Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Wednesday - December 21, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   12/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CALCULATED THINKIN Oct18 Oct04 Sep07 Aug18 Jul06 (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 120 12.00 14% 6.30    
2  LEAVE 'EM LOADED Nov22 Sep22 Sep01 Aug10 Jul22 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 10.00    
3  PERUVIAN BOY Nov23 Oct04 Sep08 Aug18 Jul25 (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 120 1.60 37% 1.70    
4  KITTEN'S SOLUTION Oct25 Oct04 Sep09 Aug26 Aug04 (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.50 ★    
5  THE RIGHT PATH Nov30 Nov16 Oct19 Oct03 Sep23 (diaz jorge)MILAN GERARDO 120 6.00 ★    
6  ASLUCKWOULDHAVIT Nov30 Nov08 Sep08 Aug24 Aug10 (graci kim)RODRIGUEZ R 123 2.50 21% 3.70    
 
PEN-2   12/21/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MYSTIC LINK Nov07 Oct22 Sep24 Sep08 Aug27 (ness jami)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.50 ★    
2  ILLUSTRIOUS Nov02 Oct19 Oct01 Sep15 Aug27 (diaz jorge)MILAN GERARDO 119 6.00    
3  EXCURSION Dec06 Nov28 Oct31 Oct05 Sep20 (ramirez silvi)RIVERA D 120 12.00    
4  FRIENDLY FELLA Nov27 Oct16 Sep03 Aug19 Aug01 (gonzale)ORTIZ ORLANDO 120 3.00 18% 4.70    
5  CHARGING LION Nov30 Nov08 Oct18 Sep15 Aug31 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 4.00 10% 9.30    
SCR  SOUPER FLY OVER Nov23 Oct31 Aug25 Jul25 Jun01 (collazo lui)RAMOS C 115 30.00 9% 9.80    
7  WENTZ Nov22 Sep19 Aug24 Jul27 Jun25 (graci kimber)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 2.00 35% 1.80    
 
PEN-3   12/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 2 ALL PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MACHO HONCHO Dec02         (salvaggio mich)CONNER TYLER 122 12.00    
2  OUR MARK STEVEN         (houghton )VARGAS L 122 12.00    
3  WHISKIED UP Oct27         (hendriks )RODRIGUEZ R 122 12.00    
4  BOOK RUNNER Dec13 Nov30 Nov09     (salinas jos)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 4.00 27% 2.80    
5  SECRET ADDICTION Nov16 Oct28 Oct06 Sep03   (catalano l)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 3.00    
SCR  UPFOR PAROLE Nov23 Nov09       (kravets m)AGUILAR M 122 3.50 11% 8.50    
7  MEET THE ELITE Nov09 Nov01       (coletti edw)NUNEZ Y 122 5.00    
8  ON AN ISLAND Dec02 Nov09       (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 8.00    
SCR  LETSGETLUCKYTONITE         (sarson alisa )DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 15.00 9% 9.80    
10  CAN'T STOP MAXEY         (beattie cody)WHITNEY G 122 15.00 9% 9.80    
11  DON'T QUESTION ME         (jacavone j)LLOYD W 122 15.00 9% 9.80    
 
PEN-4   12/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHROME FINISH Dec02 Nov16 Nov05 Oct19 Sep22 (rodriguez j)CORUJO LEONARDO 124 4.50 ★    
2  MAHOMES MONEY Nov16 Oct19 Sep25     (martinez al)RAMOS C 117 2.50    
3  WICKED CRAZY Nov25 Oct24 Oct03 Aug29 Aug18 (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 121 3.50 27% 2.80    
4  OBROTHER ITSYLVIA Oct21 Aug31 Aug04 Jul06 Jun09 (shea lydee)INIRIO J 120 8.00 ★    
5  NAUTICAL NATURE Nov15 Oct21 Sep23 Sep09 Aug25 (ippolito ma)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 6.00    
6  DAKOTA OUTLAW Nov15 Oct26 Oct12 Sep22 Aug24 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122 4.00 23% 3.40    
7  BOURBON CURRENCY Dec06 Nov04 Oct11 Sep25 Aug20 (wolfe jr)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 15.00 20% 3.90    
8  EYE OF GUNFIGHTER Nov25 Nov13 Nov05 Oct30 Oct22 (smith la)DAVIS A 120 15.00    
 
