Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Delta Downs
Wednesday - December 14, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
DED-1   12/14/2022 6600ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHAOSMOS Sep27 Aug04 Jun18 May26 May08 (richard russell )STOKES A 120 3.50 35% 1.90    
2  OCTOBER SURPRISE Nov04 Aug25 Jul27 Jul06 Jun15 (zenon charl)LEDET THEODRICK 120 6.00    
3  BASSETT Nov23 Nov04 Oct08 Aug25 Jul26 (pomier chase)BARRERA J 112 10.00    
4  WAYPOINT Nov12 Oct26 Jul29 Jul06 May27 (zenon shelton)TORRES HUGO 115 6.00 ★    
5  ITS A CITY DAY Nov23 Sep12 Aug14 Jul19 Jul10 (lara jorge)STOKES J 117 8.00 ★    
6  MEDITATE (IRE) Nov16 Nov04 Oct27 May21 May07 (lara jorge)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 3.00 ★    
7  FREEDOMFI Nov22 Oct12 Sep10 Aug04 Jul16 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 117 2.50 36% 1.80    
 
DED-2   12/14/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET RACHEL Oct26 Oct13 Sep11 Jul02 May31 (ramirez rosa )VARGAS P 117 5.00 21% 3.90    
2  RUBIGINOUS Nov10 Oct26 Sep25 Sep05 Aug12 (gonzal)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 2.50 25% 3.00    
3  PRAIRIE SQUALL Nov23 Nov04 Oct01 Sep20 Aug22 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 120 12.00    
4  CUSTOMIZE MY QUEST Nov12 Aug20 Jul30 Jul20 Jul08 (larrosa a)ROMAN KEVIN 117 8.00 ★    
5  CAEUS IN PASADENA Aug05 Jun23 Mar23 Feb26 Feb05 (zenon charl)LEDET THEODRICK 117 15.00    
6  BROAD DECISION Apr08 Mar03 Jan07     (robbins han)RAMIREZ PAULINA 117 10.00 8% 11.40    
7  BOLD MINISTER Nov23 Oct26 Sep07 Jul27 Jul16 (richard chr)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 3.50    
8  DUSTY BOY Jul06 Jun08 May06 Apr22 Apr07 (perron gerard)STOKES A 117 6.00 16% 5.10    
9  GRAND PRADO Oct22 Oct07 Aug05 Jun09 May14 (landry ray)STOKES J 117 8.00    
 
DED-3   12/14/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  R T'S IRON MAN Nov23 Aug12 Jul27 Jul09 Jun16 (sam w)STOKES A 122 6.00 20% 3.90    
2  PLAY MASTER Dec01 Nov17 Aug26 Aug12 Jul15 (mojica a)BIRZER E 122 4.00 7% 12.90    
3  YOU YOUR DADDY SON Dec01 Oct28 Sep26 Aug28 Aug06 (vincen)GUERRERO ANDRES 123 4.50 ★    
4  KAT'S SOLDIER Dec01 Nov12       (averett ronn)BARRERA J 117 15.00    
5  CUSTOM DANCER Nov22 Nov12       (magnon jaso)LEDET THEODRICK 123 15.00    
6  SHANKINSTINE Nov22 Nov02 Oct05 Sep11 Aug13 (lara jorge)STOKES J 122 2.00 26% 2.80    
7  K V TARGET Dec01 Nov02 Oct05 Aug26 Aug12 (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 3.00 22% 3.60    
 
DED-4   12/14/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOVE TO LEARN Nov05 Oct13 Aug13 Jul01 Jun18 (tracy greg)BIRZER E 120 4.50    
1A  GINNY B Nov02 Sep06 Aug07 Jun28 Jun12 (tracy greg)ROMAN KEVIN 120 4.50 29% 2.50    
2  PHILLY WINS Nov22 Oct13 Sep13 Jul03 May07 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 120 1.80 ★    
2B  A WISH FOR MADELYN Oct20 Oct05 Aug03 Jul01 Jun17 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 117 1.80 43% 1.30    
3  PRETTY PRODUCTION Nov25 Nov09 Jul20 Jul01 Jun17 (zeno benjami)BARRERA J 112 10.00    
4  DIANNA'S JET Nov23 Oct15 Sep26 Sep03 Jul17 (guillory j)FUSILIER C 120 3.00 ★    
5  COUNTRY DREAM Feb16 Jan29 Jan06     (godfre)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 10.00 5% 17.90    
6  BE A BANDIT Nov25 Nov04 Oct06 Aug20 Aug03 (zenon shelto)MAGNON H 117 8.00 ★    
7  MISS BILLIE K Sep19 Sep06 Aug01 Jul18 Jul04 (nelson eric)FLORES S 117 6.00    
 
