Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Thursday - December 29, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   12/29/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 2 ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALTERNATE REALITY         (englehar)DAVIS A 119 10.00    
2  PINE ALLEY Nov22         (ryerson t)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00 6% 15.30    
3  NIEUWENDYK Dec01 Nov11 Aug31     (begg jam)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 4.50 ★    
4  BEAR'S CORRECT Dec10 Nov20 Oct07 Sep16 Sep03 (jones eduardo)PANAIJO JORGE 119 20.00    
5  MOONFLYER Dec01 Nov06 Aug06     (rodr)HUAYAS (JASON) 112 6.00 ★    
6  WARRIOR RICHARD Dec02         (falcone rober)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.00 55% 0.80    
7  EL GRAN CUYAYA         (arenas marce)LAPRIDA JEREMY 119 15.00    
8  DON'T LET ME DOWN Dec01 Nov06 Oct13 Aug14   (englehart chri)LEZCANO JOSE 119 12.00    
9  OUTLAW COUNTRY Dec01 Oct28 Sep18     (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 119 2.50 18% 4.60    
 
AQU-2   12/29/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($43K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLATTERING GAL Dec08 Nov12 Oct13 Aug31   (noda orlando)OLVER MADISON 112 5.00    
2  MISCHIEF MOTION Dec11 Aug26 Jun26     (tessore bruno)ADORNO ABNER 122 3.00 ★    
3  WINE GODDESS Dec02 Aug31 Jun25 May08   (klesaris)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 10.00 13% 6.80    
4  PRINCESS SONYA Nov17         (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 124 3.50 40% 1.50    
5  FAMILY BAND Nov17         (asmussen steve)LEZCANO JOSE 122 6.00    
6  REDSTRIPE PRINCESS Dec02         (reyn)HUAYAS (JASON) 115 8.00 7% 13.10    
7  RACING QUEEN Dec02 Nov21 Nov07 Oct20 Oct10 (huertas nir)CAMILO D 122 12.00    
8  YOGI Nov26 Aug31 Aug03     (bond jam)CANCEL ERIC 122 4.00 13% 6.50    
 
AQU-3   12/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CUMBERLAND BLUES Nov13 Oct07 Aug31     (falcone rober)OLVER MADISON 110 5.00 17% 4.80    
2  MACH ONE Sep16 Aug21 Aug14 Jul29 Jul09 (persaud eddi)HARKIE K 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  NECROMANCER Nov04 Sep30 Aug25 Jul04 May22 (levine bruce)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.50    
4  GONGHEIFATCHOY Nov18 Nov05 Jan28     (richards marv)FUENTES ERICK 110 8.00    
5  ONE WHIRLWIND RIDE Dec04 Oct20 Sep18 Aug27 Aug13 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.50 35% 1.90    
6  JOHN'S PROTEGE Dec09 Apr24 Mar12     (miceli m)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 15.00 6% 15.80    
7  DRINK THE WIND Nov18 Sep24 Sep03 Aug10 Jul21 (morley thomas)FRANCO MANUEL 120 12.00    
8  HATCH (GB) Dec16 Nov18 Oct22 Sep03 Aug14 (martin carlos )LEZCANO JOSE 118 5.00 14% 5.90    
9  TACO BEAN Dec11 Nov13 Oct16 Sep18 Jul24 (romer)HERNANDEZ OMAR 113 6.00    
10  AVA K'S BOY Apr15 Mar06 Feb11     (martin)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 20.00    
 
AQU-4   12/29/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLDEN ROCKET Dec01 Oct20 Sep18 Aug18 Jul23 (farro patricia)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.50 14% 6.40    
2  CURLY GIRL Dec11 Nov02 Jul25 Jul04 Jun14 (bar)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 118 30.00    
3  HAPPY SOPHIA Dec11 Nov26 Nov20 Oct23 Sep29 (persau)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 12.00    
4  SISTER LINDA Dec01 Sep24 Jul25 Jun24 May30 (nevin mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 5.00    
5  KHALI MAGIC Dec11 Oct23 Sep25 Sep02 Aug06 (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 121 15.00 5% 17.40    
6  BUSTIN BAY Dec01 Oct23 Sep24 Sep02 Aug18 (arriaga antonio)DAVIS KATIE 123 6.00    
7  SWEET MYSTERY Dec01 Oct30 Oct09 Sep15 Aug13 (quick patrick )LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.00 12% 7.50    
8  HONEY MONEY Dec11 Nov20 Oct19 Oct06 Aug14 (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 121 6.00 42% 1.40    
9  SILKEN DOLLAR Dec04 Nov06 Oct23 Sep23 Aug17 (schosberg ric)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50 ★    
 
AQU-5   12/29/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  GOLDEN PURCHASE Dec09 Nov18 Oct29 Oct15 Oct03 (jones ed)DAVIS A 122 15.00    
SCR  CLASH A. J. Dec03 Nov27 Oct29 Feb24 Feb13 (jones e)GOMEZ O 122 15.00 ★    
2  OMERTA CODE Nov25 Oct23 Sep04     (falcone robert )CARMOUCHE K 122 3.50    
3  NORTH POLE Dec17 Dec09 Nov25 Oct06 Sep30 (kles)HUAYAS (JASON) 117 8.00 17% 4.80    
4  LOGAN'S RUNNER Sep17         (levine bruce)CANCEL ERIC 122 6.00    
5  WEALLLIKEDHIM Dec09         (legall)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 20.00    
6  GLOBAL ALERT         (chin peter)ALPANDER B 124 10.00    
7  MAD MAGIC Nov06 Oct09 Aug24 Jul29 Jul03 (baker ch)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 12.00    
8  PROVEN HOPE Oct20 Aug24 Jun26 May29 Apr16 (rodriguez rudy )DAVIS DYLAN 122 3.00 49% 1.00    
9  LABARDE Nov06 Sep17 Jan13     (de horaci)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.50 ★    
10  STJAMES Nov10 Oct20 Jun18 May20 May01 (gyarmati leah)LUZZI J 122 15.00 7% 13.40    
 
