The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Penn National
Wednesday - December 07, 2022

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PEN-1   12/07/2022 3960ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
:222 :46 :591     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS JUNEBUG 3 4 4 46   44 1(albright r)TUNON JORDANO 122 3.50 4.60  
LOVELY MELAYRA 4 3 34 3   32(johnston rob)INIRIO J 121 4.00 14% 6.20 10.00 P
SILVER LOCKS 2 1 1½ 1½   12 3(johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 120 2.50 20% 4.00 3.30 S
EXTRA CRUNCHY 1 2 2½ 2½   22 4(mcmahon demelza)BARBOSA JEIRON 116 2.00 32% 2.10 0.60  
MACRELLETTA 5 5 57 5   58 512½ (rojas e)CORUJO LEONARDO 119 8.00 13.10  
TUDOX I DON'T BRAG 6 6 69 619½   622 634½ (rathman elisha)RODRIGUEZ R 121 10.00 19.60  
 
PEN-2   12/07/2022 3630ft DIRT SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 2 ALL PT- 6:27
:222 :464 :593     1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SEEING RED 6 1 1nk     12 14 (pecoraro anthony)ROSE J 122 5.00 14% 6.00 3.20 W
DR GREENTHUMB 7 3 34     22 24 (rathman elisha)WHITNEY G 122 6.00 7.40  
SHADOW CHASER 3 5 4     43(flores-coba l)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 6.00 5.10  
RIVERBOAT BANDIT 1 7 710¾     79 4(houghton thomas)CORA D 122 6.00 7.10  
ON THE EDGE 4 2 5     55(kravets m)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 4.50 17% 4.70 26.10  
MO EH HENNESSY 5 4 2nk     33 611 (farrior anthony)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.50 3.60  
ROUND ROBIN 2 6 6     6712½ (hendriks j)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.00 41% 1.40 2.10  
 
PEN-3   12/07/2022 5280ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:54
:24 :474 1:132 1:27   1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CUENCA 4 4 2 2½   2nk 1(o'callahan carl)SALGADO ANTHONY 121 8.00 1.90  
GREAT BARONESS 2 2 1 1½   1nk 2(mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 120 6.00 2.70  
SPECTACULLARI 5 1 5 4   43(beattie m)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 3.50 31% 2.20 2.70 S
TOOTSYSROCKNROLLER 1 5 3 5   54(zalalas michael)CHIAPPE R 120 6.00 6.50  
TROPICALDEPRESSION 3 3 4 35   35(johnston rob)CORA D 123 4.50 29% 2.40 4.00  
SCR  ALONG THE WAY               (johnston rob)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CREME CARAMEL               (dominguez a)BOWMAN ADAM 119 6.00    
SCR  MISS COREY               (badillo jonathaniel)FLORES JR 117 12.00    
SCR  MYSTERY ITEM               (kulp l)RODRIGUEZ R 120 5.00    
 
PEN-4   12/07/2022 3960ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:22
:222 :454 :583     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ECLIPTICALS BEAR 4 3 1nk 12   114 (stites w)HERNANDEZ A 124 3.00 5.40  
MAXIM MOMENT 2 5 31 32   324 (jacobson david)RODRIGUEZ R 122 1.60 60% 0.70 0.60 P
GRATITUDE ATTITUDE 5 2 2nk 22   235 (carpio erin)TUNON JORDANO 121 4.50 6.90 S
NOTORIOUS REY 3 1 4 5   58 413 (o'hearn heather)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 12.00 34.60  
BUMBLE MONSTER 1 4 54 4   47 515 (grusmark karl)DAVIS A 121 3.50 16% 5.40 2.40  
SCR  DANCIN IN DUBAI               (brown kelton)BARBOSA JEIRON 115 6.00    
 
