Handicappers' Race Results
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Aqueduct
Thursday - December 15, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
Simulator Race results
 
AQU-1   12/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($38K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
See original race card.
:244 :493 1:154     1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  IN TRAFFIC 5 1 1nk 11 11 11 11 (engle)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 1.20 59% 0.70 2.00 W
4  RICELLE 4 6 54½ 31½ 21 21 21 (legall ric)DAVIS A 124 20.00 ★ 37.00 P
6  ALWAJD 6 2 64¾ 63½ 59½ 511½ 313 (farro patricia)CANCEL ERIC 121 4.00 ★ 5.30 S
2  TEKILA 2 5 31 41½ 33 37 414½ (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 124 2.50 ★ 2.40  
3  LORDHEARMYPRAYER 3 3 43½ 52 47 410½ 516¾ (barrera s)OLVER MADISON 111 12.00 12.60  
1  ABSTRACT MOMENT 1 4 2nk 21 612 623½ 655½ (nevin michelle)FRANCO MANUEL 121 4.00 14% 6.30 2.20  
 
AQU-2   12/15/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:18
See original race card.
:23 :471 1:142     1:21   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KEEN DANCER 1 6 69½ 610½   41¾ 16¾ (persa)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 6.00 ★ 11.20  
2  HIGH SCHOOL CRUSH 2 5 54½ 55   31½ 26¾ (barker r)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.00 14% 6.10 4.80 P
3  KNOT ANYMORE 3 2 1½ 2½   1nk 38½ (falcone robert )OLVER MADISON 110 2.50 31% 2.20 4.70 S
5  BANKERS DAUGHTER 5 4 2½ 1½   2nk 49¼ (d'ales)HUAYAS (JASON) 115 5.00 22% 3.60 9.40  
6  TRIPLE P 6 3 32½ 33½   52¾ 511¼ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.00 ★ 1.15  
4  PREPAREFORTAKEOFF 4 1 43 44   64¼ 612¾ (maldonado j)VARGAS A 120 6.00 3.65  
 
AQU-3   12/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:46
See original race card.
:244 :491 1:144     1:402   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  BREADMAN 5 5 63 51½ 11 11 13 (persaud randi)CASTELLANO J 121 3.50 9% 10.60 2.80 W
1  MIDNIGHT WORKER 1 2 21 41 42 21 23 (chicha)HUAYAS (JASON) 111 5.00 20% 4.10 8.10 P
3  STRONG LIGHT 3 7 53 61¾ 63¼ 54 37¾ (barrera s)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00 ★ 4.40 S
6  GHOSTLYPRINCE 6 4 31½ 2½ 31 33 49¼ (tessore br)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 10.00 19.90  
7  GIMMEBACKMYBULLETS 7 1 11 1½ 21 44 510¾ (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.50 41% 1.50 2.15  
2  SIR JOHN 2 3 42 3½ 53 64½ 613¼ (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.00 ★ 4.00  
4  KONG LOVES A FIGHT 4 6 74 73¾ 75¼ 76 713½ (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00 12.20  
 
AQU-4   12/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 2 F PT- 2:14
See original race card.
:232 :474 1:00     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  ROYAL POPPY 6 4 11 11   14 16 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 119 4.00 33% 2.00 2.10 W
8  LIAM'S CHAMP 8 1 31½ 21   24 26 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.50 36% 1.80 3.75 P
3  RISK FREE 3 7 42 31½   36 36¾ (delaur)HUAYAS (JASON) 112 8.00 7% 12.50 18.60 S
4  BALPOOL 4 9 76 86½   59½ 48 (atras rob)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 10.00 17.80  
2  LIGHTBULB MOMENT 2 8 98 98   610 59 (clement christoph)CANCEL ERIC 119 8.00 10.90  
5  SHIRL'S DELIGHT 5 5 52½ 41½   47½ 610½ (martin carl)VARGAS A 119 6.00 ★ 9.70  
1  SEAWITCH 1 6 87 76   713 715¾ (albertrani thomas)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00 3.25  
9  PROMISEHER AMERICA 9 3 62½ 53   813½ 820½ (handal raymond)CASTELLANO J 119 6.00 ★ 11.70  
7  PARDON MOI 7 2 21 65½   919 930½ (asmussen steven )LEZCANO JOSE 119 6.00 13.50  
 