AQU-6   12/29/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($39K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAPIZEARANCE Dec02 Nov05 Oct08 Oct01 Aug05 (jones)HERNANDEZ OMAR 114 20.00    
1A  MUSICAL AMERICA Dec16 Dec04 Nov10 Oct27 Oct16 (jones eduardo)OLVER MADISON 111 20.00 ★    
SCR  PIONEER SPIRIT Dec08 Nov12 Oct21 Oct15 Jul28 (kantarma)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 123 10.00 10% 8.80    
SCR  NIGHT OPS Nov12 Oct21 Sep05 Aug06 Jan09 (brown r)DAVIS KATIE 121 6.00 ★    
4  SOUTH AFRICA Dec04 Nov15 Oct24 Aug17 Jul18 (huertas )DAVIS A 121 30.00    
5  CHRIS AND DAVE Dec08 Nov12 Oct15 Sep16 Jul16 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 121 4.00 39% 1.60    
6  FOREVER WICKED Dec18 Dec01 Nov12 Oct28 Oct13 (persau)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 12.00    
7  WARRIOR IN CHIEF Nov17 Oct21 Aug25 Jul14 Jun19 (englehart chris)DAVIS DYLAN 121 3.00    
8  UMBRIA Dec04 Oct27 Oct13 Sep17 Jul09 (de )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 12.00    
9  LIL COMMISSIONER Nov18 Sep17 Aug24 Jul09 May07 (arri)HUAYAS (JASON) 114 15.00    
10  MY FRIENDS BEER Nov30 Nov15 Oct25 Oct10 Sep20 (lake a)LEZCANO JOSE 123 8.00    
11  WINTER POOL Nov18 Sep30 Aug11 Jun04 Apr13 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 121 4.50 26% 2.80    
 
AQU-7   12/29/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE REVENGER Nov15 Oct24 Oct05 Sep07 Aug08 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 10.00 27% 2.80    
2  WHITTINGTON PARK Nov14 Oct18 Sep18 Aug20 Jul08 (englehart jerem)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00 9% 9.80    
3  CONSTANT KNIGHT Dec11 Nov26 Sep18 Aug29 Aug13 (black c)PANAIJO JORGE 122 30.00    
4  AGILITY Nov26 Oct30 Jul08 May30 Apr15 (abreu r)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50    
5  BREAKING STONES Nov26 Nov20 Oct18 Sep28 Sep04 (barrera osca)LAPRIDA JEREMY 120 12.00    
SCR  DANGEROUS EDGE Nov11 Oct15 Aug20 Jul28 Jul02 (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.00 12% 7.60    
7  GOT THE GOLD Nov26 Nov12 Oct15 Sep01 Aug19 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 120 5.00    
8  OCEAN'S RESERVE Nov11 Oct20 Sep23 Jul28 Jul03 (gyar)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 15.00    
9  PERSISTENT DANGER Dec11 Nov23 Nov08 Oct17 Sep26 (sells ra)DAVIS A 120 20.00    
10  ROYAL SUSPECT Dec09 Nov14 Oct25 Oct10 Sep14 (huerta)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
11  JOEY LOOSE LIPS Oct16 Sep24 Aug19     (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 12.00    
SCR  SAFALOW'S MISSION Dec11 Jun11 May14 Apr28 Mar05 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 6.00 22% 3.50    
 
AQU-8   12/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BERN ROSEY BERN Nov12 Oct13 Aug31 Aug11 Jun26 (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.50    
2  SHEZA RAJUN CAJUN Dec01 Jun25 May14     (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 118 6.00 ★    
3  WICKED LADY Nov27 Oct28 Sep16 Aug05 Jul16 (bark)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 5.00    
4  NEW YORK SUPREME Dec08 Nov12 Jan08     (chichakly amira)CANCEL ERIC 122 8.00 15% 5.80    
5  MY BEAUTY PRINCESS Dec08 Nov10 Sep24 Jul22 Jun25 (martin carlos)OLVER MADISON 110 12.00 41% 1.40    
6  PREDETERMINED Dec01 Oct13 Jul08 May27 Apr28 (sci)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 6.00    
7  CRYSTAL ORB Dec01 Oct27 Sep28 Sep11 Jul24 (pringle edmun)FUENTES ERICK 110 30.00    
8  HANDLE THE TRUTH Dec01 Oct28 Sep18 Aug17 Jul27 (metiv)HERNANDEZ OMAR 113 20.00    
9  MY DELICIOUS Dec09 Nov17 Oct13 Sep18 Sep05 (summer)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  WRITE THIS DOWN Nov06 Aug15 Jun17 Apr29 Feb18 (englehar)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 10.00    
11  SIMPLE SUGAR Dec01 Nov10 Sep16 Jul04 Jun17 (giglio gina)SAMUEL L 120 4.50 12% 7.20    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.