The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Penn National
Friday - December 02, 2022

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PEN-1   12/02/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
:223 :453 :581     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHROME FINISH 3 3 2 2   21¼ (rodriguez s)CORUJO LEONARDO 118 6.00 8.00  
SUTTON VALLEY 4 4 1 1   12¼ (rodriguez s)INIRIO J 118 3.00 36% 1.80 4.00 P
WHAT'S MY CATEGORY 5 2 53 44   32 3¾ (grusmark karl)DAVIS A 120 12.00 12% 7.30 2.60 S
MR BOLDACIOUS 1 7 7 6   54(lucas bonnie)CONNER TYLER 119 4.50 6.50  
U U STAR 2 5 3 34   42 5(kulp l)RODRIGUEZ R 121 2.00 18% 4.50 1.80  
DREAMERS REWARD 7 1 4 56   68 6(graci a)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.50 7.60  
WINNERS WIN 6 6 6 7   710 710½ (bobadilla f)CORA D 117 20.00 47.40  
 
PEN-2   12/02/2022 5490ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
:241 :472 1:121 1:381   1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LTL BEAR SALOON 5 1 12 12 12 11(graci a)HERNANDEZ A 121 3.50 19% 4.20 4.80 W
SAILOR SPEED 4 5 22 22 22 22(lucas bonnie)CORUJO LEONARDO 121 4.00 11% 7.90 4.80 P
ONCE A GIANT 1 4 3 33 3 3311¾ (graci a)CHIAPPE R 121 2.00 0.40 S
LUDO 3 3 5 58 49 412½ 412¼ (perez a)CASTILLO A 121 6.00 36% 1.80 8.40  
BLACK IRISH 6 6 68 611 512½ 514½ 513¼ (sells rachel)DAVIS A 122 20.00 16.80  
STILL THE ONE 2 2 4 48 616½ 625½ 633 (bullock m)LLOYD W 122 15.00 49.20  
SCR  JUMP FREE               (kulp l)CONNER TYLER 121 3.00 9% 10.80    
 
PEN-3   12/02/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($27.1K) 2 ALL PT- 6:54
:223 :463 :592     1:062   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KAZ PALACE 8 2 3½ 3.2   1nk 1(synnefias dimitrios)PANAIJO JORGE 122 12.00 1.60  
HIGH STRIKE 7 3 1½ 1nk   2nk 2(wames j)CHIAPPE R 122 10.00 12.60  
MIGHTY MINION 3 5 41 5   43(graci a)HERNANDEZ A 122 10.00 36.60 S
GOLDEN TREASURE 5 7 76 7   64(kravets m)AGUILAR M 122 5.00 4.60  
10  ON AN ISLAND 10 8 6 6   75 5(kravets m)INIRIO J 122 15.00 39.50  
SIR SMOAK 6 1 5 4   53 6(lingenfelter thomas)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 3.00 34% 1.90 6.60  
OUT OF STOCK 4 4 2½ 2nk   3½ 74 (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 122 4.00 41% 1.50 3.10  
BARN SWALLOW 1 10 8 8   89 8(houghton thomas)CORA D 122 10.00 20.00  
GOOSE HUNTER 2 6 97 1010¾   1013½ 910½ (kulp l)RODRIGUEZ R 122 4.50 11.00  
MACHO HONCHO 9 9 10 9   911 1011¾ (salvaggio jr)WHITNEY G 122 12.00 38.30  
 
PEN-4   12/02/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:22
:234 :472 1:124 1:254   1:392   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PAYNT BY NUMBER 4 2 14 13 13 16 1(perkins jr)HERNANDEZ A 119 1.80 28% 2.60 0.60 W
PSYCHE 2 4 24 23 23 26 2(stites w)CONNER TYLER 121 2.00 31% 2.20 3.30 P
DARE TO BE GREAT 1 3 5 59 4 413 315 (grusmark karl)DAVIS A 121 8.00 3.20 S
CIRCLE OF COURAGE 3 1 47 4 59 513½ 418½ (lawrence lee)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 124 2.50 13% 6.60 13.60  
TIP TOP TAPPER 6 6 3 3 3 312 520 (shea lydee)CORA D 120 8.00 26.60  
BACKSTRETCHBEAUTY 5 5 69 610½ 610 615½ 622½ (ferreira fernando)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 20.00 46.10  
 
