE 1 8 8 8 75 67 37 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 121 2.00 43% 1.30 1.30  
10  VODKA MARDINI 11 3 7 6 5 35 4 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 121 3.50 6.20  
MAGICAL WAYS 8 1 3½ 3½ 43 46 5 (mott w)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 12.00 10.30  
SMOKE AND HEAT 3 10 115 115 10 8 69 (falcone r)VARGAS A 121 8.00 23.70  
1A  OPPORTUNITY SET 4 9 9 9 8 7 710 (brown c)CASTELLANO J 121 2.00 1.30  
MATT DOYLE 7 7 6 7 65 99 814 (rodriguez rudy )DAVIS DYLAN 121 8.00 8.40  
HAPPY BOB 10 6 5 5¾ 3 57 914 (schettino domi)LEZCANO JOSE 121 5.00 4.30  
FAZARO 2 5 2nk 1nk 9 1012 1023¼ (williams)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 20.00 37.00  
PREDICTED 6 11 10 10 118 1115½ 1132½ (dutrow anthony )CANCEL ERIC 121 8.00 11.60  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.