Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Friday - December 09, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   12/09/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SKIMBLE SHANKS Sep08 Aug17 Jul28 Jul15 Jul01 (beattie sandee )WHITNEY G 123 8.00 ★    
2  SIR STEELE Nov08 Sep21 Aug18 Jul27   (carpio erin)TUNON JORDANO 124 2.50 ★    
3  MR. REDOLFO Sep06 Aug16       (stites flin)INIRIO J 123 8.00 ★    
4  DEE BUG Nov08         (shea lydee)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 12.00    
5  FORECLOSURE Nov25         (houghton thomas)CORA D 123 3.00 58% 0.70    
6  SONIC BLOOM Nov08 Oct17 Sep24     (hendriks mclan)CEDENO CAROL 123 15.00    
7  BAILEY COFFEE Nov08 Oct14 Oct05 Aug31   (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 123 1.80 13% 6.50    
 
PEN-2   12/09/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COAST TO COAST Nov16 Oct26 Oct18 Sep22 Aug31 (sinnefia paulina)AGUILAR M 122 6.00 ★    
2  FAST CASH Oct01 Sep08 Aug20 Jul30 Jul16 (bobadilla f)CORA D 120 4.50 35% 1.80    
3  BERHANU Nov04 Oct11 Sep15 Sep01 Jun26 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122 5.00 6% 15.10    
4  WOLFINBARGER Nov16 Oct14 Sep23 Aug19 Jul29 (rathman e)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.00 7% 14.10    
5  ROCKIN COWBOY Sep21 Aug31 Aug11 Jul20 Jul07 (nicholson jun)PEREZ M 122 10.00    
6  MR. PETE Nov02 Sep08 Aug05 Jun23 May22 (sells rache)INIRIO J 122 8.00    
7  READY AND RICH Nov18 Oct11 Sep15 Aug26 Jul21 (graci a)CHIAPPE R 122 2.50 25% 3.10    
8  FLASHINTHENIGHT Nov20 Oct30 Sep23 Sep14 Aug31 (salvaggio micha)WHITNEY G 122 10.00    
 
PEN-3   12/09/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHADOW BOAT Nov18 Oct28 Sep01 Aug10 Jul07 (bobadilla j )VILLEGAS JERRY 124 15.00    
2  TORAZO Oct28 Oct05 Sep15 Sep01 Aug04 (ecker danielle)LLOYD W 124 12.00 21% 3.80    
3  BAVARIA Nov30 Nov18 Oct25 Oct07 Sep22 (rozell ron)TUNON JORDANO 124 15.00    
4  TRUE GOLD Nov22 Nov14 Oct31 Oct04 Sep20 (sells rac)VARGAS L 124 3.00 32% 2.10    
5  BAND ON TOUR Nov15 Nov02 Sep29 Sep02   (ness jami)RODRIGUEZ R 124 2.50 22% 3.50    
SCR  PECOS BILL Aug31 Jul20 Jun22 May25 Apr27 (bartoni wayn)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 10.00    
7  TOMASCO Aug25 Jul20 Jul07 Jun11   (farley phillip )WHITNEY G 124 12.00    
8  WHO YOU SAY I AM Nov18 Oct28 Aug04 Jul21 Jul07 (smith r)CORA D 124 10.00    
9  KUDURO Nov15 Oct19 Sep23 Aug31 Aug11 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 124 5.00 ★    
10  HIGH COMMAND Nov15 Oct25 Jul06 Jun13 May18 (grusmark)DAVIS A 124 6.00    
SCR  KADENS COURAGE Oct28 Oct03 Sep05 Aug11 Jun06 (arce josue)TREJOS JOSEPH 124 4.50 ★    
 
PEN-4   12/09/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPUNKY ZOEY Nov22 Nov04 Oct05 Aug18 Aug05 (stites flin)INIRIO J 122 3.00 16% 5.30    
SCR  GUSSIE'S NOTION Nov18 Apr29 Apr06 Jan28   (shea lydee)CORA D 122 6.00    
3  DARN THAT SONG Nov22 Oct24 Oct10 Sep26 Sep04 (sells rachel)CONNER TYLER 121 4.00 19% 4.20    
4  CAN I GET AN AMEN Oct20 Jul28       (hayes kirsten)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 15.00 ★    
5  STRAWBERRY POINT Nov28 Nov05 Sep13 Jun30   (montoya ma)SANCHEZ J 121 3.50 ★    
6  JACK'S LILLY Nov22 Oct26 Oct07 Aug17 Aug03 (farrior a)HERNANDEZ A 121 1.80 42% 1.40    
 
