The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Aqueduct
Thursday - December 29, 2022
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AQU-1   12/29/2022 4290ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 2 ALL PT-12:50
:23 :47 1:131     1:201   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  OUTLAW COUNTRY 9 1 42 21   1nk 1½ (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 119 2.50 18% 4.60 2.10 W
1  ALTERNATE REALITY 1 7 76 67½   33½ 2½ (englehart chris)DAVIS A 119 10.00 24.50  
8  DON'T LET ME DOWN 8 3 11½ 11   2nk 31 (englehart chris)LEZCANO JOSE 119 12.00 12.10  
3  NIEUWENDYK 3 2 31½ 32   45½ 46 (begg bentley)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 4.50 ★ 3.65  
6  WARRIOR RICHARD 6 8 86½ 79   67 57 (falcone n)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.00 55% 0.80 2.75  
7  EL GRAN CUYAYA 7 5 53½ 57   56 69 (arenas marcelo)LAPRIDA JEREMY 119 15.00 15.10  
2  PINE ALLEY 2 4 21½ 47   712 719½ (ryerson t)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00 6% 15.30 8.50  
5  MOONFLYER 5 9 99 913½   814½ 822¼ (rodriguez r)HUAYAS (JASON) 112 6.00 ★ 9.60  
4  BEAR'S CORRECT 4 6 65 812   916 926 (jones e)PANAIJO JORGE 119 20.00 64.75  
 
AQU-2   12/29/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($43K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:18
:224 :464 1:131     1:28   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  YOGI 8 2 47 48½   36½ 11¾ (bond james)CANCEL ERIC 122 4.00 13% 6.50 2.90 W
1  FLATTERING GAL 1 7 68 38   26 21¾ (noda orlando)OLVER MADISON 112 5.00 6.30  
4  PRINCESS SONYA 4 3 15 16   16 32¾ (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 124 3.50 40% 1.50 2.50 S
2  MISCHIEF MOTION 2 4 25 26   47½ 47 (tessore bruno)ADORNO ABNER 122 3.00 ★ 5.80  
3  WINE GODDESS 3 8 711½ 512   510 58½ (klesaris p)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 10.00 13% 6.80 3.25  
6  REDSTRIPE PRINCESS 6 6 812½ 816½   828½ 631¾ (reynolds j)HUAYAS (JASON) 115 8.00 7% 13.10 40.00  
7  RACING QUEEN 7 1 58 712½   625 732¼ (huertas nirka)CAMILO D 122 12.00 28.25  
5  FAMILY BAND 5 5 36½ 612½   726 835 (asmussen m)LEZCANO JOSE 122 6.00 11.50  
 
AQU-3   12/29/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:46
:224 :462 :59     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  ONE WHIRLWIND RIDE 5 3 2nk 1½   1nk 11¼ (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.50 35% 1.90 2.15 W
2  MACH ONE 2 5 31 31½   3½ 21¼ (persaud eddie)HARKIE K 120 10.00 5% 19.00 15.90 P
7  DRINK THE WIND 7 6 41¼ 2½   2nk 31¼ (morley thomas)FRANCO MANUEL 120 12.00 7.00  
3  NECROMANCER 3 8 95¾ 85½   64½ 45¾ (levine bruce)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.50 6.40  
1  CUMBERLAND BLUES 1 9 85¼ 96   96¼ 55¾ (falcone n)OLVER MADISON 110 5.00 17% 4.80 10.80  
8  HATCH 8 4 52¾ 52½   43 66 (martin f)LEZCANO JOSE 118 5.00 14% 5.90 3.45  
10  AVA K'S BOY 10 1 74¾ 75½   74¾ 76 (martin f)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 20.00 20.00  
6  JOHN'S PROTEGE 6 7 63¼ 64½   85¼ 86¼ (miceli michael)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 15.00 6% 15.80 5.50  
9  TACO BEAN 9 2 1nk 42   54 99 (romero jesus)HERNANDEZ OMAR 113 6.00 31.00  
4  GONGHEIFATCHOY 4 10 109¾ 1010   1011¼ 1018 (richards marvin)FUENTES ERICK 110 8.00 46.00  
 