PEN-5   12/02/2022 5610ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($31.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:49
:241 :484 1:134 1:391   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANOINT 2 4 2½ 2nk 1½ 16 110 (brion keri)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 115 1.80 33% 2.00 2.90 W
MELODIA 6 6 6 62 4 36 210 (zalalas michael)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 15.00 15.30  
RUNNIN REDBIRD 4 2 3 4 66 5313¼ (salvaggio jr)HERNANDEZ A 119 5.00 3.60 S
FAIRY DREAMS 3 3 4 5 32 47 413½ (kravets m)AGUILAR M 119 2.00 27% 2.70 3.80  
RAIN LILLY 1 5 1½ 1nk 2½ 26 513¾ (houghton thomas)CORA D 119 3.00 9% 10.40 1.30  
DANCE A LITTLE JIG 5 1 5 3 5 6615¾ (ferreira fernando)INIRIO J 120 15.00 19.20  
 
PEN-6   12/02/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:16
:22 :453 :581     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRUNELLA 6 1 21 1½   11(kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 2.50 25% 3.00 1.50 W
QUEEN'S DREAM 5 5 5 4   44 2(beattie cody)WHITNEY G 120 8.00 10% 9.30 12.50 P
AMEN SYLVIA 7 6 7 6   53(shea lydee)CORA D 124 10.00 23.90  
LANFRANKOPHILE 4 2 31 3   24(lucas bonnie)HERNANDEZ A 119 2.00 40% 1.50 1.80  
DETERMINED HOPE 2 7 6 5   66 5(schoenthal phil)RODRIGUEZ R 121 10.00 9.40  
KNICKERSINATWIST 1 4 11 2½   36(stites w)CORUJO LEONARDO 121 4.50 3.80  
ROSES FROM HEAVEN 3 3 4 7   710 715 (stites w)AGUILAR M 120 10.00 27.50  
SCR  LIVE AID               (kirby t)ADORNO ABNER 120 10.00    
 
PEN-7   12/02/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($18.1K) 2 F PT- 8:43
:224 :464 :594     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KEYSTONE WARRIOR 7 3 22 21   1½ 1(kulp l)RODRIGUEZ R 122 12.00 2.80  
ARROGANTE 5 7 79 69   35 2(diaz jorge)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 110 6.00 2.20  
DESI'S REWARD 3 2 12 11   2½ 35 (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 2.00 48% 1.10 2.80 S
SIRENETTA 4 1 3 3   44(gallimore trevor)RAMOS C 122 5.00 7% 13.00 8.60  
MADISON COUNTY 1 5 4 45   5516 (houghton thomas)CONNER TYLER 122 2.50 16% 5.30 10.10  
APRILS LUCK 6 4 6 59   613 621¼ (lucas bonnie)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.00 7.20  
FOREVER FIFI 2 6 55 711½   717 722¾ (zalalas michael)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 15.00 5% 17.80 14.90  
 
PEN-8   12/02/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:10
:223 :462 :583     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOUTH HOUSE 5 3 1½ 12   11(stites w)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.00 22% 3.50 0.40 W
HIGHWAY QUEEN 2 1 31 22   22(rojas e)TUNON JORDANO 122 3.00 11% 7.70 1.90 P
LOOP THE LOOP 4 4 5 4   4310¾ (shea lydee)CORA D 120 6.00 12.50  
FALL CAMPAIGN 3 2 2½ 33   3410¾ (diaz jorge)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 111 8.00 12.90  
SEEKING THE THRONE 1 5 43 5   510 515 (fenimore elbert)RODRIGUEZ E 120 15.00 57.40  
SCR  CAPE COD SALLY               (maroun douglas)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 12.00 7% 13.40    
SCR  SCARLET LILY               (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 120 2.50 36% 1.80    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.