PEN-5   12/09/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CANT STOP THIS MAN Nov23 Nov01 Oct25 Sep14 Sep02 (ramirez silvi)RIVERA D 120 8.00 5% 17.90    
2  TRA LAD Nov13 Oct11 Sep16     (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 119 12.00 24% 3.10    
3  HIDE THE RANSOM Nov29 Nov01 Oct11 Sep05 Aug05 (ness jami)HERNANDEZ A 120 4.00 27% 2.70    
4  HIZAAM Nov16 Oct25 Oct10 Sep19 Sep07 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120 6.00    
SCR  MAHOMES MONEY Nov16 Oct19 Sep25     (martinez al)RAMOS C 115 10.00    
SCR  PASSAGE OF LINES Nov14 Oct19 Sep27 Aug30 Jul26 (pino v)BOWMAN ADAM 120 8.00 12% 7.50    
7  GRAND WISER Nov15 Nov04 Oct15 Oct08 Sep14 (maymo j)AGUILAR M 120 10.00    
8  KHAKI JACK Nov16 Nov01 Oct07 Sep07 Aug26 (kulp l)WHITNEY G 122 4.50 6% 15.80    
9  DOWNTOWNCHALYBROWN Nov15 Oct25 Aug24 Aug12 Jun27 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 123 2.50    
 
PEN-6   12/09/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GERONIMO (CHI) Jun02         (stites will)INIRIO J 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GOSIGNAL Nov15 Mar09 Feb11 Jan04   (wolfe jr)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 10.00    
3  MISCHIEVIOUSBUD Nov03 Oct24 Sep22 Sep01 Aug15 (o'callaha)RODRIGUEZ R 122 5.00 34% 2.00    
4  ON THE RIM Oct26 Aug04 Jun29 Jun10 May11 (fenimore elbert)RODRIGUEZ E 121 15.00    
5  ROMANTIC GAMBLE Nov27 Oct23 Oct07 Jul17 Jun02 (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 121 4.00 6% 14.80    
6  FREEDOM'S START Nov02 Oct18 Oct04 Sep09 Aug24 (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 121 6.00    
7  PAID THE PREACHER Nov15 Oct26 Oct11 Sep27 Sep06 (rogers michael)CHIAPPE R 122 3.00 6% 16.90    
8  D'STORM Nov08 Oct14       (stites w)AGUILAR M 121 8.00    
9  JUMP FOR THE WIN Feb23 Jan25       (hendriks mc)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 121 4.50 29% 2.50    
 
PEN-7   12/09/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIRE D'ROCKET Nov05 Sep18 Aug21     (colgan a)CHIAPPE R 124 10.00    
2  BRANTLEYS BIG GUN Nov25 Nov08 Oct12 Sep22 Sep07 (albright )VARGAS L 123 12.00    
3  MISTER ARANGUIZ Nov09 Oct25 Oct07 Sep16 Sep07 (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 124 50.00    
4  FLAT BUSTED Nov25 Nov08 Jan25     (stites flin)CORUJO LEONARDO 124 10.00 ★    
5  D'LUCCI BOY Nov09 Sep27       (dunham b)FLORES JR 124 12.00    
6  SMOOZER Nov05 Jun01 May06 Apr22 Mar22 (allen ferr)BATISTA A 123 2.50 7% 12.60    
SCR  RUN AWAY EMPIRE Nov25 Oct12 Sep22 Sep07 Aug25 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 123 2.00 48% 1.10    
8  JEKYLL ISLAND Nov25 Nov08 Oct25 Sep22 Sep08 (stowers mich)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 3.00 15% 5.50    
9  MARC WELLS Oct12 Aug25 Jul20 Jun10 May06 (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 124 12.00 6% 16.30    
 
PEN-8   12/09/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE LITTLE SPROUT Nov16 Oct26 Oct07 Aug17 Jul08 (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 119 3.50 5% 19.00    
2  BLO MY BUDGET Nov16 Nov01 Oct04 Jun10 May13 (salvaggio mark)CONNER TYLER 119 4.50 ★    
3  WINNERS WIN Dec02 Nov09 Oct26 Oct12 Sep21 (bobadilla f)CORA D 119 20.00    
4  VIOLENT PASS Nov23 Nov09 Oct22 Oct06 Sep02 (lucas bon)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.50 ★    
5  TIZ HANDSOME Nov09 Oct25 Oct04 Aug29 Aug08 (albright amy)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 3.00 51% 1.00    
6  SCARY LARRY Nov16 Oct25 Sep02 Aug24 Jul21 (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 124 4.00    
7  ACT OF VALOR Nov16 Oct26 Oct12 Sep22 Sep02 (murtough ste)BARBOSA JEIRON 114 12.00    
8  TUCKABUCKAWAY Nov16 Aug29 Aug10 Jul25 Jul11 (grusmark karl)TUNON JORDANO 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.