Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Friday - December 02, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   12/02/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR BOLDACIOUS Nov05 Oct22 Sep29 Sep08 Aug25 (lucas bonnie)CONNER TYLER 119 4.50    
2  U U STAR Nov16 Oct14 Apr06 Mar20 Feb11 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 121 2.00 18% 4.50    
3  CHROME FINISH Nov16 Nov05 Oct19 Sep22 Sep05 (rodriguez j)CORUJO LEONARDO 118 6.00 ★    
4  SUTTON VALLEY Oct13 Oct01 Sep17 Sep02 Aug04 (rodriguez j)INIRIO J 118 3.00 36% 1.80    
5  WHAT'S MY CATEGORY Nov22 Nov02 Sep12 Aug15 Jul19 (grusmark)DAVIS A 120 12.00 12% 7.30    
6  WINNERS WIN Nov09 Oct26 Oct12 Sep21 Aug24 (bobadilla f)CORA D 117 20.00    
7  DREAMERS REWARD Sep08 Aug18 Aug03 Jul08 Jun09 (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.50 ★    
 
PEN-2   12/02/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONCE A GIANT Oct14 Sep01 Jul24 Jun04 May08 (graci a)CHIAPPE R 121 2.00 ★    
2  STILL THE ONE Oct26 Oct18 Sep22 Sep04 Aug05 (bullock m)LLOYD W 122 15.00    
3  LUDO Nov14 Nov07 Sep11 Aug26 Aug07 (perez a)CASTILLO A 121 6.00 36% 1.80    
4  SAILOR SPEED Sep29 Sep11 Aug31 Aug13 Jul16 (lucas bonni)CORUJO LEONARDO 121 4.00 11% 7.90    
5  LTL BEAR SALOON Oct19 Oct07 Sep15 Aug24 Aug03 (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 121 3.50 19% 4.20    
SCR  JUMP FREE May21 Apr27 Apr06 Mar23 Mar16 (kulp l)CONNER TYLER 121 3.00 9% 10.80    
7  BLACK IRISH Nov23 Nov08 Jun28 May18 May10 (sells ra)DAVIS A 122 20.00    
 
PEN-3   12/02/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 2 ALL PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BARN SWALLOW         (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 10.00    
2  GOOSE HUNTER Oct18 Oct11 Sep22 Sep07 Aug22 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 4.50 ★    
3  MIGHTY MINION Nov09         (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 122 10.00 ★    
4  OUT OF STOCK Nov09         (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122 4.00 41% 1.50    
5  GOLDEN TREASURE Nov09         (kravets m)AGUILAR M 122 5.00 ★    
6  SIR SMOAK Nov09 Oct18 Sep22     (lingenfelter )DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 3.00 34% 1.90    
7  HIGH STRIKE Nov09         (wames j)CHIAPPE R 122 10.00    
8  KAZ PALACE         (synnefias dim)PANAIJO JORGE 122 12.00    
9  MACHO HONCHO         (salvaggio micha)WHITNEY G 122 12.00    
10  ON AN ISLAND Nov09         (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 15.00    
 
PEN-4   12/02/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DARE TO BE GREAT Oct18 Aug15 Jul25 Jun29 Jun14 (grusmark)DAVIS A 121 8.00 ★    
2  PSYCHE Nov09 Oct25 Sep14 Aug26 Aug04 (stites w)CONNER TYLER 121 2.00 31% 2.20    
3  CIRCLE OF COURAGE Nov18 Nov04 Oct06 Sep23 Aug26 (lawrence )CRISPIN ALEXANDER 124 2.50 13% 6.60    
4  PAYNT BY NUMBER Oct19 Sep28 Aug24 Mar26 Jan27 (perkins b)HERNANDEZ A 119 1.80 28% 2.60    
5  BACKSTRETCHBEAUTY Oct25 Oct10 Sep23 Aug18 Jul27 (ferreira fern)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 20.00 ★    
6  TIP TOP TAPPER Sep09 Aug26 Aug03 Jun15 Jun02 (shea lydee)CORA D 120 8.00    
 
