Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Aqueduct
Thursday - January 05, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-6   TRI (1/2)-(1/2/7/8/4)-(1/2/7/8/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00  1-2-8 $19.75 $7.75 65%
    SFT (1/2)-(1/2/7/8/4)-(1/2/7/8/4)-(1/2/7/8/4) 48 $0.10 $4.80  1-2-8-4 $18.42 $13.62 284%
    DD (4/7/1/2/5)-(1/2) 10 $1.00 $10.00  4-1 $12.10 $2.10 21%
AQU-7   EXA (7/5/4)-(7/5/4/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00  7-4 $14.50 $2.50 21%
    TRI (7/5/4)-(7/5/4/1/3)-(7/5/4/1/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00  7-4-3 $65.25 $47.25 263%
    SFT (7/5/4)-(7/5/4/1/3)-(7/5/4/1/3)-(7/5/4/1/3) 72 $0.10 $7.20  7-4-3-1 $37.15 $29.95 416%
AQU-8   WIN (5/9) 2 $2.00 $4.00  5 $11.00 $7.00 175%
    EXA (5/9)-(5/9/2/8/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00  5-9 $16.30 $8.30 104%
    TRI (5/9)-(5/9/2/8/6)-(5/9/2/8/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00  5-9-8 $20.25 $8.25 69%
    DD (7/5/4)-(5/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00  7-5 $16.20 $10.20 170%
    PK3 (1/2)-(7/5/4)-(5/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00  1-7-5 $32.75 $20.75 173%
    PK4 (4/7/1/2/5)-(1/2)-(7/5/4)-(5/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00  4-1-5/7-5 $150.24 $120.24 401%
    PK5 (10/4/2/6/8)-(4/7/1/2/5)-(1/2)-(7/5/4)-(5/9) 300 $0.50 $150  6-4-1-5/7-5 $610.50 $460.50 307%
    PK6 (1/4/6/5)-(10/4/2/6/8)-(4/7/1/2/5)-(1/2)-(7/5/4)-(5/9) 1200 $1.00 $1200  4-6-4-1-5/7-5 $2009.00 $809.00 67%
Simulator Race results
 
AQU-1   01/05/2023 5940ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($35K) 4UP ALL PT-12:50
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  PHOEBE'S FROSTY   (bake)HUAYAS (JASON) 115 8.00 ★ 8.10  
1  REUNION TOUR   (ferraro james)OLVER MADISON 112 6.00 7% 14.20 4.40 P
2  MIDNIGHT EXPRESS   (rodriguez rudy)LEZCANO JOSE 122 2.50 ★ 4.40 S
7  YOUR MISSION   (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 122 1.60 62% 0.60 1.15  
6  UNCLE BRUCE   (brown)HERNANDEZ OMAR 115 12.00 31.00  
3  TIZA BROWN   (persaud randi)CASTILLO AMIN 122 12.00 31.25  
5  BOINTHEBACK   (dip)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 4.00 10% 9.30 4.20  
 
AQU-2   01/05/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($39K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:18
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  MELTING SNOW   (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 120 1.40 33% 2.10 0.45 W
5  VEGAS WEEKEND   (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 2.60  
4  PRAIRIE FIRE   (clarke dylan)ADORNO ABNER 123 8.00 ★ 14.50 S
3  VIRADIA   (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 123 5.00 15% 5.70 12.10  
1  NEW YORK BANKER   (noda orl)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 6.00 ★ 8.30  
SCR  GREATEST LOVE   (baker )MARAGH RAMSAY 120 6.00 25% 3.00    
 
AQU-3   01/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($39K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:47
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  GANDY DANCING   (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 123 1.60 21% 3.80 1.95 W
6  MOTION TO STRIKE   (reynolds)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 4.00 8% 11.70 2.30 P
2  FIRST DEPUTY   (shiv)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 6.00 ★ 5.50 S
1  DOUBLE SHOT   (barrera oscar)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 37% 1.70 2.95  
1A  BUSTIN THE RULES   (barrera oscar)OLVER MADISON 110 2.50 ★ 2.95  
3  ACALTEQUE   (chin peter)FUENTES ERICK 113 8.00 12.10  
7  MIAMI CHROME   (loa)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 123 12.00 22.20  
5  TRIGGER PULL   (follett norm)HARKIE K 123 15.00 8% 11.90 36.00  
 
