The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Aqueduct
Thursday - January 05, 2023
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AQU-1   01/05/2023 5940ft DIRT SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($35K) 4UP ALL PT-12:50
:244 :502 1:154 1:414   1:55   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  PHOEBE'S FROSTY 4 3 11 11 1½ 1½ 12¾ (baker charlton)HUAYAS (JASON) 115 8.00 ★ 8.10  
1  REUNION TOUR 1 2 21 31½ 32 2½ 22¾ (ferraro w)OLVER MADISON 112 6.00 7% 14.20 4.40 P
2  MIDNIGHT EXPRESS 2 7 75½ 74½ 42 31½ 36 (rodriguez r)LEZCANO JOSE 122 2.50 ★ 4.40 S
7  YOUR MISSION 7 6 42½ 21 2½ 42 46¼ (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 122 1.60 62% 0.60 1.15  
6  UNCLE BRUCE 6 5 63½ 64 76 68½ 515¼ (brown r)HERNANDEZ OMAR 115 12.00 31.00  
3  TIZA BROWN 3 4 52½ 53½ 53½ 58 617 (persaud randi)CASTILLO AMIN 122 12.00 31.25  
5  BOINTHEBACK 5 1 31½ 42 64 79 720½ (diprima gregory)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 4.00 10% 9.30 4.20  
 
AQU-2   01/05/2023 4620ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($39K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:18
:224 :454 1:111     1:244   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  MELTING SNOW 2 3 2nk 15   110 114¾ (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 120 1.40 33% 2.10 0.45 W
5  VEGAS WEEKEND 5 2 43 45½   210 214¾ (rodriguez r)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 2.60  
4  PRAIRIE FIRE 4 1 53½ 56   310½ 315¼ (clarke dylan)ADORNO ABNER 123 8.00 ★ 14.50 S
3  VIRADIA 3 4 31½ 35½   418½ 425¼ (englehart s)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 123 5.00 15% 5.70 12.10  
1  NEW YORK BANKER 1 5 1nk 25   520 527¾ (noda orlando)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 6.00 ★ 8.30  
SCR  GREATEST LOVE               (baker charlton)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 6.00 25% 3.00    
 
AQU-3   01/05/2023 3960ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($39K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:47
:231 :47 :591     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  GANDY DANCING 4 6 41½ 22   22 1hd (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 123 1.60 21% 3.80 1.95 W
6  MOTION TO STRIKE 7 4 11 12   12 2hd (reynolds j)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 4.00 8% 11.70 2.30 P
2  FIRST DEPUTY 2 8 64 44½   32½ 32¼ (shivmangal lolita)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 6.00 ★ 5.50 S
1  DOUBLE SHOT 1 5 53½ 33   42½ 44 (barrera s)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 37% 1.70 2.95  
1A  BUSTIN THE RULES 5 3 86 89½   76½ 55½ (barrera s)OLVER MADISON 110 2.50 ★ 2.95  
3  ACALTEQUE 3 1 31½ 66   55 67½ (chin peter)FUENTES ERICK 113 8.00 12.10  
7  MIAMI CHROME 8 2 21 55½   65½ 79¾ (loaiza ilmar)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 123 12.00 22.20  
5  TRIGGER PULL 6 7 74½ 78   88½ 812¾ (follett norman)HARKIE K 123 15.00 8% 11.90 36.00  
 
AQU-4   01/05/2023 5280ft DIRT SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($32K) 3 ALL PT- 2:16
:234 :482 1:144     1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  BASIC TRUTH 6 1 11 11 11½ 15 19¼ (reynolds j)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 4.50 5% 19.00 2.55 W
10  SECOND AND REED 10 2 52½ 32 21½ 25 29¼ (ryerson t)CANCEL ERIC 120 3.50 49% 1.10 2.15 P
5  SARATOGA STRONG 5 5 32 42½ 32 36 311¼ (handal raymond)OLVER MADISON 110 6.00 7.90  
3  METAMORPHOSES 3 10 63½ 53 45½ 412 416 (levine bruce)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 6.00 16.70  
1  PER KEY D P 1 9 75½ 87½ 69 616 519 (englehart s)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 15.00 31.50  
4  CHARLIES MEDAL 4 4 97 98 811½ 716½ 619¼ (sells rachel)DAVIS A 120 6.00 15% 5.50 5.50  
9  HOOCHIE COO 9 6 86 65½ 79½ 516 720 (sciacca gary)DAVIS KATIE 115 15.00 25.75  
7  EXCALIBRATE 7 3 21 21 57 819 829¼ (chichakly amira)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 12.00 15.00  
8  DANNY'S A COWBOY 8 7 1017 1023 923½ 925½ 930 (nevin michelle)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 12.00 5% 19.00 17.80  
2  DROMOLAND 2 8 42 76 1024 1033½ 1080 (levine bruce)LUZZI J 120 5.00 7% 13.40 10.00  
 
