Handicappers' Race Results

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Penn National
Wednesday - December 21, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   12/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:224 :461 :582     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ASLUCKWOULDHAVIT 6 4 12 1   1 1 (graci kimbe)RODRIGUEZ R 123 2.50 21% 3.70 2.60 W
PERUVIAN BOY 3 5 22 2   2 2 (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 120 1.60 37% 1.70 0.70 P
CALCULATED THINKIN 1 3 5 34   34 3 (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 120 12.00 14% 6.30 34.20 S
KITTEN'S SOLUTION 4 1 32 4   46 4 (graci kimbe)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.50 3.80  
LEAVE 'EM LOADED 2 2 4 5   59 510 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 10.00 26.10  
THE RIGHT PATH 5 6 66 6   611 611¾ (diaz jorge)RIVERA D 120 6.00 11.20  
 
PEN-2   12/21/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
See original race card.
:232 :462 1:112 1:38   1:421   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MYSTIC LINK 1 3 32 3 33 34 1½ (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.50 2.10  
EXCURSION 3 6 6 6 68 4 2½ (ramirez silvino)RIVERA D 120 12.00 3.00  
FRIENDLY FELLA 4 5 2½ 2½ 1nk 1 3¾ (gonzalez )ORTIZ ORLANDO 120 3.00 18% 4.70 4.50 S
WENTZ 6 2 1½ 1½ 2nk 2 4 (graci kimberly)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 2.00 35% 1.80 2.60  
CHARGING LION 5 1 4 5 5 5 5 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 4.00 10% 9.30 7.30  
ILLUSTRIOUS 2 4 53 4 46 610½ 615½ (diaz jorge)PANAIJO JORGE 119 6.00 12.70  
SCR  SOUPER FLY OVER               (collazo luis )RAMOS C 115 30.00 9% 9.80    
 
PEN-3   12/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 2 ALL PT- 6:54
See original race card.
:222 :46 :582     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MEET THE ELITE 6 4 1nk 13   14 16 (coletti edwar)NUNEZ Y 122 5.00 2.80  
ON AN ISLAND 7 3 31 34   36 26 (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 8.00 4.90  
SECRET ADDICTION 5 2 2nk 23   24 3 (catalano l)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 3.00 1.20  
MACHO HONCHO 1 8 7 5   411 4 (salvaggio m)HERNANDEZ A 122 12.00 37.80  
OUR MARK STEVEN 2 9 915 916½   915 5 (houghton th)VARGAS L 122 12.00 17.70  
BOOK RUNNER 4 7 88 813½   814 612¼ (salinas jose)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 4.00 27% 2.80 4.70  
WHISKIED UP 3 6 5 49   512 716½ (hendriks ri)RODRIGUEZ R 122 12.00 37.70  
11  DON'T QUESTION ME 9 5 66 610   613 817¾ (jacavone j)LLOYD W 122 15.00 9% 9.80 59.40  
10  CAN'T STOP MAXEY 8 1 44 711   713½ 919 (beattie cody)INIRIO J 122 15.00 9% 9.80 25.20  
SCR  LETSGETLUCKYTONITE               (sarson b)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 15.00 9% 9.80    
SCR  UPFOR PAROLE               (kravets m)AGUILAR M 122 3.50 11% 8.50    
 
PEN-4   12/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:22
See original race card.
:213 :444 :574     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOURBON CURRENCY 7 7 711 7   35 1¼ (wolfe jr)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 15.00 20% 3.90 3.10 W
MAHOMES MONEY 2 1 1 13   1 2¼ (martinez alexa)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 2.50 1.30  
NAUTICAL NATURE 5 2 2 23   2 3 (ippolito mark)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 6.00 29.30  
OBROTHER ITSYLVIA 4 6 69 6   6 4 (shea lydee)INIRIO J 120 8.00 32.10  
DAKOTA OUTLAW 6 4 46 4   56 5 (mcclellan c)AGUILAR M 122 4.00 23% 3.40 9.60  
CHROME FINISH 1 5 3 57   77 6 (rodriguez jos)CORUJO LEONARDO 124 4.50 10.30  
WICKED CRAZY 3 3 56 36   4 7 (kreiser tim)HERNANDEZ A 121 3.50 27% 2.80 2.80  
EYE OF GUNFIGHTER 8 8 813 812½   812 8 (smith lawre)VARGAS L 120 15.00 38.50  
 
