The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Aqueduct
Saturday - December 17, 2022
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AQU-1   12/17/2022 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT-11:50
:23 :462 1:131     1:401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  UNION LIGHTS 7 4 53½ 42 32 11½ 14½ (nevin michelle)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 6.00 6.60  
5  LEFTY'S WAR 5 9 98¾ 87½ 55 44 24½ (lee joseph)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 15.00 68.25  
2  NORTH POLE 2 3 2½ 1½ 11½ 21½ 35¾ (begg bentley)DAVIS DYLAN 124 2.00 58% 0.70 1.15 S
3  TIGER TOWN BOY 3 7 65 65½ 75½ 54½ 49¼ (gargan danny)FRANCO MANUEL 121 1.80 13% 6.90 4.20  
8  GROWTH MINDSET 8 5 3½ 31½ 43½ 64¾ 59¾ (gargan danny)OLVER MADISON 111 8.00 ★ 11.00  
4  PAPI ON ICE 4 6 86¾ 76 65 74¾ 612¾ (persaud randi)HERNANDEZ OMAR 114 12.00 ★ 15.20  
9  SEAN THE HAMMER 9 2 1½ 2½ 21½ 34 714 (rodriguez r)HUAYAS (JASON) 114 8.00 5% 19.00 4.30  
1  TIZA BROWN 1 8 75¼ 97½ 88 88¼ 816¼ (persaud randi)DAVIS A 121 20.00 33.00  
6  GRAND AGAIN 6 1 41 53 98½ 98¾ 919¼ (shivmangal lolita)HARKIE K 121 30.00 33.75  
 
AQU-2   12/17/2022 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Allowance   Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT-12:18
:224 :463 :59     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  SCILLY CAY 6 3 64½ 66   54 1hd (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 122 2.50 43% 1.30 6.50 W
1  BEZOS 1 4 11 11   12½ 2hd (goberdhan chandradat)HERNANDEZ OMAR 115 8.00 11.90  
2  HANDSOME CAT 2 6 53 42½   33 3¾ (jacobson david)CASTELLANO J 122 4.00 9% 10.30 5.00 S
5  CATCHYASOON 5 1 21 21   22½ 41 (englehart chris)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 12.00 ★ 13.80  
7  LEDDY 7 2 32 32   43 53¼ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 4.50 1.90  
4  AFTER FIVE 4 5 43 54   64½ 64¼ (falcone n)FRANCO MANUEL 122 5.00 14% 6.30 5.90  
3  DIGITAL FUTURE 3 7 75 76½   78½ 716¾ (handal raymond)VARGAS A 122 3.00 12% 7.20 2.80  
 
AQU-3   12/17/2022 5280ft DIRT MUDDY nongraded Stake   Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT-12:49
:231 :47 1:124     1:391   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  VENTI VALENTINE 5 5 42½ 32 1nk 11 13¾ (abreu r)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.50 ★ 2.45  
3  KNOW IT ALL AUDREY 3 3 31½ 42½ 4¼ 21 23¾ (barrera s)CASTELLANO J 118 4.50 ★ 6.80 P
1  SPUNGIE 1 1 54½ 53½ 53¼ 66½ 310½ (mott i)FRANCO MANUEL 121 4.00 29% 2.40 4.90 S
6  LET HER INSPIRE U 6 4 21 21 3.2 34½ 411¼ (pletcher a)LEZCANO JOSE 123 0.80 41% 1.40 0.95  
4  MASHNEE GIRL 4 2 11 11 2nk 45½ 511¾ (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 121 10.00 5% 17.70 12.10  
2  FIGHT ON LUCY 2 6 66½ 66 66¼ 56½ 613¾ (kelly j)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 30.00 40.25  
 
AQU-4   12/17/2022 4290ft DIRT MUDDY Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:14
:223 :462 1:124     1:194   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  SAINT EROS GIRL 7 1 23 23   2½ 1¼ (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 120 4.50 50% 1.00 1.75 W
7  ALPINE QUEEN 6 2 13 13   1½ 2¼ (toscano t)HUAYAS (JASON) 115 15.00 5% 19.00 38.00 P
3  MIA BEA STAR 3 7 69½ 710½   45½ 3¾ (persaud randi)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 4.00 13% 6.90 5.00 S
4  CHARLEY RUDE 4 6 33 34   33 43¾ (mccarthy w)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.00 1.75  
2  TRUE EMPRESS 2 5 79¾ 610½   55½ 59¼ (martin f)CANCEL ERIC 120 3.50 ★ 5.30  
5  DEVILLY 5 4 54½ 46½   68½ 612¼ (ferraro w)DAVIS A 120 12.00 8% 11.30 18.70  
1  SURCHARGE 1 3 43½ 57½   79 714 (jones e)LEZCANO JOSE 120 8.00 13.20  
SCR  LAUGHTER               (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 120 10.00    
 