PEN-5   12/02/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RAIN LILLY Nov02 Oct21 Sep27 Sep01 Aug12 (houghton thomas)CORA D 119 3.00 9% 10.40    
2  ANOINT Oct10         (brion keri)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 115 1.80 33% 2.00    
3  FAIRY DREAMS Nov08 Oct18 Aug12 Jul28 Jun30 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 119 2.00 27% 2.70    
4  RUNNIN REDBIRD Nov02 Oct12 Sep01 Aug12   (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 119 5.00 ★    
5  DANCE A LITTLE JIG Nov09 Oct26 Oct12 Sep23 Aug31 (ferreira fe)INIRIO J 120 15.00 ★    
6  MELODIA Nov08 Oct18 Sep21 Aug05 Jul15 (zalalas mich)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 15.00    
 
PEN-6   12/02/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KNICKERSINATWIST Nov18 Nov02 Oct12 Sep16   (stites flin)CORUJO LEONARDO 121 4.50 ★    
2  DETERMINED HOPE Oct17 Oct03 Sep18 Jul31 Jul09 (schoentha)RODRIGUEZ R 121 10.00    
3  ROSES FROM HEAVEN Nov18 Nov04 Oct19 Sep28 Sep09 (stites w)AGUILAR M 120 10.00    
4  LANFRANKOPHILE Oct29 Oct21 Oct05 Aug14 Jul31 (lucas bon)HERNANDEZ A 119 2.00 40% 1.50    
5  QUEEN'S DREAM Oct14 Sep01 Aug10 Jul08 May26 (beattie cody)WHITNEY G 120 8.00 10% 9.30    
SCR  LIVE AID Nov21 Oct26 Oct05 Sep20 Aug31 (kirby t)ADORNO ABNER 120 10.00 ★    
7  BRUNELLA Nov18 Nov04 Aug27 Jul31 Jul10 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 2.50 25% 3.00    
8  AMEN SYLVIA Nov22 Oct26 Jul01 Jun11 May20 (shea lydee)CORA D 124 10.00    
 
PEN-7   12/02/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($18.1K) 2 F PT- 8:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MADISON COUNTY Oct26 Sep15 Aug11     (houghton thoma)CONNER TYLER 122 2.50 16% 5.30    
2  FOREVER FIFI         (zalalas mic)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 15.00 5% 17.80    
3  DESI'S REWARD Nov15 Oct11 Aug22 Aug01   (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 2.00 48% 1.10    
4  SIRENETTA Nov22 Nov09 Oct22 Sep23 Sep11 (gallimore tre)RIVERA D 122 5.00 7% 13.00    
5  ARROGANTE Oct29 Oct06 Sep28 Sep14 Sep01 (diaz jorge)ROLDAN FELISHA 110 6.00    
6  APRILS LUCK Nov15 Oct22 Oct12 Aug31 Aug21 (lucas bon)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.00 ★    
7  KEYSTONE WARRIOR Sep20 Aug31 Aug10 Jul26   (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 12.00    
 
PEN-8   12/02/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SEEKING THE THRONE Nov02 Oct04 Aug26 Jul28 Jun24 (fenimore elbert)RODRIGUEZ E 120 15.00    
SCR  SCARLET LILY Aug12 Jun24 May26 May11 Apr22 (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 120 2.50 36% 1.80    
3  HIGHWAY QUEEN Oct25 Oct10 Sep27 Sep05 Aug08 (rojas eduardo)TUNON JORDANO 122 3.00 11% 7.70    
4  FALL CAMPAIGN Nov18 Oct21 Oct12 Sep21 Aug31 (diaz jorge)ROLDAN FELISHA 111 8.00 ★    
5  LOOP THE LOOP Nov16 Oct19 Oct07 Sep21 Aug31 (shea lydee)CORA D 120 6.00    
SCR  CAPE COD SALLY Nov18 Oct19 Oct07 Sep23 Sep08 (maroun dougla)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 12.00 7% 13.40    
7  SOUTH HOUSE Nov18 Oct19 Oct03 Sep08 Aug25 (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.00 22% 3.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.