AQU-5   01/05/2023 6270ft DIRT SLOPPY Allowance   Purse ($82K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:45
:241 :492 1:14 1:391   1:592   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  GASOLINE 4 1 11½ 11½ 11 3½ 1½ (pletcher a)CANCEL ERIC 123 2.50 41% 1.40 4.10 W
7  TONAL IMPACT 7 6 64½ 32½ 21 2nk 2½ (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 1.40 13% 6.90 0.90 P
1  ANEJO 1 7 76½ 65 32 1nk 32 (o'neill doug)LEZCANO JOSE 123 4.00 10% 8.60 3.15 S
2  BOLD VICTORY 2 5 54 76½ 77½ 58 46¾ (englehart s)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00 9% 9.80 8.50  
5  ROYAL TRYST 5 3 44 54½ 54½ 68¼ 57¼ (arenas marcelo)LAPRIDA JEREMY 120 12.00 5% 19.00 15.80  
6  VASARIANO 6 2 21½ 21½ 42 46 67½ (cash l)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 8.00 18.80  
3  MIDNIGHT WORKER 3 4 33 43½ 65 715¼ 722¾ (chichakly amira)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 30.00 36.00  
 
AQU-6   01/05/2023 5940ft DIRT SLOPPY Allowance   Purse ($72K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:16
:242 :50 1:144 1:394   1:523   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  OUSTER 8 5 53 42 11 15½ 15½ (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 123 1.00 50% 1.00 0.70 W
2  MASON MANIA 1 6 42 52 53 25½ 25½ (englehart c)LEZCANO JOSE 123 4.00 23% 3.40 3.05 P
1  SIMPLY 2 7 74 74 75 38½ 311¼ (atras rob)VARGAS A 123 1.00 0.70  
8  DR. MARBOOZ 9 9 910 99¾ 89 711 412¾ (davis g)DAVIS KATIE 123 12.00 ★ 21.00  
4  ROYAL SUSPECT 4 1 2½ 2½ 21 49½ 513½ (huertas nirka)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 12.00 ★ 11.20  
7  RIA'S ANGEL 7 8 64 62½ 64½ 59½ 613½ (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 120 4.50 ★ 8.30  
5  CAGNEY 5 2 31½ 31 31 610 715¼ (schettino a)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 30.00 56.50  
3  DATESFREEDOM 3 3 1½ 1½ 42½ 911¾ 815½ (delauro j)HERNANDEZ OMAR 116 30.00 60.00  
6  SON OF AN EX 6 4 87½ 89½ 99½ 811¼ 917½ (persaud randi)MARTINEZ R 123 5.00 8.80  
 
AQU-7   01/05/2023 4620ft DIRT SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($88K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:45
:234 :472 1:12     1:251   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  PIECE OF MY HEART 6 4 31½ 52¼   3½ 12 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 2.00 55% 0.80 1.25 W
4  COREY 4 2 2½ 2nk   1½ 22 (walder r)CANCEL ERIC 118 6.00 9% 10.20 8.40 P
3  THISTLEFIELD 3 1 1½ 1nk   2½ 33¾ (lake a)ADORNO ABNER 123 15.00 ★ 13.60 S
1  SECRET LOVE 1 3 41½ 41¾   54 46½ (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.50 ★ 1.95  
6  SHORT SUMMER DRESS 5 5 62½ 64¾   65 57¼ (lee joseph)FRANCO MANUEL 118 10.00 13.60  
2  EASY TO BLESS 2 6 52 31½   42 67¾ (ferraro w)DAVIS A 118 6.00 4.70  
SCR  FOUETTE               (rice linda)VARGAS A 120 3.50 9% 9.60    
 
AQU-8   01/05/2023 3960ft DIRT SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($35K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:14
:231 :471 :593     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  TRY IT AGAIN 4 2 2½ 21   2½ 1¼ (maker j)LEZCANO JOSE 122 3.50 43% 1.30 4.50 W
9  CHIARA 8 1 31 11   1½ 2¼ (bond james)HARKIE K 122 2.50 22% 3.50 1.65 P
8  BONANA FANNA FOE 7 3 51½ 42   31 3¼ (englehart chris)DAVIS A 122 4.00 ★ 4.70 S
3  FRANNIE LEW 3 4 1½ 31½   44 47¼ (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 8.00 3.80  
1  TONIGHT WE LOVE 1 5 62 69   510½ 513½ (martin f)VARGAS A 122 10.00 16.90  
7  MENILY 6 8 83½ 710½   713 615¾ (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 122 12.00 19.60  
2  TREAT STREET 2 6 41½ 57   611 716¾ (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 122 4.50 ★ 7.40  
6  WARSALM 5 7 73 814½   817 823¼ (englehart chris)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 12.00 ★ 27.00  
SCR  SARAH'S PRIDE               (persaud randi)HYLTON EVERTON 122 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.