AQU-4   12/29/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:14
:233 :473 1:123     1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  HONEY MONEY 8 2 42 41½ 2nk 13 14 (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 121 6.00 42% 1.40 4.30 W
6  BUSTIN BAY 6 4 52½ 31½ 3½ 23 24 (arriaga antonio)DAVIS KATIE 123 6.00 18.60  
7  SWEET MYSTERY 7 7 74½ 62¼ 41½ 33½ 35¼ (quick j)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.00 12% 7.50 2.05 S
5  KHALI MAGIC 5 3 1½ 1½ 1nk 43½ 49 (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 121 15.00 5% 17.40 6.80  
3  HAPPY SOPHIA 3 6 63 74¼ 74½ 69 514½ (persaud randi)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 12.00 8.10  
1  GOLDEN ROCKET 1 9 97½ 84¾ 64 58 615½ (farro patricia)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.50 14% 6.40 5.10  
2  CURLY GIRL 2 8 84½ 98¼ 810½ 811½ 716¼ (barrow paul)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 118 30.00 66.25  
9  SILKEN DOLLAR 9 1 2½ 2½ 53 710 821¼ (schosberg richard)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50 ★ 5.70  
4  SISTER LINDA 4 5 31½ 51¾ 912½ 915½ 921½ (nevin michelle)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 5.00 14.20  
 
AQU-5   12/29/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:42
:24 :481 1:131     1:263   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  LABARDE 8 3 2nk 1nk   13½ 14¾ (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.50 ★ 6.20  
7  MAD MAGIC 6 2 1nk 43½   48 24¾ (baker charlton)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 12.00 12.60  
2  OMERTA CODE 1 8 31 31½   35½ 37¾ (falcone n)CARMOUCHE K 122 3.50 4.20  
1A  GOLDEN PURCHASE 9 1 41¼ 2nk   23½ 48¼ (jones e)DAVIS A 122 15.00 31.25  
10  STJAMES 10 6 85¼ 77¼   611½ 59 (gyarmati leah)LUZZI J 122 15.00 7% 13.40 26.75  
8  PROVEN HOPE 7 4 61¾ 53¾   59½ 69¾ (rodriguez r)DAVIS DYLAN 122 3.00 49% 1.00 2.20  
4  LOGAN'S RUNNER 3 10 97¾ 99¾   814½ 716¼ (levine bruce)CANCEL ERIC 122 6.00 12.80  
5  WEALLLIKEDHIM 4 5 73¼ 64¼   713 821 (legall e)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 20.00 62.00  
3  NORTH POLE 2 7 51¼ 87¾   915½ 921¼ (klesaris p)HUAYAS (JASON) 117 8.00 17% 4.80 2.35  
6  GLOBAL ALERT 5 9 1011¼ 1015¾   1022 1029 (chin peter)ALPANDER B 124 10.00 35.00  
SCR  CLASH A. J.               (jones e)GOMEZ O 122 15.00 ★    
 
AQU-6   12/29/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($39K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:12
:231 :463 1:122     1:392   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  WINTER POOL 10 1 87½ 64½ 32 2½ 11¾ (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 121 4.50 26% 2.80 3.10 W
10  MY FRIENDS BEER 9 2 77 77 63½ 43½ 21¾ (lake a)LEZCANO JOSE 123 8.00 10.60  
9  LIL COMMISSIONER 8 4 31 3½ 11 1½ 31¾ (arriaga antonio)HUAYAS (JASON) 114 15.00 10.70  
5  CHRIS AND DAVE 2 7 52½ 42 21 31½ 45½ (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 121 4.00 39% 1.60 2.75  
6  FOREVER WICKED 3 10 1013¾ 1013¼ 918½ 710½ 59¼ (persaud randi)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 12.00 10.30  
4  SOUTH AFRICA 1 9 97¾ 99¼ 77 58 611¾ (huertas nirka)DAVIS A 121 30.00 53.50  
8  UMBRIA 6 3 11 1nk 53½ 811½ 722¾ (de horacio)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 12.00 12.40  
7  WARRIOR IN CHIEF 5 6 21 2nk 42½ 69½ 828 (englehart chris)DAVIS DYLAN 121 3.00 2.40  
1A  MUSICAL AMERICA 7 5 41½ 54 811½ 919 933 (jones e)OLVER MADISON 111 20.00 ★ 22.60  
1  TAPIZEARANCE 4 8 64 87¼ 10100 10100 10100 (jones e)HERNANDEZ OMAR 114 20.00 22.60  
SCR  NIGHT OPS               (brown r)DAVIS KATIE 121 6.00 ★    
SCR  PIONEER SPIRIT               (kantarmaci mertkan)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 123 10.00 10% 8.80    
 
