Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Wednesday - December 07, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   12/07/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EXTRA CRUNCHY Nov19 Oct29 Oct12 Sep18 Aug19 (mcmahon deme)BARBOSA JEIRON 116 2.00 32% 2.10    
2  SILVER LOCKS Nov23 Mar02       (johnston rob)AGUILAR M 120 2.50 20% 4.00    
3  MISS JUNEBUG Nov23 Oct28 Oct11 Mar29 Mar11 (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 122 3.50 ★    
4  LOVELY MELAYRA Oct11 Aug23 Jul27 Jul09 Jun15 (johnston ro)INIRIO J 121 4.00 14% 6.20    
5  MACRELLETTA Oct25 Oct19 Sep22 Sep15 Sep07 (rojas eduar)CORUJO LEONARDO 119 8.00 ★    
6  TUDOX I DON'T BRAG Nov23 Oct26 Oct04 Sep26 Sep07 (rathman e)RODRIGUEZ R 121 10.00    
 
PEN-2   12/07/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 2 ALL PT- 6:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIVERBOAT BANDIT Nov23         (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 6.00 ★    
2  ROUND ROBIN Nov18 Oct28       (hendriks )RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.00 41% 1.40    
3  SHADOW CHASER Sep18 Aug15 Aug01 Jul08   (flores-coba f)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 6.00    
4  ON THE EDGE Nov18         (kravets m)AGUILAR M 122 4.50 17% 4.70    
5  MO EH HENNESSY Nov04 Oct07 Sep17 Sep04   (farrior a)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.50 ★    
6  SEEING RED Nov11         (pecoraro anthony)ROSE J 122 5.00 14% 6.00    
7  DR GREENTHUMB Nov06 Oct18 Sep05     (rathman elisha)WHITNEY G 122 6.00    
 
PEN-3   12/07/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOOTSYSROCKNROLLER Nov16 Jun16 Apr27 Mar25 Feb02 (zalalas michael)CHIAPPE R 120 6.00    
SCR  MYSTERY ITEM Nov16 Oct19 Sep21 Aug18 Jun15 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 5.00 ★    
SCR  CREME CARAMEL Nov02 Oct19 Sep05 Jul22 Jul08 (dominguez mario)BOWMAN ADAM 119 6.00    
SCR  ALONG THE WAY Nov29 Nov05 Oct07 Sep02 Aug26 (johnston rob)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  GREAT BARONESS Nov23 Oct21 Sep16 Jul16 Jun23 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120 6.00    
6  TROPICALDEPRESSION Nov09 Oct25 Oct11 Sep14 Aug26 (johnston rob)CORA D 123 4.50 29% 2.40    
7  CUENCA Nov22 Oct11 Sep25 Sep09 Aug22 (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 121 8.00    
SCR  MISS COREY Dec03 Nov23 Nov09 Oct29 Oct19 (badillo )FLORES JR 117 12.00 ★    
9  SPECTACULLARI Oct25 Sep14 Aug18 Jul28 Apr20 (beattie m)AGUILAR M 122 3.50 31% 2.20    
 
PEN-4   12/07/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BUMBLE MONSTER Nov22 Nov08 Oct17 Oct04 Sep13 (grusmark)DAVIS A 121 3.50 16% 5.40    
2  MAXIM MOMENT Nov10 Oct16 Oct08 Aug19 Jul04 (jacobson )RODRIGUEZ R 122 1.60 60% 0.70    
3  NOTORIOUS REY Nov18 Oct14 Sep21 Aug04 Jul27 (o'hearn hea)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 12.00    
SCR  DANCIN IN DUBAI Nov17 Jul20 Jun12 May27   (brown kelton)BARBOSA JEIRON 115 6.00 ★    
5  ECLIPTICALS BEAR Nov09 Oct25 Oct07 Sep16 Aug31 (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 124 3.00 ★    
6  GRATITUDE ATTITUDE Nov18 Oct09 Sep15 Aug31   (carpio erin)TUNON JORDANO 121 4.50 ★    
 
