Handicappers' Race Results

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Delta Downs
Thursday - November 17, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
DED-1   11/17/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:23 :48       1:012   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MO DIXIE DIVA 6 2 3½ 1nk   1½ 13 (melancon dona)FLORES S 118 10.00 18.80  
FIRE AND SPEIGHT 2 6 2½ 2nk   2½ 23 (roubion steve)ROMAN KEVIN 121 4.00 25% 3.00 0.90 P
MORO SMOKE 1 9 83 6   3 3 (gustafson austin)BIRZER E 123 6.00 5% 19.00 11.00 S
GRACE'S VISION 7 3 97 8   78 4 (senegal dalton )VARGAS P 120 15.00 60.00  
10  CRAPAUD 9 1 5¾ 4   5 5 (toups brent)FUSILIER C 120 15.00 49.00  
CALL ME DARLIN 4 4 1½ 3.2   45 6 (zenon shelton)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 4.50 27% 2.70 6.10  
MAYWON 8 8 72 5   6 711½ (dixon ti)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 8.00 5.40  
DON'T LOOK ETHEL 5 5 4¾ 7   811 815½ (ward ronnie)THORNTON G 120 2.50 24% 3.10 3.70  
GYPSY SOUL 3 7 6 9   915 920¼ (cormier houston)TORRES HUGO 118 15.00 66.40  
SCR  A. P. STYLE               (dison mar)POMPELL L 120 15.00    
SCR  AMELIES DREAMER               (segura kearney)STOKES J 120 20.00    
SCR  ROADSIDE GIRL               (fontenot curley )BACA L 118 3.50    
 
DED-2   11/17/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($42K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:23
See original race card.
:232 :471 1:142     1:212   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIND FAITH 4 3 55 5   2nk 11 (brinkman brett)MAGNON H 116 8.00 7.10  
MONARCH'S MISCHIEF 2 10 10 95   7 21 (turner p)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 15.00 25.10  
JACK BOB AND LARRY 5 5 2nk 1½   1nk 31 (johnson b)POMPELL L 116 5.00 2.40 S
SARAH'S VISION 3 2 8 7   4 4 (klanfer alan)THORNTON G 118 15.00 18.20  
10  FORTY THREE 10 8 7 84   6 5 (balderas alfons)VARGAS P 116 2.50 63% 0.60 1.70  
CPRIORITY 6 7 6 42   52 63 (thomas lee)COTTO L 118 8.00 18.50  
IRON IN THE FIRE 1 1 43 6   8 75 (landry ray)STOKES J 116 8.00 12% 7.60 6.00  
KAHAAL 7 6 31 3½   31 86 (bourgeois kei)DEL-CID VICENTE 116 4.00 12.60  
JANET'S DEVIL 9 4 1nk 2½   9 915½ (gelner j)MCMAHON J 121 8.00 16.00  
JUSTA BUSTER 8 9 9 108   1013¼ 1022¾ (cormier housto)BARRERA J 113 20.00 76.50  
 
DED-3   11/17/2022 4950ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:51
See original race card.
:244 :504       1:353   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOULOLOGY 7 9 8 43   13 16 (segura kearney)MCMAHON J 121 3.00 34% 1.90 1.40 W
TED STRIKER 8 7 6 53   23 26 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 123 6.00 10.50  
10  PLAY MASTER 10 1 105 8   4 37 (mojica a)BIRZER E 121 20.00 21.30  
WAR TROLLEY 3 5 32 6   3 4 (west g)TORRES HUGO 116 3.50 7% 14.20 2.50  
ACABELLA 5 10 9 10   9 511¼ (grudzien rylee)MAGNON H 121 6.00 27% 2.70 5.40  
GRAY DANE 6 6 5 3   56 611¼ (bernard )RODRIGUEZ WALLYNETTE 121 4.50 5% 19.00 7.20  
CHAN 2 3 21 22   66 711½ (hibdon n)ROMAN KEVIN 121 20.00 5% 19.00 36.30  
ANGOLA VACATION 1 8 7 9   10 812 (zenon shelton)DEL-CID VICENTE 121 15.00 58.00  
TOUGH START 4 4 42 7   8 913 (alberto antonio)STOKES A 121 8.00 22.00  
COTTONCLUB SOLDIER 9 2 11 12   77 1017 (zenon sh)RUIZ GARCIA 121 15.00 36.30  
SCR  KATS PICK               (alberto anton)RAMIREZ PAULINA 123 10.00    
SCR  WILD T RANGER               (wilson shane)FLORES S 121 15.00    
 
DED-4   11/17/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:19
See original race card.
:221 :463       :60   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOSBOR 1 7 7 7   4 1nk (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 120 3.50 2.00  
MOVE IT 4 5 5 43   2½ 2nk (cox l)POMPELL L 123 8.00 7% 13.50 6.30 P
FLUFFPOINT 2 3 3.2 1½   1½ 3 (gelner scott)BARRERA J 112 15.00 34.50  
1A  LOOKIN GOOD SO FAR 8 1 1nk 2½   3½ 4 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 118 2.00 35% 1.90 4.60  
RATHER PRECOCIOUS 5 6 6 67   76 57 (ramirez eduardo)STOKES J 120 6.00 31% 2.20 4.80  
METALLIC SILVER 3 4 4 55   64 6 (rou)DE CRUZ 117 5.00 6% 16.00 5.80  
B B MOODY 7 2 2nk 31   5 7 (cox l)THORNTON G 117 10.00 10.50  
HOT ARTIE 6 8 813¼ 812½   811 8 (hibdon n)ROMAN KEVIN 120 8.00 6.30  
SCR  COSTANARMANDALEG               (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 120 2.00    
 
