Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Wednesday - November 23, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   11/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLDEN PHASE         (stites w)AGUILAR M 123 6.00 ★    
2  SUNSHINE LINDA Nov01         (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 123 2.00 31% 2.20    
3  COSMOLOGICAL Feb01         (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 123 12.00 ★    
4  JO AMY         (stites flin)CORUJO LEONARDO 124 5.00    
5  AMAZINGMAE Oct11         (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 123 3.00 8% 11.30    
6  SHUTUP AND HANG ON Oct28         (houghton thomas)CORA D 123 2.50 39% 1.60    
 
PEN-2   11/23/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VIOLENT PASS Nov09 Oct22 Oct06 Sep02 Aug04 (lucas bon)RODRIGUEZ R 120 1.80 28% 2.60    
2  STRAIGHT UP GUY Nov10 Oct28 Sep17 Sep07 Aug24 (brown keith )BARBOSA JEIRON 115 2.50 ★    
3  PEAKY BLINKERS Nov09 Sep01 Aug17 Aug03 Jul08 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 119 4.50 ★    
4  PRINCIPALITY Oct21 Sep29 Sep08 Aug25 Aug18 (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 119 6.00    
5  ROYAL'S INVASION Nov09 Oct21 Oct12 Jul28 Jul15 (cifarelli f)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 20.00 5% 18.00    
6  STONE SCULPTOR Oct21 Oct12 Sep23 Sep15 Sep01 (bobadilla f)CORA D 120 3.50 39% 1.50    
 
PEN-3   11/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SUZY Q THE QUEEN Nov09 Oct21 Oct05 Sep16 Sep03 (lake scot)RODRIGUEZ R 122 5.00 ★    
2  MISS JUNEBUG Oct28 Oct11 Mar29 Mar11 Feb25 (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 124 10.00    
3  SILVER LOCKS Mar02         (johnston rob)AGUILAR M 122 3.50 30% 2.40    
4  LOIS'S CAUSE Oct26 Jun11 Apr21 Feb22 Jan28 (crook-dem)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.50 17% 4.90    
5  MAMBA QUEEN Nov09 Oct16 Sep11 Aug15 Jul28 (mcmahon deme)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 4.00 31% 2.20    
6  SHOYYOOKH Nov09 Oct25 Oct12 Aug31 Aug18 (carpio erin)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 20.00 ★    
7  TUDOX I DON'T BRAG Oct26 Oct04 Sep26 Sep07 Aug23 (rathman elisha)WHITNEY G 121 10.00    
8  GREAT BARONESS Oct21 Sep16 Jul16 Jun23 Jun02 (castro jeremi)TREJOS JOSEPH 122 3.00    
 
PEN-4   11/23/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 2 ALL PT- 7:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  Z'S SO GOOD Nov04 Oct20 Sep10     (lucas bon)RODRIGUEZ R 121 3.00 18% 4.70    
2  RIVERBOAT BANDIT         (houghton thomas)CORA D 121 6.00 ★    
3  TONE OF GENIUS         (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 121 8.00 ★    
4  SPELLED WELL Oct07 Sep22       (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 121 6.00    
5  UPFOR PAROLE Nov09         (kravets m)AGUILAR M 121 6.00    
6  DANNY WHIZZ BANG         (aguirre paul)HERNANDEZ ANDY 121 12.00 ★    
7  MY BLUE EYES Nov09 Oct07       (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 121 1.50 52% 0.90    
 