PEN-5   12/07/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAJOR THOMAS Oct21 Feb01       (houghton thomas)CORA D 121 3.00 ★    
SCR  ORASHI Nov02 Aug24 Jun30 Jun17 Jun01 (fenimore elbert)RODRIGUEZ E 119 8.00 ★    
3  GANDI Nov15 Oct25 Oct04 Sep20 Aug26 (albright r)AGUILAR M 119 1.80 52% 0.90    
4  SPOOKY ONE Nov15 Oct25 Oct07 Jun29 Jun03 (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 120 15.00 ★    
5  CONDITION ONE Aug22 Aug05       (stites w)CONNER TYLER 119 4.50    
6  FED CHAIR Oct04 Aug18 Jul01 Jun03 May07 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 119 2.50 21% 3.90    
 
PEN-6   12/07/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY DIXIE LASS Nov09 Oct22 Sep09 Aug22 Aug03 (lawrence james)CONNER TYLER 119 3.50 22% 3.50    
2  COLLIN'S GREY LADY Oct26 Oct04 Sep03 Aug19 Aug03 (velazquez dan)OCASIO M 119 5.00 ★    
3  MS STRONG HEART Nov01 Oct18 Sep14 Sep01 Aug12 (stites w)AGUILAR M 122 6.00    
SCR  PERFECT HIDEAWAY Nov01 Oct13 Aug29 Jul08 May26 (beattie m)WHITNEY G 122 2.50 30% 2.30    
5  MIKEY'S JEWEL Nov15 Oct25 Oct14 Oct05 Sep16 (salinas jose)CHIAPPE R 120 12.00    
6  TWEET AWAY ROBIN Nov09 Oct06 Sep17 Aug08 Jul23 (mcmahon deme)BARBOSA JEIRON 115 3.00 17% 4.80    
7  BARISTA VIXEN Oct14 Sep15 Aug24 Aug04 May24 (johnston rob)CORA D 120 8.00 10% 9.10    
 
PEN-7   12/07/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 2 F PT- 8:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OBER DARE Nov12 Oct01 Sep18 Sep03 Aug27 (feliciano)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.50 ★    
2  ROSE OF SHANAKILL Nov15 Oct05 Sep21 Aug22 Aug11 (albright ge)INIRIO J 122 4.00 ★    
3  WEST VIRGINIA GAL Nov09 Oct22 Sep23 Sep11 Aug27 (gallimore tre)PEREZ M 122 10.00    
4  NANASQUAN Oct21 Sep11 Jul31     (spina charles)TORRES JOMAR 122 3.00 49% 1.00    
SCR  CIRCUITT Nov12 Oct28 Sep01 Jul23   (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 2.50 21% 3.90    
SCR  WON EYE WOMAN Nov08         (beattie cody)WHITNEY G 122 10.00    
7  ECENIA Oct21 Sep21       (salvaggio mark)CONNER TYLER 122 8.00    
SCR  OUR STACY LAUREN         (ippolito mark)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-8   12/07/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUIKO Nov23 Nov03 Aug03 Jun02   (ritchey f)ROSE J 124 2.50 36% 1.80    
2  RIDGELYSREDHOT Oct28 Oct05 Sep16 Aug11 Jul06 (salinas jose)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 20.00    
3  MIA ANGELINA Oct14 May19 Apr21 Apr06 Mar04 (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 124 10.00    
SCR  NOT IN THE MOOD Oct31 Jun06 May13 Mar21 Jan12 (pattersh)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 124 6.00 ★    
5  JUSTIN TIME Aug24 Aug03 May06 Mar29 Feb22 (moreno tito)LLOYD W 124 8.00 13% 6.70    
6  FLOWER'S FORTUNE Nov18 Mar22 Mar04 Feb16 Jan22 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 124 4.50 8% 11.20    
7  PRIDE IN THE BIZ Oct25 Sep14 Aug26 Jul20 Jul08 (wolfe jr)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 12.00    
8  VOLADOR Nov06 Sep18 Aug03 Jul01 Jun05 (mcmahon deme)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 2.00 13% 6.60    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.