Handicappers' Race Results
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Aqueduct
Saturday - December 31, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
Simulator Race results
 
AQU-1   12/31/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 ALL PT-12:20
See original race card.
:231 :464 1:121     1:261   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  KID BILLY 8 9 41½ 2½   1nk 1½ (mott willia)VARGAS A 119 4.50 ★ 6.40  
9  FACTUALLY CORRECT 9 3 1nk 1½   2nk 2½ (rodriguez r)LEZCANO JOSE 119 2.50 31% 2.20 0.90 P
6  DR. KRAFT 6 2 2nk 31½   46½ 35 (englehart )DAVIS A 119 5.00 8.90  
7  MAKER'S CANDY 7 6 31 41½   35½ 45¼ (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00 4.50  
2  FOUR EYES 2 1 75¼ 65½   69½ 56¾ (d'alessandro ralp)CANCEL ERIC 119 6.00 26% 2.90 9.90  
3  TUNNEL VISION 3 8 85¼ 76   57½ 67½ (falcone n)DAVIS DYLAN 119 3.50 20% 3.90 11.30  
5  ON THE LEDGE 5 4 51¾ 53   710 711½ (nevin mi)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 20.00 33.00  
1  PERFECT OUTCOME 1 7 915¼ 925   926 823 (willi)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 119 30.00 48.00  
4  PETROLO 4 5 64¾ 87   820 926¼ (bond jam)FRANCO MANUEL 119 12.00 ★ 25.50  
 
AQU-2   12/31/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:233 :464 1:123     1:20   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  FENWAY 10 1 12 15   14½ 12½ (sciacca gary)OLVER MADISON 110 12.00 5.20  
9  HE'SGOTTASHORTFUSE 9 4 76 69½   56½ 22½ (ryerso)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 15.00 54.25  
7  GINNSU WARRIOR 7 5 66 49   35 32¾ (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.50 34% 2.00 4.30 S
4  RAW COURAGE 4 3 22 25   24½ 45 (toscano t)FUENTES ERICK 110 20.00 93.50  
8  MATTY'S MARAUDER 8 10 99½ 710   67 55¼ (donk david)VARGAS A 120 3.50 5% 19.00 7.90  
5  SIGHT UNSEEN 5 7 55½ 810½   78 68 (hennig mark)HARKIE K 120 20.00 31.50  
2  EMINENCY 2 2 44½ 38   46 79 (camejo m)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 34% 1.90 3.15  
6  NICHOLAS JAMES 6 9 1014½ 1019   1018 812½ (noda orlando)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.00 6% 15.50 1.65  
1  LUCA AT THE SPA 1 6 88½ 913½   912½ 913 (engle)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 15.00 45.75  
3  SLOW DECISION 3 8 33½ 59½   88½ 1016½ (walder pet)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 12.00 ★ 25.50  
 
AQU-3   12/31/2022 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($95K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:18
See original race card.
:234 :463 1:112     1:181   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  UNION LAKE 6 1 31½ 2½   1½ 13½ (terranova p)CARMOUCHE K 122 3.50 2.10  
1  ROSSA VELOCE 1 2 11 1½   2½ 23½ (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 124 2.50 15% 5.50 1.30 P
4  SNICKET 4 6 54 53   33½ 38 (dugga)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 6.00 13% 6.50 6.30 S
3  PATTY H 3 4 42 42   46 411½ (dutrow w)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.00 16% 5.20 5.50  
2  ROYAL MEGHAN 2 3 64½ 65   57½ 511½ (abreu )HUAYAS (JASON) 113 8.00 ★ 20.50  
6  VIOLENT VIXEN 5 5 21 32   69½ 619½ (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 122 12.00 8.00  
SCR  ELOQUENT SPEAKER               (lynch nata)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 15.00    
SCR  SHESALITTLE EDGY               (rodriguez gustavo)CANCEL ERIC 120 5.00 19% 4.30    
 
AQU-4   12/31/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3 F PT- 1:46
See original race card.
:23 :461 1:121     1:26   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  LAUGHTER 7 3 41¾ 22   2nk 12 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00 ★ 4.40  
4  DIAMOND COLLECTOR 3 5 52¾ 55   42¾ 22 (martin f)LEZCANO JOSE 118 4.00 ★ 4.60 P
7  LADY MILAGRO 6 2 1nk 12   1nk 33¼ (martin f)CANCEL ERIC 118 8.00 5.00  
6  DIVINE WINE 5 7 31½ 43   32½ 44½ (rodrig)HUAYAS (JASON) 111 15.00 11.50  
1  MOMMASGOTTARUN 1 1 74¾ 66½   58¼ 58¼ (falcone n)CARMOUCHE K 120 1.80 35% 1.90 1.10  
2  MUSIC AMORE 2 6 63¾ 77½   711¾ 616¾ (kantarmaci)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 20.00 16.80  
5  SERENADE SOLDIER 4 4 2nk 33   610¾ 721½ (lynch nata)DAVIS A 118 12.00 15.40  
SCR  ALARM CLOCK               (follett norman)HARKIE K 120 5.00 22% 3.50    
SCR  STARTED WITH STARS               (englehart jeffrey)DAVIS DYLAN 120 10.00 14% 6.20    
 
AQU-5   12/31/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:14
See original race card.
:241 :481 1:123     1:19   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  AMEDEUS MUSIC 7 7 53 52½   13 14¾ (englehart jeffrey)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.00 7% 12.50 3.65 W
1  BRACIOLE 1 6 42½ 41½   34 24¾ (noda orlan)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 6.00 4.00  
3  JET SPEED 2 9 2nk 1½   23 36 (tessore bruno)LEZCANO JOSE 122 3.00 60% 0.70 1.70 S
6  CAN'T BEAT ME 5 4 73¾ 74   45½ 46½ (brown br)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 8.00 7.30  
9  BALI'S SHADE 8 1 31½ 31½   56 514½ (rodriguez rudy )FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.50 5.20  
5  ROMANOATSEE 4 5 63¼ 63½   79½ 614¾ (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 122 20.00 6% 15.10 37.00  
4  MAXIM MOMENT 3 8 95¾ 87   813 718 (jacobs)HUAYAS (JASON) 115 15.00 22.50  
10  HUDSON OVERPASS 9 2 1nk 2½   67½ 822¾ (grossman br)VARGAS A 120 12.00 5% 19.00 23.60  
7  LORD BROWNIE 6 3 84¾ 910   916 923¼ (sciacca gary)OLVER MADISON 108 30.00 36.25  
SCR  MISTER CANDY RIDE               (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 120 5.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.