Handicappers' Racing Form
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Aqueduct
Saturday - December 31, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
AQU-1   12/31/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 ALL PT-12:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PERFECT OUTCOME Dec10         (willi)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 119 30.00    
2  FOUR EYES Dec10 Nov02       (d'alessandro ralp)CANCEL ERIC 119 6.00 26% 2.90    
3  TUNNEL VISION         (falcone n)DAVIS DYLAN 119 3.50 20% 3.90    
4  PETROLO         (bond jam)FRANCO MANUEL 119 12.00 ★    
5  ON THE LEDGE         (nevin mi)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 20.00    
6  DR. KRAFT Nov26 Oct09       (englehart )DAVIS A 119 5.00    
7  MAKER'S CANDY         (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00    
8  KID BILLY         (mott willia)VARGAS A 119 4.50 ★    
9  FACTUALLY CORRECT Nov26 Oct21       (rodriguez r)LEZCANO JOSE 119 2.50 31% 2.20    
 
AQU-2   12/31/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUCA AT THE SPA Nov14 Oct17 Sep13 Aug03 Jul08 (engle)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 15.00    
2  EMINENCY Dec04 Nov12 Oct02 Aug19 Jul10 (camejo m)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 34% 1.90    
3  SLOW DECISION Dec09 Nov11 Oct08 Aug26 Jul22 (walder pet)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 12.00 ★    
4  RAW COURAGE Nov11 Oct15 Sep16 Aug03 Jul24 (toscano t)FUENTES ERICK 110 20.00    
5  SIGHT UNSEEN Nov05 Oct14 Aug11 Jul03   (hennig mark)HARKIE K 120 20.00    
6  NICHOLAS JAMES Dec02 Nov05 Sep18 Aug19 Jul29 (noda orlando)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.00 6% 15.50    
7  GINNSU WARRIOR Dec04 Nov05 Oct07 Sep02 Aug03 (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.50 34% 2.00    
8  MATTY'S MARAUDER Sep16 Aug21 Apr28 Apr01 Mar05 (donk david)VARGAS A 120 3.50 5% 19.00    
9  HE'SGOTTASHORTFUSE Dec04 Nov10 Oct07 Sep17 Aug15 (ryerso)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 15.00    
10  FENWAY Nov19 Oct20 Oct01 Jul08   (sciacca gary)OLVER MADISON 110 12.00    
 
AQU-3   12/31/2022 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($95K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROSSA VELOCE Nov13 Oct15 Sep01 Jul15 May27 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 124 2.50 15% 5.50    
2  ROYAL MEGHAN Oct28 May27 Apr29 Mar31 Mar04 (abreu )HUAYAS (JASON) 113 8.00 ★    
3  PATTY H Dec02 Oct06 Jan06     (dutrow w)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.00 16% 5.20    
4  SNICKET Dec10 Dec02 Oct20 Sep22 Aug12 (dugga)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 6.00 13% 6.50    
SCR  SHESALITTLE EDGY May19 Apr29 Mar26 Mar04 Jan06 (rodriguez gustavo)CANCEL ERIC 120 5.00 19% 4.30    
6  VIOLENT VIXEN Dec02 Nov13 Oct15 Feb06 Jan01 (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 122 12.00    
SCR  ELOQUENT SPEAKER Aug12 Jul20 May27 Mar04 Jan02 (lynch nata)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 15.00    
8  UNION LAKE Oct22 Sep02 Jul23 Jun05   (terranova p)CARMOUCHE K 122 3.50    
 
AQU-4   12/31/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3 F PT- 1:46
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOMMASGOTTARUN Nov13 Oct06 Aug17 Jul17 Jun11 (falcone n)CARMOUCHE K 120 1.80 35% 1.90    
2  MUSIC AMORE Dec10 Oct14 Sep03 Aug06 Jul07 (kantarmaci)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 20.00    
SCR  ALARM CLOCK Dec11 Nov17 Nov04 Oct14 Oct01 (follett norman)HARKIE K 120 5.00 22% 3.50    
4  DIAMOND COLLECTOR Nov13 Jul03 Jun12 Apr07 Mar19 (martin f)LEZCANO JOSE 118 4.00 ★    
5  SERENADE SOLDIER Nov19 Jan01       (lynch nata)DAVIS A 118 12.00    
6  DIVINE WINE Dec08 Nov17 Oct21 Sep22   (rodrig)HUAYAS (JASON) 111 15.00    
7  LADY MILAGRO Dec09 Jul09 Jun19 Mar19 Feb24 (martin f)CANCEL ERIC 118 8.00    
SCR  STARTED WITH STARS Nov30 Oct11 Sep19 Jul13 Jun06 (englehart jeffrey)DAVIS DYLAN 120 10.00 14% 6.20    
9  LAUGHTER Dec02 Nov17 Oct09 Aug31 Aug03 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00 ★    
 