AQU-5   12/17/2022 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Allowance   Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:42
:222 :463 :584     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  SHERIFF BIANCO 5 1 32 3½   13 12 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 1.40 34% 2.00 0.60 W
3  KING ANGELO 3 2 42½ 42   33 22 (abreu r)FRANCO MANUEL 122 6.00 13% 6.60 4.20 P
7  TWELTH MAN 6 7 75 52½   23 33½ (nevin michelle)CASTELLANO J 122 5.00 5.90  
1  PRISONER 1 3 1½ 1nk   44 49¼ (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 122 12.00 11.00  
4  VIDAL 4 4 2½ 2nk   56½ 515¾ (jones e)ADORNO ABNER 120 4.50 16% 5.30 13.40  
2  MAURITIUS 2 5 63½ 74¼   79¼ 615¾ (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00 21.60  
8  JESTER'S SONG 7 6 53 64   69 716 (bond james)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 15.00 7% 14.40 24.50  
SCR  NEURO               (ribaudo j)HUAYAS (JASON) 115 8.00 ★    
 
AQU-6   12/17/2022 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($85K) 2 ALL PT- 2:10
:233 :474 1:132     1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  TAPIT TRICE 3 8 74¼ 73 31 2nk 1¼ (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 119 2.00 30% 2.30 1.70 W
6  SLIP MAHONEY 5 1 2nk 2½ 11 1nk 2¼ (cox h)DAVIS DYLAN 119 3.50 ★ 2.60 P
2  SUMMER CAUSE 2 6 31½ 31 21 31½ 35 (clement christophe)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.00 25% 3.10 3.05 S
9  MERCANTE 7 4 41¾ 41½ 42½ 44 49½ (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119 15.00 7.10  
1  GOOD RAPPORT 1 7 63¼ 62½ 54½ 57½ 512¾ (rodriguez r)VARGAS A 119 15.00 25.50  
10  MY IMAGINATION 8 3 52¾ 51½ 65 68 613 (morey e)HUAYAS (JASON) 112 20.00 37.00  
5  WINNING CONNECTION 4 5 1nk 1½ 710½ 716½ 735½ (reynolds j)CANCEL ERIC 119 12.00 21% 3.70 23.80  
7  ABSTRACT 6 2 85¾ 88 816½ 821 835¾ (pletcher a)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 10.00 ★ 12.20  
SCR  ASSERTIVE ATTITUDE               (serpe m)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 12.00    
SCR  KELTIC KNIGHT               (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 119 20.00    
 
AQU-7   12/17/2022 4620ft DIRT MUDDY nongraded Stake   Purse ($500K) 2 F PT- 2:37
:224 :47 1:134     1:271   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LES BON TEMPS 1 6 72¼ 51¼   3.2 11¼ (maker j)LEZCANO JOSE 122 1.60 54% 0.90 1.20 W
4  MIDTOWN LIGHTS 4 2 61¾ 84¼   1nk 21¼ (cox h)CASTELLANO J 120 3.50 18% 4.50 2.85 P
9  LITTLE LINZEE 8 9 92½ 61¾   2nk 33 (schettino a)DAVIS KATIE 120 20.00 36.00  
6  DREAM ON CARA 5 7 82¼ 72¾   63¾ 46¾ (friedman mitchell)DAVIS DYLAN 118 30.00 40.50  
11  SWEET LIBERTY 10 5 51½ 2½   42¾ 57¼ (quick j)DAVIS A 118 15.00 33.00  
3  FORCES SWEETHEART 3 3 1nk 1½   53¼ 611 (joseph a)ZAYAS J 120 4.50 5% 19.00 6.00  
2  CLOVER STREET 2 8 103 96¾   811¼ 725½ (hennig mark)FRANCO MANUEL 118 12.00 19.40  
10  FEMA FUNDS 9 1 41 41   710¼ 829½ (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 118 10.00 ★ 5.90  
8  CENTRAL SPEED 7 4 2nk 3½   912¼ 942 (terranova p)CANCEL ERIC 118 12.00 21.90  
7  SMALL PEBBLES 6 10 3½ 1010¾   1036¼ 1085½ (martin f)ALVARADO R 122 20.00 ★ 44.50  
SCR  BUSTIN HOT               (rice linda)GOMEZ O 118 15.00    
 
