Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Saturday - December 10, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   12/10/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IMAGINE VICTORY Dec02 Nov12 Oct27 Feb11 Jan02 (pickett crys)LEWIS M 115 3.00 6% 15.10    
2  GOLDEN ACCOUNT Dec03 Aug07 Jun11 May13 May07 (cash norma)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 120 3.50    
3  SKYFLY Oct22 Oct07 Sep22 Sep03 Aug27 (locklear james)BAEZ M 115 4.50 33% 2.00    
4  WATERLOO ROSE Dec03 Nov19 Nov12 Oct22 Oct06 (tobin l)LARROSA G 120 20.00    
5  MIZZEN Nov23 Nov05 Oct12 Sep17 Sep03 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 4.00 29% 2.50    
6  UNEXPECTEDLY Feb04 Jan15       (rangel ricard)ADAMS L 115 15.00 ★    
7  CRUZ IN THE CASTLE Dec03 Nov10 Oct20 Sep17 Jul15 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 2.50 9% 10.60    
 
CT-2   12/10/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REVEIRS MINUTE Oct22 Oct01 Sep08 Jul22 Jul01 (hess jacob )MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 5.00    
2  ARROWWOOD Nov18 Sep01 Aug04 Jun17 May19 (runco c)LEWIS M 117 4.00 13% 7.00    
3  LILLY SIMONE Nov19         (perez ernesto)BAEZ M 115 15.00 5% 17.60    
4  IRISH SAMURAI Dec01 Nov18 Nov04 Oct14 Sep23 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 3.00 ★    
5  SUPERSTASIA Nov18 Nov11 Oct28 Oct13 Sep28 (rangel rica)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 20.00    
6  WALK A FINE LINE Nov18 Oct01 Aug04 Jun17 May28 (contrer)NUNEZ ANAHI 124 4.50 16% 5.20    
7  CODAS HONOR Nov25 Nov04 Sep22 Aug30 Aug03 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.80 37% 1.70    
 
CT-3   12/10/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  YIRA Nov13 Oct16 Sep25 Aug31 Aug15 (salazar marco)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 4.00    
2  GOSSIPING Nov23 Oct29 Oct19 Sep28 Sep15 (perez ernesto)RODRIGUEZ V 120 5.00 ★    
3  MAYSVILLE MISS Nov30 Nov05 Oct14 Sep23 Aug21 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.20 62% 0.60    
4  FASHION ICON Nov12 Oct22 Sep17 Aug31 Aug10 (locklear james)BAEZ M 115 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  BOCA BIRDIE Nov23 Oct29 Oct05 Sep17 Sep01 (pickett crys)LEWIS M 115 15.00 ★    
6  PRETTY SPECTACULAR Nov23 Oct29 Oct07 Sep17 Sep02 (montilla ca)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 4.50    
7  HOW IS SHE Dec03 Nov10 Oct01 Sep08 Jul15 (johnson de)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 8.00 7% 12.60    
8  C V'S CAMPFIRE Jun24 May28 May07 Apr07 Mar26 (jones michael)ADAMS L 115 20.00    
 
CT-4   12/10/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EXCUSES EXCUSES Nov26 Oct29 Oct17 Sep09 Jul21 (pickett cry)MCKENZIE CONNIE 113 20.00    
2  GREEN SCREEN QUEEN Oct21 Oct14 Sep28 Sep15 Aug27 (beattie c)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 4.50 57% 0.80    
3  I B NASTY Nov30 Nov05 Oct29 Oct07 Sep17 (racanelli m)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 6.00 ★    
4  UPTOWN BELLE Dec02 Nov11 Sep17     (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 120 1.80 ★    
5  RAVIOLI MAMA Nov23 Oct19 Sep28 Sep17 Sep01 (scott lloyd )LEWIS M 113 20.00 9% 10.50    
6  ROSELEE Nov18 Oct29 Oct19 Sep28 Sep01 (nazario p)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 120 5.00    
7  ULTIMATE BREEZE Nov09 Oct28 Sep23 Sep14 Jul29 (sandoval mich)CHILO JACINTO 118 20.00    
8  CEDARS BULLS EYE Nov18 Nov04 Oct13 Sep10 Jun10 (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 2.50 11% 8.30    
 
CT-5   12/10/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TO FAT TO FISH Nov18 Oct22 Jul19 Jun28 Mar03 (hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 124 15.00    
2  FUDGE CAKE Nov02 Jul28 Jun30 Jun10 May27 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 15.00    
3  STYLISH PAINT Oct15 Sep24 Aug04 Jun10 May27 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 3.00 17% 4.90    
4  SEEDS OF TIME Nov12 Oct29 Oct20 Sep11 Aug20 (keller christo)ARAUJO DENIS 124 2.50    
SCR  SHEMADEMELUCKY Nov05 Oct07 Jan23     (sillaman richard )HO WESLEY 120 6.00 16% 5.40    
6  MAD MARY Nov23 Nov02 Sep21 Sep07 Aug19 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 12.00 9% 9.50    
7  MISS HEART Nov18 Oct29 Oct17 Oct02 Aug21 (pennella rhea)ADAMS L 117 10.00 8% 12.20    
8  SHE FIGURES Oct29 Oct05 Sep09 Aug27 Aug11 (joy kevin)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 4.00 19% 4.30    
9  RAVENEL Nov18 Oct06 Sep22 Jul01 May19 (harting chri)BATISTA A 122 8.00    
 
