Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Charles Town
Saturday - December 10, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
CT-1   12/10/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
See original race card.
:241 :481 1:134     1:203   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CRUZ IN THE CASTLE 7 4 11 1½   1 1¼ (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 2.50 9% 10.60 1.40 W
MIZZEN 5 5 21 2½   2 2¼ (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 4.00 29% 2.50 3.70 P
IMAGINE VICTORY 1 2 33 3   32 3 (pickett crys)LEWIS M 115 3.00 6% 15.10 2.10 S
SKYFLY 3 1 43 44   410 411¾ (locklear james)BAEZ M 115 4.50 33% 2.00 8.30  
UNEXPECTEDLY 6 6 611 67   611½ 513 (rangel ricard)ADAMS L 115 15.00 50.80  
GOLDEN ACCOUNT 2 3 54 5   510 616½ (cash norma)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 120 3.50 6.80  
WATERLOO ROSE 4 7 725 729   721½ 721½ (tobin l)LARROSA G 120 20.00 81.20  
 
CT-2   12/10/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
See original race card.
:232 :474 1:142     1:282   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CODAS HONOR 7 7 7 7   2½ 15 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.80 37% 1.70 1.90 W
REVEIRS MINUTE 1 1 12 1   1½ 25 (hess jacob )MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 5.00 14.60  
ARROWWOOD 2 3 32 2   31 3 (runco c)LEWIS M 117 4.00 13% 7.00 3.50 S
IRISH SAMURAI 4 2 4 33   4 410½ (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 3.00 3.70  
SUPERSTASIA 5 5 5 43   5 515¾ (rangel rica)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 20.00 42.30  
WALK A FINE LINE 6 6 6 65   7 616¼ (contrer)NUNEZ ANAHI 124 4.50 16% 5.20 6.30  
LILLY SIMONE 3 4 22 5   69 722 (perez ernesto)BAEZ M 115 15.00 5% 17.60 3.60  
 
CT-3   12/10/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:02
See original race card.
:241 :49 1:151     1:29   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOSSIPING 1 1 31 33   2½ 13 (perez ernesto)RODRIGUEZ V 120 5.00 4.50  
PRETTY SPECTACULAR 5 2 2½ 2nk   3½ 23 (montilla ca)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 4.50 6.30  
HOW IS SHE 6 6 68 6   6 33 (johnson de)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 8.00 7% 12.60 8.60 S
MAYSVILLE MISS 2 3 1½ 1nk   1½ 4 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.20 62% 0.60 0.50  
BOCA BIRDIE 4 4 57 5   43 5 (pickett crys)LEWIS M 115 15.00 16.00  
FASHION ICON 3 5 4 47   54 6 (locklear james)BAEZ M 115 20.00 5% 19.00 15.10  
C V'S CAMPFIRE 7 7 713½ 719¼   722½ 737½ (jones michael)ADAMS L 115 20.00 46.10  
SCR  YIRA               (salazar marco)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 4.00    
 
CT-4   12/10/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:32
See original race card.
:241 :483 1:144     1:291   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EXCUSES EXCUSES 1 1 1 11   1nk 1¼ (pickett cry)MCKENZIE CONNIE 113 20.00 29.80  
ROSELEE 6 5 2 21   2nk 2¼ (nazario p)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 120 5.00 5.20  
RAVIOLI MAMA 5 3 32 43   32 3¾ (scott lloyd )LEWIS M 113 20.00 9% 10.50 26.30 S
CEDARS BULLS EYE 8 7 43 33   4 42 (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 2.50 11% 8.30 2.20  
I B NASTY 3 4 75 7   64 5 (racanelli m)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 6.00 7.60  
UPTOWN BELLE 4 8 6 5   53 6 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 120 1.80 2.00  
ULTIMATE BREEZE 7 6 54 6   75 711½ (sandoval mich)CHILO JACINTO 118 20.00 34.20  
GREEN SCREEN QUEEN 2 2 8 811   810 814¾ (beattie c)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 4.50 57% 0.80 4.00  
 
CT-5   12/10/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:02
See original race card.
:234 :483 1:143     1:291   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAVENEL 8 8 4 3.2   13 1 (harting chri)BATISTA A 122 8.00 8.10  
STYLISH PAINT 3 1 3 4   23 2 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 3.00 17% 4.90 2.40 P
SEEDS OF TIME 4 3 54 5   35 33 (keller christo)ARAUJO DENIS 124 2.50 1.00  
SHE FIGURES 7 5 6 6   67 4 (joy kevin)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 4.00 19% 4.30 5.10  
TO FAT TO FISH 1 6 719½ 719¾   79 5 (hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 124 15.00 27.20  
FUDGE CAKE 2 2 1½ 1nk   45 6 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 15.00 15.20  
MAD MARY 5 4 2½ 2nk   5 7 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 12.00 9% 9.50 26.90  
MISS HEART 6 7 820 825¾   817 815 (pennella rhea)ADAMS L 117 10.00 8% 12.20 46.60  
SCR  SHEMADEMELUCKY               (sillaman richard )HO WESLEY 120 6.00 16% 5.40    
 
