The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Delta Downs
Wednesday - December 14, 2022

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DED-1   12/14/2022 6600ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
:244 :503 1:174 1:431   2:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FREEDOMFI 7 22 21 2½ 11 13 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 117 2.50 36% 1.80 0.60 W
CHAOSMOS 1 11 11 1½ 21 23 (richard c)STOKES A 120 3.50 35% 1.90 6.00 P
BASSETT 3 44 5 4 43(pomier deville)BARRERA J 112 10.00 35.50  
MEDITATE 6 33 32 3 32 4(lara jorge)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 3.00 2.20  
OCTOBER SURPRISE 2 68 6 7 613½ 6513¼ (zenon charles)LEDET THEODRICK 120 6.00 37.50  
WAYPOINT 4 555 42 5 5613¼ (zenon shelton)TORRES HUGO 115 6.00 15.60  
ITS A CITY DAY 5 77 6 721½ 719½ 739¾ (lara jorge)STOKES J 117 8.00 38.30  
 
DED-2   12/14/2022 4290ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:23
:234 :48 1:142     1:212   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRAND PRADO 9 3 12 12   1nk 1¼ (landry ray)STOKES J 117 8.00 3.60  
SWEET RACHEL 1 1 22 32   2nk 2¼ (ramirez e)VARGAS P 117 5.00 21% 3.90 5.50 P
BROAD DECISION 6 9 911 910½   66 3(robbins jr)RAMIREZ PAULINA 117 10.00 8% 11.40 17.80 S
BOLD MINISTER 7 5 43 22   33 45 (richard chris)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 3.50 3.40  
PRAIRIE SQUALL 3 8 55 5   45(hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 120 12.00 29.00  
RUBIGINOUS 2 4 6 4   567 (gonzalez v)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 2.50 25% 3.00 2.00  
DUSTY BOY 8 7 7 79   87(perron gerard)STOKES A 117 6.00 16% 5.10 19.40  
CUSTOMIZE MY QUEST 4 6 88 8   78 8(larrosa a)ROMAN KEVIN 117 8.00 6.60  
CAEUS IN PASADENA 5 2 3 66   9911¾ (zenon charles)LEDET THEODRICK 117 15.00 77.40  
 
DED-3   12/14/2022 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:51
:24 :484 1:143 1:281   1:421   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YOU YOUR DADDY SON 3 5 1½ 13 15 14 1(vincent jarvis)GUERRERO ANDRES 123 4.50 3.70  
R T'S IRON MAN 1 4 74 55 25 24 2(sam w)STOKES A 122 6.00 20% 3.90 5.00 P
PLAY MASTER 2 1 5 33 39 312 314¾ (mojica a)BIRZER E 122 4.00 7% 12.90 3.20 S
SHANKINSTINE 6 2 2½ 23 512½ 418 423¾ (lara jorge)STOKES J 122 2.00 26% 2.80 1.80  
K V TARGET 7 3 31 44 412 519½ 526½ (larrosa a)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 3.00 22% 3.60 4.10  
KAT'S SOLDIER 4 7 6 7 618½ 620½ 627½ (averett ronnie)BARRERA J 117 15.00 25.90  
CUSTOM DANCER 5 6 4 6 718½ 722½ 734½ (magnon jason)LEDET THEODRICK 123 15.00 55.60  
 
DED-4   12/14/2022 4620ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:19
:233 :482 1:143     1:283   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIANNA'S JET 2 4 1½ 1½   11½ (guillory jr)FUSILIER C 120 3.00 3.40  
2B  A WISH FOR MADELYN 8 8 7 64   22½ (broberg karl)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 1.80 43% 1.30 0.40  
COUNTRY DREAM 4 9 8 5   33 33 (godfrey edmond)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 10.00 5% 17.90 28.00 S
PHILLY WINS 6 1 2½ 2½   45 46 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 120 1.80 0.40  
MISS BILLIE K 9 2 31 31   559 (nelson r)FLORES S 117 6.00 26.00  
1A  GINNY B 7 6 53 7   78 611 (tracy greg)ROMAN KEVIN 120 4.50 29% 2.50 4.20  
LOVE TO LEARN 3 7 42 4   67 712¾ (tracy greg)BIRZER E 120 4.50 4.20  
BE A BANDIT 5 5 6 8   89 813½ (zenon shelton)MAGNON H 117 8.00 41.10  
PRETTY PRODUCTION 1 3 9 911½   912 915¼ (zeno benjamin)BARRERA J 112 10.00 57.30  
 