PEN-5   12/21/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:49
See original race card.
:233 :472 1:124 1:254   1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIZAAM 1 4 45 4 42 2nk 1½ (mcclellan c)AGUILAR M 122 4.00 5.90  
A T M AWESOME 2 1 3 32 31 1nk 2½ (zalalas mic)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.50 11% 8.10 1.20 P
CARGO SHIP 5 3 1nk 1½ 1nk 34 34 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.00 35% 1.90 1.40 S
ELEVATED FOREVER 7 6 69 510½ 5 4 4 (garrido raul)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 10.00 31.90  
PEPE TONO 4 2 57 610½ 67 6 510¼ (moreno tito)INIRIO J 122 8.00 10.00  
SMOOTH OPERATION 6 5 2nk 2½ 2nk 5 611¾ (grusmark karl)TUNON JORDANO 122 2.50 12.20  
MR. SKITTLES 3 7 7 712 714 717½ 725½ (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 15.00 9% 10.20 63.80  
SCR  CHASE RUNNER               (borges israel)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 6.00 16% 5.20    
 
PEN-6   12/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 2 F PT- 8:16
See original race card.
:223 :463 :591     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOXY JUNIOR 5 5 32 2   2½ 1¾ (houghton thom)INIRIO J 122 6.00 15.10  
CELTIC REVIVAL 6 3 1 1   1½ 2¾ (chircop steven)DAVID MICHAEL 122 3.00 4.20  
MORGANS COVE 3 8 74 43   42 3 (houghton thomas)CHIAPPE R 122 3.50 55% 0.80 4.20 S
10  FOR CRYIN OUT LOUD 9 1 64 5   32 43 (trombetta m)RODRIGUEZ R 122 10.00 10.10  
SOCIAL SUCCESS 8 7 95 9   7 54 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 122 12.00 6% 15.90 18.40  
FREYDIS 1 2 2 33   5 6 (albright george)TUNON JORDANO 122 5.00 6.80  
11  JOB'S NOT FINISHED 10 10 10 8   8 7 (hendriks richard)CEDENO CAROL 122 8.00 3.20  
SIDESWIPED 4 9 8 6   6 88 (stites flin)HERNANDEZ A 122 12.00 7.10  
SENSIBLE MARRIAGE 2 4 4 7   910¼ 913¾ (agnew naoise)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 8.00 9.00  
JUSTICE OR APPEAL 7 6 53 1010¼   1016¼ 1020¾ (agnew naois)VARGAS L 122 12.00 6% 15.90 25.10  
SCR  SACRED WISH               (salvaggio m)HERNANDEZ A 122 10.00 6% 15.90    
 
PEN-7   12/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:43
See original race card.
:221 :452 :573     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LILTONYTWOPHONES 4 1 1½ 1   13 1nk (simoff andrew)CEDENO CAROL 123 1.80 43% 1.30 0.50 W
WILD VINE 6 2 43 45   4 2nk (stites w)AGUILAR M 123 12.00 9% 10.70 8.80 P
KAZ MUNNINGS 5 3 2½ 2   33 3 (synnefias dimit)PANAIJO JORGE 123 6.00 9.70  
JUST GOT STARTED 2 4 3 3   23 4 (spina charles)TORRES JOMAR 123 3.00 17% 4.80 3.00  
NECCO 1 5 5 5   57 5 (murtough stephen )RODRIGUEZ E 124 6.00 9.60  
CAMP COFFEE 3 6 612½ 618½   620 619¼ (hendriks mc)HERNANDEZ A 123 15.00 9% 10.70 31.20  
SCR  SUNSHINE JACK               (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 123 3.50    
 
PEN-8   12/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:10
See original race card.
:231 :47 :592     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOOTSYSROCKNROLLER 4 2 3 3   31 1¾ (zalalas michae)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 10.00 13.70  
BLIND SIGHT 3 4 22 2   1nk 2¾ (lucas bonnie)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 5.00 2.70 P
SIMPLE SOUVENIR 2 5 5 45   43 33 (chircop ste)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.50 9% 9.60 1.20 S
LA LENA 5 1 12 1   2nk 45 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00 13% 6.50 1.80  
OUR JESSICA JOAN 1 3 43 57   57 512¼ (houghton thomas)CHIAPPE R 119 8.00 11.20  
SCR  MISS JUNEBUG               (albright george)TUNON JORDANO 124 10.00    
SCR  MIZZEN               (farrior ant)RODRIGUEZ R 120 4.00 48% 1.10    
SCR  SWEET ANNABELLA               (brown a)BARBOSA JEIRON 116 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.