Handicappers' Racing Form
"A Premier Resource for Free horse Racing Picks, Strong Longshots and Vulnerable Favorites."
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
Visit us at tbrsimulator.com.
Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Follow us on X@tbrsimulator.
 
The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Thursday - January 05, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (7/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/1)-(7/5/1/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/1)-(7/5/1/2/4)-(7/5/1/2/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (7/5/1)-(2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (7/5/1)-(2/3)-(1/4/6/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
AQU-2   WIN (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/3)-(2/3/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3)-(2/3/4/1)-(2/3/4/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (2/3)-(1/4/6/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/3)-(1/4/6/5)-(10/4/2/6/8) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
AQU-3   WIN (1/4/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/6/5)-(1/4/6/5/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/4/6/5)-(1/4/6/5/2)-(1/4/6/5/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/4/6/5)-(10/4/2/6/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/4/6/5)-(10/4/2/6/8)-(4/7/1/2/5) 100 $1.00 $100 
AQU-4   WIN (10/4/2/6/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/4/2/6/8)-(10/4/2/6/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/4/2/6/8)-(10/4/2/6/8)-(10/4/2/6/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/4/2/6/8)-(4/7/1/2/5) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (10/4/2/6/8)-(4/7/1/2/5)-(1/2) 50 $1.00 $50.00 
AQU-5   WIN (4/7/1/2/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/7/1/2/5)-(4/7/1/2/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/7/1/2/5)-(4/7/1/2/5)-(4/7/1/2/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/7/1/2/5)-(1/2) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (4/7/1/2/5)-(1/2)-(7/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
AQU-6   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/2)-(1/2/7/4/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (1/2)-(1/2/7/4/8)-(1/2/7/4/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2)-(7/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (1/2)-(7/4)-(5/9) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
AQU-7   WIN (7/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/4)-(7/4/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/4)-(7/4/1/3)-(7/4/1/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (7/4)-(5/9) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
AQU-8   WIN (5/9) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/9)-(5/9/2/8/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (5/9)-(5/9/2/8/6)-(5/9/2/8/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   01/05/2023 5940ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($35K) 4UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REUNION TOUR Dec11 Dec01 Nov11 Oct06 Sep10 (ferraro james)OLVER MADISON 112 6.00 7% 14.20    
2  MIDNIGHT EXPRESS Nov11 Oct07 Sep23     (rodriguez rudy)LEZCANO JOSE 122 2.50 ★    
3  TIZA BROWN Dec17 Dec11 Nov09 Oct26 Sep27 (persaud randi)CASTILLO AMIN 122 12.00    
4  PHOEBE'S FROSTY Nov25 Aug18 Jul29 Jan16   (bake)HUAYAS (JASON) 115 8.00 ★    
5  BOINTHEBACK Aug26 Jul31 Jul08 Jun17 May13 (dip)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 4.00 10% 9.30    
6  UNCLE BRUCE Dec11 Aug18 Jul31 Jul09 May20 (brown)HERNANDEZ OMAR 115 12.00    
7  YOUR MISSION Nov05 Aug06 Jul15     (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 122 1.60 62% 0.60    
 
AQU-2   01/05/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($39K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NEW YORK BANKER Dec15 Nov17 Nov04 Oct09 Sep05 (noda orl)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 6.00 ★    
2  MELTING SNOW Dec09 Nov05 Sep01 Jul15 Jun09 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 120 1.40 33% 2.10    
3  VIRADIA Dec03 Nov05 Sep29 Aug21 Jun24 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 123 5.00 15% 5.70    
4  PRAIRIE FIRE Dec08 Nov17 Sep29 Aug14 Jun19 (clarke dylan)ADORNO ABNER 123 8.00 ★    
5  VEGAS WEEKEND Nov10 Oct28 Oct01 Feb18   (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50    
SCR  GREATEST LOVE Dec08 Jul21 Jun19 Jun04 May19 (baker )MARAGH RAMSAY 120 6.00 25% 3.00    
 
AQU-3   01/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($39K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOUBLE SHOT Dec02 Nov17 Oct08 Aug31 Jul16 (barrera oscar)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 37% 1.70    
1A  BUSTIN THE RULES Dec10 Nov18 Jul04     (barrera oscar)OLVER MADISON 110 2.50 ★    
2  FIRST DEPUTY Dec16 Nov16 Nov07 Oct03 Sep17 (shiv)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 6.00 ★    
3  ACALTEQUE Dec16 Dec02 Oct24 Oct10 Sep20 (chin peter)FUENTES ERICK 113 8.00    
4  GANDY DANCING Dec02 Oct16 Aug26 Aug05 May21 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 123 1.60 21% 3.80    
5  TRIGGER PULL Dec16 Dec08 Nov22 Oct24 Oct11 (follett norm)HARKIE K 123 15.00 8% 11.90    
6  MOTION TO STRIKE Dec10 Nov20 Oct23 Jul03 Jun05 (reynolds)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 4.00 8% 11.70    
7  MIAMI CHROME Dec10 Nov28 Nov15 Oct24 Oct11 (loa)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 123 12.00    
 