DED-5   12/14/2022 4290ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:47
:233 :474 1:142     1:211   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CONGA BOY 2 1 11 1½   12 1(diodoro robertino)THORNTON G 120 12.00 15% 5.60 10.20 W
MIDNIGHT NIGHTMARE 5 2 5 43   22 2(larrosa a)BACA L 117 5.00 7.90 P
DEALMEINBUD 9 8 811 88   43(gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 119 10.00 12% 7.70 4.60 S
POWERSHOT 8 7 78 75   54(gomez c)COTTO L 120 6.00 5.20  
MY BOY GUS 1 5 32 32   35 5(gonzalez v)MORALES ROBERTO 120 12.00 12.00  
SPHEROID 6 9 917 912   78 610¼ (alberto antonio)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 4.00 17% 5.00 4.90  
GOLDEN PASSAGE 4 4 21 2½   6712 (ramirez eduardo)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 3.00 33% 2.10 1.90  
HIP FOUR O FOUR 7 6 6 6   811 815¾ (nelson r)FLORES S 120 15.00 64.00  
FRIENDOFTHECOURT 3 3 4 5   912½ 917½ (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 117 8.00 14.30  
SCR  BODEE BODEE               (turner patti)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 10.00    
 
DED-6   12/14/2022 3300ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:15
:224 :472       1:001   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ATOMIC ROSE 1 2 53 4   2½ 1(lorefice matt)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 3.00 12% 7.30 1.40 W
CHAOS MAGIC 2 3 2½ 11   1½ 2(dixon tim)FLORES S 122 4.00 36% 1.80 1.20 P
INPENDING BREEZE 6 5 42 5   43(kanhai joseph)STOKES J 123 6.00 14.10  
BOSTON BELLE 4 6 31 21   32 47 (segura kearney)FUSILIER C 119 10.00 6.10  
FORT PIKE 5 1 1½ 31   5511½ (cangemi r)RAMIREZ PAULINA 120 8.00 11% 7.80 12.90  
PEPPER POINT 7 7 78 711¾   78 614¾ (pomier deville)BARRERA J 117 10.00 55.20  
LA DANTA 3 4 65 6   66 727¼ (cormier houston)RODRIGUEZ WALLYNETTE 123 5.00 10% 8.70 13.00  
SCR  RACE DAY MAE               (garza e)TORRES HUGO 118 4.50    
 
DED-7   12/14/2022 4290ft DIRT MUDDY Allowance   Purse ($38K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:43
:232 :473 1:142     1:21   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  MISSION BELLE 5 5 514½ 5   31 1¼ (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 122 4.50 15% 5.50 3.50 W
SARA MIA 3 4 4 4   11 2¼ (diodoro robertino)THORNTON G 120 1.40 53% 0.90 2.70 P
SWEET LAURA 6 6 615½ 6   43 3(guillory jr)BIRZER E 119 8.00 3.00  
O'BABE 2 3 3 24   21 47 (scherer gary)MELANCON G 119 5.00 7.80  
LIFE OF SATURDAYS 4 1 14 14   57 516½ (melancon donald)GUERRERO ANDRES 123 6.00 7% 12.70 9.50  
JACKIES IRISHDREAM 1 2 24 34   69 618½ (richard chris)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 8.00 2.70  
SCR  HOT TUB HOTTIE               (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 119 4.50    
SCR  VIVA EL CAPITAN               (diodoro robertino)ROMAN KEVIN 119 8.00    
 
DED-8   12/14/2022 3300ft DIRT MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($35K) 2 ALL PT- 9:11
:222 :462       :593   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOUBLE EDGE SWORD 2 5 5 4   21 12 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 122 6.00 5.80  
RITHM NIC 5 4 2nk 1½   11 22 (richard chris)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 2.50 0.90 P
I'M A COWBOY 3 2 42 53   532 (pish danny)BACA L 119 6.00 30% 2.30 3.60 S
BISPING 1 1 3½ 31   34(courville ricky)MAGNON H 116 3.00 37% 1.70 7.40  
SCATAMARAN 4 3 1nk 2½   42 57 (richard chris)BIRZER E 119 4.00 3.60  
SCR  FLASHY BOY               (breaux samuel)THORNTON G 116 3.50    
 
DED-9   12/14/2022 4290ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:41
:233 :48 1:144     1:213   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OPTIMISTIC 5 3 1nk 11   12 1(mojica a)THORNTON G 120 3.00 5% 19.00 2.80 W
NASTY EXAGGERATOR 3 2 33 4   43 2(birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 120 15.00 10.20  
BIG BOSS MAN 6 4 2nk 21   33(rubin donald)COTTO L 117 6.00 6.20  
OSO NEGRO 4 7 710½ 7   64 48 (lorefice matt)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 10.00 5% 19.00 2.50  
PAT ME DOWN 1 1 4 32   22 58 (west henry)STOKES A 117 12.00 47.00  
HENNING 2 8 69 65   54 6(broberg karl)MCMAHON J 117 5.00 64% 0.60 5.50  
11  HEATHER'S REQUEST 9 9 812½ 8   879 (nelson r)TORRES HUGO 115 12.00 25.00  
G'S STORM 7 5 55 5   7812 (dixon tim)FLORES S 116 5.00 5% 19.00 4.20  
10  MISS JENNY'S HALO 8 6 913½ 916½   921¾ 936¾ (prejean raymond)LEBLANC C 117 20.00 24.40  
SCR  CARIBE NIGHTS               (cox l)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 15.00    
SCR  GENERAL EISENHOWER               (fuselier jonah)FUSILIER C 116 20.00    
SCR  OXXON               (nelson r)ROMAN KEVIN 120 4.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.