PEN-5   12/21/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIZAAM Dec09 Nov16 Oct25 Oct10 Sep19 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122 4.00    
2  A T M AWESOME Nov30 Nov02 Oct11 Sep15 Sep07 (zalalas m)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.50 11% 8.10    
3  MR. SKITTLES Oct11 Sep15 Aug24     (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 15.00 9% 10.20    
4  PEPE TONO Nov30 Oct18 Sep22 Aug31 Aug11 (moreno tito)INIRIO J 122 8.00 ★    
5  CARGO SHIP Sep07 Aug17 Jul06 Jun09 May19 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.00 35% 1.90    
6  SMOOTH OPERATION Nov07 Sep26 Sep07 Aug10 Jul14 (grusmark karl)TUNON JORDANO 122 2.50    
7  ELEVATED FOREVER Dec02 Nov12 Oct14 Aug30 Aug03 (garrido)NUNEZ ANAHI 122 10.00    
SCR  CHASE RUNNER Nov10         (borges isra)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 6.00 16% 5.20    
 
PEN-6   12/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 2 F PT- 8:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FREYDIS Nov30 Nov08 Sep24 Aug22 Jul27 (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 122 5.00    
2  SENSIBLE MARRIAGE Nov08 Oct24 Sep24     (agnew naois)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 8.00 ★    
3  MORGANS COVE Nov30 Nov08 Oct26     (houghton thomas)CHIAPPE R 122 3.50 55% 0.80    
4  SIDESWIPED Nov08 Oct14 Sep01     (stites w)CONNER TYLER 122 12.00    
5  FOXY JUNIOR Nov30 Nov08 Oct14     (houghton th)INIRIO J 122 6.00    
SCR  SACRED WISH         (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 122 10.00 6% 15.90    
7  CELTIC REVIVAL Nov27 Nov05 Oct14 Oct07 Sep16 (chircop steve)DAVID MICHAEL 122 3.00    
8  JUSTICE OR APPEAL         (agnew nao)VARGAS L 122 12.00 6% 15.90    
9  SOCIAL SUCCESS         (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 12.00 6% 15.90    
10  FOR CRYIN OUT LOUD Nov30 Jul05       (trombetta)RODRIGUEZ R 122 10.00    
11  JOB'S NOT FINISHED Sep28         (hendriks richa)CEDENO CAROL 122 8.00    
 
PEN-7   12/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NECCO Dec06 Nov15 Oct21 Oct07 Sep10 (murtough stephe)RODRIGUEZ E 124 6.00    
SCR  SUNSHINE JACK Dec06 Oct21       (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 123 3.50 ★    
3  JUST GOT STARTED Jul08 Jun04       (spina charles)CORA D 123 3.00 17% 4.80    
4  CAMP COFFEE         (hendriks )HERNANDEZ A 123 15.00 9% 10.70    
5  LILTONYTWOPHONES Dec06 Oct22 Oct06 Sep24 Aug27 (simoff andrew)CEDENO CAROL 123 1.80 43% 1.30    
6  KAZ MUNNINGS Oct18 Jun01       (synnefias dimi)CONNER TYLER 123 6.00    
7  WILD VINE         (stites w)AGUILAR M 123 12.00 9% 10.70    
 
PEN-8   12/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OUR JESSICA JOAN Nov22 Oct18 Sep16 Aug12 Jul14 (houghton thomas)CHIAPPE R 119 8.00 ★    
2  SIMPLE SOUVENIR Dec11 Nov24 Nov11 Oct13 Sep18 (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.50 9% 9.60    
SCR  SWEET ANNABELLA Nov30 Nov17 Sep30 Aug08 Jul19 (brown keith )BARBOSA JEIRON 116 12.00    
SCR  MIZZEN Dec10 Nov23 Nov05 Oct12 Sep17 (farrior a)RODRIGUEZ R 120 4.00 48% 1.10    
5  BLIND SIGHT Nov05 Sep11 Aug13 Jul23 Jul04 (lucas bonni)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 5.00 ★    
SCR  MISS JUNEBUG Dec07 Nov23 Oct28 Oct11 Mar29 (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 124 10.00    
7  TOOTSYSROCKNROLLER Dec07 Nov16 Jun16 Apr27 Mar25 (zalalas michael)CORA D 120 10.00    
8  LA LENA Nov22 Sep23 Sep08 Jun30 May11 (kulp l)WHITNEY G 120 3.00 13% 6.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.