AQU-4   01/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($32K) 3 ALL PT- 2:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PER KEY D P Dec14 Oct17 Sep21     (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 15.00    
2  DROMOLAND Oct07         (levine bruce)LUZZI J 120 5.00 7% 13.40    
3  METAMORPHOSES Nov27 Oct16       (levi)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 6.00    
4  CHARLIES MEDAL Dec13 Nov23 Nov07 Oct19 Oct04 (sells ra)DAVIS A 120 6.00 15% 5.50    
5  SARATOGA STRONG Dec11         (handal raymon)OLVER MADISON 110 6.00    
6  BASIC TRUTH Dec02         (reynolds)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 4.50 5% 19.00    
7  EXCALIBRATE Oct20 Oct07 Sep22 Sep04 Aug14 (chichakly )MONTANEZ ROSARIO 120 12.00    
8  DANNY'S A COWBOY         (nev)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  HOOCHIE COO Dec11         (sciacca gary)DAVIS KATIE 115 15.00    
10  SECOND AND REED Dec10 Oct28 Oct02     (ryerson t)CANCEL ERIC 120 3.50 49% 1.10    
 
AQU-5   01/05/2023 6270ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($82K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANEJO Dec01 Oct22 Sep24 Aug26 Aug06 (o'neill doug)LEZCANO JOSE 123 4.00 10% 8.60    
2  BOLD VICTORY Dec02 Nov12 Nov08 Sep05 Aug28 (englehart jef)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00 9% 9.80    
3  MIDNIGHT WORKER Dec15 Dec09 Oct14 Sep03 Aug13 (chic)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 30.00    
4  GASOLINE Dec02 Sep29 Aug28 Jul08 Jun10 (pletcher a)CANCEL ERIC 123 2.50 41% 1.40    
5  ROYAL TRYST Dec18 Dec03 Nov26 Nov12 Oct21 (arenas marce)LAPRIDA JEREMY 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  VASARIANO Dec02 Nov23 Nov10 Oct27 Oct14 (cash nor)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 8.00    
7  TONAL IMPACT Dec18 Nov23 Sep28 Sep18 Aug10 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 1.40 13% 6.90    
 
AQU-6   01/05/2023 5940ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($72K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIMPLY Dec09 Oct16 Sep27 Sep05 Jul16 (atras rob)VARGAS A 123 1.00    
1A  OUSTER Nov20 Oct21 Sep25 Jun09 Apr30 (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 123 1.00 50% 1.00    
2  MASON MANIA Dec09 Nov02 Sep15 Sep02 Aug03 (englehart jere)LEZCANO JOSE 123 4.00 23% 3.40    
3  DATESFREEDOM Dec15 Nov16 Nov01 Oct18 Sep13 (delau)HERNANDEZ OMAR 116 30.00    
4  ROYAL SUSPECT Dec29 Dec09 Nov14 Oct25 Oct10 (huerta)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 12.00 ★    
5  CAGNEY (BRZ) Oct29 Aug17 Jun23 May20 Apr01 (sche)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 30.00    
6  SON OF AN EX Dec18 Jun30 May28 May08 May01 (persaud ran)MARTINEZ R 123 5.00    
7  RIA'S ANGEL Dec09 Nov05 Sep25 Sep03 Jul22 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 120 4.50 ★    
8  DR. MARBOOZ Dec09 Nov15 Oct25 Oct10 Sep19 (davis g)DAVIS KATIE 123 12.00 ★    
 
AQU-7   01/05/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($88K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SECRET LOVE (ARG) Dec02 Oct30 Oct06 Aug12 Jul20 (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.50 ★    
2  EASY TO BLESS Dec11 Jun10 May19 Apr28 Apr09 (ferraro )DAVIS A 118 6.00    
3  THISTLEFIELD Oct19 Sep20 Aug13 Jul12 Jun09 (lake a)ADORNO ABNER 123 15.00 ★    
4  COREY Oct29 Sep10 Aug14 Jul02 May21 (walder r)CANCEL ERIC 118 6.00 9% 10.20    
SCR  FOUETTE Dec30 Dec08 Nov11 Sep29 Aug20 (rice lind)VARGAS A 120 3.50 9% 9.60    
6  SHORT SUMMER DRESS Dec11 Nov11 Nov04 Sep01 Jul20 (lee joseph)FRANCO MANUEL 118 10.00    
7  PIECE OF MY HEART Dec08 Nov11 Sep16 Aug07 Jul20 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 2.00 55% 0.80    
 
AQU-8   01/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($35K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TONIGHT WE LOVE Dec08 Nov12 Oct15 Oct09 May07 (martin ca)VARGAS A 122 10.00    
2  TREAT STREET Nov12 Oct09 Aug31 Jul23 Apr29 (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 122 4.50 ★    
3  FRANNIE LEW Dec16         (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 8.00    
SCR  SARAH'S PRIDE Sep12         (persaud rand)HYLTON EVERTON 122 30.00    
5  TRY IT AGAIN         (maker michael )LEZCANO JOSE 122 3.50 43% 1.30    
6  WARSALM Dec08         (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 12.00 ★    
7  MENILY Nov26 Apr10 Feb05     (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 122 12.00    
8  BONANA FANNA FOE Dec08 Nov21 Oct24 Jan08   (englehar)DAVIS A 122 4.00 ★    
9  CHIARA (URU) Nov12 Sep03 Jul20 Jun17 Apr28 (bond harold )HARKIE K 122 2.50 22% 3.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.