AQU-8   12/17/2022 5280ft DIRT MUDDY nongraded Stake   Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:06
:23 :454 1:111     1:392   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  WUDDA U THINK NOW 6 2 1nk 1nk 11 14 13¼ (rodriguez r)DAVIS DYLAN 123 8.00 33% 2.00 9.80 W
6  SEA FOAM 5 4 31 31½ 32 24 23¼ (giangiulio michelle)CARMOUCHE K 121 6.00 13% 6.70 9.30 P
3  PERFECT MUNNINGS 2 3 52¼ 64¼ 55½ 58 36 (pletcher a)CASTELLANO J 121 5.00 ★ 4.00 S
1  MARKET ALERT 1 7 73¼ 43½ 66 68½ 47 (atras rob)VARGAS A 126 8.00 13.30  
8  DR. BLUTE 7 1 2nk 2nk 21 35½ 57 (joseph a)ZAYAS J 126 3.50 9% 10.10 3.65  
5  BARESE 4 5 62¾ 53¾ 44½ 47½ 67½ (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.50 2.00  
4  SOMELIKEITHOTBROWN 3 6 42 74¼ 77½ 79½ 79¼ (maker j)LEZCANO JOSE 126 5.00 21% 3.80 4.20  
SCR  THREE JOKERS               (terranova p)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 12.00    
 
AQU-9   12/17/2022 4620ft DIRT MUDDY nongraded Stake   Purse ($500K) 2 ALL PT- 3:33
:23 :463 1:123     1:252   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  GENERAL BANKER 4 6 42½ 41½   11½ 18½ (ferraro w)CANCEL ERIC 118 10.00 10.50  
9  RAMBLIN' WRECK 9 5 32 31   21½ 28½ (gargan danny)FRANCO MANUEL 120 12.00 ★ 11.50 P
8  LIFETIME OF CHANCE 8 1 63 77   67 39½ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 6.00 22% 3.60 5.00 S
3  PLAYINGWITHMATCHES 3 2 11½ 1½   32 49½ (hennig mark)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 20.00 51.50  
2  BUSTINO SANTINO 2 10 53 51½   44½ 513¾ (levine bruce)DAVIS DYLAN 118 5.00 ★ 4.60  
5  ZAPRUDER 5 4 95 64½   78½ 614 (mott i)ZAYAS J 118 10.00 13.00  
1  JACKSON HEIGHTS 1 8 1110 1112   810½ 714¾ (noda orlando)CASTELLANO J 122 3.50 14% 6.40 5.90  
11  VACATION DANCE 11 3 21½ 2½   56½ 816 (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 122 3.00 43% 1.30 1.80  
7  INCANTATION 7 9 108½ 1011½   912 916¾ (bond james)HARKIE K 118 30.00 54.25  
6  TATER AND TOT 6 7 84½ 89½   1017 1040½ (englehart s)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 118 20.00 59.50  
10  LAUREL VALLEY 10 11 74 910½   1128½ 1149¼ (pletcher a)VARGAS A 118 8.00 15.30  
 
AQU-10   12/17/2022 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($35K) 2 ALL PT- 4:00
:23 :472 :60     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SARATOGA BANKER 6 2 1½ 11   14 14¼ (summers chad)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 12.00 13.10  
7  TWO CHUCKLES 8 9 99¼ 912½   610 24¼ (englehart chris)CASTELLANO J 119 6.00 6% 17.10 4.70 P
3  CHASIN' YOU 2 8 73½ 45   37½ 34¼ (lynch natalia)VARGAS A 119 6.00 7.70  
6  CAMM' DUKE 7 4 2½ 21   24 47½ (ryerson t)ADORNO ABNER 119 12.00 ★ 9.10  
9  SOMAMA BEACH 9 5 83¾ 66½   59½ 59½ (davis d)HARKIE K 119 20.00 18.80  
1A  M. C. DOUBLE R 5 1 41 34½   48½ 612¼ (rodriguez r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 3.00 14% 6.20 1.95  
2  LIOTTA 1 6 62½ 89   813 713¾ (hills a)HUAYAS (JASON) 112 15.00 33.50  
4  JOYFUL GHOST 3 3 31 78½   712½ 814¼ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 119 2.50 51% 1.00 2.10  
1  HOT ROD LINCOLN 4 7 52 55½   913 919¼ (rodriguez r)DAVIS DYLAN 119 3.00 ★ 1.95  
SCR  WEYHILL FARM RD.               (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.50 9% 9.90    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.