AQU-4   01/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($32K) 3 ALL PT- 2:16
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  BASIC TRUTH   (reynolds)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 4.50 5% 19.00 2.55 W
10  SECOND AND REED   (ryerson t)CANCEL ERIC 120 3.50 49% 1.10 2.15 P
5  SARATOGA STRONG   (handal raymon)OLVER MADISON 110 6.00 7.90  
3  METAMORPHOSES   (levi)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 6.00 16.70  
1  PER KEY D P   (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 15.00 31.50  
4  CHARLIES MEDAL   (sells ra)DAVIS A 120 6.00 15% 5.50 5.50  
9  HOOCHIE COO   (sciacca gary)DAVIS KATIE 115 15.00 25.75  
7  EXCALIBRATE   (chicha)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 12.00 15.00  
8  DANNY'S A COWBOY   (nev)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 12.00 5% 19.00 17.80  
2  DROMOLAND   (levine bruce)LUZZI J 120 5.00 7% 13.40 10.00  
 
AQU-5   01/05/2023 6270ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($82K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:45
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  GASOLINE   (pletcher a)CANCEL ERIC 123 2.50 41% 1.40 4.10 W
7  TONAL IMPACT   (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 1.40 13% 6.90 0.90 P
1  ANEJO   (o'neill doug)LEZCANO JOSE 123 4.00 10% 8.60 3.15 S
2  BOLD VICTORY   (englehart jef)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00 9% 9.80 8.50  
5  ROYAL TRYST   (arenas marce)LAPRIDA JEREMY 120 12.00 5% 19.00 15.80  
6  VASARIANO   (cash nor)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 8.00 18.80  
3  MIDNIGHT WORKER   (chic)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 30.00 36.00  
 
AQU-6   01/05/2023 5940ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($72K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:16
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  OUSTER   (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 123 1.00 50% 1.00 0.70 W
2  MASON MANIA   (englehart jere)LEZCANO JOSE 123 4.00 23% 3.40 3.05 P
1  SIMPLY   (atras rob)VARGAS A 123 1.00 0.70  
8  DR. MARBOOZ   (davis g)DAVIS KATIE 123 12.00 ★ 21.00  
4  ROYAL SUSPECT   (huerta)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 12.00 ★ 11.20  
7  RIA'S ANGEL   (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 120 4.50 ★ 8.30  
5  CAGNEY (BRZ)   (sche)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 30.00 56.50  
3  DATESFREEDOM   (delau)HERNANDEZ OMAR 116 30.00 60.00  
6  SON OF AN EX   (persaud ran)MARTINEZ R 123 5.00 8.80  
 
AQU-7   01/05/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($88K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:45
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  PIECE OF MY HEART   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 2.00 55% 0.80 1.25 W
4  COREY   (walder r)CANCEL ERIC 118 6.00 9% 10.20 8.40 P
3  THISTLEFIELD   (lake a)ADORNO ABNER 123 15.00 ★ 13.60 S
1  SECRET LOVE (ARG)   (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.50 ★ 1.95  
6  SHORT SUMMER DRESS   (lee joseph)FRANCO MANUEL 118 10.00 13.60  
2  EASY TO BLESS   (ferraro )DAVIS A 118 6.00 4.70  
SCR  FOUETTE   (rice lind)VARGAS A 120 3.50 9% 9.60    
 
AQU-8   01/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($35K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:14
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  TRY IT AGAIN   (maker michael )LEZCANO JOSE 122 3.50 43% 1.30 4.50 W
9  CHIARA (URU)   (bond harold )HARKIE K 122 2.50 22% 3.50 1.65 P
8  BONANA FANNA FOE   (englehar)DAVIS A 122 4.00 ★ 4.70 S
3  FRANNIE LEW   (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 8.00 3.80  
1  TONIGHT WE LOVE   (martin ca)VARGAS A 122 10.00 16.90  
7  MENILY   (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 122 12.00 19.60  
2  TREAT STREET   (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 122 4.50 ★ 7.40  
6  WARSALM   (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 12.00 ★ 27.00  
SCR  SARAH'S PRIDE   (persaud rand)HYLTON EVERTON 122 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.