DED-5   11/17/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:47
See original race card.
:232 :473 1:132     1:271   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BINDING AGREEMENT 5 3 43 31   1nk 1nk (bourgeois kei)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 8.00 3.90  
PINCH ASSAULT 7 7 7 5   4 2nk (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 117 6.00 18% 4.70 4.00 P
UNION STATION 3 6 56 6   5 3¾ (grudzien rylee)MAGNON H 120 5.00 23% 3.30 3.60 S
CUCINA 1 2 1nk 2nk   2nk 4 (diodoro robertino)ROMAN KEVIN 120 3.50 3.80  
EXTIRPATOR 2 1 2nk 1nk   3.2 53 (turner patti)BIRZER E 120 5.00 27% 2.70 2.00  
SABER RUN 4 4 32 4   6 6 (pedigo randy)BACA L 117 12.00 41.20  
RELUCTANT WARRIOR 6 5 6 7   713¾ 720 (gomez c)COTTO L 117 10.00 9% 10.40 32.80  
SCR  ENTERTAINMENT               (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 120 2.50    
 
DED-6   11/17/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
See original race card.
:223 :464       :592   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLASHY PREMO 4 2 32 31   12 1 (morrell cynth)RAMIREZ PAULINA 118 2.50 24% 3.20 2.50 W
HALF A BUCK 1 5 5 57   46 2 (ward ronnie)STOKES J 118 6.00 8.60  
CORN SOUP 3 3 2nk 2nk   22 37 (patt rol)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 12.00 24.40  
MR. CURLIN 2 4 44 44   36 4 (mojica a)POMPELL L 120 4.50 1.30  
BIG RUSSSS 5 1 1nk 1nk   57 516 (robbins jr)MELANCON G 118 3.00 1.80  
SCR  MORO FLYBOY               (gustafson aus)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 4.00 26% 2.80    
SCR  WHISKEY GENT               (alberto antonio)THORNTON G 121 10.00 15% 5.50    
 
DED-7   11/17/2022 4950ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:43
See original race card.
:242 :494 1:15     1:344   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BODEE BODEE 1 4 31 31   1nk 1½ (turner patti)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 3.00 45% 1.20 5.20 W
CHEATIN CHARLIE 2 1 1nk 1nk   2nk 2½ (mojica a)BIRZER E 118 1.80 11% 7.90 1.20 P
GRAHAM 'S CRUISER 5 2 4 5   34 3 (roberts kenneth)MCMAHON J 118 4.00 2.90  
IT'S A BIRD 6 6 6 6   510 410¼ (ali an)RAMIREZ PAULINA 120 5.00 10% 8.90 4.70  
MY BOOK 4 5 5 42   48 511 (cormier housto)BARRERA J 115 6.00 6.30  
HOPE FOR CHANGE 3 3 2nk 2nk   610½ 616¾ (milburn katina)BOURQUE J 120 8.00 38.30  
 
DED-8   11/17/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:11
See original race card.
:232 :474 1:13 1:264   1:401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GUITAR SLIM 7 3 5 5 2nk 11 1 (bryant all)TORRES HUGO 113 2.50 3.10  
UNCLE FRANK 1 6 31 4 4 32 2 (sturrock billy)MAGNON H 118 5.00 2.40 P
HERZEN 2 8 8 8 5 53 3 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 118 8.00 11% 7.90 8.70 S
WISE VERDICT 8 4 7 7 6 63 4 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 115 4.50 10% 8.80 5.70  
HIGHTAIL COWBOY 3 1 1nk 1½ 1nk 21 5 (richard chris)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 6.00 17.00  
PALATIAL TIMES 5 7 6 64 8 8 68 (govea cesar)THORNTON G 118 12.00 7% 12.50 27.80  
HOLY EMPEROR 6 2 2nk 2½ 7 74 7 (gonzalez)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 12.00 8.10  
DOCTOR LEO 4 5 4 3 3.2 4 8 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 115 3.50 43% 1.30 3.30  
 
DED-9   11/17/2022 3300ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 2 F PT- 9:41
See original race card.
:231 :471       1:001   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THISONESFORLOVE 6 2 21 1nk   13 1 (briley lonnie)TAYLOR BETHANY 121 15.00 23.70  
BONANZA GRADE 4 1 11 2nk   23 2 (richard chris)DEL-CID VICENTE 121 3.00 10% 9.20 2.40 P
TRIPLE L'S CUTTER 2 6 5 5   59 3 (gelner j)POMPELL L 121 3.50 45% 1.20 1.50 S
YOU HAVE NO IDEA 3 3 3 4   37 4 (gustafson austin)ROMAN KEVIN 121 4.00 17% 4.80 2.80  
SHE'S MY LOUIE V. 1 7 4 33   47 512 (flint steve)THORNTON G 121 6.00 7.10  
COZZOLANI 5 4 6 7   612 617¾ (dixon ti)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 6.00 13.30  
REAUX BINA 7 5 7 6   712½ 718½ (dixon tim)FLORES S 121 15.00 26.40  
SCR  SHE'SMYSMOKESHOW               (gomez c)BACA L 121 8.00    
SCR  SUZY DOLL'S READY               (ward ronnie)STOKES J 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.