Handicappers' Race Results

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Penn National
Friday - December 09, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   12/09/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:23 :464 :594     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAILEY COFFEE 7 1 1½ 12   1 1 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 123 1.80 13% 6.50 1.50 W
SKIMBLE SHANKS 1 4 54 3   2 2 (beattie d)WHITNEY G 123 8.00 5.40 P
SONIC BLOOM 6 2 3 22   32 32 (hendriks mc)HERNANDEZ A 123 15.00 49.90  
FORECLOSURE 5 7 43 44   4 4 (houghton thomas)CORA D 123 3.00 58% 0.70 1.30  
SIR STEELE 2 5 77 710   710 59 (carpio erin)TUNON JORDANO 124 2.50 8.50  
MR. REDOLFO 3 6 64 69   610 6 (stites flint )INIRIO J 123 8.00 10.90  
DEE BUG 4 3 2½ 56   5 714¼ (shea lydee)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 12.00 70.60  
 
PEN-2   12/09/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
See original race card.
:223 :462 :584     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
READY AND RICH 7 2 42 2½   1½ 1½ (graci a)CHIAPPE R 122 2.50 25% 3.10 1.80 W
MR. PETE 6 5 5 54   4 2½ (sells rachel)INIRIO J 122 8.00 6.80  
COAST TO COAST 1 4 2 31   2½ 3¾ (sinnefia paul)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 6.00 9.90 S
WOLFINBARGER 4 1 3 4   33 4 (rathman eli)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.00 7% 14.10 6.00  
FAST CASH 2 6 8 87   7 5 (bobadilla f)CORA D 120 4.50 35% 1.80 3.10  
BERHANU 3 7 6 64   65 6 (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 122 5.00 6% 15.10 6.10  
FLASHINTHENIGHT 8 3 1 1½   55 710 (salvaggio michael)WHITNEY G 122 10.00 21.40  
ROCKIN COWBOY 5 8 7 76   811½ 815½ (nicholson junio)PEREZ M 122 10.00 13.90  
 
PEN-3   12/09/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:54
See original race card.
:223 :463 :591     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRUE GOLD 4 6 2nk 1nk   1 1 (sells rache)VARGAS L 124 3.00 32% 2.10 4.70 W
KUDURO 8 2 6 42   33 2 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 124 5.00 1.90 P
TOMASCO 6 3 4 3½   2 3 (farley j)WHITNEY G 124 12.00 23.00  
TORAZO 2 8 7 7   5 46 (ecker danielle)LLOYD W 124 12.00 21% 3.80 37.40  
WHO YOU SAY I AM 7 1 5 5   4 5 (smith r)CORA D 124 10.00 24.30  
SHADOW BOAT 1 9 9 9   810½ 611 (bobadilla f)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 15.00 50.20  
BAVARIA 3 4 3.2 6   7 713¾ (rozell ron)TUNON JORDANO 124 15.00 18.20  
BAND ON TOUR 5 5 1nk 2nk   6 817¾ (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ R 124 2.50 22% 3.50 1.90  
10  HIGH COMMAND 9 7 8 8   911½ 918¼ (grusmark karl)CONNER TYLER 124 6.00 4.60  
SCR  KADENS COURAGE               (arce josue)TREJOS JOSEPH 124 4.50    
SCR  PECOS BILL               (bartoni wayne )BARBOSA JEIRON 119 10.00    
 
PEN-4   12/09/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:22
See original race card.
:224 :461 :593     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JACK'S LILLY 5 1 5 43   31 1nk (farrior ant)HERNANDEZ A 121 1.80 42% 1.40 0.70 W
SPUNKY ZOEY 1 3 11 11   11 2nk (stites flint )INIRIO J 122 3.00 16% 5.30 3.00 P
STRAWBERRY POINT 4 5 4 3   21 3 (montoya marya)BOWMAN ADAM 121 3.50 6.70 S
DARN THAT SONG 2 4 21 21   4 4 (sells rachel)CONNER TYLER 121 4.00 19% 4.20 3.70  
CAN I GET AN AMEN 3 2 31 5   510¾ 519¾ (hayes kirsten)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 15.00 30.50  
SCR  GUSSIE'S NOTION               (shea lydee)CORA D 122 6.00    
 
