Handicappers' Race Results

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Penn National
Wednesday - November 23, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   11/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:222 :463 :593     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHUTUP AND HANG ON 6 3 3 21   2½ 1 (houghton thomas)CORA D 123 2.50 39% 1.60 3.50 W
SUNSHINE LINDA 2 2 1½ 11   1½ 2 (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 123 2.00 31% 2.20 2.50 P
COSMOLOGICAL 3 1 2½ 3   3 3 (albright george)TUNON JORDANO 123 12.00 26.70 S
AMAZINGMAE 5 4 45 44   46 47 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 123 3.00 8% 11.30 2.80  
GOLDEN PHASE 1 5 56 6   610 511½ (stites w)AGUILAR M 123 6.00 4.00  
JO AMY 4 6 68 56   58 611½ (stites flint )CORUJO LEONARDO 124 5.00 3.70  
 
PEN-2   11/23/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
See original race card.
:234 :481 1:14 1:414   1:483   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STRAIGHT UP GUY 2 3 3 31 3½ 21 1¼ (brown a)BARBOSA JEIRON 115 2.50 1.60  
PRINCIPALITY 4 5 5 5 5 3 2¼ (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 119 6.00 18.70  
VIOLENT PASS 1 4 2 2½ 1nk 11 31 (lucas bonni)RODRIGUEZ R 120 1.80 28% 2.60 1.60 S
ROYAL'S INVASION 5 1 4 4 42 5 414 (cifarelli f)VARGAS L 120 20.00 5% 18.00 34.80  
PEAKY BLINKERS 3 2 1 1½ 2nk 4 519¼ (kravets m)AGUILAR M 119 4.50 6.40  
STONE SCULPTOR 6 6 611¾ 631½ 6100 6100 6100 (bobadilla f)CORA D 120 3.50 39% 1.50 3.30  
 
PEN-3   11/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:54
See original race card.
:221 :461 :59     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GREAT BARONESS 7 6 5 3   2nk 1hd (castro jeremias)TREJOS JOSEPH 122 3.00 1.00  
MAMBA QUEEN 4 1 2nk 4   1nk 2hd (mcmahon demelz)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 4.00 31% 2.20 2.90 P
MISS JUNEBUG 1 7 7 7   5 3.15 (albright george)TUNON JORDANO 124 10.00 33.80  
SHOYYOOKH 5 2 1nk 2½   4 4 (carpio erin)INIRIO J 122 20.00 19.40  
SILVER LOCKS 2 4 3 1½   3.2 5 (johnston rob)AGUILAR M 122 3.50 30% 2.40 4.70  
TUDOX I DON'T BRAG 6 5 6 53   6 6 (rathman elisha)WHITNEY G 121 10.00 13.20  
LOIS'S CAUSE 3 3 4 6   7 713 (crook-demas)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.50 17% 4.90 5.90  
SCR  SUZY Q THE QUEEN               (lake scott )RODRIGUEZ R 122 5.00    
 
PEN-4   11/23/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 2 ALL PT- 7:22
See original race card.
:223 :462       :584   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY BLUE EYES 7 1 1 1   1 1 (salvaggio m)HERNANDEZ A 121 1.50 52% 0.90 0.80 W
UPFOR PAROLE 5 3 3 2   2 2 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 121 6.00 3.40  
Z'S SO GOOD 1 4 2 45   4 310¾ (lucas bonni)RODRIGUEZ R 121 3.00 18% 4.70 4.90 S
SPELLED WELL 4 2 42 34   36 412½ (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 121 6.00 27.70  
RIVERBOAT BANDIT 2 5 714¼ 716   615 516¼ (houghton thomas)CORA D 121 6.00 9.10  
TONE OF GENIUS 3 7 512 513   514½ 617 (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 121 8.00 12.60  
DANNY WHIZZ BANG 6 6 612¼ 615   716 721¾ (aguirre paul)CORUJO LEONARDO 121 12.00 16.70  
 