AQU-7   12/29/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
:224 :462 1:121     1:261   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  WHITTINGTON PARK 2 10 66¼ 53½   43¾ 11½ (englehart c)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00 9% 9.80 3.75 W
11  JOEY LOOSE LIPS 10 3 1nk 2nk   1nk 21½ (rodriguez r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 12.00 5.80  
8  OCEAN'S RESERVE 7 2 2nk 1nk   2nk 32¾ (gyarmati leah)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 15.00 4.20  
10  ROYAL SUSPECT 9 6 87¼ 65   57¾ 44¾ (huertas nirka)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 20.00 5% 19.00 36.50  
7  GOT THE GOLD 6 8 1011¾ 97¾   68¼ 56¼ (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 120 5.00 5.10  
4  AGILITY 4 7 42 31½   33½ 66½ (abreu r)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50 2.65  
9  PERSISTENT DANGER 8 1 76¾ 85¾   78¾ 79 (sells rachel)DAVIS A 120 20.00 43.75  
1  THE REVENGER 1 5 31 75¼   89¾ 810¾ (englehart c)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 10.00 27% 2.80 15.00  
3  CONSTANT KNIGHT 3 9 911¾ 108¼   1011¾ 915¼ (black c)PANAIJO JORGE 122 30.00 88.75  
5  BREAKING STONES 5 4 52¼ 42   910¼ 1017¼ (barrera s)LAPRIDA JEREMY 120 12.00 10.60  
SCR  DANGEROUS EDGE               (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.00 12% 7.60    
SCR  SAFALOW'S MISSION               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 6.00 22% 3.50    
 
AQU-8   12/29/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:08
:231 :473 1:003     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BERN ROSEY BERN 1 4 1nk 11   11 11¼ (giangiulio michelle)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.50 2.10  
11  SIMPLE SUGAR 11 3 31 21   21 21¼ (giglio gina)DAVIS A 120 4.50 12% 7.20 3.00 P
4  NEW YORK SUPREME 4 10 88¾ 64½   31½ 31¾ (chichakly amira)CANCEL ERIC 122 8.00 15% 5.80 7.40 S
3  WICKED LADY 3 7 78¼ 75   43 42¼ (barker r)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 5.00 6.50  
8  HANDLE THE TRUTH 8 11 65¾ 86½   54½ 53¾ (metivier richard)HERNANDEZ OMAR 113 20.00 66.75  
7  CRYSTAL ORB 7 5 910¼ 97   86½ 66½ (pringle edmund)FUENTES ERICK 110 30.00 65.25  
10  WRITE THIS DOWN 10 9 42½ 54½   65 78 (englehart s)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 10.00 9.60  
9  MY DELICIOUS 9 1 52¾ 44   75½ 88 (summers chad)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 15.00 5% 19.00 14.60  
5  MY BEAUTY PRINCESS 5 6 1011¾ 1012   1011 911¾ (martin f)OLVER MADISON 110 12.00 41% 1.40 25.75  
2  SHEZA RAJUN CAJUN 2 2 2nk 32½   96½ 1020¼ (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 118 6.00 ★ 8.10  
6  PREDETERMINED 6 8 1118¼ 1122   1121 1121¼ (sciacca gary)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 6.00 25.25  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.