PEN-5   12/09/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:49
See original race card.
:222 :452 :574     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOWNTOWNCHALYBROWN 7 2 1 1   1 1 (kreiser tim)RODRIGUEZ R 123 2.50 0.90  
TRA LAD 2 5 65 54   3 2 (o'callahan ca)SALGADO ANTHONY 119 12.00 24% 3.10 5.10 P
GRAND WISER 5 4 75 44   2 32 (maymo j)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 10.00 14.80  
CANT STOP THIS MAN 1 7 2 33   5 4 (ramirez silvino)RIVERA D 120 8.00 5% 17.90 8.70  
KHAKI JACK 6 1 4 2   4 55 (kulp l)WHITNEY G 122 4.50 6% 15.80 8.70  
HIDE THE RANSOM 3 3 32 6   6 67 (ness jamie)HERNANDEZ A 120 4.00 27% 2.70 4.30  
HIZAAM 4 6 54 7   711¾ 717¼ (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 120 6.00 13.40  
SCR  MAHOMES MONEY               (martinez alex)RAMOS C 115 10.00    
SCR  PASSAGE OF LINES               (pino v)BOWMAN ADAM 120 8.00 12% 7.50    
 
PEN-6   12/09/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:16
See original race card.
:221 :452 :581     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROMANTIC GAMBLE 4 5 4 3   2nk 1 (chircop ste)HERNANDEZ A 121 4.00 6% 14.80 2.10 W
ON THE RIM 3 3 1 1   1nk 2 (fenimore elbert)RODRIGUEZ E 121 15.00 31.10  
MISCHIEVIOUSBUD 2 4 5 4   34 39 (o'callahan )RODRIGUEZ R 122 5.00 34% 2.00 2.50 S
FREEDOM'S START 5 7 8 6   5 410¼ (albright george)TUNON JORDANO 121 6.00 22.20  
JUMP FOR THE WIN 8 1 6 5   6 513¼ (hendriks mcla)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 121 4.50 29% 2.50 6.30  
PAID THE PREACHER 6 2 2 2   4 618½ (rogers michael)CHIAPPE R 122 3.00 6% 16.90 2.10  
GERONIMO (CHI) 1 8 7 812   714¾ 727½ (stites willia)INIRIO J 121 12.00 5% 19.00 26.30  
D'STORM 7 6 3 710   816¾ 836½ (stites flint )CORUJO LEONARDO 121 8.00 19.10  
SCR  GOSIGNAL               (wolfe jr)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 10.00    
 
PEN-7   12/09/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:43
See original race card.
:24 :481 1:143 1:282   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRANTLEYS BIG GUN 2 4 6 63 5 5 1 (albright ge)VARGAS L 123 12.00 9.40  
JEKYLL ISLAND 7 3 4¾ 2nk 1nk 1½ 2 (stowers michel)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 3.00 15% 5.50 1.50 P
FIRE D'ROCKET 1 5 2nk 41 4 3½ 3 (colgan a)CHIAPPE R 124 10.00 7.40  
SMOOZER 6 7 5 5 31 4 4 (allen ferris)BATISTA A 123 2.50 7% 12.60 2.50  
D'LUCCI BOY 5 2 3.2 3½ 6 6 54 (dunham ber)FLORES JR 124 12.00 9.90  
FLAT BUSTED 4 1 1nk 1nk 2nk 2½ 6 (stites flint )CORUJO LEONARDO 124 10.00 4.90  
MARC WELLS 8 8 810¾ 8 8 7 76 (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 124 12.00 6% 16.30 18.90  
MISTER ARANGUIZ 3 6 7 78 7 8 812¼ (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 124 50.00 ######  
SCR  RUN AWAY EMPIRE               (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 123 2.00 48% 1.10    
 
PEN-8   12/09/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:10
See original race card.
:22 :46 :583     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCARY LARRY 6 4 42 3½   1nk 1¼ (kreiser tim)HERNANDEZ A 124 4.00 3.80  
VIOLENT PASS 4 3 3 2nk   2nk 2¼ (lucas bonni)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.50 4.20 P
ACT OF VALOR 7 1 1nk 1nk   3.2 3¾ (murtough stephen )RODRIGUEZ E 114 12.00 19.00  
THE LITTLE SPROUT 1 7 5 4   4 4 (o'callahan ca)SALGADO ANTHONY 119 3.50 5% 19.00 2.70  
TIZ HANDSOME 5 2 2nk 5   5 5 (albright amy)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 3.00 51% 1.00 2.60  
TUCKABUCKAWAY 8 8 89 8   7 6 (grusmark karl)TUNON JORDANO 120 12.00 5% 19.00 10.80  
BLO MY BUDGET 2 5 7 6   6 7 (salvaggio v)CONNER TYLER 119 4.50 7.50  
WINNERS WIN 3 6 65 7   8 816½ (bobadilla f)CORA D 119 20.00 62.30  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.