AQU-5   12/15/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:42
See original race card.
:233 :473 1:12     1:183   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  AWESOME NATIVE 8 4 42 2½   12 15½ (abreu r)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.50 ★ 2.15  
7  FORTUNE'S NEPHEW 7 6 11 1½   22 25½ (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 122 1.40 51% 0.90 0.95 P
3  DREAMPOINT 3 2 87 57½   39 313¼ (sciac)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 8.00 13% 6.50 16.60 S
4  CALLALOO 4 3 76 810   512 413½ (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 4.00 14% 6.20 8.20  
5  RIPE FOR MISCHIEF 5 7 21 35½   410 515½ (bond ja)HARKIE K 122 12.00 14.20  
2  TREVOR BARDETTE 2 5 54 67½   613½ 620¾ (donk david)VARGAS A 122 8.00 24.50  
6  CICCIOBELLO 6 8 65½ 78   714 722¼ (ryan s)CARMOUCHE K 122 6.00 ★ 11.60  
1  STONECOLDWARRIOR 1 1 31½ 47   822 843¼ (forde jason)OLVER MADISON 124 30.00 46.25  
 
AQU-6   12/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:12
See original race card.
:232 :47 1:123     1:394   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  LASTCHANCEATGLORY 4 1 1nk 11 11½ 13 14¼ (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 121 2.50 21% 3.80 2.60 W
1  FAMISHED 1 4 2nk 31½ 21½ 23 24¼ (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 123 3.00 18% 4.50 4.40 P
7  TWO THIRTY FIVE 5 2 31½ 21 32 35 37¼ (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 123 1.60 15% 5.50 0.90 S
2  GENTLEMAN JOE 2 3 55½ 56½ 47½ 48 410¼ (englehart jeff)CASTELLANO J 123 4.50 23% 3.30 4.50  
4  DATESFREEDOM 3 5 44 46½ 512½ 516 527 (delauro)HERNANDEZ OMAR 113 30.00 30.00  
SCR  CARIBBEAN (AUS)               (barrera s)OLVER MADISON 113 20.00 ★    
SCR  KENNY HAD A NOTION               (jones micha)VARGAS A 121 10.00    
 
AQU-7   12/15/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:231 :471 1:134     1:272   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  CARAMOCHA 5 8 65¼ 54   1½ 1¼ (friedman mitchell)DAVIS DYLAN 122 8.00 9.90  
9  CARBON 6 6 42¼ 31½   2½ 2¼ (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.00 39% 1.60 1.75 P
6  SHADOLAMO 3 5 77¾ 76   32 31¾ (jones e)OLVER MADISON 112 12.00 9.00  
11  LIBERTY FLAME 8 3 2nk 42   44½ 49¼ (quick p)HERNANDEZ OMAR 113 10.00 3.05  
7  CINDERELLA'S CAUSE 4 2 3.2 2½   55 510½ (englehart chris)LEZCANO JOSE 122 6.00 2.80  
10  NEW YORK BANKER 7 4 1nk 1½   65 615 (noda o)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 8.00 ★ 11.00  
3  STEAL MY HEART 1 1 53¼ 64½   78 717½ (clarke dylan)ALPANDER B 122 30.00 51.25  
5  SALSA A PARTE 2 7 810¾ 810   814 838½ (handal raym)VARGAS A 120 15.00 32.25  
SCR  FOCUS               (martin f)CANCEL ERIC 120 15.00    
SCR  JACKSON AVENUE               (breed ronald )ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  KANT HURRY LOVE               (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00 28% 2.60    
SCR  MIA BEA STAR               (persaud randi)CASTELLANO J 120 4.50 9% 9.90    
 
AQU-8   12/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:08
See original race card.
:234 :472 1:124     1:393   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  CELESTIAL MOON 9 2 41 4¾ 11½ 12 12½ (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 15.00 29% 2.40 12.20 W
4  MISTICAL CURLIN 5 4 1nk 2nk 21½ 22 22½ (rodrig)HUAYAS (JASON) 114 30.00 49.75  
1  SYSTEMIC CHANGE 1 8 83¼ 82¾ 75 67 37 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 121 2.00 43% 1.30 1.30  
10  VODKA MARDINI 11 3 72¾ 61¼ 53½ 35 47½ (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 121 3.50 6.20  
7  MAGICAL WAYS 8 1 3½ 3½ 43 46 58¼ (mott wil)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 12.00 10.30  
3  SMOKE AND HEAT 3 10 115 115 107½ 88½ 69 (falcone rob)VARGAS A 121 8.00 ★ 23.70  
1A  OPPORTUNITY SET 4 9 93¾ 93¾ 85½ 77½ 710 (brown c)CASTELLANO J 121 2.00 ★ 1.30  
6  MATT DOYLE 7 7 62¾ 72¼ 65 99 814 (rodriguez r)DAVIS DYLAN 121 8.00 ★ 8.40  
9  HAPPY BOB 10 6 51¼ 5¾ 32½ 57 914 (schettino domini)LEZCANO JOSE 121 5.00 ★ 4.30  
2  FAZARO 2 5 2nk 1nk 96½ 1012 1023¼ (williams a)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 20.00 37.00  
5  PREDICTED 6 11 104¾ 104¾ 118 1115½ 1132½ (dutrow w)CANCEL ERIC 121 8.00 11.60  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.