CT-6   12/10/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
See original race card.
:24 :49 1:151     1:291   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIENTE EL AMOR 5 3 4 2nk   12 1 (stehr p)ARAUJO DENIS 120 4.50 5.50  
WINDSOR'S TRACKER 4 4 2nk 1nk   22 2 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 8.00 9% 9.90 5.30 P
JACKSON MAN 3 7 5 4   34 3 (harrison glen)SIMPSON JASON 122 8.00 29% 2.40 2.30 S
BERNIE THE GAMBLER 6 5 6 7   4 4 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 5.00 28.50  
S S ALASKAN CRUZ 8 8 8 6   5 5 (lucas anthony)LARROSA G 120 4.00 6.00  
YDOUHAVETOBESOMEAN 7 6 7 8   810½ 611½ (atkins michae)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 6.00 25.10  
DUKE OF CORK 2 2 1nk 3.2   6 716¼ (shanley mark)BAEZ M 115 15.00 5% 19.00 27.30  
MADDEYE MOODY 1 1 31 5   79 816½ (carson laura)THORPE DARIUS 122 2.50 32% 2.10 1.80  
 
CT-7   12/10/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.8K) 3UP M/F PT-10:02
See original race card.
:232 :473 1:133     1:281   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HELLUVA LADY 1 1 11 1½   12 11 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 2.50 24% 3.20 1.40 W
KATALIMA 2 5 4 44   43 21 (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 4.00 21% 3.90 7.80 P
KARPATHIAN DREAM 4 3 21 2½   22 3 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 4.50 28% 2.60 1.80 S
FEEL THE LOVE 3 4 56 5   54 46 (lucas antho)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 3.50 6% 14.80 4.70  
PSYCHE 7 7 7 610   7 5 (stites flint )THORPE DARIUS 120 6.00 14.60  
CUMULONIMBUS 5 6 6 711   68 6 (runco c)LEWIS M 113 12.00 23.00  
MY JUBA 6 2 31 31   32 711¼ (hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 6.00 16.80  
 
CT-8   12/10/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($37.7K) 3UP ALL PT-10:32
See original race card.
:234 :471 1:113     1:242   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FREE SAILIN 4 3 11 11   1nk 1½ (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 118 5.00 2.70  
SOCIAL CHIC 1 2 21 21   2nk 2½ (runco c)LEWIS M 115 4.50 22% 3.60 4.70 P
MUAD'DIB 3 4 43 42   4 3 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 0.60 41% 1.50 0.70 S
FANCY CONCHO 6 5 3 31   3 4 (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 10.00 7% 14.30 10.50  
C R'S MANDATE 5 6 53 5   5 5 (schiano-dicola)ARAUJO DENIS 120 8.00 15.80  
SHY GUY 2 1 6 6   611¼ 611½ (sauer j)PELTROCHE F 120 12.00 9% 10.50 23.20  
SCR  REMYS SHOWTIME               (grams timothy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 30.00    
 
CT-9   12/10/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT-11:02
See original race card.
:231 :471 1:14     1:28   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MONGOLIAN HERO 7 6 6 4   3½ 1 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 6.00 8% 12.20 4.80 W
MAD GENIUS 4 1 2½ 2½   1nk 2 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 3.50 42% 1.40 2.10 P
10  TYLER TIME 10 10 8 7   5¾ 3 (mcfarlane br)LEWIS M 115 5.00 12.50  
TWEET THIS 2 2 33 33   4¾ 4 (joy kevin)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 3.00 15% 5.80 4.00  
LOADED SNIPER 1 3 1½ 1½   2nk 5 (frock )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 4.00 6.80  
SCAREDY CAT 9 9 914¼ 915   8 610½ (dillon l)BAEZ M 113 12.00 8.90  
RICARDITO 8 8 7 811   6 714 (ramos agosto )LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 15.00 38.60  
CHARITABLE SPENNY 5 4 43 68   7 817 (dollinger-sth)RIVERA JAVIER 124 10.00 13% 7.00 5.30  
MASTER YOO 3 7 1021¾ 1032   1019¼ 926¼ (downie loff)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 50.00 91.90  
OBANNON 6 5 5 58   912¾ 1028 (racanelli j)CECIL Y 122 15.00 42.40  
SCR  AKINGISALWAYSKING               (ovando melvin)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 5.00    
SCR  INGREIDO               (cruz jaime)TREJOS JOSEPH 122 5.00    
SCR  PRINCE OF PORTLAND               (aguirre j)HO WESLEY 120 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.