PEN-5   11/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:49
See original race card.
:23 :464 :591     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCREEN STAR 6 2 3½ 2nk   2nk 11 (houghton thomas)CORA D 124 6.00 7.50  
COMMISSIONER BIGGS 3 6 42 41   3½ 21 (moreno tito)CORUJO LEONARDO 124 3.50 27% 2.70 5.80 P
SACRED MOUNTAIN 5 1 2½ 1nk   1nk 3 (rathman elisha)WHITNEY G 124 3.00 12% 7.00 3.70 S
MY DEVILS CHILD 1 4 1½ 3½   41 45 (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 124 1.50 33% 2.00 0.40  
MYSTIC TIMES 4 5 54 5   54 510½ (martin r)LLOYD W 124 20.00 41.20  
DIAMOND SETTER 2 3 67 6   69 615 (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 124 30.00 5% 18.20 51.30  
SCR  BEACHSIDE               (wadams j)RODRIGUEZ E 124 8.00    
SCR  STRUM M B               (martinez jose)CORUJO LEONARDO 124 15.00    
 
PEN-6   11/23/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:16
See original race card.
:242 :481 1:124 1:39   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARTISTIC REASON 5 5 21 21 1 1 1 (lynch cathal)CRUZ ANGEL 120 2.00 18% 4.50 1.50 W
KAZ SUGAR BANK 1 3 6 6 54 46 2 (synnefias dimitr)CONNER TYLER 119 3.50 2.10 P
NAZARENO 4 4 32 5 66 5 37 (carpio erin)TUNON JORDANO 119 15.00 44.30  
AWESOME LAUNCH 3 6 5 32 33 3 410¼ (huston k)CORA D 120 3.00 41% 1.40 2.90  
SOUPER ROYAL MOON 2 2 42 43 43 2 510¼ (trombetta m)RODRIGUEZ R 119 10.00 15.10  
NO FOOLING DUDE 6 1 11 11 2 613½ 625¾ (mcmahon demelz)BARBOSA JEIRON 115 2.50 16% 5.10 5.30  
 
PEN-7   11/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:43
See original race card.
:221 :454 :581     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CANT STOP THIS MAN 6 5 3½ 11   1½ 1½ (ramirez silvino)RIVERA D 120 10.00 5.80  
ROCKET BLAST 3 2 42 32   2½ 2½ (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 124 5.00 6.60  
COLONEL MOORHEAD 4 4 2½ 21   31 32 (rathman eli)RODRIGUEZ R 120 8.00 7.90 S
FIRE DOWN BELOW 5 6 67 6   56 4 (albright amy)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 10.00 11.40  
NICK THE CARDSHARK 2 1 53 5   45 54 (simone michael )TREJOS JOSEPH 122 4.50 37% 1.70 3.80  
PERUVIAN BOY 1 3 1½ 4   6 67 (johnston rob)BARBOSA JEIRON 113 3.50 15% 5.70 0.80  
SCR  LOST IN NEWYORK               (rathman elisha)WHITNEY G 119 2.50 15% 5.60    
SCR  MIAMI MUMBLES               (johnston rob)CORA D 120 8.00 10% 8.70    
 
PEN-8   11/23/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($31.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:10
See original race card.
:241 :48 1:123 1:253   1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EAGLES CRY 6 3 3½ 1 1 15 1 (stites w)CONNER TYLER 120 8.00 8.20  
TRIBAL NOTION 2 1 4 32 2 25 2 (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 6.00 8.10 P
RADIEUX 5 5 53 4 34 35 33 (catalano l)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 3.50 18% 4.70 2.10 S
TRUE SUCCESS 7 6 67 6 55 4 4 (ferreira fernando)WHITNEY G 123 10.00 18.20  
NIMITZ 1 7 7 5 6 511 512¾ (schoenthal phil)CHIAPPE R 119 8.00 4.10  
LORD WINSALOT 3 2 2nk 2 45 611½ 619¼ (fields kevi)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.00 43% 1.30 2.60  
PALACE SUPERNOVA 4 4 1nk 7100 7100 7100 7100 (shuman mark)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.00 9% 10.70 5.40  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.