PEN-5   11/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY DEVILS CHILD Oct28 Oct12 Sep15 Aug24 Aug04 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 124 1.50 33% 2.00    
2  DIAMOND SETTER Oct28 Oct12 Sep15 Aug25 Aug11 (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 124 30.00 5% 18.20    
3  COMMISSIONER BIGGS Nov04 Oct11 Sep15 Aug24 Jul06 (moreno tito)CHIAPPE R 124 3.50 27% 2.70    
4  MYSTIC TIMES Aug04 Jul14 Jun25 Apr21 Feb19 (martin r)LLOYD W 124 20.00    
5  SACRED MOUNTAIN Aug31 Jul27 Jun30 Jun15 May20 (rathman elisha)WHITNEY G 124 3.00 12% 7.00    
6  SCREEN STAR Nov08 Jun29 Jun17 May25 May06 (houghton thomas)CORA D 124 6.00 ★    
SCR  BEACHSIDE Nov08 Oct24 Oct11 Oct05 Sep21 (wadams dewight )RODRIGUEZ E 124 8.00    
SCR  STRUM M B Oct28         (martinez jo)CORUJO LEONARDO 124 15.00    
 
PEN-6   11/23/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KAZ SUGAR BANK Nov11 Oct11 Sep15 Aug25 Aug03 (synnefias dimi)CONNER TYLER 119 3.50 ★    
2  SOUPER ROYAL MOON Nov05 Feb10 Jan19     (trombetta)RODRIGUEZ R 119 10.00 ★    
3  AWESOME LAUNCH Nov01 Oct14 Sep27 Sep13 Sep01 (huston k)CORA D 120 3.00 41% 1.40    
4  NAZARENO Oct26 Oct04 Apr29 Apr06 Mar15 (carpio erin)TUNON JORDANO 119 15.00    
5  ARTISTIC REASON Oct27 Oct05 Sep13 Aug25 Jul21 (lynch cathal)CRUZ ANGEL 120 2.00 18% 4.50    
6  NO FOOLING DUDE Nov14 Oct22 Sep16 Aug10 Jul19 (mcmahon deme)BARBOSA JEIRON 115 2.50 16% 5.10    
 
PEN-7   11/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PERUVIAN BOY Oct04 Sep08 Aug18 Jul25 Jun30 (johnston ro)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 113 3.50 15% 5.70    
2  NICK THE CARDSHARK Oct26 Oct14 Oct05 Sep05 Aug26 (simone michael)CEDENO CAROL 122 4.50 37% 1.70    
3  ROCKET BLAST Oct25 Sep23 Aug10 Jul15 Jul06 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 124 5.00    
4  COLONEL MOORHEAD Nov02 Oct14 Sep16 Aug26 Aug05 (rathman e)RODRIGUEZ R 120 8.00 ★    
SCR  MIAMI MUMBLES Jun24 Jun15 May19 Mar30 Mar09 (johnston rob)CORA D 120 8.00 10% 8.70    
6  FIRE DOWN BELOW Oct25 Aug27 Jul16 May26 May12 (albright amy)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 10.00    
SCR  LOST IN NEWYORK Jul06 Jun17 May13 Mar02 Feb16 (rathman elisha)WHITNEY G 119 2.50 15% 5.60    
8  CANT STOP THIS MAN Nov01 Oct25 Sep14 Sep02 Aug19 (ramirez silvi)RIVERA D 120 10.00    
 
PEN-8   11/23/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($31.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NIMITZ Nov01 Apr27 Mar29 Mar15 Feb08 (schoenthal phil)CHIAPPE R 119 8.00    
2  TRIBAL NOTION Nov04 Oct18 Sep09 Aug24 Jul29 (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 6.00 ★    
3  LORD WINSALOT Nov01 Oct12 Sep07 Aug03 Jul04 (fields ke)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.00 43% 1.30    
4  PALACE SUPERNOVA Nov01 Oct11 Sep07 Jul29 Jul18 (shuman ma)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.00 9% 10.70    
5  RADIEUX Nov01 Sep15 Aug25 Jul29 Jun27 (catalano l)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 3.50 18% 4.70    
6  EAGLES CRY Nov01 Oct18 Sep07 Aug22 Jul21 (stites w)CONNER TYLER 120 8.00    
7  TRUE SUCCESS Oct28 Oct11 Sep14 Aug25 Jul13 (ferreira fernan)WHITNEY G 123 10.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.