DED-5   12/14/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY BOY GUS Nov10 Oct26 Sep11 Aug20 Aug12 (gonzalez is)MORALES ROBERTO 120 12.00    
2  CONGA BOY Nov12 Oct07 Aug27 Aug04 Mar16 (diodoro robert)THORNTON G 120 12.00 15% 5.60    
3  FRIENDOFTHECOURT Nov23 Oct26 Oct07 Aug05 Jul16 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 117 8.00    
4  GOLDEN PASSAGE Jul25 Jul03 Jun04 Apr14 Apr01 (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 3.00 33% 2.10    
5  MIDNIGHT NIGHTMARE Dec03 Nov10 Oct22 Aug20 May10 (larrosa a)BACA L 117 5.00 ★    
6  SPHEROID Nov26 Nov09 Oct29 Oct08 Aug19 (alberto ant)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 4.00 17% 5.00    
7  HIP FOUR O FOUR Jul05 Jun18 May22 May09 Feb26 (nelson eric)FLORES S 120 15.00    
8  POWERSHOT Nov19 Nov03 Sep18 Aug02 Jun13 (gomez c)COTTO L 120 6.00    
9  DEALMEINBUD Nov12 Oct29 Oct06 Sep25 Sep03 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 119 10.00 12% 7.70    
SCR  BODEE BODEE Nov17 Oct28 Oct08 Sep13 Aug15 (turner)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 10.00    
 
DED-6   12/14/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ATOMIC ROSE Dec02 Oct22 Oct01 Sep10 Aug26 (lorefi)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 3.00 12% 7.30    
2  CHAOS MAGIC Dec02 Nov16 Nov03 Sep08 Aug14 (dixon tim)FLORES S 122 4.00 36% 1.80    
3  LA DANTA Nov16 Oct20 Jul27 Jun29 May20 (cormie)RODRIGUEZ WALLYNETTE 123 5.00 10% 8.70    
4  BOSTON BELLE Nov19 Oct29 Oct15 Jun15 May04 (segura kearney)FUSILIER C 119 10.00    
SCR  RACE DAY MAE         (garza e)TORRES HUGO 118 4.50 ★    
6  FORT PIKE Nov26 Nov03 Sep25 Sep12 Aug27 (cangemi dan)RAMIREZ PAULINA 120 8.00 11% 7.80    
7  INPENDING BREEZE Jul25 Jul09 Jun19     (kanhai joseph)STOKES J 123 6.00    
8  PEPPER POINT Nov23 Nov03 Sep06 Aug10 Jul14 (pomier chase)BARRERA J 117 10.00    
 
DED-7   12/14/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($38K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  MISSION BELLE Nov25 Oct28 Oct02 Aug20 Jul22 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 122 4.50 15% 5.50    
SCR  HOT TUB HOTTIE Oct13 Oct01 Aug26 Jul22 Jul11 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 119 4.50    
2  JACKIES IRISHDREAM Nov12 Oct28 Aug14 Jul28   (richard chr)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 8.00    
SCR  VIVA EL CAPITAN Aug24 Jun27 Jun07 May15 Mar30 (diodoro roberti)ROMAN KEVIN 119 8.00 ★    
4  O'BABE         (scherer gary)MELANCON G 119 5.00 ★    
5  SARA MIA Oct29 Oct22 Sep14 Aug22 Aug01 (diodoro robert)THORNTON G 120 1.40 53% 0.90    
6  LIFE OF SATURDAYS Nov23 Nov12 Oct13 Aug17 Jun04 (melanc)GUERRERO ANDRES 123 6.00 7% 12.70    
7  SWEET LAURA Nov12 Oct15 Sep26 Sep05 Aug08 (guillory j)BIRZER E 119 8.00    
 
DED-8   12/14/2022 3300ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($35K) 2 ALL PT- 9:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FLASHY BOY Nov19 Oct22       (breaux samuel)THORNTON G 116 3.50 ★    
2  BISPING Nov19 Oct15 Aug27 Aug06 Jun09 (courville ri)MAGNON H 116 3.00 37% 1.70    
3  DOUBLE EDGE SWORD Nov16         (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 122 6.00    
4  I'M A COWBOY Jun19 Jun05       (pish danny)BACA L 119 6.00 30% 2.30    
5  SCATAMARAN Nov05 Sep10 Sep01 Aug18   (richard chris)BIRZER E 119 4.00 ★    
6  RITHM NIC Nov12 Oct21 Sep08 Aug21   (richard chr)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 2.50 ★    
 
DED-9   12/14/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PAT ME DOWN Nov26 Nov10 Oct21 Oct08 Jun24 (west henry)STOKES A 117 12.00    
2  HENNING Sep11 Aug16 Jun16 May14 Apr27 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 117 5.00 64% 0.60    
3  NASTY EXAGGERATOR Nov16 Oct21 Oct02 Sep25 Aug29 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 120 15.00    
4  OSO NEGRO Nov04 Oct12 Sep25 Sep12 Jul24 (lorefi)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  OPTIMISTIC Nov26 Nov16 Jul01     (mojica a)THORNTON G 120 3.00 5% 19.00    
6  BIG BOSS MAN Nov26 Nov10 Oct20 Aug25 Jun30 (rubin donald)COTTO L 117 6.00    
SCR  OXXON Jun13 May24 May07 Feb25 Feb11 (nelson r)ROMAN KEVIN 120 4.00 5% 19.00    
8  G'S STORM Nov26 Nov11 Oct19 Aug28 Aug09 (dixon tim)FLORES S 116 5.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CARIBE NIGHTS Nov10 Oct19 Aug27 Aug10 Jul29 (cox l)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 15.00    
10  MISS JENNY'S HALO Nov24 Jan10       (prejean raymond)LEBLANC C 117 20.00    
11  HEATHER'S REQUEST Nov26 Aug20 Jun27 Jun14 May31 (nelson r)TORRES HUGO 115 12.00    
SCR  GENERAL EISENHOWER Dec01 Nov16 Aug03 Jul08 Jun10 (fuselier jonah)FUSILIER C 116 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.