PEN-5   12/07/2022 3960ft DIRT SLOPPY Allowance   Purse ($31.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:49
:221 :453 :582     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CONDITION ONE 4 3 2½ 2½   1nk 1(stites w)CONNER TYLER 119 4.50 3.50  
FED CHAIR 5 1 1½ 1½   2nk 2(kreiser c)RODRIGUEZ R 119 2.50 21% 3.90 1.70 P
MAJOR THOMAS 1 5 4 42   33(houghton thomas)CORA D 121 3.00 13.30 S
GANDI 2 2 3 32   446 (albright r)INIRIO J 119 1.80 52% 0.90 0.90  
SPOOKY ONE 3 4 5 5   5515½ (albright r)TUNON JORDANO 120 15.00 31.30  
SCR  ORASHI               (fenimore elbert)RODRIGUEZ E 119 8.00    
 
PEN-6   12/07/2022 5610ft DIRT SLOPPY Allowance   Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:16
:23 :47 1:121 1:391   1:462   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BARISTA VIXEN 6 3 5 4 2½ 112 (johnston rob)CORA D 120 8.00 10% 9.10 7.50 W
MS STRONG HEART 3 2 12 1 1½ 222 (stites w)HERNANDEZ A 122 6.00 6.40  
MY DIXIE LASS 1 4 4 5 41 33(lawrence lee)CONNER TYLER 119 3.50 22% 3.50 2.10 S
TWEET AWAY ROBIN 5 6 3 33 31 4414¼ (mcmahon demelza)BARBOSA JEIRON 115 3.00 17% 4.80 3.00  
MIKEY'S JEWEL 4 5 610½ 6 69 617 525½ (salinas jose)CHIAPPE R 120 12.00 9.60  
COLLIN'S GREY LADY 2 1 22 2 54 514½ 625¾ (velazquez daniel)OCASIO M 119 5.00 2.40  
SCR  PERFECT HIDEAWAY               (beattie m)WHITNEY G 122 2.50 30% 2.30    
 
PEN-7   12/07/2022 3630ft DIRT SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 2 F PT- 8:43
:224 :483 1:02     1:09   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROSE OF SHANAKILL 2 1 1nk 1nk   12 1(albright r)INIRIO J 122 4.00 2.70  
OBER DARE 1 4 4 4   22 2(feliciano m)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.50 4.10 P
NANASQUAN 4 5 5 54   35 3(spina charles)TORRES JOMAR 122 3.00 49% 1.00 0.90 S
ECENIA 5 3 2nk 2nk   4413¾ (salvaggio v)CONNER TYLER 122 8.00 6.50  
WEST VIRGINIA GAL 3 2 3.2 3½   5516¼ (gallimore trevor)PEREZ M 122 10.00 8.00  
SCR  CIRCUITT               (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 2.50 21% 3.90    
SCR  OUR STACY LAUREN               (ippolito mark)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  WON EYE WOMAN               (beattie cody)WHITNEY G 122 10.00    
 
PEN-8   12/07/2022 5490ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:10
:234 :48 1:134 1:404   1:452   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUIKO 1 1 2 2 2½ 1112¾ (ritchey f)ROSE J 124 2.50 36% 1.80 1.30 W
FLOWER'S FORTUNE 5 3 1 1 1½ 2212¾ (kravets m)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 4.50 8% 11.20 5.10 P
JUSTIN TIME 4 6 33 46 3 312 317½ (moreno tito)LLOYD W 124 8.00 13% 6.70 8.90 S
VOLADOR 7 4 5 5 59 413½ 419½ (mcmahon demelza)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 2.00 13% 6.60 1.30  
PRIDE IN THE BIZ 6 5 6 610 610 615 521¼ (wolfe jr)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 12.00 34.80  
MIA ANGELINA 3 2 4 36 4 514 622½ (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 124 10.00 16.00  
RIDGELYSREDHOT 2 7 711½ 725 729 739 747½ (salinas jose)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 20.00 63.00  
SCR  NOT IN THE MOOD               (pattershall a)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 124 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.