Handicappers' Race Results

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Penn National
Friday - December 02, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   12/02/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:223 :453 :581     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHROME FINISH 3 3 2 2   2 1¼ (rodriguez jos)CORUJO LEONARDO 118 6.00 8.00  
SUTTON VALLEY 4 4 1 1   1 2¼ (rodriguez jos)INIRIO J 118 3.00 36% 1.80 4.00 P
WHAT'S MY CATEGORY 5 2 53 44   32 3¾ (grusmark k)DAVIS A 120 12.00 12% 7.30 2.60 S
MR BOLDACIOUS 1 7 7 6   5 4 (lucas bonnie)CONNER TYLER 119 4.50 6.50  
U U STAR 2 5 3 34   42 5 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 121 2.00 18% 4.50 1.80  
DREAMERS REWARD 7 1 4 56   68 6 (graci kimbe)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.50 7.60  
WINNERS WIN 6 6 6 7   710 710½ (bobadilla f)CORA D 117 20.00 47.40  
 
PEN-2   12/02/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
See original race card.
:241 :472 1:121 1:381   1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LTL BEAR SALOON 5 1 12 12 12 1 1 (graci kimbe)HERNANDEZ A 121 3.50 19% 4.20 4.80 W
SAILOR SPEED 4 5 22 22 22 2 2 (lucas bonnie)CORUJO LEONARDO 121 4.00 11% 7.90 4.80 P
ONCE A GIANT 1 4 3 33 3 3 311¾ (graci a)CHIAPPE R 121 2.00 0.40 S
LUDO 3 3 5 58 49 412½ 412¼ (perez a)CASTILLO A 121 6.00 36% 1.80 8.40  
BLACK IRISH 6 6 68 611 512½ 514½ 513¼ (sells rach)DAVIS A 122 20.00 16.80  
STILL THE ONE 2 2 4 48 616½ 625½ 633 (bullock m)LLOYD W 122 15.00 49.20  
SCR  JUMP FREE               (kulp l)CONNER TYLER 121 3.00 9% 10.80    
 
PEN-3   12/02/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 2 ALL PT- 6:54
See original race card.
:223 :463 :592     1:062   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KAZ PALACE 8 2 3½ 3.2   1nk 1 (synnefias dimit)PANAIJO JORGE 122 12.00 1.60  
HIGH STRIKE 7 3 1½ 1nk   2nk 2 (wames j)CHIAPPE R 122 10.00 12.60  
MIGHTY MINION 3 5 41 5   4 3 (graci kimbe)HERNANDEZ A 122 10.00 36.60 S
GOLDEN TREASURE 5 7 76 7   6 4 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 122 5.00 4.60  
10  ON AN ISLAND 10 8 6 6   75 5 (kravets bruce)INIRIO J 122 15.00 39.50  
SIR SMOAK 6 1 5 4   53 6 (lingenfelter th)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 3.00 34% 1.90 6.60  
OUT OF STOCK 4 4 2½ 2nk   3½ 74 (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 122 4.00 41% 1.50 3.10  
BARN SWALLOW 1 10 8 8   89 8 (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 10.00 20.00  
GOOSE HUNTER 2 6 97 1010¾   1013½ 910½ (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 122 4.50 11.00  
MACHO HONCHO 9 9 10 9   911 1011¾ (salvaggio michael)WHITNEY G 122 12.00 38.30  
 
PEN-4   12/02/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:22
See original race card.
:234 :472 1:124 1:254   1:392   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PAYNT BY NUMBER 4 2 14 13 13 16 1 (perkins ben)HERNANDEZ A 119 1.80 28% 2.60 0.60 W
PSYCHE 2 4 24 23 23 26 2 (stites w)CONNER TYLER 121 2.00 31% 2.20 3.30 P
DARE TO BE GREAT 1 3 5 59 4 413 315 (grusmark k)DAVIS A 121 8.00 3.20 S
CIRCLE OF COURAGE 3 1 47 4 59 513½ 418½ (lawrence ja)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 124 2.50 13% 6.60 13.60  
TIP TOP TAPPER 6 6 3 3 3 312 520 (shea lydee)CORA D 120 8.00 26.60  
BACKSTRETCHBEAUTY 5 5 69 610½ 610 615½ 622½ (ferreira fernan)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 20.00 46.10  
 