CT-6   12/10/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MADDEYE MOODY         (carson laura)THORPE DARIUS 122 2.50 32% 2.10    
2  DUKE OF CORK Nov26 Nov10 Oct22 Oct06 Sep22 (shanley mark)BAEZ M 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  JACKSON MAN Nov26 Nov04 Sep29 Sep09 Aug11 (harrison glen)SIMPSON JASON 122 8.00 29% 2.40    
4  WINDSOR'S TRACKER Nov26 Sep09 Jul02 Jun18 May25 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 8.00 9% 9.90    
5  SIENTE EL AMOR Nov16 Oct19 Sep24 Jun17 Jun02 (stehr josep)RAMGEET R 120 4.50    
6  BERNIE THE GAMBLER Nov18 Nov09 Oct19 Sep28 Sep07 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 5.00 ★    
7  YDOUHAVETOBESOMEAN Nov30 Nov18 Nov05 Oct19 Sep28 (atkins michae)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 6.00    
8  S S ALASKAN CRUZ Nov30 Nov10 Oct12 Sep22 Sep07 (lucas anthony)LARROSA G 120 4.00    
 
CT-7   12/10/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.8K) 3UP M/F PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HELLUVA LADY Nov24 Oct07 Aug13 Jul15 Jun05 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 2.50 24% 3.20    
2  KATALIMA Nov26 Nov10 Oct28 Oct12 Sep10 (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 4.00 21% 3.90    
3  FEEL THE LOVE Nov03 Oct22 Oct07 Sep10 Aug25 (lucas antho)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 3.50 6% 14.80    
4  KARPATHIAN DREAM Nov26 Nov04 Oct13 Sep15 Aug25 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 4.50 28% 2.60    
5  CUMULONIMBUS Oct14 Aug21 Jul31 May15 Apr24 (runco c)LEWIS M 113 12.00    
6  MY JUBA Nov04 Sep21 Aug25 Aug04 Jul23 (hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 6.00    
7  PSYCHE Dec02 Nov09 Oct25 Sep14 Aug26 (stites flint )THORPE DARIUS 120 6.00 ★    
 
CT-8   12/10/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($37.7K) 3UP ALL PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOCIAL CHIC Nov03 Oct08 Aug26 Jul16 Jun25 (runco c)LEWIS M 115 4.50 22% 3.60    
2  SHY GUY Nov23 Nov06 Oct04 Sep13 Aug26 (sauer j)PELTROCHE F 120 12.00 9% 10.50    
3  MUAD'DIB Nov12 Oct08 Aug26 Jul15   (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 0.60 41% 1.50    
4  FREE SAILIN Nov12 Oct08 Aug23 Jul23 Jun11 (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 118 5.00 ★    
SCR  REMYS SHOWTIME Nov19 Oct14 Sep08 Aug26 Aug06 (grams timothy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 30.00    
6  C R'S MANDATE Nov12 Oct08 Aug26 Aug06 Jun16 (schiano-dicola)ARAUJO DENIS 120 8.00    
7  FANCY CONCHO Oct08 Sep17 Aug26 Aug06 Jun16 (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 10.00 7% 14.30    
 
CT-9   12/10/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT-11:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOADED SNIPER Nov19 Oct21 Sep25 Aug28 Jul30 (frock )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 4.00    
2  TWEET THIS Nov19 Nov10 Oct12 Sep14 Jun30 (joy kevin)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 3.00 15% 5.80    
3  MASTER YOO Nov25 Nov04 Oct14 Sep29 Sep01 (downie loff)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 50.00    
4  MAD GENIUS Nov24 Nov07 Oct29 Oct02 Sep18 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 3.50 42% 1.40    
5  CHARITABLE SPENNY Aug20 Jul14 Jun04 May11 Apr08 (dollinger-sth)RIVERA JAVIER 124 10.00 13% 7.00    
6  OBANNON Nov24 Oct14 Sep29 Sep22 Aug26 (racanelli j)CECIL Y 122 15.00    
7  MONGOLIAN HERO Dec01 Nov19 Nov10 Oct29 Oct07 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 6.00 8% 12.20    
8  RICARDITO Dec01 Nov19 Oct29 Oct13 Sep18 (ramos agosto )LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 15.00    
9  SCAREDY CAT Dec02 Nov11 Sep08 Aug27 Aug05 (dillon l)BAEZ M 113 12.00    
10  TYLER TIME Nov03 Sep11 Aug26 Jul15 Jun29 (mcfarlane br)LEWIS M 115 5.00    
SCR  AKINGISALWAYSKING Nov29 Nov24 Nov02 Oct12 Oct01 (ovando melvin)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 5.00 ★    
SCR  INGREIDO Dec01 Nov24 Nov05 Oct22 Oct13 (cruz jaime)TREJOS JOSEPH 122 5.00    
SCR  PRINCE OF PORTLAND Nov27 Nov14 Oct22 Oct08 May29 (aguirre j)HO WESLEY 120 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.