The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Charles Town
Saturday - December 10, 2022

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CT-1   12/10/2022 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
:241 :481 1:134     1:203   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CRUZ IN THE CASTLE 7 4 11 1½   11¼ (brown w)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 2.50 9% 10.60 1.40 W
MIZZEN 5 5 21 2½   22¼ (farrior anthony)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 4.00 29% 2.50 3.70 P
IMAGINE VICTORY 1 2 33 3   32 3(pickett g)LEWIS M 115 3.00 6% 15.10 2.10 S
SKYFLY 3 1 43 44   410 411¾ (locklear james)BAEZ M 115 4.50 33% 2.00 8.30  
UNEXPECTEDLY 6 6 611 67   611½ 513 (rangel ricardo)ADAMS L 115 15.00 50.80  
GOLDEN ACCOUNT 2 3 54 5   510 616½ (cash l)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 120 3.50 6.80  
WATERLOO ROSE 4 7 725 729   721½ 721½ (tobin l)LARROSA G 120 20.00 81.20  
 
CT-2   12/10/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
:232 :474 1:142     1:282   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CODAS HONOR 7 7 7 7   2½ 15 (farrior anthony)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.80 37% 1.70 1.90 W
REVEIRS MINUTE 1 1 12 1   1½ 25 (hess g)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 5.00 14.60  
ARROWWOOD 2 3 32 2   31 3(runco c)LEWIS M 117 4.00 13% 7.00 3.50 S
IRISH SAMURAI 4 2 4 33   4410½ (brown w)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 3.00 3.70  
SUPERSTASIA 5 5 5 43   5515¾ (rangel ricardo)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 20.00 42.30  
WALK A FINE LINE 6 6 6 65   7616¼ (contreras javier)NUNEZ ANAHI 124 4.50 16% 5.20 6.30  
LILLY SIMONE 3 4 22 5   69 722 (perez ernesto)BAEZ M 115 15.00 5% 17.60 3.60  
 
CT-3   12/10/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:02
:241 :49 1:151     1:29   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOSSIPING 1 1 31 33   2½ 13 (perez ernesto)RODRIGUEZ V 120 5.00 4.50  
PRETTY SPECTACULAR 5 2 2½ 2nk   3½ 23 (montilla carlos)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 4.50 6.30  
HOW IS SHE 6 6 68 6   633 (johnson c)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 8.00 7% 12.60 8.60 S
MAYSVILLE MISS 2 3 1½ 1nk   1½ 4(farrior anthony)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.20 62% 0.60 0.50  
BOCA BIRDIE 4 4 57 5   43 5(pickett g)LEWIS M 115 15.00 16.00  
FASHION ICON 3 5 4 47   54 6(locklear james)BAEZ M 115 20.00 5% 19.00 15.10  
C V'S CAMPFIRE 7 7 713½ 719¼   722½ 737½ (jones e)ADAMS L 115 20.00 46.10  
SCR  YIRA               (salazar marco)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 4.00    
 
CT-4   12/10/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:32
:241 :483 1:144     1:291   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EXCUSES EXCUSES 1 1 1 11   1nk 1¼ (pickett g)MCKENZIE CONNIE 113 20.00 29.80  
ROSELEE 6 5 2 21   2nk 2¼ (nazario pedro)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 120 5.00 5.20  
RAVIOLI MAMA 5 3 32 43   32 3¾ (scott l)LEWIS M 113 20.00 9% 10.50 26.30 S
CEDARS BULLS EYE 8 7 43 33   442 (grams c)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 2.50 11% 8.30 2.20  
I B NASTY 3 4 75 7   64 5(racanelli j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 6.00 7.60  
UPTOWN BELLE 4 8 6 5   53 6(joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 120 1.80 2.00  
ULTIMATE BREEZE 7 6 54 6   75 711½ (sandoval michael)CHILO JACINTO 118 20.00 34.20  
GREEN SCREEN QUEEN 2 2 8 811   810 814¾ (beattie cody)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 4.50 57% 0.80 4.00  
 
CT-5   12/10/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:02
:234 :483 1:143     1:291   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAVENEL 8 8 4 3.2   13 1(harting r)BATISTA A 122 8.00 8.10  
STYLISH PAINT 3 1 3 4   23 2(brown w)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 3.00 17% 4.90 2.40 P
SEEDS OF TIME 4 3 54 5   35 33 (keller m)ARAUJO DENIS 124 2.50 1.00  
SHE FIGURES 7 5 6 6   67 4(joy j)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 4.00 19% 4.30 5.10  
TO FAT TO FISH 1 6 719½ 719¾   79 5(hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 124 15.00 27.20  
FUDGE CAKE 2 2 1½ 1nk   45 6(jones e)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 15.00 15.20  
MAD MARY 5 4 2½ 2nk   57(farrior anthony)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 12.00 9% 9.50 26.90  
MISS HEART 6 7 820 825¾   817 815 (pennella m)ADAMS L 117 10.00 8% 12.20 46.60  
SCR  SHEMADEMELUCKY               (sillaman p)HO WESLEY 120 6.00 16% 5.40    
 