AQU-5   12/31/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:14
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRACIOLE Aug03 Jun16 Jun05 May08 Mar25 (noda orlan)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 6.00    
SCR  MISTER CANDY RIDE Nov19 Oct16 Feb18 Feb04   (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 120 5.00 ★    
3  JET SPEED Dec16 Oct23 Oct02 Aug27 Aug06 (tessore bruno)LEZCANO JOSE 122 3.00 60% 0.70    
4  MAXIM MOMENT Dec07 Nov10 Oct16 Oct08 Aug19 (jacobs)HUAYAS (JASON) 115 15.00    
5  ROMANOATSEE Nov21 Nov09 Oct17     (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 122 20.00 6% 15.10    
6  CAN'T BEAT ME Dec04 Nov11 Oct06 Sep03 Aug03 (brown br)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 8.00    
7  LORD BROWNIE Oct15 Sep01 Jul24 May28 May13 (sciacca gary)OLVER MADISON 108 30.00    
8  AMEDEUS MUSIC Dec04 Nov10 Sep17 Aug09 Jul24 (englehart jeffrey)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.00 7% 12.50    
9  BALI'S SHADE Dec02 Oct16 Jul15 Jun18 May21 (rodriguez rudy )FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.50    
10  HUDSON OVERPASS Oct30 Oct20 Sep04 Jul09 Jun12 (grossman br)VARGAS A 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-6   12/31/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 Allowance Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:42
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FANCY FELINE Nov18 Oct22 Sep05 Jul22 Apr30 (bond jame)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.50 ★    
2  KANT HURRY LOVE Nov18 Oct22 Oct01 Aug26   (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.50 18% 4.50    
3  CARBON Dec15 Nov18 Oct01 Mar20   (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.50 54% 0.90    
4  CAPTIVATING CARA Oct01 Aug26 Jun25 May28 Apr30 (friedm)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 30.00    
5  BETTY'S SMILE Nov08 Oct17 Sep28 Sep14 May24 (grusmark k)DAVIS A 122 15.00 ★    
6  CINDERELLA'S CAUSE Dec15 Nov16 Nov04 Aug28 Jul22 (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 122 8.00    
7  BIG BEAN CHRISTINE Dec01 Nov12 Oct13 Sep12 Aug05 (handal raym)VARGAS A 118 10.00    
8  ROYAL CURRENCY Nov17 Sep17 Aug20 Jul31 Jul09 (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00 ★    
9  TEMPERMENTAL Dec09 Nov27 Nov06 Sep26 Aug24 (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 12.00    
10  KEEN DANCER Dec15 Dec02 Nov10 Oct28 Oct13 (persa)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 15.00    
 
AQU-7   12/31/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:12
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GIGGING Dec13 Oct14 Oct01 Sep24 Aug19 (cash l)ACOSTA D 123 15.00    
1A  OUTLIER Dec11 Dec03 Nov17 Nov12 Oct20 (cash l)BATISTA A 123 15.00    
2  I AM THE LAW Dec02 Oct02 Sep05 Aug12 Jul21 (terranova )GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 4.50    
3  MANOR HOUSE Jun25 Mar11 Mar05     (tessore bruno)ADORNO ABNER 121 10.00    
4  BOURBON CALLING Nov18 Nov07 Oct07 Sep28 Aug19 (arriaga antonio)FRANCO MANUEL 121 12.00 16% 5.20    
5  WINIT Nov27 Oct29 Sep29 Aug18 Jul08 (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 122 3.00 19% 4.20    
6  KING OF DREAMS Oct07 Sep10 Aug08 Jul23 Jun23 (avila carlos)OLIVERO A 121 5.00 9% 9.80    
7  CURLIN'S WISDOM Dec18 Dec02 Oct30 Oct16 Oct06 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 2.50 18% 4.60    
8  SOUND OFF Dec06 Nov23 Nov17 Nov07 Oct04 (hillegass )DAVIS A 121 20.00    
9  NO BURN Dec11 Nov12 Oct02 Sep03 Jul21 (barrera s)DAVIS DYLAN 123 8.00 12% 7.30    
 