PEN-5   12/02/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:49
See original race card.
:241 :484 1:134 1:391   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANOINT 2 4 2½ 2nk 1½ 16 110 (brion keri)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 115 1.80 33% 2.00 2.90 W
MELODIA 6 6 6 62 4 36 210 (zalalas michae)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 15.00 15.30  
RUNNIN REDBIRD 4 2 3 4 66 5 313¼ (salvaggio m)HERNANDEZ A 119 5.00 3.60 S
FAIRY DREAMS 3 3 4 5 32 47 413½ (kravets m)AGUILAR M 119 2.00 27% 2.70 3.80  
RAIN LILLY 1 5 1½ 1nk 2½ 26 513¾ (houghton thomas)CORA D 119 3.00 9% 10.40 1.30  
DANCE A LITTLE JIG 5 1 5 3 5 6 615¾ (ferreira fern)INIRIO J 120 15.00 19.20  
 
PEN-6   12/02/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:16
See original race card.
:22 :453 :581     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRUNELLA 6 1 21 1½   1 1 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 2.50 25% 3.00 1.50 W
QUEEN'S DREAM 5 5 5 4   44 2 (beattie cody)WHITNEY G 120 8.00 10% 9.30 12.50 P
AMEN SYLVIA 7 6 7 6   5 3 (shea lydee)CORA D 124 10.00 23.90  
LANFRANKOPHILE 4 2 31 3   2 4 (lucas bonni)HERNANDEZ A 119 2.00 40% 1.50 1.80  
DETERMINED HOPE 2 7 6 5   66 5 (schoenthal )RODRIGUEZ R 121 10.00 9.40  
KNICKERSINATWIST 1 4 11 2½   3 6 (stites flint )CORUJO LEONARDO 121 4.50 3.80  
ROSES FROM HEAVEN 3 3 4 7   710 715 (stites w)AGUILAR M 120 10.00 27.50  
SCR  LIVE AID               (kirby t)ADORNO ABNER 120 10.00    
 
PEN-7   12/02/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($18.1K) 2 F PT- 8:43
See original race card.
:224 :464 :594     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KEYSTONE WARRIOR 7 3 22 21   1½ 1 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 122 12.00 2.80  
ARROGANTE 5 7 79 69   35 2 (diaz jorge)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 110 6.00 2.20  
DESI'S REWARD 3 2 12 11   2½ 35 (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 2.00 48% 1.10 2.80 S
SIRENETTA 4 1 3 3   4 4 (gallimore tre)RAMOS C 122 5.00 7% 13.00 8.60  
MADISON COUNTY 1 5 4 45   5 516 (houghton thomas)CONNER TYLER 122 2.50 16% 5.30 10.10  
APRILS LUCK 6 4 6 59   613 621¼ (lucas bonni)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.00 7.20  
FOREVER FIFI 2 6 55 711½   717 722¾ (zalalas micha)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 15.00 5% 17.80 14.90  
 
PEN-8   12/02/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:10
See original race card.
:223 :462 :583     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOUTH HOUSE 5 3 1½ 12   1 1 (stites flin)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.00 22% 3.50 0.40 W
HIGHWAY QUEEN 2 1 31 22   2 2 (rojas e)TUNON JORDANO 122 3.00 11% 7.70 1.90 P
LOOP THE LOOP 4 4 5 4   4 310¾ (shea lydee)CORA D 120 6.00 12.50  
FALL CAMPAIGN 3 2 2½ 33   3 410¾ (diaz jorge)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 111 8.00 12.90  
SEEKING THE THRONE 1 5 43 5   510 515 (fenimore elbert)RODRIGUEZ E 120 15.00 57.40  
SCR  CAPE COD SALLY               (maroun douglas)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 12.00 7% 13.40    
SCR  SCARLET LILY               (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 120 2.50 36% 1.80    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.