CT-6   12/10/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
:24 :49 1:151     1:291   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIENTE EL AMOR 5 3 4 2nk   12 1(stehr p)ARAUJO DENIS 120 4.50 5.50  
WINDSOR'S TRACKER 4 4 2nk 1nk   22 2(brown w)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 8.00 9% 9.90 5.30 P
JACKSON MAN 3 7 5 4   34 3(harrison n)SIMPSON JASON 122 8.00 29% 2.40 2.30 S
BERNIE THE GAMBLER 6 5 6 7   44(jones e)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 5.00 28.50  
S S ALASKAN CRUZ 8 8 8 6   55(lucas anthony)LARROSA G 120 4.00 6.00  
YDOUHAVETOBESOMEAN 7 6 7 8   810½ 611½ (atkins g)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 6.00 25.10  
DUKE OF CORK 2 2 1nk 3.2   6716¼ (shanley mark)BAEZ M 115 15.00 5% 19.00 27.30  
MADDEYE MOODY 1 1 31 5   79 816½ (carson laura)THORPE DARIUS 122 2.50 32% 2.10 1.80  
 
CT-7   12/10/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.8K) 3UP M/F PT-10:02
:232 :473 1:133     1:281   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HELLUVA LADY 1 1 11 1½   12 11 (farrior anthony)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 2.50 24% 3.20 1.40 W
KATALIMA 2 5 4 44   43 21 (hanagan g)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 4.00 21% 3.90 7.80 P
KARPATHIAN DREAM 4 3 21 2½   22 3(brown w)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 4.50 28% 2.60 1.80 S
FEEL THE LOVE 3 4 56 5   54 46 (lucas anthony)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 3.50 6% 14.80 4.70  
PSYCHE 7 7 7 610   75(stites w)THORPE DARIUS 120 6.00 14.60  
CUMULONIMBUS 5 6 6 711   68 6(runco c)LEWIS M 113 12.00 23.00  
MY JUBA 6 2 31 31   32 711¼ (hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 6.00 16.80  
 
CT-8   12/10/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($37.7K) 3UP ALL PT-10:32
:234 :471 1:113     1:242   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FREE SAILIN 4 3 11 11   1nk 1½ (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 118 5.00 2.70  
SOCIAL CHIC 1 2 21 21   2nk 2½ (runco c)LEWIS M 115 4.50 22% 3.60 4.70 P
MUAD'DIB 3 4 43 42   43(runco c)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 0.60 41% 1.50 0.70 S
FANCY CONCHO 6 5 3 31   34(grams c)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 10.00 7% 14.30 10.50  
C R'S MANDATE 5 6 53 5   55(schiano-dicola raimo)ARAUJO DENIS 120 8.00 15.80  
SHY GUY 2 1 6 6   611¼ 611½ (sauer j)PELTROCHE F 120 12.00 9% 10.50 23.20  
SCR  REMYS SHOWTIME               (grams c)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 30.00    
 
CT-9   12/10/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT-11:02
:231 :471 1:14     1:28   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MONGOLIAN HERO 7 6 6 4   3½ 1(jones e)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 6.00 8% 12.20 4.80 W
MAD GENIUS 4 1 2½ 2½   1nk 2(farrior anthony)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 3.50 42% 1.40 2.10 P
10  TYLER TIME 10 10 8 7   5¾ 3(mcfarlane brandon)LEWIS M 115 5.00 12.50  
TWEET THIS 2 2 33 33   4¾ 4(joy j)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 3.00 15% 5.80 4.00  
LOADED SNIPER 1 3 1½ 1½   2nk 5(frock l)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 4.00 6.80  
SCAREDY CAT 9 9 914¼ 915   8610½ (dillon l)BAEZ M 113 12.00 8.90  
RICARDITO 8 8 7 811   6714 (ramos miguel)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 15.00 38.60  
CHARITABLE SPENNY 5 4 43 68   7817 (dollinger-sthr linda)RIVERA JAVIER 124 10.00 13% 7.00 5.30  
MASTER YOO 3 7 1021¾ 1032   1019¼ 926¼ (downie lofflin)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 50.00 91.90  
OBANNON 6 5 5 58   912¾ 1028 (racanelli j)CECIL Y 122 15.00 42.40  
SCR  AKINGISALWAYSKING               (ovando moises)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 5.00    
SCR  INGREIDO               (cruz jaime)TREJOS JOSEPH 122 5.00    
SCR  PRINCE OF PORTLAND               (aguirre jr)HO WESLEY 120 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.