AQU-8   12/31/2022 5940ft DIRT RC2 nongraded Stake Purse ($150K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NAVAL AVIATOR Nov27 Oct25 Sep24 Jul22 Jun19 (jones michael )LAPRIDA JEREMY 119 30.00    
2  RIDIN WITH BIDEN Nov23 Oct18 Sep24 Aug20 Jul30 (reid e)PENNINGTON F 126 5.00 19% 4.20    
3  SOUTHERN DISTRICT Dec17 Nov13 Oct08 Aug10 Jun10 (cash l)BATISTA A 122 20.00    
4  BOURBONIC Dec03         (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 122 8.00    
5  LAW PROFESSOR Nov05 Oct01 Sep01 Apr02 Mar05 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 124 2.50 24% 3.20    
6  DOUBLE CROWN Dec17 Dec03 Oct29 Oct22 Sep24 (cash l)ACOSTA D 126 6.00 10% 8.80    
7  THOMAS SHELBY Nov26 Oct18 Sep10 Jul09 May01 (jacobson david)LEZCANO JOSE 122 8.00    
8  SEA FOAM Dec17 Oct30 Sep24 Aug12   (giangiulio )VARGAS A 122 15.00 10% 9.50    
9  FOREWARNED Nov26 Oct29 Sep24 Aug13 Jul09 (st u)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 12.00    
10  UNBRIDLED BOMBER Nov12 Sep29 Aug18 Jul02 Jun03 (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 121 5.00    
11  SHOOGER RAY TOO Nov07 Oct03 Aug19 Jul28 Jun28 (servis tyler)ADORNO ABNER 124 15.00 6% 14.70    
 
AQU-9   12/31/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 Claiming ($25K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:08
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUNABOUT Dec08 Nov17 Oct21 Oct01 Sep14 (rodriguez r)DAVIS DYLAN 121 15.00    
1A  PERCEIVED Dec18 Dec02 Oct29 Sep03 Aug18 (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 15.00 6% 16.40    
2  BRONX BOMBER Dec02 Nov17 Oct21 Sep17 Sep01 (delaur)HUAYAS (JASON) 114 15.00    
2B  UNO Nov02 Oct03 Sep05 Aug24 Aug08 (delau)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 15.00    
3  DUST DEVIL Oct15 Sep16 Aug25 Jul23 May28 (englehart jerem)OLVER MADISON 113 6.00 15% 5.70    
4  ICY STORM Oct31 Oct11 Sep24 Aug03 Jul03 (linder j)LAPRIDA JEREMY 120 20.00    
5  DARK STORM Oct21 Sep17 Aug05 Jul14 Jun30 (kantarmaci mertka)CANCEL ERIC 121 20.00    
6  MUSICAL HEART         (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 121 3.00 30% 2.40    
7  HAMMERIN AAMER Dec08 Oct21 Sep16 Jul22 Jun16 (rodrigue)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 20.00    
8  OPTIC WAY Nov17 Oct21 Sep30 Sep17 Jul24 (camejo m)FRANCO MANUEL 123 5.00 13% 7.00    
9  IT'S MANDATORY Dec18 Nov12 Oct24 Sep18 Jul19 (jones e)HERNANDEZ OMAR 116 10.00    
10  PIT BOSS Dec16 Nov15 Nov02 Oct27 Oct15 (cash l)ACOSTA D 123 10.00    
11  ROUGH SEA Dec11 Nov12 Sep24 Sep04 Jul23 (tessore bruno)LEZCANO JOSE 123 3.50 8% 11.90    
12  CARIBBEAN (AUS) Dec04 Oct21 Sep30 Sep09 Aug19 (barrera s)DAVIS KATIE 123 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.